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Shandong vs Guangzhou Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 31 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 11:35
Final 83-80
21-14 14-28 21-21 27-17
Position#8
Record14-6
FormWWWWL
Points / game93.8
Allowed / game87.0
vs
Position#13
Record10-10
FormWWWLL
Points / game86.8
Allowed / game88.4
ChinaCBA· Shandong Arena
Other2025-26
Meetings · Shandong v Guangzhou
18 Dec 2026
SHAN v GUAN
upcoming
31 Jan 2026
SHAN83
GUAN80
19 Mar 2025
SHAN98
GUAN77
22 Jan 2024
SHAN112
GUAN105
31 Dec 2023
SHAN103
GUAN83
09 Apr 2023
SHAN76
GUAN93
26 Dec 2022
SHAN112
GUAN109
14 Nov 2021
SHAN89
GUAN107
16 Apr 2021
SHAN119
GUAN107
22 Dec 2020
SHAN113
GUAN103
25 Oct 2020
SHAN94
GUAN96
10 Nov 2019
SHAN100
GUAN99
27 Jan 2019
SHAN111
GUAN91
17 Nov 2017
SHAN129
GUAN102
18 Jan 2017
SHAN122
GUAN100
25 Nov 2015
SHAN144
GUAN107
28 Nov 2014
SHAN98
GUAN118
10 Jan 2014
SHAN110
GUAN102
25 Nov 2012
SHAN97
GUAN85
30 Dec 2011
SHAN108
GUAN100
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Shandong winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Guangzhou winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ShandongChinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormShandong
Date
Competition
Beijing
#4
W
87-85
87
85
+2
78avg 91
A09/01
CBA
Nanjing Tongxi
#17
W
89-76
89
76
+13
86avg 91
H11/01
CBA
Jilin
#15
W
108-85
108
85
+23
112avg 91
H13/01
CBA
Ningbo Rockets
#11
W
109-82
109
82
+27
112avg 91
H15/01
CBA
Jiangsu Dragons
#19
L
101-106 OT
101
106
-5
no box
A17/01
CBA
Jilin
#15
W
77-68
77
68
+9
65avg 91
A19/01
CBA
Liaoning
#9
W
84-79
84
79
+5
78avg 91
A23/01
CBA
Zhejiang Guangsha
#2
W
93-87
93
87
+6
96avg 91
H25/01
CBA
Ningbo Rockets
#11
W
99-75
99
75
+24
91avg 91
H27/01
CBA
Zhejiang Guangsha
#2
L
77-86
77
86
-9
68avg 91
A29/01
CBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-14
25-23
23-29
22-19
17-14
33-22
19-14
20-26
31-15
27-28
24-14
26-28
31-23
25-20
29-27
24-12
24-26
23-26
27-14
16-24
15-16
15-21
28-12
19-19
19-16
20-14
27-30
18-19
26-18
30-14
18-28
19-27
14-26
33-15
20-16
32-18
25-18
10-28
16-18
26-22
175.3Avg total
92.4Scored
82.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)93.887.0180.7+6.870%
Season at home (10)97.083.8180.8+13.290%
Season away (10)90.590.1180.6+0.450%
Last 10 (10)92.482.9175.3+9.580%
Last 5 (5)86.079.0165.0+7.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)85.786.0171.7-0.367%
vs Similar ◀ (12)96.292.3188.6+3.942%
vs Weaker (15)99.588.2187.7+11.387%
This opponent (Guangzhou) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GuangzhouChinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGuangzhou
Date
Competition
Zhejiang Chouzhou
#5
L
60-95
60
95
-35
51avg 81
H08/01
CBA
Sichuan
#20
W
106-76
106
76
+30
109avg 81
H10/01
CBA
Tianjin
#18
L
93-98
93
98
-5
94avg 81
H12/01
CBA
Zhejiang Chouzhou
#5
L
74-89
74
89
-15
70avg 81
A14/01
CBA
Zhejiang Guangsha
#2
L
82-109
82
109
-27
70avg 81
A17/01
CBA
Beijing Royal Fighters
#12
W
104-75
104
75
+29
96avg 81
H19/01
CBA
Nanjing Tongxi
#17
W
112-102 OT
112
102
+10
no box
H23/01
CBA
Qingdao
#7
W
80-78
80
78
+2
76avg 81
A25/01
CBA
Shanghai
#1
L
78-95
78
95
-17
61avg 81
A27/01
CBA
Fujian
#14
L
85-92
85
92
-7
81avg 81
H29/01
CBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-28
19-18
18-27
10-22
25-13
37-24
22-18
22-21
20-22
25-22
22-26
26-28
15-23
21-21
26-26
12-19
19-22
21-35
24-30
18-22
30-28
26-15
29-19
19-13
21-16
31-24
24-26
18-28
19-16
20-23
22-24
19-15
27-13
18-34
24-25
9-23
12-30
29-22
22-21
22-19
178.3Avg total
87.4Scored
90.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)86.888.4175.2-1.750%
Season at home (9)90.186.8176.9+3.356%
Season away (11)84.089.7173.7-5.745%
