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Guangzhou vs Shandong Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 13 Jan 2025
Tip-off: 11:35
Final 89-121
29-25 27-34 19-32 14-30
Position#16
Record7-22
FormLLLWL
Points / game97.7
Allowed / game106.7
vs
Position#6
Record20-9
FormWLWWL
Points / game105.8
Allowed / game100.8
ChinaCBARound 30· Tianhe Gymnasium
Other2024-25
Meetings · Guangzhou v Shandong
20 Jan 2027
GUAN v SHAN
upcoming
05 Mar 2026
GUAN93
SHAN85
13 Jan 2025
GUAN89
SHAN121
23 Oct 2023
GUAN114
SHAN81
11 Apr 2023
GUAN89
SHAN80
12 Dec 2022
GUAN81
SHAN86
22 Jan 2022
GUAN116
SHAN106
31 Dec 2020
GUAN115
SHAN117
11 Dec 2020
GUAN94
SHAN111
14 Jan 2020
GUAN95
SHAN98
18 Nov 2018
GUAN94
SHAN80
18 Jan 2018
GUAN126
SHAN123
25 Nov 2016
GUAN81
SHAN83
25 Dec 2015
GUAN114
SHAN124
11 Jan 2015
GUAN118
SHAN112
24 Nov 2013
GUAN80
SHAN88
04 Jan 2013
GUAN87
SHAN106
19 Nov 2011
GUAN79
SHAN93
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Guangzhou winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Shandong winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

GuangzhouChinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGuangzhou
Date
Competition
Nanjing Tongxi
#12
L
109-112
109
112
-3
95avg 91
A21/12
CBA
Zhejiang Chouzhou
#9
L
103-120
103
120
-17
96avg 91
A23/12
CBA
Liaoning
#4
L
97-98
97
98
-1
87avg 91
H26/12
CBA
Sichuan
#19
L
98-99
98
99
-1
93avg 91
A28/12
CBA
Ningbo Rockets
#17
L
85-92
85
92
-7
86avg 91
A30/12
CBA
Zhejiang Guangsha
#1
L
75-114
75
114
-39
63avg 91
A01/01
CBA
Jiangsu Dragons
#20
L
90-96 OT
90
96
-6
76avg 91
H03/01
CBA
Qingdao
#7
L
90-103
90
103
-13
72avg 91
H05/01
CBA
Jiangsu Dragons
#20
W
100-91
100
91
+9
95avg 91
A07/01
CBA
Shanghai
#10
L
81-112
81
112
-31
69avg 91
A10/01
CBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-38
26-30
27-29
35-15
16-28
35-32
20-36
32-24
20-25
25-22
27-24
25-27
21-28
24-19
24-26
29-26
16-26
20-24
20-19
29-23
26-25
14-34
26-25
9-30
14-24
32-20
17-24
21-16
26-26
21-27
23-26
20-24
24-28
33-24
24-27
19-12
21-22
28-23
16-31
16-36
196.5Avg total
92.8Scored
103.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)97.7106.7204.3-9.024%
Season at home (14)99.7108.8208.5-9.121%
Season away (15)95.8104.7200.5-8.927%
Last 10 (10)92.8103.7196.5-10.910%
Last 5 (5)87.2103.2190.4-16.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)94.6109.0203.6-14.46%
vs Similar (12)100.195.8195.8+4.358%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Shandong) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ShandongChinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormShandong
Date
Competition
Xinjiang
#5
L
123-126
123
126
-3
110avg 99
A20/12
CBA
Qingdao
#7
W
92-83
92
83
+9
93avg 99
H23/12
CBA
Beijing
#3
W
113-107
113
107
+6
110avg 99
H25/12
CBA
Tianjin
#15
W
121-102
121
102
+19
115avg 99
H27/12
CBA
Sichuan
#19
W
111-80
111
80
+31
108avg 99
H30/12
CBA
Xinjiang
#5
W
111-107
111
107
+4
100avg 99
A01/01
CBA
Guangdong
#8
L
93-98
93
98
-5
77avg 99
A04/01
CBA
Nanjing Tongxi
#12
W
129-116
129
116
+13
128avg 99
H06/01
CBA
Jilin
#14
W
117-84
117
84
+33
109avg 99
H09/01
CBA
Shenzhen
#13
L
99-115
99
115
-16
90avg 99
A11/01
CBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
31-33
41-37
22-29
29-27
18-21
22-20
25-20
27-22
22-17
22-30
34-26
35-34
33-21
32-17
31-36
25-28
23-27
34-15
24-10
30-28
32-28
23-26
23-23
33-30
26-27
30-24
23-28
14-19
40-27
28-31
26-26
35-32
29-18
30-24
34-24
24-18
26-29
36-28
17-33
20-25
212.7Avg total
110.9Scored
101.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)105.8100.8206.6+4.969%
Season at home (16)109.1100.3209.4+8.881%
Season away (13)101.6101.5203.1+0.254%
Last 10 (10)110.9101.8212.7+9.170%
