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Qingdao vs Guangzhou Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 29 Dec 2023
Tip-off: 11:35
Final 92-85
30-23 13-22 25-20 24-20
Position#7
Record13-9
FormWWLWW
Points / game101.0
Allowed / game99.0
Qingdao 🏆
China
vs
Guangzhou
China
Position#9
Record11-11
FormWLLWL
Points / game101.1
Allowed / game99.2
ChinaCBARound 23· Conson Stadium
Other2023-24
Meetings · Qingdao v Guangzhou
05 Dec 2026
QING v GUAN
upcoming
03 Feb 2026
QING88
GUAN81
25 Jan 2026
QING78
GUAN80
05 Mar 2025
QING126
GUAN80
14 Oct 2024
QING109
GUAN80
11 Apr 2024
QING96
GUAN101
21 Mar 2024
QING99
GUAN102
29 Dec 2023
QING92
GUAN85
07 Jan 2023
QING88
GUAN86
26 Dec 2021
QING117
GUAN100
12 Jan 2021
QING94
GUAN114
06 Nov 2020
QING97
GUAN94
12 Nov 2019
QING115
GUAN100
11 Dec 2018
QING97
GUAN107
25 Oct 2018
QING88
GUAN105
30 Nov 2017
QING125
GUAN94
18 Nov 2016
QING89
GUAN88
31 Jan 2016
QING151
GUAN148
30 Nov 2014
QING127
GUAN110
09 Feb 2014
QING120
GUAN122
28 Nov 2012
QING80
GUAN92
28 Dec 2011
QING100
GUAN88
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Qingdao winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Guangzhou winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

QingdaoChinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormQingdao
Date
Competition
Fujian
#17
L
88-96
88
96
-8
83avg 91
A07/12
CBA
Shenzhen
#8
L
84-104
84
104
-20
71avg 91
A09/12
CBA
Shandong
#15
W
115-100
115
100
+15
113avg 91
H11/12
CBA
Zhejiang Chouzhou
#2
L
88-102
88
102
-14
72avg 91
A14/12
CBA
Jilin
#16
W
129-125 OT
129
125
+4
no box
H16/12
CBA
Zhejiang Guangsha
#5
W
99-94
99
94
+5
100avg 91
H18/12
CBA
Shandong
#15
W
104-94
104
94
+10
107avg 91
A20/12
CBA
Liaoning
#1
L
92-100
92
100
-8
82avg 91
H22/12
CBA
Fujian
#17
W
104-73
104
73
+31
101avg 91
H25/12
CBA
Jiangsu Dragons
#18
W
98-73
98
73
+25
93avg 91
A27/12
CBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-25
19-30
21-23
21-18
16-24
24-28
17-28
27-24
33-19
25-31
33-24
24-26
23-18
14-22
21-29
30-33
36-26
23-36
26-20
27-30
28-22
24-21
25-29
22-22
26-22
40-31
27-15
11-26
25-28
24-27
20-20
23-25
28-19
36-14
19-18
21-22
17-20
31-21
27-15
23-17
196.2Avg total
100.1Scored
96.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)101.099.0200.0+2.059%
Season at home (10)104.196.1200.2+8.080%
Season away (12)98.5101.4199.9-2.942%
Last 10 (10)100.196.1196.2+4.060%
Last 5 (5)99.486.8186.2+12.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)87.395.6182.9-8.329%
vs Similar ◀ (10)104.2103.4207.6+0.860%
vs Weaker (13)99.897.2196.9+2.662%
This opponent (Guangzhou) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GuangzhouChinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGuangzhou
Date
Competition
Ningbo Rockets
#19
W
99-80
99
80
+19
107avg 95
H06/12
CBA
Shanghai
#6
L
98-100
98
100
-2
87avg 95
H08/12
CBA
Shanxi Zhongyu
#12
W
105-94
105
94
+11
100avg 95
A11/12
CBA
Shanghai
#6
L
99-106
99
106
-7
78avg 95
A13/12
CBA
Tianjin
#14
L
93-106
93
106
-13
87avg 95
H15/12
CBA
Nanjing Tongxi
#13
W
115-112
115
112
+3
106avg 95
A17/12
CBA
Beijing
#11
L
91-95
91
95
-4
83avg 95
A19/12
CBA
Xinjiang
#3
L
98-110
98
110
-12
94avg 95
A22/12
CBA
Jilin
#16
W
129-122
129
122
+7
129avg 95
H24/12
CBA
Liaoning
#1
L
76-93
76
93
-17
67avg 95
H26/12
CBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
32-13
20-21
26-20
21-26
32-31
20-25
24-22
22-22
26-21
34-30
24-17
21-26
22-25
25-24
19-24
33-33
17-30
26-29
25-32
25-15
25-32
25-25
30-27
35-28
22-27
29-24
13-24
27-20
24-30
23-29
31-23
20-28
28-31
35-31
36-22
30-38
24-20
21-33
16-17
15-23
202.1Avg total
100.3Scored
101.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)101.199.2200.3+1.950%
