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Shiga vs Saga Prediction & Stats

Date: Fri 05 Feb 2027
Tip-off: 10:00
Scheduled
Position#16
Record5-6
FormWLWWL
Points / game87.5
Allowed / game89.5
vs
Position#25
Record1-11
FormLLLLL
Points / game76.2
Allowed / game94.8
JapanB League· Shiga Daihatsu Arena
Other2026-27
Meetings · Shiga v Saga
07 Feb 2027
SHIG v SAGA
upcoming
05 Feb 2027
SHIG v SAGA
upcoming
01 Apr 2026
SHIG77
SAGA83
06 Apr 2025
SHIG77
SAGA82
05 Apr 2025
SHIG79
SAGA80
06 Nov 2024
SHIG69
SAGA83
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Shiga win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Saga win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

🔥 Form · Shiga
4.7out of 10 · 5 = normal010
Around their normal
🏀
Attack
Points scored per game
Last 5 v their normal 82.6
82.4▼ 0.2
🛡️
Defence
Points allowed per game
Last 5 v their normal 84.4
88.8▲ 4.4
🎯
Accuracy
True shooting %
Last 5 v their normal 54%
52%▼ 2%
🤝
Playmaking
Assists per game
Last 5 v their normal 21.4
20.8▼ 0.6
🔥 Form · Saga
5.4out of 10 · 5 = normal010
Around their normal
🏀
Attack
Points scored per game
Last 5 v their normal 81.4
79.4▼ 2.0
🛡️
Defence
Points allowed per game
Last 5 v their normal 85.5
104.0▲ 18.5
🎯
Accuracy
True shooting %
Last 5 v their normal 55%
52%▼ 3%
🤝
Playmaking
Assists per game
Last 5 v their normal 20.8
19.0▼ 1.8
ShigaJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kyoto
#6
W
81-77
81
77
+4
A27/09
B League
Ryukyu
#10
L
87-94
87
94
-7
H03/10
B League
Ryukyu
#10
W
98-72
98
72
+26
H04/10
B League
Tokyo Sunrockers
#7
L
85-92
85
92
-7
H07/10
B League
Hiroshima D.
#2
L
105-111
105
111
-6
A10/10
B League
Shinshu
#22
W
95-76
95
76
+19
H12/10
B League
Ryukyu
#10
L
67-99
67
99
-32
A19/10
B League
Kobe
#24
W
92-80
92
80
+12
H21/10
B League
Nagasaki
#14
W
89-85
89
85
+4
H23/10
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#1
L
69-104
69
104
-35
A30/10
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-18
24-18
19-25
17-16
17-24
26-25
20-20
24-25
16-14
32-14
29-25
21-19
24-34
19-26
23-17
19-15
16-21
20-18
19-26
23-13
28-15
28-20
19-17
20-24
22-28
17-31
21-19
7-21
18-26
22-17
23-14
29-23
21-14
16-29
27-9
25-33
20-31
18-29
13-24
18-20
175.8Avg total
86.8Scored
89.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)87.589.5177.0-2.145%
Season at home (6)91.083.2174.2+7.867%
Season away (5)83.297.2180.4-14.020%
Last 10 (10)86.889.0175.8-2.250%
Last 5 (5)82.488.8171.2-6.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)82.790.7173.4-8.025%
vs Similar (9)83.174.2157.3+8.989%
vs Weaker ◀ (1)92.080.0172.0+12.0100%
This opponent (Saga) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SagaJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
NeoPhoenix
#5
L
61-97
61
97
-36
H03/10
B League
NeoPhoenix
#5
L
89-93
89
93
-4
H04/10
B League
Alvark
#4
L
74-90
74
90
-16
A08/10
B League
Kobe
#24
W
84-77
84
77
+7
A10/10
B League
Gunma
#9
L
61-72
61
72
-11
H12/10
B League
Levanga Hokkaido
#12
L
90-109
90
109
-19
H16/10
B League
Kyoto
#6
L
70-115
70
115
-45
A18/10
B League
Nagasaki
#14
L
66-84
66
84
-18
H21/10
B League
Alvark
#4
L
88-112
88
112
-24
H26/10
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#3
L
83-100
83
100
-17
A31/10
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-27
14-23
15-29
10-18
19-26
20-25
31-20
19-22
15-29
19-15
22-22
18-24
27-20
17-12
15-26
25-19
15-16
12-16
17-17
17-23
24-28
21-26
19-23
26-32
18-29
21-33
16-24
15-29
20-24
15-24
17-17
14-19
13-33
17-28
30-21
28-30
16-37
31-21
11-24
25-18
171.5Avg total
76.6Scored
94.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)76.294.8171.0-18.78%
Season at home (8)75.494.5169.9-19.10%
Season away (4)77.895.5173.2-17.825%
Last 10 (10)76.694.9171.5-18.310%
Last 5 (5)79.4104.0183.4-24.60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)76.992.2169.1-15.212%
