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Shandong vs Guangzhou Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 31 Dec 2023
Tip-off: 11:35
Final 103-83
20-27 31-19 24-17 28-20
Position#15
Record8-15
FormLWLLL
Points / game101.2
Allowed / game103.3
Shandong 🏆
China
vs
Guangzhou
China
Position#9
Record11-12
FormLLWLL
Points / game100.4
Allowed / game98.9
ChinaCBARound 24· Shandong Arena
Other2023-24
Meetings · Shandong v Guangzhou
18 Dec 2026
SHAN v GUAN
upcoming
31 Jan 2026
SHAN83
GUAN80
19 Mar 2025
SHAN98
GUAN77
22 Jan 2024
SHAN112
GUAN105
31 Dec 2023
SHAN103
GUAN83
09 Apr 2023
SHAN76
GUAN93
26 Dec 2022
SHAN112
GUAN109
14 Nov 2021
SHAN89
GUAN107
16 Apr 2021
SHAN119
GUAN107
22 Dec 2020
SHAN113
GUAN103
25 Oct 2020
SHAN94
GUAN96
10 Nov 2019
SHAN100
GUAN99
27 Jan 2019
SHAN111
GUAN91
17 Nov 2017
SHAN129
GUAN102
18 Jan 2017
SHAN122
GUAN100
25 Nov 2015
SHAN144
GUAN107
28 Nov 2014
SHAN98
GUAN118
10 Jan 2014
SHAN110
GUAN102
25 Nov 2012
SHAN97
GUAN85
30 Dec 2011
SHAN108
GUAN100
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Shandong winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Guangzhou winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ShandongChinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormShandong
Date
Competition
Fujian
#17
W
130-117
130
117
+13
132avg 90
H09/12
CBA
Qingdao
#7
L
100-115
100
115
-15
86avg 90
A11/12
CBA
Ningbo Rockets
#19
W
113-95
113
95
+18
99avg 90
A13/12
CBA
Shenzhen
#8
L
96-110
96
110
-14
85avg 90
A16/12
CBA
Zhejiang Chouzhou
#2
L
100-101
100
101
-1
97avg 90
H18/12
CBA
Qingdao
#7
L
94-104
94
104
-10
83avg 90
H20/12
CBA
Beijing
#11
W
110-107 OT
110
107
+3
no box
A22/12
CBA
Xinjiang
#3
L
89-99
89
99
-10
80avg 90
A24/12
CBA
Beijing Royal Fighters
#10
L
104-108 OT
104
108
-4
no box
A27/12
CBA
Shanghai
#6
L
100-106
100
106
-6
88avg 90
H29/12
CBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
40-18
39-23
20-40
31-36
19-33
31-25
24-33
26-24
27-23
37-18
31-20
18-34
19-27
17-33
27-27
33-23
30-20
24-31
28-18
18-32
22-26
31-40
15-27
26-11
25-25
24-32
28-23
24-21
10-27
30-21
26-27
23-24
22-20
28-22
23-30
25-26
32-19
18-32
27-23
23-32
209.8Avg total
103.6Scored
106.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)101.2103.3204.6-2.135%
Season at home (12)106.0101.3207.3+4.750%
Season away (11)96.0105.5201.5-9.518%
Last 10 (10)103.6106.2209.8-2.630%
Last 5 (5)99.4104.8204.2-5.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)95.7100.7196.3-5.022%
vs Similar (14)98.4103.4201.8-5.129%
vs Weaker (7)108.1102.4210.6+5.757%
This opponent (Guangzhou) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GuangzhouChinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGuangzhou
Date
Competition
Shanghai
#6
L
98-100
98
100
-2
87avg 95
H08/12
CBA
Shanxi Zhongyu
#12
W
105-94
105
94
+11
100avg 95
A11/12
CBA
Shanghai
#6
L
99-106
99
106
-7
78avg 95
A13/12
CBA
Tianjin
#14
L
93-106
93
106
-13
87avg 95
H15/12
CBA
Nanjing Tongxi
#13
W
115-112
115
112
+3
106avg 95
A17/12
CBA
Beijing
#11
L
91-95
91
95
-4
83avg 95
A19/12
CBA
Xinjiang
#3
L
98-110
98
110
-12
94avg 95
A22/12
CBA
Jilin
#16
W
129-122
129
122
+7
129avg 95
H24/12
CBA
Liaoning
#1
L
76-93
76
93
-17
67avg 95
H26/12
CBA
Qingdao
#7
L
85-92
85
92
-7
73avg 95
A29/12
CBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
32-31
20-25
24-22
22-22
26-21
34-30
24-17
21-26
22-25
25-24
19-24
33-33
17-30
26-29
25-32
25-15
25-32
25-25
30-27
35-28
22-27
29-24
13-24
27-20
24-30
23-29
31-23
20-28
28-31
35-31
36-22
30-38
24-20
21-33
16-17
15-23
23-30
22-13
20-25
20-24
201.9Avg total
98.9Scored
103.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)100.498.9199.3+1.548%
Season at home (12)102.498.2200.7+4.250%