Season at home (12)102.498.2200.7+4.250%
Season away (10)99.5100.4199.9-0.950%
Last 10 (10)100.3101.8202.1-1.540%
Last 5 (5)101.8106.4208.2-4.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)93.098.3191.3-5.329%
vs Similar ◀ (12)96.898.9195.8-2.133%
vs Weaker (11)107.095.3202.3+11.791%
This opponent (Qingdao) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +3.6+3.6Q1: -0.8-0.8Q2Q2: -0.1-0.1Q2: -1.3-1.3Q3Q3: +1.5+1.5Q3: +1.6+1.6Q4Q4: -1.4-1.4Q4: -1.0-1.0
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +3.6+3.6Q1: -0.8-0.8Q2Q2: -0.1-0.1Q2: -1.3-1.3Q3Q3: +1.5+1.5Q3: +1.6+1.6Q4Q4: -1.4-1.4Q4: -1.0-1.0
QingdaoGuangzhou
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
QingdaoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Fujian
#17
L
46-55
46
55
-9
A07/12
CBA
Shenzhen
#8
L
40-52
40
52
-12
A09/12
CBA
Shandong
#15
W
58-50
58
50
+8
H11/12
CBA
Zhejiang Chouzhou
#2
L
37-40
37
40
-3
A14/12
CBA
Jilin
#16
L
59-62
59
62
-3
H16/12
CBA
Zhejiang Guangsha
#5
W
52-43
52
43
+9
H18/12
CBA
Shandong
#15
W
66-53
66
53
+13
A20/12
CBA
Liaoning
#1
L
49-55
49
55
-6
H22/12
CBA
Fujian
#17
W
64-33
64
33
+31
H25/12
CBA
Jiangsu Dragons
#18
W
48-41
48
41
+7
A27/12
CBA
100.3Avg total
51.9Scored
48.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)49.850.7100.5-0.940%-
Last 30 at home (14)51.548.199.6+3.457%-
Last 30 away (16)48.352.9101.2-4.625%-
Last 10 (10)51.948.4100.3+3.550%-
Last 5 (5)55.845.0100.8+10.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)43.153.396.4-10.10%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)52.550.9103.4+1.660%-
vs Weaker (13)51.349.2100.5+2.246%-
This opponent (Guangzhou) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GuangzhouLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ningbo Rockets
#19
W
52-34
52
34
+18
H06/12
CBA
Shanghai
#6
L
52-56
52
56
-4
H08/12
CBA
Shanxi Zhongyu
#12
W
60-51
60
51
+9
A11/12
CBA
Shanghai
#6
L
47-49
47
49
-2
A13/12
CBA
Tianjin
#14
L
43-59
43
59
-16
H15/12
CBA
Nanjing Tongxi
#13
L
50-57
50
57
-7
A17/12
CBA
Beijing
#11
D
51-51
51
51
+0
A19/12
CBA
Xinjiang
#3
L
47-59
47
59
-12
A22/12
CBA
Jilin
#16
W
63-62
63
62
+1
H24/12
CBA
Liaoning
#1
L
45-53
45
53
-8
H26/12
CBA
104.1Avg total
51.0Scored
53.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)51.149.5100.6+1.747%-
Last 30 at home (16)52.547.9100.4+4.656%-
Last 30 away (14)49.651.2100.8-1.636%-
Last 10 (10)51.053.1104.1-2.130%-
Last 5 (5)51.256.4107.6-5.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)47.949.797.6-1.929%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)52.449.4101.8+3.050%-
vs Weaker (11)51.849.4101.2+2.555%-
This opponent (Qingdao) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Qingdaotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Qingdao: 93.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.8 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.7 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.4 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 100.7 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.022.9
49.8%
52.7%45.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.99.9
33.1%
34.6%29.7
🏀 Free throws25.518.4
72.2%
76.0%18.4
They take 75.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Guangzhoutheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Guangzhou: 98.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers54.0 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.0 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 100.7 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.927.0
54.1%
52.7%54.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.19.0
34.5%
34.6%27.0
🏀 Free throws21.417.0
79.4%
76.0%17.0
