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Guangdong vs Xinjiang Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 17 Mar 2026
Tip-off: 11:35
Final 111-89
21-16 35-27 22-25 33-21
Position#6
Record18-8
FormLLLWL
Points / game93.8
Allowed / game90.6
Guangdong 🏆
China
vs
Xinjiang
China
Position#16
Record11-15
FormWLWLW
Points / game85.8
Allowed / game82.8
ChinaCBA· Dongguan Basketball Center
Other2025-26
Meetings · Guangdong v Xinjiang
11 Dec 2026
GUAN v XINJ
upcoming
17 Mar 2026
GUAN111
XINJ89
20 Oct 2024
GUAN102
XINJ95
07 Jan 2024
GUAN110
XINJ114
05 Apr 2023
GUAN108
XINJ95
20 Mar 2022
GUAN118
XINJ99
16 Dec 2020
GUAN115
XINJ102
19 Nov 2019
GUAN128
XINJ127
28 Apr 2019
GUAN116
XINJ97
26 Apr 2019
GUAN142
XINJ123
04 Nov 2018
GUAN129
XINJ127
28 Oct 2018
GUAN112
XINJ95
19 Mar 2018
GUAN92
XINJ95
17 Mar 2018
GUAN123
XINJ99
07 Nov 2017
GUAN98
XINJ95
07 Apr 2017
GUAN109
XINJ117
05 Apr 2017
GUAN91
XINJ104
18 Nov 2016
GUAN117
XINJ85
20 Jan 2016
GUAN101
XINJ84
07 Jan 2015
GUAN111
XINJ94
24 Jan 2014
GUAN119
XINJ111
15 Mar 2013
GUAN100
XINJ98
13 Mar 2013
GUAN88
XINJ86
04 Jan 2013
GUAN102
XINJ98
09 Mar 2012
GUAN120
XINJ102
07 Mar 2012
GUAN97
XINJ92
23 Dec 2011
GUAN109
XINJ92
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Guangdong winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Xinjiang winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

GuangdongChinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGuangdong
Date
Competition
Sichuan
#20
W
104-76
104
76
+28
96avg 91
A19/01
CBA
Jilin
#15
W
119-98
119
98
+21
119avg 91
A21/01
CBA
Shanxi Zhongyu
#10
W
107-97
107
97
+10
111avg 91
H24/01
CBA
Tianjin
#18
W
98-89
98
89
+9
93avg 91
H26/01
CBA
Jilin
#15
W
89-81
89
81
+8
88avg 91
H28/01
CBA
Ningbo Rockets
#11
L
81-94
81
94
-13
68avg 91
A01/02
CBA
Shanghai
#1
L
84-94
84
94
-10
74avg 91
H03/02
CBA
Xinjiang
#16
L
80-82
80
82
-2
70avg 91
A11/03
CBA
Shenzhen
#3
W
101-97
101
97
+4
98avg 91
A13/03
CBA
Liaoning
#9
L
73-89
73
89
-16
56avg 91
H15/03
CBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
31-22
21-17
20-18
32-19
30-28
32-25
35-25
22-20
23-21
30-28
31-24
23-24
25-19
22-25
27-29
24-16
31-24
21-10
17-21
20-26
13-21
24-20
26-30
18-23
16-28
14-23
29-20
25-23
28-19
26-29
15-23
11-11
29-22
26-30
26-24
20-21
11-26
24-23
17-23
21-17
183.3Avg total
93.6Scored
89.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)93.890.6184.4+3.369%
Season at home (13)92.893.8186.5-1.062%
Season away (13)94.987.4182.3+7.577%
Last 10 (10)93.689.7183.3+3.960%
Last 5 (5)83.891.2175.0-7.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)78.5103.5182.0-25.00%
vs Similar (16)95.297.7192.9-2.556%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)96.986.7183.6+10.283%
This opponent (Xinjiang) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
XinjiangChinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormXinjiang
Date
Competition
Jiangsu Dragons
#19
W
89-65
89
65
+24
93avg 83
A20/01
CBA
Sichuan
#20
W
98-56
98
56
+42
94avg 83
H22/01
CBA
Liaoning
#9
W
78-59
78
59
+19
74avg 83
H25/01
CBA
Nanjing Tongxi
#17
L
97-98
97
98
-1
90avg 83
A27/01
CBA
Jiangsu Dragons
#19
L
68-88
68
88
-20
57avg 83
A29/01
CBA
Sichuan
#20
W
105-47
105
47
+58
82avg 83
A01/02
CBA
Zhejiang Chouzhou
#5
L
59-61
59
61
-2
47avg 83
H03/02
CBA
Guangdong
#6
W
82-80
82
80
+2
81avg 83
H11/03
CBA
Jilin
#15
L
82-89
82
89
-7
72avg 83
H13/03
CBA
Beijing Royal Fighters
#12
W
103-89
103
89
+14
109avg 83
H15/03
CBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-13
16-17
17-12
32-23
21-21
21-12
28-9
28-14
23-14
19-26
16-15
20-4
24-32
28-30
22-17
23-19
15-25
23-23
17-22
13-18
23-6
30-12
24-20
28-9
14-18
18-18
15-14
12-11
19-28
29-26
23-15
11-11
25-21
17-29
23-19
17-20
30-27
27-20
25-21
21-21
159.3Avg total
86.1Scored
