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Saga vs Shimane Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 26 Mar 2025
Tip-off: 10:35
Final 87-73
19-22 16-16 25-28 27-7
Position#18
Record13-31
FormLLWLW
Points / game74.9
Allowed / game78.9
Saga 🏆
Japan
vs
Position#8
Record28-16
FormWWLLW
Points / game80.0
Allowed / game74.1
JapanB League· Saga Arena
Other2024-25
Meetings · Saga v Shimane
06 Dec 2026
SAGA v SHIM
upcoming
28 Jan 2026
SAGA95
SHIM88
19 Apr 2025
SAGA66
SHIM82
18 Apr 2025
SAGA80
SHIM61
26 Mar 2025
SAGA87
SHIM73
20 Dec 2023
SAGA80
SHIM77
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Saga winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Shimane winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

SagaJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSaga
Date
Competition
SeaHorses Mikawa
#7
L
68-86
68
86
-18
58avg 67
A02/02
B League
NeoPhoenix
#2
L
82-95
82
95
-13
73avg 67
H08/02
B League
NeoPhoenix
#2
L
83-102
83
102
-19
75avg 67
H09/02
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#9
L
62-79
62
79
-17
52avg 67
A01/03
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#9
L
65-81
65
81
-16
52avg 67
A02/03
B League
Nagasaki
#16
L
86-92
86
92
-6
78avg 67
H05/03
B League
Chiba
#5
L
71-85
71
85
-14
58avg 67
A12/03
B League
Shiga
#24
W
103-65
103
65
+38
105avg 67
H19/03
B League
Yokohama
#17
L
69-87
69
87
-18
64avg 67
A22/03
B League
Yokohama
#17
W
93-82
93
82
+11
94avg 67
A23/03
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-24
9-15
18-21
23-26
19-23
23-30
20-28
20-14
27-25
19-29
18-23
19-25
22-27
18-18
13-17
9-17
17-24
12-13
15-24
21-20
25-35
21-22
19-15
21-20
19-24
25-17
10-21
17-23
26-24
35-13
19-12
23-16
14-18
18-30
18-19
19-20
34-16
20-29
18-19
21-18
163.6Avg total
78.2Scored
85.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (44)74.978.9153.8-4.030%
Season at home (20)77.482.2159.6-4.815%
Season away (24)72.876.2148.9-3.442%
Last 10 (10)78.285.4163.6-7.220%
Last 5 (5)84.482.2166.6+2.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)69.486.5155.8-17.10%
vs Similar (12)76.981.2158.2-4.317%
vs Weaker (5)86.066.4152.4+19.6100%
This opponent (Shimane) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ShimaneJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormShimane
Date
Competition
Nagasaki
#16
L
74-96
74
96
-22
63avg 72
A02/02
B League
Ibaraki Robots
#22
W
66-61
66
61
+5
60avg 72
H08/02
B League
Ibaraki Robots
#22
W
84-74
84
74
+10
81avg 72
H09/02
B League
Osaka
#13
W
85-68
85
68
+17
82avg 72
A28/02
B League
Osaka
#13
L
60-74
60
74
-14
49avg 72
A01/03
B League
Kyoto
#10
W
97-74
97
74
+23
92avg 72
A05/03
B League
Ryukyu
#3
W
87-84 OT
87
84
+3
76avg 72
A12/03
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#9
L
70-71
70
71
-1
68avg 72
H19/03
B League
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#11
L
65-69
65
69
-4
62avg 72
A22/03
B League
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#11
W
85-61
85
61
+24
87avg 72
A23/03
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-28
19-22
20-24
14-22
21-16
16-16
15-17
14-12
28-30
16-14
18-11
22-19
29-18
17-12
25-18
14-20
12-15
16-20
17-22
15-17
31-21
21-17
22-16
23-20
18-13
27-20
11-26
18-15
18-15
26-19
16-17
10-20
18-16
19-21
14-21
14-11
22-11
17-20
24-11
22-19
150.5Avg total
77.3Scored
73.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (44)80.074.1154.1+5.964%
Season at home (22)80.872.0152.8+8.868%
Season away (22)79.276.2155.4+3.059%
Last 10 (10)77.373.2150.5+4.160%
Last 5 (5)80.871.8152.6+9.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)83.392.0175.3-8.767%
vs Similar (14)77.675.8153.4+1.850%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)78.672.3150.9+6.362%
