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Shiga vs Saga Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 05 Apr 2025
Tip-off: 05:05
Final 79-80
27-15 19-28 19-17 14-20
Position#24
Record7-39
FormWLLWW
Points / game77.1
Allowed / game90.5
vs
Saga 🏆
Japan
Position#18
Record15-32
FormLWWLW
Points / game75.3
Allowed / game78.8
JapanB League· Shiga Daihatsu Arena
Other2024-25
Meetings · Shiga v Saga
07 Feb 2027
SHIG v SAGA
upcoming
05 Feb 2027
SHIG v SAGA
upcoming
01 Apr 2026
SHIG77
SAGA83
06 Apr 2025
SHIG77
SAGA82
05 Apr 2025
SHIG79
SAGA80
06 Nov 2024
SHIG69
SAGA83
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Shiga winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Saga winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ShigaJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormShiga
Date
Competition
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#12
L
81-87
81
87
-6
74avg 72
H01/03
B League
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#12
W
81-75
81
75
+6
80avg 72
H02/03
B League
Osaka
#13
L
81-107
81
107
-26
71avg 72
H05/03
B League
Hokkaido
#19
L
78-116
78
116
-38
70avg 72
A12/03
B League
Saga
#18
L
65-103
65
103
-38
50avg 72
A19/03
B League
Chiba
#5
W
93-89
93
89
+4
86avg 72
H22/03
B League
Chiba
#5
L
80-95
80
95
-15
65avg 72
H23/03
B League
Kyoto
#10
L
75-95
75
95
-20
67avg 72
H27/03
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#9
W
93-80
93
80
+13
89avg 72
A29/03
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#9
W
94-86 OT
94
86
+8
90avg 72
A30/03
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-13
18-21
23-30
25-23
15-13
17-21
28-23
21-18
17-32
24-21
22-21
18-33
23-29
19-29
20-36
16-22
24-26
13-35
12-19
16-23
20-22
31-24
17-24
25-19
23-26
26-21
10-28
21-20
20-30
21-21
14-25
20-19
31-24
26-16
19-30
17-10
19-22
15-12
23-17
21-27
175.4Avg total
82.1Scored
93.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (46)77.190.5167.6-13.415%
Season at home (23)77.292.3169.4-15.113%
Season away (23)77.088.8165.8-11.817%
Last 10 (10)82.193.3175.4-11.240%
Last 5 (5)87.089.0176.0-2.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (28)79.193.4172.5-14.218%
vs Similar (2)85.088.0173.0-3.050%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Saga) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SagaJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSaga
Date
Competition
Diamond Dolphins
#9
L
62-79
62
79
-17
52avg 67
A01/03
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#9
L
65-81
65
81
-16
52avg 67
A02/03
B League
Nagasaki
#16
L
86-92
86
92
-6
78avg 67
H05/03
B League
Chiba
#5
L
71-85
71
85
-14
58avg 67
A12/03
B League
Shiga
#24
W
103-65
103
65
+38
105avg 67
H19/03
B League
Yokohama
#17
L
69-87
69
87
-18
64avg 67
A22/03
B League
Yokohama
#17
W
93-82
93
82
+11
94avg 67
A23/03
B League
Shimane
#8
W
87-73
87
73
+14
62avg 67
H26/03
B League
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#11
L
69-82
69
82
-13
55avg 67
H29/03
B League
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#11
W
87-78
87
78
+9
82avg 67
H30/03
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-27
18-18
13-17
9-17
17-24
12-13
15-24
21-20
25-35
21-22
19-15
21-20
19-24
25-17
10-21
17-23
26-24
35-13
19-12
23-16
14-18
18-30
18-19
19-20
34-16
20-29
18-19
21-18
19-22
16-16
25-28
27-7
14-26
15-12
20-23
20-21
25-10
27-27
11-16
24-25
159.6Avg total
79.2Scored
80.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (47)75.378.8154.1-3.632%
Season at home (23)77.981.6159.4-3.722%
Season away (24)72.876.2148.9-3.442%
Last 10 (10)79.280.4159.6-1.240%
Last 5 (5)81.080.4161.4+0.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)71.784.9156.5-13.213%
vs Similar (10)76.583.1159.6-6.610%
vs Weaker ◀ (5)86.066.4152.4+19.6100%
This opponent (Shiga) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -3.0-3.0Q1: -1.1-1.1Q2Q2: -1.1-1.1Q2: +1.0+1.0Q3Q3: -6.5-6.5Q3: -2.6-2.6Q4Q4: -1.4-1.4Q4: +1.5+1.5
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -3.0-3.0Q1: -1.1-1.1Q2Q2: -1.1-1.1Q2: +1.0+1.0Q3Q3: -6.5-6.5Q3: -2.6-2.6Q4Q4: -1.4-1.4Q4: +1.5+1.5
ShigaSaga
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ShigaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#12
L
33-34
33
34
-1
H01/03
B League
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#12
L
32-34
32
34
-2
H02/03
B League
Osaka
#13
L
41-53
41
53
-12
H05/03
B League
Hokkaido
#19
L
42-58
42
58
-16
A12/03
B League
Saga
#18
L
37-61
37
61
-24
A19/03
B League
Chiba
#5
W
51-46
51
46
+5
H22/03
B League
Chiba
#5
W
49-47
49
47
+2
H23/03
B League
Kyoto
#10
L
41-51
41
51
-10
H27/03
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#9
W
57-40
57
40
+17
A29/03
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#9
D
34-34
34
34
+0
A30/03
B League
87.5Avg total
41.7Scored
45.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.447.287.6-6.917%-
Last 30 at home (17)40.647.287.8-6.612%-
Last 30 away (13)40.147.387.4-7.223%-
Last 10 (10)41.745.887.5-4.130%-
Last 5 (5)46.443.690.0+2.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (28)40.547.187.6-6.614%-
vs Similar (2)38.548.587.0-10.050%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Saga) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SagaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Diamond Dolphins
#9
L
40-45
40
45
-5
A01/03
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#9
L
29-37
29
37
-8
A02/03
B League
Nagasaki
#16
L
46-57
46
57
-11
H05/03
B League
Chiba
#5
W
44-41
44
41
+3
A12/03
B League
Shiga
#24
