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Sichuan vs Guangzhou Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 28 Dec 2024
Tip-off: 11:35
Final 99-98
28-21 19-24 26-24 26-29
Position#19
Record6-16
FormWLLWL
Points / game101.2
Allowed / game109.0
Sichuan 🏆
China
vs
Guangzhou
China
Position#16
Record6-16
FormLLLLL
Points / game100.6
Allowed / game108.5
ChinaCBARound 23· Sichuan Provincial Gymnasium
Other2024-25
Meetings · Sichuan v Guangzhou
25 Dec 2026
SICH v GUAN
upcoming
13 Dec 2025
SICH66
GUAN81
28 Dec 2024
SICH99
GUAN98
05 Jan 2024
SICH82
GUAN108
22 Mar 2023
SICH90
GUAN102
13 Jan 2022
SICH71
GUAN92
06 Mar 2021
SICH111
GUAN114
16 Nov 2019
SICH104
GUAN99
01 Jan 2019
SICH99
GUAN113
30 Dec 2017
SICH104
GUAN107
04 Jan 2017
SICH114
GUAN88
15 Nov 2015
SICH124
GUAN113
25 Jan 2015
SICH103
GUAN120
15 Nov 2013
SICH114
GUAN123
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Sichuan winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Guangzhou winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

SichuanChinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSichuan
Date
Competition
Beijing Royal Fighters
#11
L
82-95
82
95
-13
80avg 83
A03/12
CBA
Nanjing Tongxi
#12
L
83-97
83
97
-14
75avg 83
A05/12
CBA
Shanghai
#10
L
77-113
77
113
-36
55avg 83
A08/12
CBA
Jiangsu Dragons
#20
L
115-125
115
125
-10
115avg 83
A11/12
CBA
Liaoning
#4
L
77-86
77
86
-9
66avg 83
H13/12
CBA
Jilin
#14
W
111-105
111
105
+6
106avg 83
H15/12
CBA
Zhejiang Chouzhou
#9
L
125-132
125
132
-7
115avg 83
A17/12
CBA
Shanxi Zhongyu
#2
L
116-125
116
125
-9
100avg 83
H20/12
CBA
Jiangsu Dragons
#20
W
99-98
99
98
+1
95avg 83
H23/12
CBA
Zhejiang Guangsha
#1
L
83-108
83
108
-25
77avg 83
A26/12
CBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-28
18-36
21-16
23-15
21-23
30-25
17-20
15-29
24-39
26-28
10-28
17-18
29-37
33-37
32-29
21-22
20-26
20-27
23-15
14-18
26-21
19-33
31-21
35-30
29-33
30-35
33-27
33-37
30-30
25-33
33-28
28-34
26-31
28-35
22-20
23-12
21-32
19-18
16-28
27-30
205.2Avg total
96.8Scored
108.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)101.2109.0210.3-7.827%
Season at home (10)104.7106.9211.6-2.250%
Season away (12)98.3110.8209.2-12.58%
Last 10 (10)96.8108.4205.2-11.620%
Last 5 (5)106.8113.6220.4-6.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (25)93.0105.5198.4-12.516%
vs Similar ◀ (4)109.8113.5223.2-3.850%
vs Weaker (1)92.079.0171.0+13.0100%
This opponent (Guangzhou) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GuangzhouChinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGuangzhou
Date
Competition
Fujian
#18
W
111-96
111
96
+15
108avg 92
A04/12
CBA
Shanxi Zhongyu
#2
L
104-130
104
130
-26
100avg 92
H07/12
CBA
Zhejiang Chouzhou
#9
L
93-122
93
122
-29
80avg 92
H09/12
CBA
Ningbo Rockets
#17
W
106-89
106
89
+17
94avg 92
H11/12
CBA
Qingdao
#7
L
103-113
103
113
-10
89avg 92
H14/12
CBA
Shanghai
#10
L
106-113 OT
106
113
-7
84avg 92
H16/12
CBA
Zhejiang Guangsha
#1
L
79-102
79
102
-23
65avg 92
H19/12
CBA
Nanjing Tongxi
#12
L
109-112
109
112
-3
95avg 92
A21/12
CBA
Zhejiang Chouzhou
#9
L
103-120
103
120
-17
96avg 92
A23/12
CBA
Liaoning
#4
L
97-98
97
98
-1
87avg 92
H26/12
CBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
31-21
32-17
22-25
26-33
29-29
32-31
28-34
15-36
26-32
28-31
14-34
25-25
31-23
20-20
24-26
31-20
26-31
29-33
19-20
29-29
30-23
18-24
16-22
27-22
21-24
17-33
24-24
17-21
21-38
26-30
27-29
35-15
16-28
35-32
20-36
32-24
20-25
25-22
27-24
25-27
210.6Avg total
101.1Scored
109.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)100.6108.5209.1-7.827%
Season at home (12)101.3110.3211.7-9.025%
Season away (10)99.8106.2206.0-6.430%
Last 10 (10)101.1109.5210.6-8.420%
