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Guangdong vs Liaoning Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 15 Mar 2026
Tip-off: 11:35
Final 73-89
11-26 24-23 17-23 21-17
Position#6
Record18-7
FormWLLLW
Points / game94.7
Allowed / game90.6
vs
Position#9
Record13-12
FormLWWWW
Points / game83.6
Allowed / game82.8
ChinaCBA· Dongguan Basketball Center
Other2025-26
Meetings · Guangdong v Liaoning
31 Dec 2026
GUAN v LIAO
upcoming
15 Mar 2026
GUAN73
LIAO89
05 Mar 2025
GUAN127
LIAO83
08 May 2024
GUAN90
LIAO107
06 May 2024
GUAN98
LIAO82
15 Mar 2024
GUAN119
LIAO94
21 Jan 2024
GUAN97
LIAO104
18 Jan 2023
GUAN108
LIAO99
16 Apr 2022
GUAN116
LIAO117
01 Jan 2022
GUAN95
LIAO115
01 May 2021
GUAN110
LIAO103
27 Apr 2021
GUAN88
LIAO83
03 Feb 2021
GUAN118
LIAO115
15 Aug 2020
GUAN123
LIAO115
11 Aug 2020
GUAN110
LIAO88
01 Nov 2019
GUAN107
LIAO98
10 Mar 2019
GUAN107
LIAO94
07 Apr 2018
GUAN97
LIAO111
05 Apr 2018
GUAN110
LIAO102
03 Apr 2018
GUAN84
LIAO96
11 Feb 2018
GUAN85
LIAO112
06 Nov 2016
GUAN124
LIAO115
04 Mar 2016
GUAN96
LIAO105
26 Feb 2016
GUAN114
LIAO116
25 Dec 2015
GUAN86
LIAO103
26 Nov 2014
GUAN112
LIAO116
30 Dec 2013
GUAN101
LIAO84
01 Feb 2013
GUAN112
LIAO90
01 Feb 2012
GUAN122
LIAO108
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Guangdong winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Liaoning winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

GuangdongChinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGuangdong
Date
Competition
Beijing Royal Fighters
#12
L
98-99
98
99
-1
91avg 92
H17/01
CBA
Sichuan
#20
W
104-76
104
76
+28
96avg 92
A19/01
CBA
Jilin
#15
W
119-98
119
98
+21
119avg 92
A21/01
CBA
Shanxi Zhongyu
#10
W
107-97
107
97
+10
111avg 92
H24/01
CBA
Tianjin
#18
W
98-89
98
89
+9
93avg 92
H26/01
CBA
Jilin
#15
W
89-81
89
81
+8
88avg 92
H28/01
CBA
Ningbo Rockets
#11
L
81-94
81
94
-13
68avg 92
A01/02
CBA
Shanghai
#1
L
84-94
84
94
-10
74avg 92
H03/02
CBA
Xinjiang
#16
L
80-82
80
82
-2
70avg 92
A11/03
CBA
Shenzhen
#3
W
101-97
101
97
+4
98avg 92
A13/03
CBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-27
34-28
24-25
18-19
31-22
21-17
20-18
32-19
30-28
32-25
35-25
22-20
23-21
30-28
31-24
23-24
25-19
22-25
27-29
24-16
31-24
21-10
17-21
20-26
13-21
24-20
26-30
18-23
16-28
14-23
29-20
25-23
28-19
26-29
15-23
11-11
29-22
26-30
26-24
20-21
186.8Avg total
96.1Scored
90.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)94.790.6185.3+4.072%
Season at home (12)94.494.2188.6+0.267%
Season away (13)94.987.4182.3+7.577%
Last 10 (10)96.190.7186.8+5.460%
Last 5 (5)87.089.6176.6-2.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)78.5103.5182.0-25.00%
vs Similar ◀ (16)97.198.6195.7-1.656%
vs Weaker (12)96.986.7183.6+10.283%
This opponent (Liaoning) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LiaoningChinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLiaoning
Date
Competition
Shenzhen
#3
L
83-87
83
87
-4
81avg 86
H18/01
CBA
Shanxi Zhongyu
#10
L
86-90
86
90
-4
70avg 86
A20/01
CBA
Shandong
#8
L
79-84
79
84
-5
75avg 86
H23/01
CBA
Xinjiang
#16
L
59-78
59
78
-19
50avg 86
A25/01
CBA
Sichuan
#20
W
109-57
109
57
+52
114avg 86
A27/01
CBA
Ningbo Rockets
#11
L
62-75
62
75
-13
45avg 86
A29/01
CBA
Tianjin
#18
W
105-91
105
91
+14
110avg 86
H31/01
CBA
Jiangsu Dragons
#19
W
95-82 OT
95
82
+13
92avg 86
H03/02
CBA
Shenzhen
#3
W
96-88
96
88
+8
99avg 86
A11/03
CBA
Shanxi Zhongyu
#10
W
92-84
92
84
+8
90avg 86
H13/03
CBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-20
14-24
24-24
20-19
24-21
17-28
23-18
22-23
16-19
14-20
30-27
19-18
14-23
26-19
15-16
4-20
23-17
29-15
28-7
29-18
17-23
12-15
21-21
12-16
19-24
28-24
33-16
25-27
22-18
21-20
19-21
18-21
22-24
22-30
31-17
21-17
15-27
25-20
25-19
27-18
168.2Avg total
