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Shanghai vs Guangzhou Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 10 Jan 2025
Tip-off: 11:35
Final 112-81
22-21 23-28 31-16 36-16
Position#10
Record15-10
FormWWWWW
Points / game111.7
Allowed / game105.6
vs
Position#16
Record7-21
FormLLLLW
Points / game98.3
Allowed / game106.5
ChinaCBARound 29· Shanghai Indoor Stadium
Other2024-25
Meetings · Shanghai v Guangzhou
03 Jan 2027
SHAN v GUAN
upcoming
27 Jan 2026
SHAN95
GUAN78
10 Jan 2025
SHAN112
GUAN81
01 Feb 2024
SHAN100
GUAN92
13 Dec 2023
SHAN106
GUAN99
28 Dec 2022
SHAN121
GUAN92
31 Dec 2021
SHAN105
GUAN101
03 Feb 2021
SHAN98
GUAN93
26 Jun 2020
SHAN85
GUAN75
28 Nov 2019
SHAN107
GUAN95
05 Mar 2019
SHAN114
GUAN105
24 Dec 2017
SHAN114
GUAN118
06 Nov 2016
SHAN92
GUAN80
13 Nov 2015
SHAN97
GUAN78
05 Dec 2014
SHAN90
GUAN79
26 Jan 2014
SHAN114
GUAN106
23 Dec 2012
SHAN86
GUAN95
04 Jan 2012
SHAN95
GUAN88
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Shanghai winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Guangzhou winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ShanghaiChinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormShanghai
Date
Competition
Guangzhou
#16
W
113-106 OT
113
106
+7
109avg 104
A16/12
CBA
Shenzhen
#13
W
103-99
103
99
+4
98avg 104
A18/12
CBA
Fujian
#18
W
120-101
120
101
+19
125avg 104
A21/12
CBA
Jilin
#14
W
138-107
138
107
+31
143avg 104
H23/12
CBA
Fujian
#18
W
114-92
114
92
+22
116avg 104
H25/12
CBA
Beijing Royal Fighters
#11
W
108-96
108
96
+12
103avg 104
H27/12
CBA
Nanjing Tongxi
#12
W
133-131 OT
133
131
+2
120avg 104
A30/12
CBA
Ningbo Rockets
#17
W
126-113
126
113
+13
131avg 104
H04/01
CBA
Tianjin
#15
W
132-108
132
108
+24
133avg 104
A06/01
CBA
Beijing Royal Fighters
#11
W
127-114
127
114
+13
121avg 104
A08/01
CBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-30
24-18
22-16
22-27
21-29
36-22
21-25
25-23
30-37
34-11
20-23
36-30
33-27
31-45
41-18
33-17
23-24
19-14
40-25
32-29
28-32
36-29
22-14
22-21
35-29
21-35
32-15
33-42
30-26
31-29
27-31
38-27
44-27
31-40
33-20
24-21
32-31
44-26
23-32
28-25
228.1Avg total
121.4Scored
106.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)111.7105.6217.4+6.160%
Season at home (11)112.899.9212.7+12.964%
Season away (14)110.9110.1221.0+0.757%
Last 10 (10)121.4106.7228.1+14.7100%
Last 5 (5)125.2112.4237.6+12.8100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)82.0111.0193.0-29.00%
vs Similar (11)105.4107.3212.6-1.936%
vs Weaker ◀ (18)110.398.5208.8+11.883%
This opponent (Guangzhou) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GuangzhouChinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGuangzhou
Date
Competition
Zhejiang Guangsha
#1
L
79-102
79
102
-23
65avg 91
H19/12
CBA
Nanjing Tongxi
#12
L
109-112
109
112
-3
95avg 91
A21/12
CBA
Zhejiang Chouzhou
#9
L
103-120
103
120
-17
96avg 91
A23/12
CBA
Liaoning
#4
L
97-98
97
98
-1
87avg 91
H26/12
CBA
Sichuan
#19
L
98-99
98
99
-1
93avg 91
A28/12
CBA
Ningbo Rockets
#17
L
85-92
85
92
-7
86avg 91
A30/12
CBA
Zhejiang Guangsha
#1
L
75-114
75
114
-39
63avg 91
A01/01
CBA
Jiangsu Dragons
#20
L
90-96 OT
90
96
-6
76avg 91
H03/01
CBA
Qingdao
#7
L
90-103
90
103
-13
72avg 91
H05/01
CBA
Jiangsu Dragons
#20
W
100-91
100
91
+9
95avg 91
A07/01
CBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-24
17-33
24-24
17-21
21-38
26-30
27-29
35-15
16-28
35-32
20-36
32-24
20-25
25-22
27-24
25-27
21-28
24-19
24-26
29-26
16-26
20-24
20-19
29-23
26-25
14-34
26-25
9-30
14-24
32-20
17-24
21-16
26-26
21-27
23-26
20-24
24-28
33-24
24-27
19-12
195.3Avg total
92.6Scored
102.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)98.3106.5204.8-8.225%
Season at home (14)99.7108.8208.5-9.121%
Season away (14)96.9104.1201.0-7.329%
Last 10 (10)92.6102.7195.3-10.110%
