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Saga vs Shiga Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 19 Mar 2025
Tip-off: 10:05
Final 103-65
26-24 35-13 19-12 23-16
Position#18
Record11-30
FormLLLLL
Points / game73.9
Allowed / game79.0
Saga 🏆
Japan
vs
Position#24
Record4-36
FormLLWLL
Points / game76.2
Allowed / game90.4
JapanB League· Saga Arena
Other2024-25
Meetings · Saga v Shiga
02 May 2027
SAGA v SHIG
upcoming
05 Nov 2025
SAGA77
SHIG83
05 Oct 2025
SAGA97
SHIG91
04 Oct 2025
SAGA92
SHIG68
19 Mar 2025
SAGA103
SHIG65
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Saga winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Shiga winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

SagaJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSaga
Date
Competition
Koshigaya Alphas
#20
L
75-90
75
90
-15
66avg 66
H26/01
B League
Kyoto
#10
L
78-81
78
81
-3
71avg 66
H29/01
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#7
L
63-81
63
81
-18
48avg 66
A01/02
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#7
L
68-86
68
86
-18
58avg 66
A02/02
B League
NeoPhoenix
#2
L
82-95
82
95
-13
73avg 66
H08/02
B League
NeoPhoenix
#2
L
83-102
83
102
-19
75avg 66
H09/02
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#9
L
62-79
62
79
-17
52avg 66
A01/03
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#9
L
65-81
65
81
-16
52avg 66
A02/03
B League
Nagasaki
#16
L
86-92
86
92
-6
78avg 66
H05/03
B League
Chiba
#5
L
71-85
71
85
-14
58avg 66
A12/03
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-24
24-21
18-19
16-26
20-15
22-18
20-21
16-27
15-18
21-14
16-27
11-22
18-24
9-15
18-21
23-26
19-23
23-30
20-28
20-14
27-25
19-29
18-23
19-25
22-27
18-18
13-17
9-17
17-24
12-13
15-24
21-20
25-35
21-22
19-15
21-20
19-24
25-17
10-21
17-23
160.5Avg total
73.3Scored
87.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (41)73.979.0152.8-5.127%
Season at home (19)76.183.1159.1-7.011%
Season away (22)72.075.4147.4-3.441%
Last 10 (10)73.387.2160.5-13.90%
Last 5 (5)73.487.8161.2-14.40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)69.485.4154.8-16.00%
vs Similar (10)76.180.6156.7-4.510%
vs Weaker ◀ (5)82.067.2149.2+14.8100%
This opponent (Shiga) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ShigaJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormShiga
Date
Competition
Sendai
#23
W
80-76
80
76
+4
75avg 72
A26/01
B League
Nagasaki
#16
L
89-101
89
101
-12
84avg 72
H29/01
B League
Brave Thunders
#21
L
82-105
82
105
-23
66avg 72
A01/02
B League
Brave Thunders
#21
L
95-98
95
98
-3
90avg 72
A02/02
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#7
L
80-99
80
99
-19
73avg 72
H08/02
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#7
L
73-110
73
110
-37
66avg 72
H09/02
B League
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#12
L
81-87
81
87
-6
74avg 72
H01/03
B League
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#12
W
81-75
81
75
+6
80avg 72
H02/03
B League
Osaka
#13
L
81-107
81
107
-26
71avg 72
H05/03
B League
Hokkaido
#19
L
78-116
78
116
-38
70avg 72
A12/03
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-23
21-14
19-21
18-18
22-34
27-15
20-26
20-26
18-30
17-36
22-18
25-21
20-23
23-25
25-24
27-26
16-30
24-14
18-30
22-25
18-22
24-39
11-25
20-24
15-13
18-21
23-30
25-23
15-13
17-21
28-23
21-18
17-32
24-21
22-21
18-33
23-29
19-29
20-36
16-22
179.4Avg total
82.0Scored
97.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (40)76.290.4166.6-14.210%
Season at home (20)76.392.2168.5-15.810%
Season away (20)76.088.7164.6-12.710%
Last 10 (10)82.097.4179.4-15.420%
Last 5 (5)78.899.0177.8-20.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (28)75.292.0167.2-16.87%
vs Similar (2)85.088.0173.0-3.050%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Saga) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -4.0-4.0Q1: -6.3-6.3Q2Q2: -0.3-0.3Q2: -2.1-2.1Q3Q3: -4.9-4.9Q3: -4.6-4.6Q4Q4: -4.7-4.7Q4: -2.4-2.4
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -4.0-4.0Q1: -6.3-6.3Q2Q2: -0.3-0.3Q2: -2.1-2.1Q3Q3: -4.9-4.9Q3: -4.6-4.6Q4Q4: -4.7-4.7Q4: -2.4-2.4
SagaShiga
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
SagaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Koshigaya Alphas
#20
L
41-45
41
45
-4
H26/01
B League
Kyoto
#10
W
42-33
42
33
+9
H29/01
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#7
W
36-32
36
32
+4
A01/02
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#7
L
27-39
27
39
-12
A02/02
B League
NeoPhoenix
#2
L
42-53
42
53
-11
H08/02
B League
NeoPhoenix
#2
L
46-54
46
54
-8
H09/02
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#9
L
40-45
40
45
-5
A01/03
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#9
L
29-37
29
37
-8
A02/03
B League
Nagasaki
#16
L
46-57
46
57
-11
H05/03
B League
Chiba
#5
W
44-41
44
41
+3
A12/03
B League
82.9Avg total
39.3Scored
43.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.640.979.5-2.330%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.042.782.7-2.725%-
Last 30 away (14)37.038.975.9-1.936%-
Last 10 (10)39.343.682.9-4.330%-
Last 5 (5)41.046.887.8-5.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)36.741.978.5-5.227%-
vs Similar (10)40.740.781.4+0.030%-
vs Weaker ◀ (5)40.238.678.8+1.640%-
This opponent (Shiga) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ShigaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sendai
#23
W
43-37
43
37
+6
A26/01
B League
Nagasaki
#16
D
49-49
49
49
+0
H29/01
B League
