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Serbia vs Turkey Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 27 Feb 2026
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 78-82
13-22 18-24 23-11 24-25
Position#21
Record2-0
FormWLLWW
Points / game82.0
Allowed / game79.0
vs
Turkey 🏆
Position#4
Record2-0
FormWWLWW
Points / game89.0
Allowed / game65.5
EuropeWorld CupRound 3· Aleksandar Nikolic Hall
Other2027
Meetings · Serbia v Turkey
27 Feb 2026
SERB78
TURK82
14 Nov 2022
SERB77
TURK76
11 Sep 2010
SERB82
TURK83
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Serbia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Turkey winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

SerbiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSerbia
Date
Competition
Czech Republic
#4
W
113-84
113
84
+29
116avg 96
H15/08
DBB Supercup
Germany
#3
W
91-81
91
81
+10
90avg 96
A16/08
DBB Supercup
Estonia
#18
W
98-64
98
64
+34
112avg 96
H27/08
EuroBasket
Portugal
#17
W
80-69
80
69
+11
88avg 96
A29/08
EuroBasket
Latvia
#11
W
84-80
84
80
+4
82avg 96
A30/08
EuroBasket
Czech Republic
#23
W
82-60
82
60
+22
90avg 96
H01/09
EuroBasket
Turkey
#2
L
90-95
90
95
-5
84avg 96
A03/09
EuroBasket
Finland
#10
L
86-92
86
92
-6
84avg 96
H06/09
EuroBasket
Switzerland
#43
W
90-86
90
86
+4
no box
H27/11
World Cup
Bosnia & Herzegovina
#57
W
74-72
74
72
+2
no box
A30/11
World Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-21
32-27
31-20
21-16
18-15
20-17
32-23
21-26
32-12
24-17
30-15
12-20
23-19
20-14
21-16
16-20
22-18
20-20
25-18
17-24
27-5
18-18
16-20
21-17
18-19
31-27
24-28
17-21
24-28
24-16
18-24
20-24
20-30
14-27
25-13
31-16
13-15
22-24
16-19
23-14
167.1Avg total
88.8Scored
78.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)82.079.0161.0+3.0100%
Season at home (1)90.086.0176.0+4.0100%
Season away (1)74.072.0146.0+2.0100%
Last 10 (10)88.878.3167.1+10.580%
Last 5 (5)84.481.0165.4+3.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)92.590.5183.0+2.050%
vs Similar (4)97.878.2176.0+19.575%
vs Weaker (24)87.173.7160.8+13.483%
This opponent (Turkey) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TurkeyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTurkey
Date
Competition
Czech Republic
#23
W
92-78
92
78
+14
95avg 85
H29/08
EuroBasket
Portugal
#17
W
95-54
95
54
+41
101avg 85
H30/08
EuroBasket
Estonia
#18
W
84-64
84
64
+20
83avg 85
A01/09
EuroBasket
Serbia
#6
W
95-90
95
90
+5
99avg 85
H03/09
EuroBasket
Sweden
#21
W
85-79
85
79
+6
75avg 85
H06/09
EuroBasket
Poland
#9
W
91-77
91
77
+14
90avg 85
H09/09
EuroBasket
Greece
#3
W
94-68
94
68
+26
94avg 85
A12/09
EuroBasket
Germany
#1
L
83-88
83
88
-5
73avg 85
H14/09
EuroBasket
Bosnia & Herzegovina
#57
W
93-71
93
71
+22
no box
H27/11
World Cup
Switzerland
#43
W
85-60
85
60
+25
no box
A30/11
World Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-27
24-10
27-25
20-16
22-13
29-14
22-10
22-17
25-13
21-14
19-22
19-15
19-18
27-31
28-24
21-17
20-23
17-19
26-13
22-24
19-19
27-13
19-18
26-27
26-16
23-15
23-20
22-17
22-24
24-16
21-26
16-22
29-20
17-25
21-13
26-13
23-17
18-8
24-17
20-18
162.6Avg total
89.7Scored
72.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)89.065.5154.5+23.5100%
Season at home (1)93.071.0164.0+22.0100%
Season away (1)85.060.0145.0+25.0100%
Last 10 (10)89.772.9162.6+16.890%
Last 5 (5)89.272.8162.0+16.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)74.978.6153.5-3.812%
vs Similar (6)78.869.8148.7+9.067%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)88.473.1161.4+15.388%
This opponent (Serbia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +4.4+4.4Q1: +3.6+3.6Q2Q2: +1.8+1.8Q2: +6.2+6.2Q3Q3: +4.2+4.2Q3: +4.2+4.2Q4Q4: +0.1+0.1Q4: +2.8+2.8
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +4.4+4.4Q1: +3.6+3.6Q2Q2: +1.8+1.8Q2: +6.2+6.2Q3Q3: +4.2+4.2Q3: +4.2+4.2Q4Q4: +0.1+0.1Q4: +2.8+2.8
SerbiaTurkey
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
SerbiaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Czech Republic