Season away (11)98.299.6197.8-1.545%
Last 10 (10)98.9103.0201.9-4.130%
Last 5 (5)95.8102.4198.2-6.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)93.098.3191.3-5.329%
vs Similar (13)95.998.4194.3-2.531%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)106.294.8201.0+11.490%
This opponent (Shandong) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.8+0.8Q1: -3.4-3.4Q2Q2: +0.2+0.2Q2: -0.3-0.3Q3Q3: -1.9-1.9Q3: +0.5+0.5Q4Q4: -1.6-1.6Q4: -0.9-0.9
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.8+0.8Q1: -3.4-3.4Q2Q2: +0.2+0.2Q2: -0.3-0.3Q3Q3: -1.9-1.9Q3: +0.5+0.5Q4Q4: -1.6-1.6Q4: -0.9-0.9
ShandongGuangzhou
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ShandongLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Fujian
#17
W
79-41
79
41
+38
H09/12
CBA
Qingdao
#7
L
50-58
50
58
-8
A11/12
CBA
Ningbo Rockets
#19
W
64-41
64
41
+23
A13/12
CBA
Shenzhen
#8
L
36-60
36
60
-24
A16/12
CBA
Zhejiang Chouzhou
#2
W
54-51
54
51
+3
H18/12
CBA
Qingdao
#7
L
53-66
53
66
-13
H20/12
CBA
Beijing
#11
L
49-57
49
57
-8
A22/12
CBA
Xinjiang
#3
L
40-48
40
48
-8
A24/12
CBA
Beijing Royal Fighters
#10
W
50-42
50
42
+8
A27/12
CBA
Shanghai
#6
L
50-51
50
51
-1
H29/12
CBA
104.0Avg total
52.5Scored
51.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)51.552.7104.2-1.253%-
Last 30 at home (15)56.751.2107.9+5.573%-
Last 30 away (15)46.254.2100.4-8.033%-
Last 10 (10)52.551.5104.0+1.040%-
Last 5 (5)48.452.8101.2-4.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)46.353.7100.0-7.344%-
vs Similar (14)51.251.1102.3+0.150%-
vs Weaker (7)58.654.7113.3+3.971%-
This opponent (Guangzhou) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GuangzhouLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Shanghai
#6
L
52-56
52
56
-4
H08/12
CBA
Shanxi Zhongyu
#12
W
60-51
60
51
+9
A11/12
CBA
Shanghai
#6
L
47-49
47
49
-2
A13/12
CBA
Tianjin
#14
L
43-59
43
59
-16
H15/12
CBA
Nanjing Tongxi
#13
L
50-57
50
57
-7
A17/12
CBA
Beijing
#11
D
51-51
51
51
+0
A19/12
CBA
Xinjiang
#3
L
47-59
47
59
-12
A22/12
CBA
Jilin
#16
W
63-62
63
62
+1
H24/12
CBA
Liaoning
#1
L
45-53
45
53
-8
H26/12
CBA
Qingdao
#7
W
45-43
45
43
+2
A29/12
CBA
104.3Avg total
50.3Scored
54.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)50.749.3100.0+1.447%-
Last 30 at home (16)52.547.9100.4+4.656%-
Last 30 away (14)48.650.899.4-2.136%-
Last 10 (10)50.354.0104.3-3.730%-
Last 5 (5)50.253.6103.8-3.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)47.949.797.6-1.929%-
vs Similar (13)51.848.9100.8+2.954%-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)51.249.4100.6+1.850%-
This opponent (Shandong) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Shandongtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Shandong: 103.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers51.6 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.2 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws20.8 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 100.7 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.825.8
50.8%
52.7%51.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.510.4
32.0%
34.6%31.2
🏀 Free throws26.320.8
79.1%
76.0%20.8
They take 83.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Guangzhoutheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Guangzhou: 96.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers52.6 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.8 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 100.7 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.926.3
51.7%
52.7%52.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.49.0
34.1%
34.6%27.0
🏀 Free throws20.416.8
82.4%
76.0%16.8
