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Shinshu vs Fukushima Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 05 Jan 2025
Tip-off: 05:05
Final 93-76
17-21 34-20 20-21 22-14
Position#5
Record19-10
FormLWWWW
Points / game87.9
Allowed / game77.3
Shinshu 🏆
Japan
vs
Position#13
Record6-23
FormWLLLL
Points / game72.9
Allowed / game83.1
JapanB2.League· Kotobuki Arena Chikuma
Other2024-25
Meetings · Shinshu v Fukushima
05 Jan 2025
SHIN93
FUKU76
04 Jan 2025
SHIN99
FUKU72
15 Feb 2015
SHIN102
FUKU105
14 Feb 2015
SHIN77
FUKU95
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Shinshu winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Fukushima winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ShinshuJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormShinshu
Date
Competition
Ehime Orange Vikings
#14
W
104-80
104
80
+24
103avg 75
H07/12
B2.League
Ehime Orange Vikings
#14
W
108-58
108
58
+50
107avg 75
H08/12
B2.League
Altiri Chiba
#1
L
73-90
73
90
-17
61avg 75
A14/12
B2.League
Altiri Chiba
#1
L
77-89
77
89
-12
66avg 75
A15/12
B2.League
Fukuoka
#2
L
79-87
79
87
-8
74avg 75
A18/12
B2.League
Toyama
#3
L
92-96
92
96
-4
92avg 75
H21/12
B2.League
Toyama
#3
W
96-89 OT
96
89
+7
96avg 75
H22/12
B2.League
Nara
#9
W
89-77
89
77
+12
92avg 75
A28/12
B2.League
Nara
#9
W
79-73
79
73
+6
83avg 75
A29/12
B2.League
Fukushima
#13
W
99-72
99
72
+27
107avg 75
H04/01
B2.League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-10
25-23
30-23
23-24
24-10
30-11
31-19
23-18
10-27
23-18
23-26
17-19
18-22
19-28
26-22
14-17
16-11
28-23
16-27
19-26
26-31
27-20
25-26
14-19
22-21
16-28
22-18
25-18
24-20
18-27
26-18
21-12
24-18
21-16
10-19
24-20
24-18
29-17
23-19
23-18
170.7Avg total
89.6Scored
81.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)87.977.3165.2+10.666%
Season at home (14)91.074.1165.1+16.979%
Season away (15)85.080.3165.3+4.753%
Last 10 (10)89.681.1170.7+8.560%
Last 5 (5)91.081.4172.4+9.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)69.787.0156.7-17.30%
vs Similar (6)85.282.5167.7+2.750%
vs Weaker ◀ (21)89.974.6164.5+15.376%
This opponent (Fukushima) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
FukushimaJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormFukushima
Date
Competition
Shizuoka
#6
L
64-72
64
72
-8
55avg 73
H07/12
B2.League
Shizuoka
#6
L
53-66
53
66
-13
50avg 73
H08/12
B2.League
Yamagata Wyverns
#11
W
83-78 OT
83
78
+5
77avg 73
A14/12
B2.League
Yamagata Wyverns
#11
L
70-82
70
82
-12
60avg 73
A15/12
B2.League
Toyama
#3
L
79-121
79
121
-42
70avg 73
H18/12
B2.League
Nara
#9
W
73-62
73
62
+11
72avg 73
H21/12
B2.League
Nara
#9
L
77-83
77
83
-6
71avg 73
H22/12
B2.League
Kagoshima Rebnise
#4
L
73-88
73
88
-15
65avg 73
A27/12
B2.League
Kagoshima Rebnise
#4
L
54-66
54
66
-12
36avg 73
A28/12
B2.League
Shinshu
#5
L
72-99
72
99
-27
58avg 73
A04/01
B2.League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-17
18-22
16-15
10-18
13-17
14-14
12-17
14-18
21-25
23-17
15-15
12-14
15-23
19-16
22-19
14-24
19-26
21-26
20-34
19-35
28-18
18-13
12-8
15-23
20-21
16-18
25-16
16-28
33-21
12-29
11-19
17-19
16-14
14-21
12-16
12-15
18-24
17-29
19-23
18-23
151.5Avg total
69.8Scored
81.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)72.983.1156.0-10.221%
Season at home (15)75.483.9159.3-8.527%
Season away (14)70.282.1152.4-11.914%
Last 10 (10)69.881.7151.5-11.920%
Last 5 (5)69.879.6149.4-9.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)71.383.5154.8-12.216%
vs Similar (3)84.385.7170.0-1.333%
