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Fukushima vs Nara Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 21 Dec 2024
Tip-off: 04:45
Final 73-62
28-18 18-13 12-8 15-23
Position#13
Record5-19
FormLLWLL
Points / game73.5
Allowed / game83.8
vs
Position#9
Record9-15
FormWLLLL
Points / game76.1
Allowed / game78.8
JapanB2.League· Kokichi Tsuburaya Memorial Arena
Other2024-25
Meetings · Fukushima v Nara
22 Dec 2024
FUKU77
NARA83
21 Dec 2024
FUKU73
NARA62
17 Dec 2023
FUKU74
NARA56
16 Dec 2023
FUKU67
NARA85
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Fukushima winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Nara winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

FukushimaJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormFukushima
Date
Competition
Toyama
#3
L
84-92 OT
84
92
-8
77avg 73
A19/11
B2.League
Fukui
#7
L
77-89
77
89
-12
67avg 73
H23/11
B2.League
Fukui
#7
L
66-78
66
78
-12
64avg 73
H24/11
B2.League
Altiri Chiba
#1
L
61-87
61
87
-26
51avg 73
A30/11
B2.League
Altiri Chiba
#1
L
60-81
60
81
-21
53avg 73
A01/12
B2.League
Shizuoka
#6
L
64-72
64
72
-8
55avg 73
H07/12
B2.League
Shizuoka
#6
L
53-66
53
66
-13
50avg 73
H08/12
B2.League
Yamagata Wyverns
#11
W
83-78 OT
83
78
+5
77avg 73
A14/12
B2.League
Yamagata Wyverns
#11
L
70-82
70
82
-12
60avg 73
A15/12
B2.League
Toyama
#3
L
79-121
79
121
-42
70avg 73
H18/12
B2.League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-24
29-17
15-26
17-11
18-27
11-18
17-27
31-17
14-23
13-24
21-13
18-18
17-25
16-24
13-18
15-20
10-22
15-26
14-11
21-22
20-17
18-22
16-15
10-18
13-17
14-14
12-17
14-18
21-25
23-17
15-15
12-14
15-23
19-16
22-19
14-24
19-26
21-26
20-34
19-35
154.3Avg total
69.7Scored
84.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)73.583.8157.3-10.221%
Season at home (13)75.585.7161.2-10.223%
Season away (11)71.381.5152.8-10.318%
Last 10 (10)69.784.6154.3-14.910%
Last 5 (5)69.883.8153.6-14.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)72.986.0158.8-13.114%
vs Similar (4)85.281.5166.8+3.850%
vs Weaker (4)86.072.5158.5+13.575%
This opponent (Nara) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NaraJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNara
Date
Competition
Kagoshima Rebnise
#4
L
66-75
66
75
-9
58avg 69
H17/11
B2.League
Shinshu
#5
W
68-66
68
66
+2
58avg 69
A25/11
B2.League
Shinshu
#5
L
63-82
63
82
-19
48avg 69
A26/11
B2.League
Kumamoto
#8
W
88-74
88
74
+14
86avg 69
H30/11
B2.League
Kumamoto
#8
L
69-73
69
73
-4
59avg 69
H01/12
B2.League
Fukui
#7
W
86-77
86
77
+9
86avg 69
A07/12
B2.League
Fukui
#7
L
69-83
69
83
-14
61avg 69
A08/12
B2.League
Shizuoka
#6
L
67-82
67
82
-15
61avg 69
H14/12
B2.League
Shizuoka
#6
L
76-79
76
79
-3
71avg 69
H15/12
B2.League
Kagoshima Rebnise
#4
L
78-87
78
87
-9
69avg 69
A18/12
B2.League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-18
15-24
10-16
22-17
25-11
16-23
13-18
14-14
18-21
18-18
10-22
17-21
17-28
26-8
28-21
17-17
23-15
11-25
12-12
23-21
24-18
20-17
20-19
22-23
14-24
11-20
19-17
25-22
14-25
19-21
15-11
19-25
12-19
15-29
15-18
34-13
20-25
15-21
19-20
24-21
150.8Avg total
73.0Scored
77.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)76.178.8154.9-2.638%
Season at home (13)73.679.6153.2-6.023%
Season away (11)79.177.7156.8+1.455%
Last 10 (10)73.077.8150.8-4.830%
Last 5 (5)75.281.6156.8-6.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)71.479.8151.2-8.429%
vs Similar (10)84.081.1165.1+2.960%
vs Weaker ◀ (6)81.276.2157.3+5.050%
This opponent (Fukushima) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -6.5-6.5Q1: -1.8-1.8Q2Q2: -2.5-2.5Q2: -4.0-4.0Q3Q3: -3.0-3.0Q3: -1.3-1.3Q4Q4: -2.6-2.6Q4: +2.3+2.3