They take 77.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 31 Dec 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Shandong
LLLWLLLWLW
Guangzhou
LLWLLWLLWL
#15
League position
#9
-0.4
Net rating
-6.0
107.6
Offensive rating
109.4
108.0
Defensive rating
115.4
49.7%
Effective FG%
51.5%
52.7%
Opp. effective FG%
54.0%
14.9%
Turnover %
14.6%
30.4%
Off. rebound %
31.8%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.26
32.0%
3-point %
34.1%
68.5%
Assist %
51.3%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence107.6 · 109.4Defence108.0 · 115.4Shooting49.7% · 51.5%3-point %32.0% · 34.1%Ball care14.9% · 14.6%Off. rebounds30.4% · 31.8%Free throws0.32 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)30% · 30%
■ Shandong   ■ Guangzhou
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Shandong wins
5
Guangzhou wins
DateGameScore
23/10/23Guangzhou v Shandong114-81
11/04/23Guangzhou v Shandong89-80
09/04/23Shandong v Guangzhou76-93
26/12/22Shandong v Guangzhou112-109
12/12/22Guangzhou v Shandong81-86
22/01/22Guangzhou v Shandong116-106
14/11/21Shandong v Guangzhou89-107
16/04/21Shandong v Guangzhou119-107
31/12/20Guangzhou v Shandong115-117
22/12/20Shandong v Guangzhou113-103
Shandonglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/12/23HShanghai100-106
27/12/23ABeijing Royal Fighters104-108 OT
24/12/23AXinjiang89-99
22/12/23ABeijing110-107 OT
20/12/23HQingdao94-104
18/12/23HZhejiang Chouzhou100-101
16/12/23AShenzhen96-110
13/12/23ANingbo Rockets113-95
11/12/23AQingdao100-115
09/12/23HFujian130-117
Guangzhoulast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/12/23AQingdao85-92
26/12/23HLiaoning76-93
24/12/23HJilin129-122
22/12/23AXinjiang98-110
19/12/23ABeijing91-95
17/12/23ANanjing Tongxi115-112
15/12/23HTianjin93-106
13/12/23AShanghai99-106
11/12/23AShanxi Zhongyu105-94
08/12/23HShanghai98-100

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Shandong
CBA 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL35%
HomeWWLLL50%
AwayWLWLL18%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231211
Win %35%50%18%
Points / game101.2106.096.0
Allowed / game103.3101.3105.5
Point differential-2.1+4.7-9.5
Avg total204.6207.3201.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%33%9%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (9)33% (6)33% (3)
Overtime %9%0%18%
Guangzhou
CBA 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL48%
HomeWLLWL50%
AwayLWLLL45%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231211
Win %48%50%45%
Points / game100.4102.498.2
Allowed / game98.998.299.6
Point differential+1.5+4.2-1.5
Avg total199.3200.7197.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+26%33%18%
Close games (≤5 pts) won43% (7)0% (2)60% (5)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Liaoning2220291%102.790.2+12.5
2 Xinjiang2320387%104.394.8+9.6
3 Zhejiang Chouzhou2319483%108.996.2+12.7
4 Guangdong2318578%109.6103.3+6.3
5 Zhejiang Guangsha2316770%104.296.8+7.3
6 Shenzhen2315865%104.9101.0+3.9
7 Qingdao2314961%100.798.4+2.3
8 Beijing Royal Fighters23121152%104.9103.6+1.3
9 Shanghai23121152%104.8104.5+0.3
10 Beijing23121152%101.5101.7-0.2
11 Shanxi Zhongyu22111150%109.6112.0-2.4
12 Guangzhou23111248%100.498.9+1.5
13 Tianjin23101343%101.6106.9-5.3
14 Shandong2381535%101.2103.3-2.1
15 Nanjing Tongxi2381535%100.7104.3-3.6
16 Fujian2371630%103.7109.7-6.0
17 Jilin2361726%101.8107.0-5.3
18 Ningbo Rockets2351822%94.6103.2-8.6
19 Jiangsu Dragons2131814%93.8103.2-9.5
20 Sichuan231224%99.4114.4-15.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Shandong20312428103
Guangzhou2719172083
← all games of the day
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