W
61-37
61
37
+24
H19/03
B League
Yokohama
#17
L
32-48
32
48
-16
A22/03
B League
Yokohama
#17
W
54-45
54
45
+9
A23/03
B League
Shimane
#8
L
35-38
35
38
-3
H26/03
B League
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#11
L
29-38
29
38
-9
H29/03
B League
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#11
W
52-37
52
37
+15
H30/03
B League
84.5Avg total
42.2Scored
42.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.341.181.4-0.933%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.142.684.7-0.631%-
Last 30 away (14)38.239.477.6-1.236%-
Last 10 (10)42.242.384.5-0.140%-
Last 5 (5)40.441.281.6-0.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)38.040.778.7-2.733%-
vs Similar (10)41.543.284.7-1.730%-
vs Weaker ◀ (5)44.638.483.0+6.240%-
This opponent (Shiga) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Shigatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Shiga: 81.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀59%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀11%
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.6 pts a game · 59% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.1 pts a game · 11% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.6 points a game
49%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.123.8
49.5%
51.2%47.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.68.2
34.7%
33.4%24.6
🏀 Free throws12.09.1
75.8%
72.7%9.1
They take 71.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Sagatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Saga: 78.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.6 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.4 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.4 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.6 points a game
49%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.618.8
48.7%
51.2%37.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.39.8
33.4%
33.4%29.4
🏀 Free throws16.711.4
68.3%
72.7%11.4
They take 67.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 05 Apr 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Shiga
WWLLWLLLWL
Saga
WLWWLWLLLL
#24
League position
#18
-14.2
Net rating
-1.4
105.0
Offensive rating
106.4
119.2
Defensive rating
107.7
50.3%
Effective FG%
49.3%
57.2%
Opp. effective FG%
49.6%
16.6%
Turnover %
15.1%
30.5%
Off. rebound %
31.0%
0.17
Free-throw rate
0.25
34.7%
3-point %
33.4%
64.1%
Assist %
62.6%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence105.0 · 106.4Defence119.2 · 107.7Shooting50.3% · 49.3%3-point %34.7% · 33.4%Ball care16.6% · 15.1%Off. rebounds30.5% · 31.0%Free throws0.17 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)40% · 40%
■ Shiga   ■ Saga
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Shiga wins
2
Saga wins
DateGameScore
19/03/25Saga v Shiga103-65
06/11/24Shiga v Saga69-83
Shigalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/03/25ADiamond Dolphins94-86 OT
29/03/25ADiamond Dolphins93-80
27/03/25HKyoto75-95
23/03/25HChiba80-95
22/03/25HChiba93-89
19/03/25ASaga65-103
12/03/25AHokkaido78-116
05/03/25HOsaka81-107
02/03/25HNagoya Fighting Eagles81-75
01/03/25HNagoya Fighting Eagles81-87
Sagalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/03/25HSun Rockers Shibuya87-78
29/03/25HSun Rockers Shibuya69-82
26/03/25HShimane87-73
23/03/25AYokohama93-82
22/03/25AYokohama69-87
19/03/25HShiga103-65
12/03/25AChiba71-85
05/03/25HNagasaki86-92
02/03/25ADiamond Dolphins65-81
01/03/25ADiamond Dolphins62-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Shiga
B League 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW15%
HomeWLWLL13%
AwayLLLWW17%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games462323
Win %15%13%17%
Points / game77.177.277.0
Allowed / game90.592.388.8
Point differential-13.4-15.1-11.8
Avg total167.6169.4165.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+2%0%4%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (9)50% (2)29% (7)
Overtime %2%0%4%
Saga
B League 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW32%
HomeLWWLW22%
AwayLLLLW42%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games472324
Win %32%22%42%
Points / game75.377.972.8
Allowed / game78.881.676.2
Point differential-3.6-3.7-3.4
Avg total154.1159.4148.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%17%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won12% (8)0% (5)33% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 NeoPhoenix4639785%92.980.1+12.8
2 Utsunomiya Brex4738981%85.576.0+9.5
3 Ryukyu47341372%84.577.2+7.3
4 Alvark47341372%76.771.1+5.6
5 SeaHorses Mikawa47321568%82.074.9+7.1
6 Chiba47321568%82.477.4+5.0
7 Gunma47311666%78.172.6+5.5
8 Shimane47301764%80.174.3+5.8
9 Sun Rockers Shibuya47252253%74.471.9+2.5
10 Kyoto47252253%81.579.9+1.6
11 Diamond Dolphins47252253%81.681.2+0.4
12 Osaka47232449%82.482.7-0.3
13 Akita47222547%74.074.9-0.9
14 Nagasaki47222547%76.277.6-1.4
15 Hiroshima D.47222547%79.482.6-3.1
16 Nagoya Fighting Eagles47212645%77.780.0-2.3
17 Yokohama47212645%76.579.5-2.9
18 Hokkaido47182938%75.579.3-3.7
19 Saga47153232%75.378.8-3.6
20 Koshigaya Alphas47153232%76.681.1-4.5
21 Brave Thunders47143330%78.787.2-8.5
22 Ibaraki Robots4793819%72.981.1-8.2
23 Sendai4793819%73.583.7-10.2
24 Shiga4673915%77.190.5-13.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 24 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Shiga2719191479
Saga1528172080
← all games of the day
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