vs Weaker (2)81.081.0162.0+0.050%
This opponent (Shinshu) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +2.6+2.6Q1: -0.3-0.3Q2Q2: +2.5+2.5Q2: -3.3-3.3Q3Q3: +1.5+1.5Q3: -1.8-1.8Q4Q4: +1.2+1.2Q4: -7.0-7.0
-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +2.6+2.6Q1: -0.3-0.3Q2Q2: +2.5+2.5Q2: -3.3-3.3Q3Q3: +1.5+1.5Q3: -1.8-1.8Q4Q4: +1.2+1.2Q4: -7.0-7.0
ShinshuFukushima
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ShinshuLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ehime Orange Vikings
#14
W
51-33
51
33
+18
H07/12
B2.League
Ehime Orange Vikings
#14
W
54-21
54
21
+33
H08/12
B2.League
Altiri Chiba
#1
L
33-45
33
45
-12
A14/12
B2.League
Altiri Chiba
#1
L
37-50
37
50
-13
A15/12
B2.League
Fukuoka
#2
W
44-34
44
34
+10
A18/12
B2.League
Toyama
#3
W
53-51
53
51
+2
H21/12
B2.League
Toyama
#3
L
38-49
38
49
-11
H22/12
B2.League
Nara
#9
L
42-47
42
47
-5
A28/12
B2.League
Nara
#9
W
45-34
45
34
+11
A29/12
B2.League
Fukushima
#13
W
53-35
53
35
+18
H04/01
B2.League
84.9Avg total
45.0Scored
39.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.737.180.8+6.667%-
Last 30 at home (14)46.837.183.9+9.679%-
Last 30 away (16)41.037.178.1+3.956%-
Last 10 (10)45.039.984.9+5.160%-
Last 5 (5)46.243.289.4+3.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)33.047.080.0-14.00%-
vs Similar (6)44.739.584.2+5.283%-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)45.035.080.0+9.971%-
This opponent (Fukushima) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
FukushimaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Shizuoka
#6
L
38-39
38
39
-1
H07/12
B2.League
Shizuoka
#6
L
27-31
27
31
-4
H08/12
B2.League
Yamagata Wyverns
#11
W
44-42
44
42
+2
A14/12
B2.League
Yamagata Wyverns
#11
L
34-39
34
39
-5
A15/12
B2.League
Toyama
#3
L
40-52
40
52
-12
H18/12
B2.League
Nara
#9
W
46-31
46
31
+15
H21/12
B2.League
Nara
#9
L
36-39
36
39
-3
H22/12
B2.League
Kagoshima Rebnise
#4
L
45-50
45
50
-5
A27/12
B2.League
Kagoshima Rebnise
#4
L
30-35
30
35
-5
A28/12
B2.League
Shinshu
#5
L
35-53
35
53
-18
A04/01
B2.League
78.6Avg total
37.5Scored
41.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.743.179.8-6.420%-
Last 30 at home (16)37.143.880.9-6.712%-
Last 30 away (14)36.342.378.6-6.029%-
Last 10 (10)37.541.178.6-3.620%-
Last 5 (5)38.441.680.0-3.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)36.042.978.9-6.920%-
vs Similar (3)37.044.081.0-7.00%-
vs Weaker (2)45.544.089.5+1.550%-
This opponent (Shinshu) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Shinshutheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Shinshu: 88.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.2 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.5 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.9 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.3 points a game
52%
30%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.821.1
54.4%
51.0%42.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.310.5
37.1%
32.9%31.5
🏀 Free throws20.714.9
72.0%
70.7%14.9
They take 67.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Fukushimatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Fukushima: 69.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀11%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.4 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws7.4 pts a game · 11% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.3 points a game
52%
30%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.317.2