Last 10 (10)87.490.9178.3-3.540%
Last 5 (5)91.888.4180.2+3.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)82.2100.8183.0-18.69%
vs Similar ◀ (14)93.991.0184.9+2.964%
vs Weaker (5)95.880.8176.6+15.0100%
This opponent (Shandong) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +3.3+3.3Q1: -1.0-1.0Q2Q2: +3.0+3.0Q2: +0.9+0.9Q3Q3: +2.9+2.9Q3: -0.9-0.9Q4Q4: +0.8+0.8Q4: -3.5-3.5
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +3.3+3.3Q1: -1.0-1.0Q2Q2: +3.0+3.0Q2: +0.9+0.9Q3Q3: +2.9+2.9Q3: -0.9-0.9Q4Q4: +0.8+0.8Q4: -3.5-3.5
ShandongGuangzhou
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ShandongLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Beijing
#4
W
42-37
42
37
+5
A09/01
CBA
Nanjing Tongxi
#17
W
50-36
50
36
+14
H11/01
CBA
Jilin
#15
W
58-43
58
43
+15
H13/01
CBA
Ningbo Rockets
#11
W
56-43
56
43
+13
H15/01
CBA
Jiangsu Dragons
#19
L
47-52
47
52
-5
A17/01
CBA
Jilin
#15
L
30-37
30
37
-7
A19/01
CBA
Liaoning
#9
W
39-30
39
30
+9
A23/01
CBA
Zhejiang Guangsha
#2
W
56-32
56
32
+24
H25/01
CBA
Ningbo Rockets
#11
W
47-41
47
41
+6
H27/01
CBA
Zhejiang Guangsha
#2
L
35-46
35
46
-11
A29/01
CBA
85.7Avg total
46.0Scored
39.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)49.044.793.7+4.367%-
Last 30 at home (15)52.842.495.2+10.487%-
Last 30 away (15)45.347.092.3-1.747%-
Last 10 (10)46.039.785.7+6.370%-
Last 5 (5)41.437.278.6+4.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)44.338.382.7+6.067%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)49.047.496.4+1.667%-
vs Weaker (15)50.043.893.8+6.267%-
This opponent (Guangzhou) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GuangzhouLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Zhejiang Chouzhou
#5
L
32-46
32
46
-14
H08/01
CBA
Sichuan
#20
W
62-37
62
37
+25
H10/01
CBA
Tianjin
#18
W
45-44
45
44
+1
H12/01
CBA
Zhejiang Chouzhou
#5
L
36-44
36
44
-8
A14/01
CBA
Zhejiang Guangsha
#2
L
40-57
40
57
-17
A17/01
CBA
Beijing Royal Fighters
#12
W
56-43
56
43
+13
H19/01
CBA
Nanjing Tongxi
#17
W
52-40
52
40
+12
H23/01
CBA
Qingdao
#7
D
39-39
39
39
+0
A25/01
CBA
Shanghai
#1
L
45-47
45
47
-2
A27/01
CBA
Fujian
#14
L
41-52
41
52
-11
H29/01
CBA
89.7Avg total
44.8Scored
44.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.247.892.9-2.640%-
Last 30 at home (15)47.848.095.8-0.253%-
Last 30 away (15)42.547.590.1-5.027%-
Last 10 (10)44.844.989.7-0.140%-
Last 5 (5)46.644.290.8+2.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)42.453.295.5-10.80%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)46.546.092.5+0.564%-
vs Weaker (5)47.640.888.4+6.860%-
This opponent (Shandong) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Shandongtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Shandong: 93.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.8 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.4 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.8 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 88.4 points a game
50%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.323.4
54.0%
54.6%46.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.89.8
36.6%
35.0%29.4
🏀 Free throws21.216.8
79.2%
73.6%16.8
They take 70.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Guangzhoutheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Guangzhou: 84.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.2 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.7 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.2 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 88.4 points a game
50%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.221.1
48.8%
54.6%42.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.58.9