73.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)85.882.8168.7+3.042%
Season at home (12)85.977.2163.2+8.758%
Season away (14)85.787.6173.4-1.929%
Last 10 (10)86.173.2159.3+12.960%
Last 5 (5)86.273.2159.4+13.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)76.688.0164.6-11.410%
vs Similar (12)94.192.2186.2+1.950%
vs Weaker (8)92.575.6168.1+16.962%
This opponent (Guangdong) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +0.7+0.7Q1: +1.3+1.3Q2Q2: +1.0+1.0Q2: +1.5+1.5Q3Q3: +0.6+0.6Q3: +4.6+4.6Q4Q4: +1.6+1.6Q4: +5.5+5.5
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +0.7+0.7Q1: +1.3+1.3Q2Q2: +1.0+1.0Q2: +1.5+1.5Q3Q3: +0.6+0.6Q3: +4.6+4.6Q4Q4: +1.6+1.6Q4: +5.5+5.5
GuangdongXinjiang
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
GuangdongLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sichuan
#20
W
52-39
52
39
+13
A19/01
CBA
Jilin
#15
W
62-53
62
53
+9
A21/01
CBA
Shanxi Zhongyu
#10
W
53-49
53
49
+4
H24/01
CBA
Tianjin
#18
W
47-44
47
44
+3
H26/01
CBA
Jilin
#15
W
52-34
52
34
+18
H28/01
CBA
Ningbo Rockets
#11
L
37-41
37
41
-4
A01/02
CBA
Shanghai
#1
L
30-51
30
51
-21
H03/02
CBA
Xinjiang
#16
W
54-48
54
48
+6
A11/03
CBA
Shenzhen
#3
W
55-52
55
52
+3
A13/03
CBA
Liaoning
#9
L
35-49
35
49
-14
H15/03
CBA
93.7Avg total
47.7Scored
46.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)50.648.198.8+2.570%-
Last 30 at home (15)50.748.599.2+2.173%-
Last 30 away (15)50.647.798.3+2.967%-
Last 10 (10)47.746.093.7+1.770%-
Last 5 (5)42.248.290.4-6.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)32.055.587.5-23.50%-
vs Similar (16)51.650.8102.4+0.862%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)52.443.395.8+9.192%-
This opponent (Xinjiang) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
XinjiangLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Jiangsu Dragons
#19
W
40-30
40
30
+10
A20/01
CBA
Sichuan
#20
W
42-33
42
33
+9
H22/01
CBA
Liaoning
#9
W
42-40
42
40
+2
H25/01
CBA
Nanjing Tongxi
#17
L
52-62
52
62
-10
A27/01
CBA
Jiangsu Dragons
#19
L
38-48
38
48
-10
A29/01
CBA
Sichuan
#20
W
53-18
53
18
+35
A01/02
CBA
Zhejiang Chouzhou
#5
L
32-36
32
36
-4
H03/02
CBA
Guangdong
#6
L
48-54
48
54
-6
H11/03
CBA
Jilin
#15
L
42-50
42
50
-8
H13/03
CBA
Beijing Royal Fighters
#12
W
57-47
57
47
+10
H15/03
CBA
86.4Avg total
44.6Scored
41.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.346.590.8-2.133%-
Last 30 at home (13)45.642.988.5+2.754%-
Last 30 away (17)43.449.292.5-5.818%-
Last 10 (10)44.641.886.4+2.850%-
Last 5 (5)46.441.087.4+5.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)39.649.589.1-9.910%-
vs Similar (12)48.348.997.2-0.642%-
vs Weaker (8)44.239.083.2+5.250%-
This opponent (Guangdong) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Guangdongtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Guangdong: 93.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.8 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.5 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.0 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 88.4 points a game
50%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.523.4
56.4%
54.6%46.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.19.5
32.6%
35.0%28.5
🏀 Free throws23.018.0
78.3%
73.6%18.0
They take 70.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Xinjiangtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Xinjiang: 82.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀60%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.4 pts a game · 60% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.2 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.8 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 88.4 points a game
50%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.624.7