48.7%
51.0%34.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.79.1
31.7%
32.9%27.3
🏀 Free throws11.67.4
63.8%
70.7%7.4
They take 64.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 05 Jan 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Shinshu
WWWWLLLLWW
Fukushima
LLLLWLLWLL
#5
League position
#13
+10.9
Net rating
-16.5
113.4
Offensive rating
95.3
102.5
Defensive rating
111.8
54.9%
Effective FG%
48.2%
45.9%
Opp. effective FG%
53.2%
15.5%
Turnover %
17.8%
27.2%
Off. rebound %
23.8%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.18
37.1%
3-point %
31.7%
75.3%
Assist %
72.6%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence113.4 · 95.3Defence102.5 · 111.8Shooting54.9% · 48.2%3-point %37.1% · 31.7%Ball care15.5% · 17.8%Off. rebounds27.2% · 23.8%Free throws0.31 · 0.18Form (last 10/10)60% · 20%
■ Shinshu   ■ Fukushima
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Shinshu wins
4
Fukushima wins
DateGameScore
04/01/25Shinshu v Fukushima99-72
27/10/24Fukushima v Shinshu80-93
26/10/24Fukushima v Shinshu74-101
26/04/15Fukushima v Shinshu104-89
25/04/15Fukushima v Shinshu89-77
15/02/15Shinshu v Fukushima102-105
14/02/15Shinshu v Fukushima77-95
Shinshulast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/01/25HFukushima99-72
29/12/24ANara79-73
28/12/24ANara89-77
22/12/24HToyama96-89 OT
21/12/24HToyama92-96
18/12/24AFukuoka79-87
15/12/24AAltiri Chiba77-89
14/12/24AAltiri Chiba73-90
08/12/24HEhime Orange Vikings108-58
07/12/24HEhime Orange Vikings104-80
Fukushimalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/01/25AShinshu72-99
28/12/24AKagoshima Rebnise54-66
27/12/24AKagoshima Rebnise73-88
22/12/24HNara77-83
21/12/24HNara73-62
18/12/24HToyama79-121
15/12/24AYamagata Wyverns70-82
14/12/24AYamagata Wyverns83-78 OT
08/12/24HShizuoka53-66
07/12/24HShizuoka64-72

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Shinshu
B2.League 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW66%
HomeWWLWW79%
AwayLLLWW53%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291415
Win %66%79%53%
Points / game87.991.085.0
Allowed / game77.374.180.3
Point differential+10.6+16.9+4.7
Avg total165.2165.1165.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+48%64%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (3)0% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %14%7%20%
Fukushima
B2.League 2024-25
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL21%
HomeLLLWL27%
AwayWLLLL14%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291514
Win %21%27%14%
Points / game72.975.470.2
Allowed / game83.183.982.1
Point differential-10.2-8.5-11.9
Avg total156.0159.3152.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%20%7%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)50% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %7%0%14%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Altiri Chiba2927293%92.777.2+15.6
2 Fukuoka2922776%83.573.4+10.1
3 Kagoshima Rebnise2920969%82.877.1+5.8
4 Toyama30201067%88.780.1+8.6
5 Fukui30201067%83.279.6+3.5
6 Shinshu29191066%87.977.3+10.6
7 Shizuoka29171259%77.875.2+2.6
8 Yamagata Wyverns29121741%80.983.9-3.1
9 Kobe29111838%81.284.8-3.6
10 Aomori29111838%78.287.3-9.1
11 Nara29101934%75.579.3-3.8
12 Kumamoto2982128%77.585.4-7.9
13 Fukushima2962321%72.983.1-10.2
14 Ehime Orange Vikings291283%73.192.7-19.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Shinshu1734202293
Fukushima2120211476
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