vs Similar (5)80.080.0160.0+0.060%
vs Weaker (9)87.178.4165.6+8.778%
This opponent (Shiga) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -2.2-2.2Q1: -8.0-8.0Q2Q2: -0.5-0.5Q2: -3.6-3.6Q3Q3: +1.7+1.7Q3: -3.0-3.0Q4Q4: -0.6-0.6Q4: -3.7-3.7
ShigaSaga
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ShigaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kyoto
#6
W
45-36
45
36
+9
A27/09
B League
Ryukyu
#10
L
43-49
43
49
-6
H03/10
B League
Ryukyu
#10
W
48-28
48
28
+20
H04/10
B League
Tokyo Sunrockers
#7
L
43-60
43
60
-17
H07/10
B League
Hiroshima D.
#2
L
36-39
36
39
-3
A10/10
B League
Shinshu
#22
W
56-35
56
35
+21
H12/10
B League
Ryukyu
#10
L
39-59
39
59
-20
A19/10
B League
Kobe
#24
L
40-43
40
43
-3
H21/10
B League
Nagasaki
#14
L
37-43
37
43
-6
H23/10
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#1
L
38-60
38
60
-22
A30/10
B League
87.7Avg total
42.5Scored
45.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.643.684.2-3.130%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.442.584.9-0.131%-
Last 30 away (14)38.544.983.4-6.429%-
Last 10 (10)42.545.287.7-2.730%-
Last 5 (5)42.048.090.0-6.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)40.846.186.8-5.415%-
vs Similar (9)40.238.278.4+2.067%-
vs Weaker ◀ (1)40.043.083.0-3.00%-
This opponent (Saga) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SagaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
NeoPhoenix
#5
L
36-50
36
50
-14
H03/10
B League
NeoPhoenix
#5
L
39-51
39
51
-12
H04/10
B League
Alvark
#4
L
34-44
34
44
-10
A08/10
B League
Kobe
#24
W
44-32
44
32
+12
A10/10
B League
Gunma
#9
L
27-32
27
32
-5
H12/10
B League
Levanga Hokkaido
#12
L
45-54
45
54
-9
H16/10
B League
Kyoto
#6
L
39-62
39
62
-23
A18/10
B League
Nagasaki
#14
L
35-48
35
48
-13
H21/10
B League
Alvark
#4
L
30-61
30
61
-31
H26/10
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#3
L
47-58
47
58
-11
A31/10
B League
86.8Avg total
37.6Scored
49.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.543.685.0-2.143%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.845.183.9-6.320%-
Last 30 away (15)44.142.186.2+2.167%-
Last 10 (10)37.649.286.8-11.610%-
Last 5 (5)39.256.695.8-17.40%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)38.647.486.0-8.819%-
vs Similar (5)43.038.281.2+4.880%-
vs Weaker (9)45.739.885.4+5.967%-
This opponent (Shiga) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Shigatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Shiga: 86.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.2 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.2 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.4 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.8 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.320.6
53.8%
53.9%41.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.89.4
29.6%
32.7%28.2
🏀 Free throws23.517.4
74.0%
73.7%17.4
They take 70.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Sagatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Saga: 74.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.8 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.7 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.8 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.318.4
50.7%
53.9%36.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.28.5
27.2%
32.7%25.5
🏀 Free throws15.611.7
75.0%
73.7%11.7
They take 67.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 05 Feb 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Shiga
LWWLWLLWLW
Saga
LLLLLLWLLL
#16
League position
#25
-2.1
Net rating
-22.6
90.3
Offensive rating
84.7
92.4
Defensive rating
107.3
49.5%
Effective FG%
46.1%
50.8%
Opp. effective FG%
58.0%
14.3%
Turnover %
12.5%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.23
29.6%
3-point %
27.2%
78.7%
Assist %
58.7%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
10%