Last 5 (5)109.8104.0213.8+5.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (15)98.397.9196.2+0.560%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)108.795.2203.9+13.587%
This opponent (Guangzhou) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -6.5-6.5Q1: +3.2+3.2Q2Q2: +0.3+0.3Q2: +4.6+4.6Q3Q3: -4.3-4.3Q3: +0.4+0.4Q4Q4: +0.2+0.2Q4: +0.9+0.9
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -6.5-6.5Q1: +3.2+3.2Q2Q2: +0.3+0.3Q2: +4.6+4.6Q3Q3: -4.3-4.3Q3: +0.4+0.4Q4Q4: +0.2+0.2Q4: +0.9+0.9
GuangzhouShandong
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
GuangzhouLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nanjing Tongxi
#12
L
47-68
47
68
-21
A21/12
CBA
Zhejiang Chouzhou
#9
L
51-60
51
60
-9
A23/12
CBA
Liaoning
#4
L
45-47
45
47
-2
H26/12
CBA
Sichuan
#19
L
45-47
45
47
-2
A28/12
CBA
Ningbo Rockets
#17
L
36-50
36
50
-14
A30/12
CBA
Zhejiang Guangsha
#1
L
40-59
40
59
-19
A01/01
CBA
Jiangsu Dragons
#20
W
46-44
46
44
+2
H03/01
CBA
Qingdao
#7
L
47-53
47
53
-6
H05/01
CBA
Jiangsu Dragons
#20
W
57-52
57
52
+5
A07/01
CBA
Shanghai
#10
W
49-45
49
45
+4
A10/01
CBA
98.8Avg total
46.3Scored
52.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)49.652.0101.6-2.543%-
Last 30 at home (14)50.452.4102.9-2.043%-
Last 30 away (16)48.851.7100.5-2.944%-
Last 10 (10)46.352.598.8-6.230%-
Last 5 (5)47.850.698.4-2.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)49.454.3103.7-4.933%-
vs Similar (12)49.848.798.5+1.258%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Shandong) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ShandongLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Xinjiang
#5
W
72-70
72
70
+2
A20/12
CBA
Qingdao
#7
L
40-41
40
41
-1
H23/12
CBA
Beijing
#3
L
44-47
44
47
-3
H25/12
CBA
Tianjin
#15
W
65-38
65
38
+27
H27/12
CBA
Sichuan
#19
W
57-42
57
42
+15
H30/12
CBA
Xinjiang
#5
W
55-54
55
54
+1
A01/01
CBA
Guangdong
#8
W
56-51
56
51
+5
A04/01
CBA
Nanjing Tongxi
#12
W
68-58
68
58
+10
H06/01
CBA
Jilin
#14
W
59-42
59
42
+17
H09/01
CBA
Shenzhen
#13
W
62-57
62
57
+5
A11/01
CBA
107.8Avg total
57.8Scored
50.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)53.748.9102.7+4.867%-
Last 30 at home (15)54.650.3104.9+4.360%-
Last 30 away (15)52.947.6100.5+5.373%-
Last 10 (10)57.850.0107.8+7.880%-
Last 5 (5)60.052.4112.4+7.6100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (15)50.151.4101.5-1.353%-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)57.346.5103.8+10.980%-
This opponent (Guangzhou) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Guangzhoutheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Guangzhou: 91.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.4 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.1 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 103.8 points a game
51%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.024.2
49.4%
52.6%48.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.68.7
32.7%
35.1%26.1
🏀 Free throws22.417.1
76.3%
76.3%17.1
They take 75.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Shandongtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Shandong: 110.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers52.0 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers38.7 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.4 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 103.8 points a game
51%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.226.0
53.9%
52.6%52.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.512.9
37.4%
35.1%38.7
🏀 Free throws24.019.4
80.8%
76.3%19.4