Last 5 (5)98.8109.0207.8-10.20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (22)94.0107.5201.4-13.59%
vs Similar ◀ (8)103.596.4199.9+7.175%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Sichuan) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -5.4-5.4Q1: -2.3-2.3Q2Q2: -5.9-5.9Q2: -1.1-1.1Q3Q3: +0.6+0.6Q3: -5.3-5.3Q4Q4: -0.9-0.9Q4: +1.0+1.0
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -5.4-5.4Q1: -2.3-2.3Q2Q2: -5.9-5.9Q2: -1.1-1.1Q3Q3: +0.6+0.6Q3: -5.3-5.3Q4Q4: -0.9-0.9Q4: +1.0+1.0
SichuanGuangzhou
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
SichuanLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Beijing Royal Fighters
#11
L
38-64
38
64
-26
A03/12
CBA
Nanjing Tongxi
#12
W
51-48
51
48
+3
A05/12
CBA
Shanghai
#10
L
50-67
50
67
-17
A08/12
CBA
Jiangsu Dragons
#20
L
62-74
62
74
-12
A11/12
CBA
Liaoning
#4
L
40-53
40
53
-13
H13/12
CBA
Jilin
#14
L
45-54
45
54
-9
H15/12
CBA
Zhejiang Chouzhou
#9
L
59-68
59
68
-9
A17/12
CBA
Shanxi Zhongyu
#2
L
55-63
55
63
-8
H20/12
CBA
Jiangsu Dragons
#20
L
54-66
54
66
-12
H23/12
CBA
Zhejiang Guangsha
#1
L
40-50
40
50
-10
A26/12
CBA
110.1Avg total
49.4Scored
60.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)48.957.6106.5-8.717%-
Last 30 at home (15)46.757.1103.8-10.513%-
Last 30 away (15)51.158.0109.1-6.920%-
Last 10 (10)49.460.7110.1-11.310%-
Last 5 (5)50.660.2110.8-9.60%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (25)47.857.8105.6-9.912%-
vs Similar ◀ (4)55.562.2117.8-6.825%-
vs Weaker (1)49.034.083.0+15.0100%-
This opponent (Guangzhou) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GuangzhouLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Fujian
#18
W
63-38
63
38
+25
A04/12
CBA
Shanxi Zhongyu
#2
W
61-60
61
60
+1
H07/12
CBA
Zhejiang Chouzhou
#9
L
54-63
54
63
-9
H09/12
CBA
Ningbo Rockets
#17
W
51-43
51
43
+8
H11/12
CBA
Qingdao
#7
L
55-64
55
64
-9
H14/12
CBA
Shanghai
#10
W
48-47
48
47
+1
H16/12
CBA
Zhejiang Guangsha
#1
L
38-57
38
57
-19
H19/12
CBA
Nanjing Tongxi
#12
L
47-68
47
68
-21
A21/12
CBA
Zhejiang Chouzhou
#9
L
51-60
51
60
-9
A23/12
CBA
Liaoning
#4
L
45-47
45
47
-2
H26/12
CBA
106.0Avg total
51.3Scored
54.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)50.151.9102.0-1.840%-
Last 30 at home (15)50.751.4102.1-0.740%-
Last 30 away (15)49.552.5101.9-3.040%-
Last 10 (10)51.354.7106.0-3.440%-
Last 5 (5)45.855.8101.6-10.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (22)49.553.0102.5-3.532%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)51.848.9100.6+2.962%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Sichuan) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Sichuantheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sichuan: 95.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀24%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.6 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws23.2 pts a game · 24% of the points
League average for comparison: 103.8 points a game
51%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.022.8
47.5%
52.6%45.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.79.0
30.3%
35.1%27.0
🏀 Free throws29.623.2
78.4%
76.3%23.2
They take 77.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Guangzhoutheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Guangzhou: 101.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.6 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.6 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.0 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 103.8 points a game
51%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.124.3
49.5%
52.6%48.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.411.2
34.6%
35.1%33.6
🏀 Free throws25.119.0
75.7%
76.3%19.0