Profile

Offence90.3 · 84.7Defence92.4 · 107.3Shooting49.5% · 46.1%3-point %29.6% · 27.2%Ball care14.3% · 12.5%Free throws0.34 · 0.23Form (last 10/10)50% · 10%
■ Shiga   ■ Saga
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Shiga wins
7
Saga wins
DateGameScore
01/04/26Shiga v Saga77-83
05/11/25Saga v Shiga77-83
05/10/25Saga v Shiga97-91
04/10/25Saga v Shiga92-68
06/04/25Shiga v Saga77-82
05/04/25Shiga v Saga79-80
19/03/25Saga v Shiga103-65
06/11/24Shiga v Saga69-83
Shigalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/10/26ADiamond Dolphins69-104
23/10/26HNagasaki89-85
21/10/26HKobe92-80
19/10/26ARyukyu67-99
12/10/26HShinshu95-76
10/10/26AHiroshima D.105-111
07/10/26HTokyo Sunrockers85-92
04/10/26HRyukyu98-72
03/10/26HRyukyu87-94
27/09/26AKyoto81-77
Sagalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/10/26ASeaHorses Mikawa83-100
26/10/26HAlvark88-112
21/10/26HNagasaki66-84
18/10/26AKyoto70-115
16/10/26HLevanga Hokkaido90-109
12/10/26HGunma61-72
10/10/26AKobe84-77
08/10/26AAlvark74-90
04/10/26HNeoPhoenix89-93
03/10/26HNeoPhoenix61-97

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Shiga
B League 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL45%
HomeWLWWW67%
AwayLWLLL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1165
Win %45%67%20%
Points / game87.591.083.2
Allowed / game89.583.297.2
Point differential-2.1+7.8-14.0
Avg total177.0174.2180.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Saga
B League 2026-27
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL8%
HomeLLLLL0%
AwayLWLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1284
Win %8%0%25%
Points / game76.275.477.8
Allowed / game94.894.595.5
Point differential-18.7-19.1-17.8
Avg total171.0169.9173.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Diamond Dolphins990100%93.174.7+18.4
2 Hiroshima D.1211192%92.680.2+12.4
3 SeaHorses Mikawa97278%91.278.2+13.0
4 Alvark1310377%94.584.0+10.5
5 NeoPhoenix86275%86.280.0+6.2
6 Kyoto118373%86.477.7+8.6
7 Tokyo Sunrockers139469%90.278.7+11.5
8 Sendai139469%85.580.1+5.5
9 Gunma128467%80.173.9+6.2
10 Ryukyu127558%85.081.1+3.9
11 Toyama127558%83.886.3-2.6
12 Levanga Hokkaido116555%95.294.5+0.6
13 Ibaraki Robots136746%83.378.4+4.9
14 Nagasaki136746%76.279.5-3.3
15 Yokohama136746%79.284.5-5.2
16 Shiga115645%87.589.5-2.1
17 Utsunomiya Brex125742%82.183.5-1.4
18 Shimane114736%81.983.5-1.6
19 Brave Thunders124833%80.484.8-4.3
20 Chiba124833%91.698.2-6.6
21 Akita124833%78.685.4-6.8
22 Shinshu134931%84.587.5-3.1
23 Altiri Chiba134931%78.486.5-8.1
24 Kobe1221017%78.086.0-8.0
25 Saga121118%76.294.8-18.7
26 Osaka121118%68.589.2-20.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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