They take 82.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 34.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 13 Jan 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Guangzhou
LWLLLLLLLL
Shandong
LWWLWWWWWL
#16
League position
#6
-12.6
Net rating
+9.6
99.7
Offensive rating
115.8
112.3
Defensive rating
106.2
49.3%
Effective FG%
54.8%
52.0%
Opp. effective FG%
53.2%
22.0%
Turnover %
16.5%
31.8%
Off. rebound %
31.0%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.29
32.7%
3-point %
37.4%
59.0%
Assist %
74.8%
10%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence99.7 · 115.8Defence112.3 · 106.2Shooting49.3% · 54.8%3-point %32.7% · 37.4%Ball care22.0% · 16.5%Off. rebounds31.8% · 31.0%Free throws0.30 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)10% · 70%
■ Guangzhou   ■ Shandong
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Guangzhou wins
5
Shandong wins
DateGameScore
22/01/24Shandong v Guangzhou112-105
31/12/23Shandong v Guangzhou103-83
23/10/23Guangzhou v Shandong114-81
11/04/23Guangzhou v Shandong89-80
09/04/23Shandong v Guangzhou76-93
26/12/22Shandong v Guangzhou112-109
12/12/22Guangzhou v Shandong81-86
22/01/22Guangzhou v Shandong116-106
14/11/21Shandong v Guangzhou89-107
16/04/21Shandong v Guangzhou119-107
Guangzhoulast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/01/25AShanghai81-112
07/01/25AJiangsu Dragons100-91
05/01/25HQingdao90-103
03/01/25HJiangsu Dragons90-96 OT
01/01/25AZhejiang Guangsha75-114
30/12/24ANingbo Rockets85-92
28/12/24ASichuan98-99
26/12/24HLiaoning97-98
23/12/24AZhejiang Chouzhou103-120
21/12/24ANanjing Tongxi109-112
Shandonglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/01/25AShenzhen99-115
09/01/25HJilin117-84
06/01/25HNanjing Tongxi129-116
04/01/25AGuangdong93-98
01/01/25AXinjiang111-107
30/12/24HSichuan111-80
27/12/24HTianjin121-102
25/12/24HBeijing113-107
23/12/24HQingdao92-83
20/12/24AXinjiang123-126

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Guangzhou
CBA 2024-25
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL24%
HomeLLLLL21%
AwayLLLWL27%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291415
Win %24%21%27%
Points / game97.799.795.8
Allowed / game106.7108.8104.7
Point differential-9.0-9.1-8.9
Avg total204.3208.5200.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%21%13%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (4)0% (1)0% (3)
Overtime %7%14%0%
Shandong
CBA 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL69%
HomeWWWWW81%
AwayLLWLL54%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291613
Win %69%81%54%
Points / game105.8109.1101.6
Allowed / game100.8100.3101.5
Point differential+4.9+8.8+0.2
Avg total206.6209.4203.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+34%50%15%
Close games (≤5 pts) won71% (7)100% (1)67% (6)
Overtime %3%6%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zhejiang Guangsha2925486%103.891.6+12.2
2 Shanxi Zhongyu2821775%114.2108.2+6.0
3 Zhejiang Chouzhou2920969%113.3105.1+8.2
4 Xinjiang2920969%111.0103.2+7.8
5 Shandong2920969%105.8100.8+4.9
6 Beijing2819968%101.095.6+5.4
7 Liaoning30201067%105.097.5+7.6
8 Qingdao30201067%104.3100.4+3.9
9 Guangdong30191163%104.699.3+5.3
10 Shanghai27171063%112.1104.3+7.7
11 Beijing Royal Fighters29151452%105.0101.3+3.7
12 Nanjing Tongxi30151550%106.7108.1-1.5
13 Jilin29101934%101.8110.0-8.3
14 Shenzhen2992031%103.9107.5-3.6
15 Sichuan2982128%101.8109.9-8.2
16 Tianjin2982128%100.7109.9-9.3
17 Ningbo Rockets2982128%102.0113.2-11.2
18 Guangzhou2972224%97.7106.7-9.0
19 Jiangsu Dragons3052517%94.5103.7-9.1
20 Fujian2842414%103.2115.5-12.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Guangzhou2927191489
Shandong25343230121
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