They take 81.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 28 Dec 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Sichuan
LWLLWLLLLL
Guangzhou
LLLLLLWLLW
#19
League position
#16
-13.1
Net rating
-7.9
102.9
Offensive rating
106.8
116.0
Defensive rating
114.7
46.7%
Effective FG%
50.4%
54.0%
Opp. effective FG%
55.3%
17.6%
Turnover %
18.9%
29.3%
Off. rebound %
32.8%
0.38
Free-throw rate
0.31
30.3%
3-point %
34.6%
75.8%
Assist %
61.7%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence102.9 · 106.8Defence116.0 · 114.7Shooting46.7% · 50.4%3-point %30.3% · 34.6%Ball care17.6% · 18.9%Off. rebounds29.3% · 32.8%Free throws0.38 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)20% · 20%
■ Sichuan   ■ Guangzhou
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Sichuan wins
6
Guangzhou wins
DateGameScore
03/02/24Guangzhou v Sichuan125-98
05/01/24Sichuan v Guangzhou82-108
22/03/23Sichuan v Guangzhou90-102
14/10/22Guangzhou v Sichuan106-98
13/01/22Sichuan v Guangzhou71-92
04/01/22Guangzhou v Sichuan103-110
06/03/21Sichuan v Guangzhou111-114 OT
01/02/21Guangzhou v Sichuan91-104
19/01/20Guangzhou v Sichuan107-111
16/11/19Sichuan v Guangzhou104-99
Sichuanlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/12/24AZhejiang Guangsha83-108
23/12/24HJiangsu Dragons99-98
20/12/24HShanxi Zhongyu116-125
17/12/24AZhejiang Chouzhou125-132
15/12/24HJilin111-105
13/12/24HLiaoning77-86
11/12/24AJiangsu Dragons115-125
08/12/24AShanghai77-113
05/12/24ANanjing Tongxi83-97
03/12/24ABeijing Royal Fighters82-95
Guangzhoulast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/12/24HLiaoning97-98
23/12/24AZhejiang Chouzhou103-120
21/12/24ANanjing Tongxi109-112
19/12/24HZhejiang Guangsha79-102
16/12/24HShanghai106-113 OT
14/12/24HQingdao103-113
11/12/24HNingbo Rockets106-89
09/12/24HZhejiang Chouzhou93-122
07/12/24HShanxi Zhongyu104-130
04/12/24AFujian111-96

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Sichuan
CBA 2024-25
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL27%
HomeWLWLW50%
AwayLLLLL8%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221012
Win %27%50%8%
Points / game101.2104.798.3
Allowed / game109.0106.9110.8
Point differential-7.8-2.2-12.5
Avg total210.3211.6209.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%20%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Guangzhou
CBA 2024-25
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL27%
HomeWLLLL25%
AwayLLWLL30%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221210
Win %27%25%30%
Points / game100.6101.399.8
Allowed / game108.5110.3106.2
Point differential-7.8-9.0-6.4
Avg total209.1211.7206.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+23%25%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (3)0% (1)0% (2)
Overtime %5%8%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zhejiang Guangsha2219386%104.092.8+11.3
2 Xinjiang2117481%113.0101.8+11.2
3 Shanxi Zhongyu2217577%115.4108.0+7.4
4 Zhejiang Chouzhou2317674%115.0106.0+9.0
5 Beijing2115671%101.395.0+6.3
6 Shandong2316770%104.7101.0+3.6
7 Liaoning2215768%106.598.0+8.5
8 Qingdao2315865%103.399.5+3.8
9 Beijing Royal Fighters22121055%104.8100.7+4.0
10 Guangdong22121055%105.4101.5+3.9
11 Nanjing Tongxi22121055%105.5106.5-1.0
12 Shanghai21111052%108.3103.6+4.8
13 Jilin2291341%105.5109.7-4.3
14 Tianjin2371630%99.2108.6-9.4
15 Ningbo Rockets2371630%102.2114.0-11.8
16 Guangzhou2261627%100.6108.5-7.8
17 Sichuan2261627%101.2109.0-7.8
18 Shenzhen2351822%103.6108.7-5.1
19 Jiangsu Dragons2332013%94.3103.9-9.7
20 Fujian221215%100.4115.4-15.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Sichuan2819262699
Guangzhou2124242998
← all games of the day
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