86.6Scored
81.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)83.682.8166.4+0.852%
Season at home (13)86.085.6171.6+0.462%
Season away (12)80.979.8160.7+1.242%
Last 10 (10)86.681.6168.2+5.050%
Last 5 (5)90.084.0174.0+6.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)82.498.3180.7-15.914%
vs Similar ◀ (14)83.886.5170.3-2.743%
vs Weaker (9)90.874.9165.7+15.989%
This opponent (Guangdong) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +1.7+1.7Q1: -1.9-1.9Q2Q2: +1.5+1.5Q2: -0.7-0.7Q3Q3: +1.1+1.1Q3: +6.3+6.3Q4Q4: +1.1+1.1Q4: +0.0+0.0
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +1.7+1.7Q1: -1.9-1.9Q2Q2: +1.5+1.5Q2: -0.7-0.7Q3Q3: +1.1+1.1Q3: +6.3+6.3Q4Q4: +1.1+1.1Q4: +0.0+0.0
GuangdongLiaoning
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
GuangdongLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Beijing Royal Fighters
#12
W
56-55
56
55
+1
H17/01
CBA
Sichuan
#20
W
52-39
52
39
+13
A19/01
CBA
Jilin
#15
W
62-53
62
53
+9
A21/01
CBA
Shanxi Zhongyu
#10
W
53-49
53
49
+4
H24/01
CBA
Tianjin
#18
W
47-44
47
44
+3
H26/01
CBA
Jilin
#15
W
52-34
52
34
+18
H28/01
CBA
Ningbo Rockets
#11
L
37-41
37
41
-4
A01/02
CBA
Shanghai
#1
L
30-51
30
51
-21
H03/02
CBA
Xinjiang
#16
W
54-48
54
48
+6
A11/03
CBA
Shenzhen
#3
W
55-52
55
52
+3
A13/03
CBA
96.4Avg total
49.8Scored
46.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)51.248.099.2+3.173%-
Last 30 at home (14)51.848.5100.3+3.379%-
Last 30 away (16)50.647.698.2+3.069%-
Last 10 (10)49.846.696.4+3.280%-
Last 5 (5)45.645.290.8+0.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)32.055.587.5-23.50%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)52.650.6103.2+2.069%-
vs Weaker (12)52.443.395.8+9.192%-
This opponent (Liaoning) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LiaoningLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Shenzhen
#3
L
39-44
39
44
-5
H18/01
CBA
Shanxi Zhongyu
#10
L
41-49
41
49
-8
A20/01
CBA
Shandong
#8
L
30-39
30
39
-9
H23/01
CBA
Xinjiang
#16
L
40-42
40
42
-2
A25/01
CBA
Sichuan
#20
W
52-32
52
32
+20
A27/01
CBA
Ningbo Rockets
#11
L
29-38
29
38
-9
A29/01
CBA
Tianjin
#18
L
47-48
47
48
-1
H31/01
CBA
Jiangsu Dragons
#19
W
43-38
43
38
+5
H03/02
CBA
Shenzhen
#3
L
44-54
44
54
-10
A11/03
CBA
Shanxi Zhongyu
#10
L
40-47
40
47
-7
H13/03
CBA
83.6Avg total
40.5Scored
43.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.043.986.9-0.947%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.444.689.0-0.253%-
Last 30 away (15)41.543.284.7-1.740%-
Last 10 (10)40.543.183.6-2.620%-
Last 5 (5)40.645.085.6-4.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)41.152.093.1-10.914%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)41.844.786.5-2.936%-
vs Weaker (9)46.236.382.6+9.989%-
This opponent (Guangdong) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Guangdongtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Guangdong: 95.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.2 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.4 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.2 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 88.4 points a game
50%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.323.6
55.8%
54.6%47.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.89.8
34.0%
35.0%29.4
🏀 Free throws24.119.2
79.7%
73.6%19.2
They take 71.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Liaoningtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Liaoning: 86.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.8 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.1 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 88.4 points a game
50%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.721.9
56.6%