59.4%
54.6%49.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.87.4
35.6%
35.0%22.2
🏀 Free throws15.810.8
68.4%
73.6%10.8
They take 62.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 17 Mar 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Guangdong
LWLLLWWWWW
Xinjiang
WLWLWLLWWW
#6
League position
#16
+3.9
Net rating
+14.4
100.2
Offensive rating
100.5
96.3
Defensive rating
86.1
53.3%
Effective FG%
57.4%
52.2%
Opp. effective FG%
47.9%
13.2%
Turnover %
16.0%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.25
32.6%
3-point %
35.6%
65.3%
Assist %
63.2%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence100.2 · 100.5Defence96.3 · 86.1Shooting53.3% · 57.4%3-point %32.6% · 35.6%Ball care13.2% · 16.0%Free throws0.33 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)60% · 60%
■ Guangdong   ■ Xinjiang
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Guangdong wins
4
Xinjiang wins
DateGameScore
11/03/26Xinjiang v Guangdong82-80
10/03/25Xinjiang v Guangdong87-106
20/10/24Guangdong v Xinjiang102-95
07/01/24Guangdong v Xinjiang110-114
15/12/23Xinjiang v Guangdong110-88
05/04/23Guangdong v Xinjiang108-95
28/10/22Xinjiang v Guangdong81-100
20/03/22Guangdong v Xinjiang118-99
03/03/22Xinjiang v Guangdong109-107
02/01/21Xinjiang v Guangdong95-132
Guangdonglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/03/26HLiaoning73-89
13/03/26AShenzhen101-97
11/03/26AXinjiang80-82
03/02/26HShanghai84-94
01/02/26ANingbo Rockets81-94
28/01/26HJilin89-81
26/01/26HTianjin98-89
24/01/26HShanxi Zhongyu107-97
21/01/26AJilin119-98
19/01/26ASichuan104-76
Xinjianglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/03/26HBeijing Royal Fighters103-89
13/03/26HJilin82-89
11/03/26HGuangdong82-80
03/02/26HZhejiang Chouzhou59-61
01/02/26ASichuan105-47
29/01/26AJiangsu Dragons68-88
27/01/26ANanjing Tongxi97-98
25/01/26HLiaoning78-59
22/01/26HSichuan98-56
20/01/26AJiangsu Dragons89-65

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Guangdong
CBA 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL69%
HomeWWWLL62%
AwayWWLLW77%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261313
Win %69%62%77%
Points / game93.892.894.9
Allowed / game90.693.887.4
Point differential+3.3-1.0+7.5
Avg total184.4186.5182.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+23%8%38%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (9)60% (5)75% (4)
Overtime %8%15%0%
Xinjiang
CBA 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW42%
HomeWLWLW58%
AwayLWLLW29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261214
Win %42%58%29%
Points / game85.885.985.7
Allowed / game82.877.287.6
Point differential+3.0+8.7-1.9
Avg total168.7163.2173.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+31%42%21%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (6)33% (3)33% (3)
Overtime %4%0%7%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Shanghai2622485%96.380.6+15.7
2 Zhejiang Guangsha2621581%89.878.2+11.7
3 Guangdong2618869%93.890.6+3.3
4 Beijing2617965%89.581.8+7.8
5 Shandong2617965%93.188.0+5.0
6 Zhejiang Chouzhou26151158%86.181.7+4.5
7 Qingdao26151158%85.281.5+3.6
8 Shenzhen26151158%95.794.6+1.1
9 Liaoning26141254%83.882.4+1.3
10 Shanxi Zhongyu26131350%89.587.1+2.4
11 Ningbo Rockets26131350%86.285.2+1.0
12 Beijing Royal Fighters26121446%87.792.9-5.3
13 Xinjiang26111542%85.882.8+3.0
14 Guangzhou26111542%86.788.6-1.9
15 Jilin26111542%82.987.5-4.6
16 Fujian26101638%89.593.0-3.5
17 Tianjin2691735%92.194.5-2.4
18 Nanjing Tongxi2691735%89.995.5-5.6
19 Jiangsu Dragons2671927%81.590.4-8.9
20 Sichuan260260%70.598.8-28.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Guangdong21352233111
Xinjiang1627252189
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