Brave Thunders
#21
L
35-66
35
66
-31
A01/02
B League
Brave Thunders
#21
L
43-48
43
48
-5
A02/02
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#7
L
40-44
40
44
-4
H08/02
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#7
L
42-61
42
61
-19
H09/02
B League
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#12
L
33-34
33
34
-1
H01/03
B League
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#12
L
32-34
32
34
-2
H02/03
B League
Osaka
#13
L
41-53
41
53
-12
H05/03
B League
Hokkaido
#19
L
42-58
42
58
-16
A12/03
B League
88.4Avg total
40.0Scored
48.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.246.184.3-7.810%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.146.585.6-7.30%-
Last 30 away (15)37.345.783.0-8.320%-
Last 10 (10)40.048.488.4-8.410%-
Last 5 (5)38.048.086.0-10.00%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (28)38.245.984.1-7.77%-
vs Similar (2)38.548.587.0-10.050%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Saga) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Sagatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Saga: 72.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.6 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.2 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.6 points a game
49%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.118.8
44.7%
51.2%37.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.48.5
31.0%
33.4%25.5
🏀 Free throws13.49.2
68.7%
72.7%9.2
They take 69.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Shigatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Shiga: 81.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.0 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.2 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.6 points a game
49%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.321.0
48.5%
51.2%42.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.89.0
36.3%
33.4%27.0
🏀 Free throws15.912.2
76.7%
72.7%12.2
They take 68.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 19 Mar 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Saga
LLLLLLLLLL
Shiga
LLWLLLLLLW
#18
League position
#24
-19.2
Net rating
-19.7
98.2
Offensive rating
105.2
117.4
Defensive rating
124.9
45.4%
Effective FG%
50.7%
56.2%
Opp. effective FG%
58.6%
18.0%
Turnover %
17.4%
35.0%
Off. rebound %
29.7%
0.19
Free-throw rate
0.23
31.0%
3-point %
36.3%
67.8%
Assist %
70.0%
0%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence98.2 · 105.2Defence117.4 · 124.9Shooting45.4% · 50.7%3-point %31.0% · 36.3%Ball care18.0% · 17.4%Off. rebounds35.0% · 29.7%Free throws0.19 · 0.23Form (last 10/10)0% · 20%
■ Saga   ■ Shiga
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Saga wins
0
Shiga wins
DateGameScore
06/11/24Shiga v Saga69-83
Sagalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/03/25AChiba71-85
05/03/25HNagasaki86-92
02/03/25ADiamond Dolphins65-81
01/03/25ADiamond Dolphins62-79
09/02/25HNeoPhoenix83-102
08/02/25HNeoPhoenix82-95
02/02/25ASeaHorses Mikawa68-86
01/02/25ASeaHorses Mikawa63-81
29/01/25HKyoto78-81
26/01/25HKoshigaya Alphas75-90
Shigalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/03/25AHokkaido78-116
05/03/25HOsaka81-107
02/03/25HNagoya Fighting Eagles81-75
01/03/25HNagoya Fighting Eagles81-87
09/02/25HSeaHorses Mikawa73-110
08/02/25HSeaHorses Mikawa80-99
02/02/25ABrave Thunders95-98
01/02/25ABrave Thunders82-105
29/01/25HNagasaki89-101
26/01/25ASendai80-76

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Saga
B League 2024-25
Recent: 0 Wins / 10 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL27%
HomeLLLLL11%
AwayLLLLL41%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games411922
Win %27%11%41%
Points / game73.976.172.0
Allowed / game79.083.175.4
Point differential-5.1-7.0-3.4
Avg total152.8159.1147.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%11%23%
Close games (≤5 pts) won12% (8)0% (5)33% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Shiga
B League 2024-25
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL10%
HomeLLLWL10%
AwayLWLLL10%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games402020
Win %10%10%10%
Points / game76.276.376.0
Allowed / game90.492.288.7
Point differential-14.2-15.8-12.7
Avg total166.6168.5164.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (8)0% (1)29% (7)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 NeoPhoenix4036490%93.078.9+14.1
2 Utsunomiya Brex4134783%86.175.8+10.3
3 Gunma41291271%78.671.9+6.7
4 Alvark41291271%76.470.7+5.7
5 SeaHorses Mikawa41281368%82.775.3+7.4
6 Ryukyu41281368%83.876.9+6.9
7 Shimane41271466%80.574.6+5.8
8 Chiba41271466%81.477.5+3.9
9 Sun Rockers Shibuya41231856%75.071.0+4.0
10 Diamond Dolphins41221954%82.181.5+0.6
11 Kyoto41212051%80.779.5+1.2
12 Osaka41212051%82.081.9+0.1
13 Akita41192246%73.874.5-0.8
14 Nagasaki41192246%76.078.0-2.0
15 Nagoya Fighting Eagles41192246%78.080.5-2.4
16 Hiroshima D.41192246%78.882.3-3.5
17 Yokohama41172441%75.679.6-4.0
18 Hokkaido41152637%74.879.2-4.5
19 Koshigaya Alphas41142734%77.681.0-3.4
20 Brave Thunders41132832%77.185.4-8.3
21 Saga41113027%73.979.0-5.1
22 Ibaraki Robots4183320%73.181.6-8.4
23 Sendai4183320%72.882.9-10.1
24 Shiga4043610%76.290.4-14.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 24 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Saga26351923103
Shiga2413121665
← all games of the day
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