54.6%43.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.49.1
31.0%
35.0%27.3
🏀 Free throws21.015.1
71.9%
73.6%15.1
They take 68.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 15 Mar 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Guangdong
WLLLWWWWWL
Liaoning
WWWWLWLLLL
#6
League position
#9
+5.4
Net rating
+5.6
102.3
Offensive rating
99.9
96.9
Defensive rating
94.3
53.9%
Effective FG%
52.2%
51.8%
Opp. effective FG%
54.6%
12.8%
Turnover %
14.3%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.31
34.0%
3-point %
31.0%
68.0%
Assist %
64.8%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence102.3 · 99.9Defence96.9 · 94.3Shooting53.9% · 52.2%3-point %34.0% · 31.0%Ball care12.8% · 14.3%Free throws0.34 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)60% · 50%
■ Guangdong   ■ Liaoning
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Guangdong wins
5
Liaoning wins
DateGameScore
11/01/26Liaoning v Guangdong78-108
05/03/25Guangdong v Liaoning127-83
30/12/24Liaoning v Guangdong95-89
11/05/24Liaoning v Guangdong116-95
08/05/24Guangdong v Liaoning90-107
06/05/24Guangdong v Liaoning98-82
03/05/24Liaoning v Guangdong94-110
01/05/24Liaoning v Guangdong119-97
15/03/24Guangdong v Liaoning119-94
21/01/24Guangdong v Liaoning97-104
Guangdonglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/03/26AShenzhen101-97
11/03/26AXinjiang80-82
03/02/26HShanghai84-94
01/02/26ANingbo Rockets81-94
28/01/26HJilin89-81
26/01/26HTianjin98-89
24/01/26HShanxi Zhongyu107-97
21/01/26AJilin119-98
19/01/26ASichuan104-76
17/01/26HBeijing Royal Fighters98-99
Liaoninglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/03/26HShanxi Zhongyu92-84
11/03/26AShenzhen96-88
03/02/26HJiangsu Dragons95-82 OT
31/01/26HTianjin105-91
29/01/26ANingbo Rockets62-75
27/01/26ASichuan109-57
25/01/26AXinjiang59-78
23/01/26HShandong79-84
20/01/26AShanxi Zhongyu86-90
18/01/26HShenzhen83-87

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Guangdong
CBA 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW72%
HomeLWWWL67%
AwayWWLLW77%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251213
Win %72%67%77%
Points / game94.794.494.9
Allowed / game90.694.287.4
Point differential+4.0+0.2+7.5
Avg total185.3188.6182.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+24%8%38%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (9)60% (5)75% (4)
Overtime %8%17%0%
Liaoning
CBA 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW52%
HomeLLWWW62%
AwayLLWLW42%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251312
Win %52%62%42%
Points / game83.686.080.9
Allowed / game82.885.679.8
Point differential+0.8+0.4+1.2
Avg total166.4171.6160.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+36%38%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won17% (6)33% (3)0% (3)
Overtime %4%8%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Shanghai2521484%96.880.6+16.2
2 Zhejiang Guangsha2520580%90.078.4+11.5
3 Guangdong2518772%94.790.6+4.0
4 Shandong2517868%93.587.7+5.8
5 Beijing2516964%89.682.0+7.6
6 Qingdao25151060%85.481.4+3.9
7 Zhejiang Chouzhou25141156%85.781.6+4.1
8 Shenzhen25141156%95.794.6+1.1
9 Shanxi Zhongyu25131252%89.586.7+2.8
10 Ningbo Rockets25131252%86.885.1+1.7
11 Liaoning25131252%83.682.8+0.8
12 Beijing Royal Fighters25121348%87.692.5-4.9
13 Guangzhou25111444%86.388.2-2.0
14 Xinjiang25101540%85.182.6+2.5
15 Jilin25101540%82.487.4-5.0
16 Tianjin2591636%92.894.7-2.0
17 Fujian2591636%89.393.5-4.2
18 Nanjing Tongxi2591636%90.395.5-5.2
19 Jiangsu Dragons2561924%81.290.6-9.4
20 Sichuan250250%69.999.1-29.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Guangdong1124172173
Liaoning2623231789
← all games of the day
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