37.9%
35.0%26.7
🏀 Free throws19.615.2
77.6%
73.6%15.2
They take 66.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 31 Jan 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Shandong
LWWWWLWWWW
Guangzhou
LLWWWLLLWL
#8
League position
#13
+12.3
Net rating
-4.8
101.3
Offensive rating
95.7
89.0
Defensive rating
100.5
54.4%
Effective FG%
51.6%
48.1%
Opp. effective FG%
52.2%
13.7%
Turnover %
13.8%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.29
36.6%
3-point %
37.9%
68.1%
Assist %
55.3%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence101.3 · 95.7Defence89.0 · 100.5Shooting54.4% · 51.6%3-point %36.6% · 37.9%Ball care13.7% · 13.8%Free throws0.30 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)80% · 40%
■ Shandong   ■ Guangzhou
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Shandong wins
4
Guangzhou wins
DateGameScore
19/03/25Shandong v Guangzhou98-77
13/01/25Guangzhou v Shandong89-121
22/01/24Shandong v Guangzhou112-105
31/12/23Shandong v Guangzhou103-83
23/10/23Guangzhou v Shandong114-81
11/04/23Guangzhou v Shandong89-80
09/04/23Shandong v Guangzhou76-93
26/12/22Shandong v Guangzhou112-109
12/12/22Guangzhou v Shandong81-86
22/01/22Guangzhou v Shandong116-106
Shandonglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/01/26AZhejiang Guangsha77-86
27/01/26HNingbo Rockets99-75
25/01/26HZhejiang Guangsha93-87
23/01/26ALiaoning84-79
19/01/26AJilin77-68
17/01/26AJiangsu Dragons101-106 OT
15/01/26HNingbo Rockets109-82
13/01/26HJilin108-85
11/01/26HNanjing Tongxi89-76
09/01/26ABeijing87-85
Guangzhoulast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/01/26HFujian85-92
27/01/26AShanghai78-95
25/01/26AQingdao80-78
23/01/26HNanjing Tongxi112-102 OT
19/01/26HBeijing Royal Fighters104-75
17/01/26AZhejiang Guangsha82-109
14/01/26AZhejiang Chouzhou74-89
12/01/26HTianjin93-98
10/01/26HSichuan106-76
08/01/26HZhejiang Chouzhou60-95

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Shandong
CBA 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL70%
HomeWWWWW90%
AwayWLWWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games201010
Win %70%90%50%
Points / game93.897.090.5
Allowed / game87.083.890.1
Point differential+6.8+13.2+0.4
Avg total180.7180.8180.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%70%10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)0% (1)50% (4)
Overtime %10%0%20%
Guangzhou
CBA 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL50%
HomeWLWWL56%
AwayWLLWL45%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games20911
Win %50%56%45%
Points / game86.890.184.0
Allowed / game88.486.889.7
Point differential-1.6+3.3-5.7
Avg total175.2176.9173.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%44%9%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (6)50% (2)75% (4)
Overtime %10%11%9%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zhejiang Guangsha2118386%91.078.9+12.1
2 Shanghai2117481%94.180.0+14.1
3 Guangdong2117481%96.290.4+5.8
4 Shandong2014670%93.887.0+6.8
5 Beijing2113862%89.683.1+6.5
6 Shenzhen2113862%95.093.8+1.1
7 Zhejiang Chouzhou2112957%87.682.1+5.5
8 Qingdao2112957%84.180.9+3.2
9 Guangzhou20101050%86.888.4-1.6
10 Ningbo Rockets21101148%87.586.3+1.2
11 Shanxi Zhongyu21101148%89.588.9+0.6
12 Beijing Royal Fighters21101148%86.792.3-5.6
13 Liaoning2191243%81.082.1-1.1
14 Xinjiang2181338%85.785.1+0.6
15 Fujian2181338%90.693.6-3.0
16 Jilin2181338%83.187.7-4.6
17 Tianjin2171433%91.893.6-1.9
18 Nanjing Tongxi2171433%89.493.0-3.6
19 Jiangsu Dragons2161529%80.489.2-8.9
20 Sichuan210210%71.798.6-26.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Shandong2114212783
Guangzhou1428211780
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