They take 76.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 29 Dec 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Qingdao
WWLWWWLWLL
Guangzhou
LWLLWLLWLW
#7
League position
#9
+1.2
Net rating
-2.6
101.9
Offensive rating
111.5
100.7
Defensive rating
114.1
49.7%
Effective FG%
53.3%
45.8%
Opp. effective FG%
53.1%
17.0%
Turnover %
15.4%
24.8%
Off. rebound %
34.2%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.28
33.1%
3-point %
34.5%
64.6%
Assist %
51.4%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence101.9 · 111.5Defence100.7 · 114.1Shooting49.7% · 53.3%3-point %33.1% · 34.5%Ball care17.0% · 15.4%Off. rebounds24.8% · 34.2%Free throws0.34 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)60% · 40%
■ Qingdao   ■ Guangzhou
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Qingdao wins
2
Guangzhou wins
DateGameScore
13/11/23Guangzhou v Qingdao96-101
07/01/23Qingdao v Guangzhou88-86
20/12/22Guangzhou v Qingdao88-89
12/10/22Guangzhou v Qingdao59-80
06/01/22Guangzhou v Qingdao108-97
26/12/21Qingdao v Guangzhou117-100
26/01/21Guangzhou v Qingdao111-116
12/01/21Qingdao v Guangzhou94-114
06/11/20Qingdao v Guangzhou97-94
20/10/20Guangzhou v Qingdao88-112
Qingdaolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/12/23AJiangsu Dragons98-73
25/12/23HFujian104-73
22/12/23HLiaoning92-100
20/12/23AShandong104-94
18/12/23HZhejiang Guangsha99-94
16/12/23HJilin129-125 OT
14/12/23AZhejiang Chouzhou88-102
11/12/23HShandong115-100
09/12/23AShenzhen84-104
07/12/23AFujian88-96
Guangzhoulast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/12/23HLiaoning76-93
24/12/23HJilin129-122
22/12/23AXinjiang98-110
19/12/23ABeijing91-95
17/12/23ANanjing Tongxi115-112
15/12/23HTianjin93-106
13/12/23AShanghai99-106
11/12/23AShanxi Zhongyu105-94
08/12/23HShanghai98-100
06/12/23HNingbo Rockets99-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Qingdao
CBA 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW59%
HomeWWWLW80%
AwayLLLWW42%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221012
Win %59%80%42%
Points / game101.0104.198.5
Allowed / game99.096.1101.4
Point differential+2.0+8.0-2.9
Avg total200.0200.2199.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+32%40%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won83% (6)75% (4)100% (2)
Overtime %14%20%8%
Guangzhou
CBA 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL50%
HomeWLLWL50%
AwayWLWLL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221210
Win %50%50%50%
Points / game101.1102.499.5
Allowed / game99.298.2100.4
Point differential+1.9+4.2-0.9
Avg total200.3200.7199.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%33%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won43% (7)0% (2)60% (5)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Liaoning2119290%103.090.4+12.6
2 Xinjiang2219386%103.794.7+9.0
3 Zhejiang Chouzhou2218482%108.597.0+11.5
4 Guangdong2217577%109.8103.6+6.1
5 Zhejiang Guangsha2216673%104.696.4+8.2
6 Shenzhen2214864%104.2100.7+3.5
7 Qingdao2213959%101.099.0+2.0
8 Beijing22121055%102.5101.1+1.5
9 Guangzhou22111150%101.199.2+1.9
10 Beijing Royal Fighters22111150%105.1104.1+1.0
11 Shanghai22111150%104.8104.7+0.0
12 Shanxi Zhongyu21101148%109.2111.9-2.7
13 Tianjin22101245%101.9106.4-4.5
14 Shandong2281436%101.3103.2-2.0
15 Nanjing Tongxi2281436%101.1104.5-3.4
16 Fujian2271532%104.5110.2-5.7
17 Jilin2261627%101.2106.5-5.3
18 Ningbo Rockets2241818%93.8102.9-9.1
19 Jiangsu Dragons2031715%93.0102.8-9.8
20 Sichuan221215%99.0114.2-15.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Qingdao3013252492
Guangzhou2322202085
← all games of the day
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