#4
W
61-48
61
48
+13
H15/08
DBB Supercup
Germany
#3
W
38-32
38
32
+6
A16/08
DBB Supercup
Estonia
#18
W
56-29
56
29
+27
H27/08
EuroBasket
Portugal
#17
W
43-33
43
33
+10
A29/08
EuroBasket
Latvia
#11
W
42-38
42
38
+4
A30/08
EuroBasket
Czech Republic
#23
W
45-23
45
23
+22
H01/09
EuroBasket
Turkey
#2
W
49-46
49
46
+3
A03/09
EuroBasket
Finland
#10
W
48-44
48
44
+4
H06/09
EuroBasket
Switzerland
#43
L
34-57
34
57
-23
H27/11
World Cup
Bosnia & Herzegovina
#57
L
35-39
35
39
-4
A30/11
World Cup
84.0Avg total
45.1Scored
38.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.836.882.6+8.983%-
Last 30 at home (15)46.137.383.5+8.887%-
Last 30 away (15)45.436.381.7+9.180%-
Last 10 (10)45.138.984.0+6.280%-
Last 5 (5)42.241.884.0+0.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)50.542.593.0+8.0100%-
vs Similar (4)52.039.891.8+12.275%-
vs Weaker (24)44.335.980.2+8.583%-
This opponent (Turkey) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TurkeyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Czech Republic
#23
W
45-37
45
37
+8
H29/08
EuroBasket
Portugal
#17
W
51-27
51
27
+24
H30/08
EuroBasket
Estonia
#18
W
46-27
46
27
+19
A01/09
EuroBasket
Serbia
#6
L
46-49
46
49
-3
H03/09
EuroBasket
Sweden
#21
L
37-42
37
42
-5
H06/09
EuroBasket
Poland
#9
W
46-32
46
32
+14
H09/09
EuroBasket
Greece
#3
W
49-31
49
31
+18
A12/09
EuroBasket
Germany
#1
W
46-40
46
40
+6
H14/09
EuroBasket
Bosnia & Herzegovina
#57
W
46-45
46
45
+1
H27/11
World Cup
Switzerland
#43
W
41-25
41
25
+16
A30/11
World Cup
80.8Avg total
45.3Scored
35.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.937.178.1+3.860%-
Last 30 at home (18)40.438.278.6+2.256%-
Last 30 away (12)41.835.677.3+6.267%-
Last 10 (10)45.335.580.8+9.880%-
Last 5 (5)45.634.680.2+11.0100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)36.942.479.2-5.525%-
vs Similar (6)39.534.774.2+4.867%-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)43.535.478.9+8.175%-
This opponent (Serbia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Serbiatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Serbia: 88.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.8 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.3 pts a game · 20% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.921.9
62.8%
-43.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.79.1
36.8%
-27.3
🏀 Free throws22.117.3
78.3%
-17.3
They take 59.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Turkeytheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Turkey: 88.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.6 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.9 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.2 pts a game · 18% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.420.8
57.1%
-41.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.510.3
40.4%
-30.9
🏀 Free throws21.316.2
76.1%
-16.2
They take 61.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 27 Feb 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Serbia
WWLLWWWWWW
Turkey
WWLWWWWWWW
#21
League position
#4
+16.4
Net rating
+22.6
121.2
Offensive rating
123.2
104.7
Defensive rating
100.6
59.6%
Effective FG%
58.6%
49.6%
Opp. effective FG%
52.0%
17.0%
Turnover %
15.5%
30.8%
Off. rebound %
33.9%
0.37
Free-throw rate
0.34
36.8%
3-point %
40.4%
72.9%
Assist %
69.5%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
90%

Profile

Form (last 10/10)80% · 90%
■ Serbia   ■ Turkey
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Serbia wins
2
Turkey wins
DateGameScore
03/09/25Turkey v Serbia95-90
14/11/22Serbia v Turkey77-76
28/08/22Turkey v Serbia72-79
11/09/10Serbia v Turkey82-83
Serbialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/11/25ABosnia & Herzegovina74-72
27/11/25HSwitzerland90-86
06/09/25HFinland86-92
03/09/25ATurkey90-95
01/09/25HCzech Republic82-60
30/08/25ALatvia84-80
29/08/25APortugal80-69
27/08/25HEstonia98-64
16/08/25AGermany91-81
15/08/25HCzech Republic113-84