Last 5 (5)88.099.2187.2-11.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)95.1108.6203.7-13.66%
vs Similar (12)100.195.8195.8+4.358%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Shanghai) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +0.7+0.7Q1: -6.7-6.7Q2Q2: +3.8+3.8Q2: -1.8-1.8Q3Q3: +6.2+6.2Q3: -2.8-2.8Q4Q4: +3.1+3.1Q4: +1.8+1.8
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +0.7+0.7Q1: -6.7-6.7Q2Q2: +3.8+3.8Q2: -1.8-1.8Q3Q3: +6.2+6.2Q3: -2.8-2.8Q4Q4: +3.1+3.1Q4: +1.8+1.8
ShanghaiGuangzhou
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ShanghaiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Guangzhou
#16
L
47-48
47
48
-1
A16/12
CBA
Shenzhen
#13
W
57-51
57
51
+6
A18/12
CBA
Fujian
#18
W
64-48
64
48
+16
A21/12
CBA
Jilin
#14
L
64-72
64
72
-8
H23/12
CBA
Fujian
#18
W
42-38
42
38
+4
H25/12
CBA
Beijing Royal Fighters
#11
W
64-61
64
61
+3
H27/12
CBA
Nanjing Tongxi
#12
L
56-64
56
64
-8
A30/12
CBA
Ningbo Rockets
#17
W
61-55
61
55
+6
H04/01
CBA
Tianjin
#15
W
75-67
75
67
+8
A06/01
CBA
Beijing Royal Fighters
#11
W
76-57
76
57
+19
A08/01
CBA
116.7Avg total
60.6Scored
56.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)54.853.7108.6+1.153%-
Last 30 at home (13)55.353.5108.8+1.862%-
Last 30 away (17)54.553.9108.4+0.647%-
Last 10 (10)60.656.1116.7+4.570%-
Last 5 (5)66.460.8127.2+5.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)47.055.0102.0-8.00%-
vs Similar (11)55.156.6111.7-1.545%-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)55.151.9107.0+3.261%-
This opponent (Guangzhou) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GuangzhouLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Zhejiang Guangsha
#1
L
38-57
38
57
-19
H19/12
CBA
Nanjing Tongxi
#12
L
47-68
47
68
-21
A21/12
CBA
Zhejiang Chouzhou
#9
L
51-60
51
60
-9
A23/12
CBA
Liaoning
#4
L
45-47
45
47
-2
H26/12
CBA
Sichuan
#19
L
45-47
45
47
-2
A28/12
CBA
Ningbo Rockets
#17
L
36-50
36
50
-14
A30/12
CBA
Zhejiang Guangsha
#1
L
40-59
40
59
-19
A01/01
CBA
Jiangsu Dragons
#20
W
46-44
46
44
+2
H03/01
CBA
Qingdao
#7
L
47-53
47
53
-6
H05/01
CBA
Jiangsu Dragons
#20
W
57-52
57
52
+5
A07/01
CBA
98.9Avg total
45.2Scored
53.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)49.952.2102.1-2.443%-
Last 30 at home (14)50.452.4102.9-2.043%-
Last 30 away (16)49.452.1101.4-2.744%-
Last 10 (10)45.253.798.9-8.520%-
Last 5 (5)45.251.696.8-6.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)49.954.6104.5-4.733%-
vs Similar (12)49.848.798.5+1.258%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Shanghai) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Shanghaitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Shanghai: 120.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers65.0 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers37.5 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.4 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 103.8 points a game
51%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers53.232.5
61.1%
52.6%65.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.212.5
35.5%
35.1%37.5
🏀 Free throws24.018.4
76.7%
76.3%18.4
They take 88.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 35.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Guangzhoutheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Guangzhou: 91.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.2 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.9 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 103.8 points a game
51%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.324.1
49.9%
52.6%48.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.68.5
30.8%
35.1%25.5
🏀 Free throws23.717.9
75.5%
76.3%17.9