This opponent (Saga) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.9-1.9Q1: +3.5+3.5Q2Q2: -1.6-1.6Q2: +1.3+1.3Q3Q3: -3.1-3.1Q3: -0.1-0.1Q4Q4: -0.6-0.6Q4: -0.9-0.9
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.9-1.9Q1: +3.5+3.5Q2Q2: -1.6-1.6Q2: +1.3+1.3Q3Q3: -3.1-3.1Q3: -0.1-0.1Q4Q4: -0.6-0.6Q4: -0.9-0.9
SagaShimane
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
SagaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
SeaHorses Mikawa
#7
L
27-39
27
39
-12
A02/02
B League
NeoPhoenix
#2
L
42-53
42
53
-11
H08/02
B League
NeoPhoenix
#2
L
46-54
46
54
-8
H09/02
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#9
L
40-45
40
45
-5
A01/03
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#9
L
29-37
29
37
-8
A02/03
B League
Nagasaki
#16
L
46-57
46
57
-11
H05/03
B League
Chiba
#5
W
44-41
44
41
+3
A12/03
B League
Shiga
#24
W
61-37
61
37
+24
H19/03
B League
Yokohama
#17
L
32-48
32
48
-16
A22/03
B League
Yokohama
#17
W
54-45
54
45
+9
A23/03
B League
87.7Avg total
42.1Scored
45.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.041.281.2-1.233%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.342.584.8-0.133%-
Last 30 away (15)37.740.077.7-2.333%-
Last 10 (10)42.145.687.7-3.530%-
Last 5 (5)47.445.693.0+1.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)37.241.979.2-4.731%-
vs Similar (12)41.141.782.8-0.633%-
vs Weaker (5)44.638.483.0+6.240%-
This opponent (Shimane) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ShimaneLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nagasaki
#16
L
40-50
40
50
-10
A02/02
B League
Ibaraki Robots
#22
W
37-32
37
32
+5
H08/02
B League
Ibaraki Robots
#22
D
44-44
44
44
+0
H09/02
B League
Osaka
#13
W
46-30
46
30
+16
A28/02
B League
Osaka
#13
L
28-35
28
35
-7
A01/03
B League
Kyoto
#10
W
52-38
52
38
+14
A05/03
B League
Ryukyu
#3
W
45-33
45
33
+12
A12/03
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#9
W
44-34
44
34
+10
H19/03
B League
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#11
D
37-37
37
37
+0
A22/03
B League
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#11
W
39-31
39
31
+8
A23/03
B League
77.6Avg total
41.2Scored
36.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.137.576.6+1.760%-
Last 30 at home (13)40.138.378.4+1.854%-
Last 30 away (17)38.436.875.2+1.665%-
Last 10 (10)41.236.477.6+4.860%-
Last 5 (5)43.434.678.0+8.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)44.748.092.7-3.367%-
vs Similar (14)38.436.675.1+1.864%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)38.635.974.5+2.754%-
This opponent (Saga) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Sagatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Saga: 77.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀12%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.6 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.2 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.4 pts a game · 12% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.6 points a game
49%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.619.8
48.8%
51.2%39.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.69.4
32.9%
33.4%28.2
🏀 Free throws14.39.4
65.7%
72.7%9.4
They take 69.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Shimanetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Shimane: 75.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.4 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.9 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.6 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.6 points a game
49%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.718.7
48.3%
51.2%37.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.38.3
31.6%
33.4%24.9