Turkeylast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/11/25ASwitzerland85-60
27/11/25HBosnia & Herzegovina93-71
14/09/25HGermany83-88
12/09/25AGreece94-68
09/09/25HPoland91-77
06/09/25HSweden85-79
03/09/25HSerbia95-90
01/09/25AEstonia84-64
30/08/25HPortugal95-54
29/08/25HCzech Republic92-78

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Serbia
World Cup 2027
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWW100%
HomeW100%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game82.090.074.0
Allowed / game79.086.072.0
Point differential+3.0+4.0+2.0
Avg total161.0176.0146.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Turkey
World Cup 2027
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWW100%
HomeW100%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game89.093.085.0
Allowed / game65.571.060.0
Point differential+23.5+22.0+25.0
Avg total154.5164.0145.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Argentina220100%92.558.5+34.0
2 Croatia660100%94.566.5+28.0
3 Jordan330100%82.355.7+26.7
4 Costa Rica550100%81.455.4+26.0
5 Saudi Arabia220100%78.054.0+24.0
6 Turkey220100%89.065.5+23.5
7 Angola110100%90.068.0+22.0
8 Spain330100%83.363.7+19.7
9 Germany220100%86.066.5+19.5
10 Canada330100%100.382.7+17.7
11 Uruguay220100%88.571.0+17.5
12 Brazil220100%80.064.0+16.0
13 Guinea330100%72.360.7+11.7
14 Ivory Coast110100%90.080.0+10.0
15 Mali110100%86.077.0+9.0
16 D.R. Congo110100%87.079.0+8.0
17 Australia330100%85.378.7+6.7
18 Poland330100%86.381.0+5.3
19 Serbia220100%82.079.0+3.0
20 Colombia110100%80.078.0+2.0
21 Netherlands75271%80.474.4+6.0
22 Ukraine75271%80.174.7+5.4
23 Philippines32167%82.762.0+20.7
24 Slovenia32167%95.378.7+16.7
25 South Sudan32167%81.364.7+16.7
26 Greece32167%77.366.3+11.0
27 Iran32167%80.070.7+9.3
28 Switzerland128467%75.466.5+8.9
29 Japan32167%83.374.7+8.7
30 Mexico32167%91.084.0+7.0
31 Tunisia32167%74.770.0+4.7
32 France32167%76.372.3+4.0
33 South Korea32167%78.376.3+2.0
34 Cameroon32167%71.369.7+1.7
35 Jamaica32167%95.093.7+1.3
36 Cape Verde32167%82.086.7-4.7
37 Montenegro32167%69.774.3-4.7
38 Czech Republic32167%84.390.3-6.0
39 Romania106460%75.674.6+1.0
40 El Salvador53260%64.871.8-7.0
41 Hungary74357%81.174.7+6.4
42 Portugal21150%75.569.0+6.5
43 Dominican Republic21150%90.087.0+3.0
44 Great Britain21150%89.086.5+2.5
45 Qatar21150%80.079.0+1.0
46 Finland21150%82.582.5+0.0
47 Lithuania21150%85.085.0+0.0
48 Iceland21150%82.583.0-0.5
49 Lebanon21150%79.080.0-1.0
50 Estonia21150%93.095.0-2.0
51 Italy21150%79.081.0-2.0
52 Ireland63350%75.778.3-2.7
53 Armenia42250%86.596.0-9.5
54 Austria115645%84.678.8+5.8
55 Latvia31233%82.079.3+2.7
56 New Zealand31233%75.076.3-1.3
57 China31233%79.783.3-3.7
58 Nigeria31233%69.375.3-6.0
59 Chinese Taipei31233%71.378.3-7.0
60 Kosovo62433%73.781.5-7.8
61 Georgia31233%76.384.3-8.0
62 Bahamas31233%87.3100.3-13.0
63 Syria31233%61.781.3-19.7
64 Denmark72529%74.481.6-7.1
65 Slovakia41325%75.580.8-5.2
66 Luxembourg41325%67.874.0-6.2
67 Bulgaria41325%75.886.0-10.2
68 Albania41325%72.585.2-12.8
69 North Macedonia41325%69.582.5-13.0
70 Norway82625%66.981.0-14.1
71 Honduras51420%61.870.6-8.8
72 Guatemala51420%62.873.0-10.2
73 Azerbaijan61517%67.580.8-13.3
74 Venezuela1010%78.080.0-2.0
75 Puerto Rico3030%89.095.0-6.0
76 Madagascar1010%79.087.0-8.0
77 Belgium2020%74.083.0-9.0
78 Egypt1010%77.086.0-9.0
79 Senegal1010%80.090.0-10.0
80 Rwanda3030%68.378.7-10.3
81 Bosnia & Herzegovina2020%71.583.5-12.0
82 Libya3030%66.780.3-13.7
83 Sweden2020%81.595.5-14.0
84 Chile2020%64.080.0-16.0
85 Iraq3030%69.786.0-16.3
86 Israel2020%70.087.0-17.0
87 Panama2020%71.088.5-17.5
88 Uganda1010%68.090.0-22.0
89 India2020%54.078.0-24.0
90 Guam3030%65.791.7-26.0
91 Nicaragua1010%72.099.0-27.0
92 Cyprus2020%62.091.5-29.5
93 Cuba2020%58.592.5-34.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 93 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Serbia1318232478
Turkey2224112582
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