They take 75.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 10 Jan 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Shanghai
WWWWWWWWWW
Guangzhou
WLLLLLLLLL
#10
League position
#16
+15.0
Net rating
-11.4
122.2
Offensive rating
100.5
107.3
Defensive rating
111.9
58.0%
Effective FG%
48.6%
50.7%
Opp. effective FG%
51.8%
16.0%
Turnover %
21.8%
36.3%
Off. rebound %
33.6%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.31
35.5%
3-point %
30.8%
65.3%
Assist %
60.4%
100%
Form (last 10/10)
10%

Profile

Offence122.2 · 100.5Defence107.3 · 111.9Shooting58.0% · 48.6%3-point %35.5% · 30.8%Ball care16.0% · 21.8%Off. rebounds36.3% · 33.6%Free throws0.27 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)100% · 10%
■ Shanghai   ■ Guangzhou
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
9
Shanghai wins
1
Guangzhou wins
DateGameScore
16/12/24Guangzhou v Shanghai106-113 OT
11/03/24Guangzhou v Shanghai97-104
01/02/24Shanghai v Guangzhou100-92
13/12/23Shanghai v Guangzhou106-99
08/12/23Guangzhou v Shanghai98-100
28/12/22Shanghai v Guangzhou121-92
14/12/22Guangzhou v Shanghai92-98
15/01/22Guangzhou v Shanghai84-103
31/12/21Shanghai v Guangzhou105-101
08/03/21Guangzhou v Shanghai96-95
Shanghailast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/01/25ABeijing Royal Fighters127-114
06/01/25ATianjin132-108
04/01/25HNingbo Rockets126-113
30/12/24ANanjing Tongxi133-131 OT
27/12/24HBeijing Royal Fighters108-96
25/12/24HFujian114-92
23/12/24HJilin138-107
21/12/24AFujian120-101
18/12/24AShenzhen103-99
16/12/24AGuangzhou113-106 OT
Guangzhoulast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/01/25AJiangsu Dragons100-91
05/01/25HQingdao90-103
03/01/25HJiangsu Dragons90-96 OT
01/01/25AZhejiang Guangsha75-114
30/12/24ANingbo Rockets85-92
28/12/24ASichuan98-99
26/12/24HLiaoning97-98
23/12/24AZhejiang Chouzhou103-120
21/12/24ANanjing Tongxi109-112
19/12/24HZhejiang Guangsha79-102

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Shanghai
CBA 2024-25
Recent: 10 Wins / 0 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW60%
HomeWWWWW64%
AwayWWWWW57%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251114
Win %60%64%57%
Points / game111.7112.8110.9
Allowed / game105.699.9110.1
Point differential+6.1+12.9+0.7
Avg total217.4212.7221.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+44%64%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)0% (2)67% (3)
Overtime %12%0%21%
Guangzhou
CBA 2024-25
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW25%
HomeLLLLL21%
AwayLLLLW29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281414
Win %25%21%29%
Points / game98.399.796.9
Allowed / game106.5108.8104.1
Point differential-8.2-9.1-7.3
Avg total204.8208.5201.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%21%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (4)0% (1)0% (3)
Overtime %7%14%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zhejiang Guangsha2824486%103.592.1+11.5
2 Shanxi Zhongyu2721678%115.6108.1+7.4
3 Xinjiang2720774%111.5102.5+9.0
4 Shandong2820871%106.0100.3+5.7
5 Beijing2719870%101.495.2+6.1
6 Liaoning2819968%105.297.1+8.1
7 Zhejiang Chouzhou2819968%113.6105.6+8.0
8 Qingdao2819968%104.6100.2+4.4
9 Guangdong28171161%104.899.4+5.3
10 Shanghai25151060%111.7105.6+6.1
11 Beijing Royal Fighters27151256%105.4101.3+4.1
12 Nanjing Tongxi28131546%106.6108.6-2.0
13 Jilin28101836%101.5109.9-8.5
14 Shenzhen2882029%103.5107.8-4.3
15 Ningbo Rockets2882029%101.8113.1-11.3
16 Guangzhou2872125%98.3106.5-8.2
17 Sichuan2872125%101.2110.0-8.8
18 Tianjin2872125%100.2109.9-9.7
19 Jiangsu Dragons2852318%94.4103.1-8.7
20 Fujian2732411%102.8116.0-13.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Shanghai22233136112
Guangzhou2128161681
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