🏀 Free throws19.013.6
71.6%
72.7%13.6
They take 65.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 26 Mar 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Saga
WLWLLLLLLL
Shimane
WLLWWLWWWL
#18
League position
#8
-9.9
Net rating
+4.3
102.8
Offensive rating
104.7
112.7
Defensive rating
100.4
49.0%
Effective FG%
47.9%
52.8%
Opp. effective FG%
45.7%
17.2%
Turnover %
15.9%
32.5%
Off. rebound %
32.1%
0.21
Free-throw rate
0.29
32.9%
3-point %
31.6%
66.1%
Assist %
71.1%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence102.8 · 104.7Defence112.7 · 100.4Shooting49.0% · 47.9%3-point %32.9% · 31.6%Ball care17.2% · 15.9%Off. rebounds32.5% · 32.1%Free throws0.21 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)20% · 60%
■ Saga   ■ Shimane
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Saga wins
3
Shimane wins
DateGameScore
11/12/24Shimane v Saga85-55
27/03/24Shimane v Saga64-66
20/12/23Saga v Shimane80-77
22/10/23Shimane v Saga61-58
21/10/23Shimane v Saga87-74
Sagalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/03/25AYokohama93-82
22/03/25AYokohama69-87
19/03/25HShiga103-65
12/03/25AChiba71-85
05/03/25HNagasaki86-92
02/03/25ADiamond Dolphins65-81
01/03/25ADiamond Dolphins62-79
09/02/25HNeoPhoenix83-102
08/02/25HNeoPhoenix82-95
02/02/25ASeaHorses Mikawa68-86
Shimanelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/03/25ASun Rockers Shibuya85-61
22/03/25ASun Rockers Shibuya65-69
19/03/25HDiamond Dolphins70-71
12/03/25ARyukyu87-84 OT
05/03/25AKyoto97-74
01/03/25AOsaka60-74
28/02/25AOsaka85-68
09/02/25HIbaraki Robots84-74
08/02/25HIbaraki Robots66-61
02/02/25ANagasaki74-96

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Saga
B League 2024-25
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW30%
HomeLLLLW15%
AwayLLLLW42%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games442024
Win %30%15%42%
Points / game74.977.472.8
Allowed / game78.982.276.2
Point differential-4.0-4.8-3.4
Avg total153.8159.6148.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%15%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won12% (8)0% (5)33% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Shimane
B League 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW64%
HomeWWWWL68%
AwayLWWLW59%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games442222
Win %64%68%59%
Points / game80.080.879.2
Allowed / game74.172.076.2
Point differential+5.9+8.8+3.0
Avg total154.1152.8155.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+36%41%32%
Close games (≤5 pts) won54% (13)67% (6)43% (7)
Overtime %11%9%14%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 NeoPhoenix4439589%93.279.5+13.7
2 Utsunomiya Brex4537882%86.076.1+9.9
3 Alvark45331273%77.071.1+5.8
4 Ryukyu45321371%84.777.7+7.0
5 Gunma45311469%78.672.3+6.3
6 SeaHorses Mikawa45301567%82.075.0+7.0
7 Chiba45301567%81.877.5+4.3
8 Shimane44281664%80.074.1+5.9
9 Diamond Dolphins45252056%81.580.6+0.9
10 Sun Rockers Shibuya45242153%74.271.7+2.5
11 Osaka45232251%82.882.5+0.3
12 Kyoto44222250%80.779.7+1.0
13 Hiroshima D.45222349%79.882.6-2.9
14 Akita45212447%73.774.7-1.0
15 Nagasaki45212447%76.377.7-1.4
16 Nagoya Fighting Eagles45202544%78.080.4-2.4
17 Yokohama45192642%76.480.0-3.6
18 Hokkaido45172838%75.179.4-4.3
19 Koshigaya Alphas45143131%76.680.8-4.3
20 Brave Thunders45143131%78.886.8-7.9
21 Saga44133130%74.978.9-4.0
22 Ibaraki Robots4593620%73.281.2-8.0
23 Sendai4583718%73.383.8-10.5
24 Shiga4353812%76.490.8-14.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 24 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Saga1916252787
Shimane221628773
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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