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -6.5-6.5Q1: -1.8-1.8Q2Q2: -2.5-2.5Q2: -4.0-4.0Q3Q3: -3.0-3.0Q3: -1.3-1.3Q4Q4: -2.6-2.6Q4: +2.3+2.3
FukushimaNara
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
FukushimaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Toyama
#3
W
46-41
46
41
+5
A19/11
B2.League
Fukui
#7
L
29-45
29
45
-16
H23/11
B2.League
Fukui
#7
L
27-47
27
47
-20
H24/11
B2.League
Altiri Chiba
#1
L
33-49
33
49
-16
A30/11
B2.League
Altiri Chiba
#1
L
25-48
25
48
-23
A01/12
B2.League
Shizuoka
#6
L
38-39
38
39
-1
H07/12
B2.League
Shizuoka
#6
L
27-31
27
31
-4
H08/12
B2.League
Yamagata Wyverns
#11
W
44-42
44
42
+2
A14/12
B2.League
Yamagata Wyverns
#11
L
34-39
34
39
-5
A15/12
B2.League
Toyama
#3
L
40-52
40
52
-12
H18/12
B2.League
77.6Avg total
34.3Scored
43.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.643.080.6-5.427%-
Last 30 at home (17)37.845.283.0-7.412%-
Last 30 away (13)37.340.277.5-2.946%-
Last 10 (10)34.343.377.6-9.020%-
Last 5 (5)36.640.677.2-4.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)36.044.080.0-8.018%-
vs Similar (4)39.541.280.8-1.825%-
vs Weaker (4)44.539.283.8+5.275%-
This opponent (Nara) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NaraLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kagoshima Rebnise
#4
L
34-42
34
42
-8
H17/11
B2.League
Shinshu
#5
W
41-34
41
34
+7
A25/11
B2.League
Shinshu
#5
L
36-39
36
39
-3
A26/11
B2.League
Kumamoto
#8
W
43-36
43
36
+7
H30/11
B2.League
Kumamoto
#8
L
34-40
34
40
-6
H01/12
B2.League
Fukui
#7
W
44-35
44
35
+9
A07/12
B2.League
Fukui
#7
L
25-44
25
44
-19
A08/12
B2.League
Shizuoka
#6
L
33-46
33
46
-13
H14/12
B2.League
Shizuoka
#6
L
27-48
27
48
-21
H15/12
B2.League
Kagoshima Rebnise
#4
L
35-46
35
46
-11
A18/12
B2.League
76.2Avg total
35.2Scored
41.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.340.479.7-1.143%-
Last 30 at home (17)37.241.278.4-4.135%-
Last 30 away (13)42.139.381.4+2.854%-
Last 10 (10)35.241.076.2-5.830%-
Last 5 (5)32.843.876.6-11.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)35.641.376.9-5.629%-
vs Similar (10)42.240.582.7+1.750%-
vs Weaker ◀ (6)43.038.281.2+4.867%-
This opponent (Fukushima) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Fukushimatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Fukushima: 68.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀11%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.6 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.7 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws7.4 pts a game · 11% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.3 points a game
52%
30%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.817.3
48.3%
51.0%34.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.48.9
31.3%
32.9%26.7
🏀 Free throws10.47.4
71.2%
70.7%7.4
They take 64.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Naratheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Nara: 72.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.6 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.4 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.0 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.3 points a game
52%
30%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.317.8
42.1%
51.0%35.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.07.8
37.1%
32.9%23.4
🏀 Free throws19.113.0
68.1%
70.7%13.0
They take 63.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 21 Dec 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Fukushima
LLWLLLLLLL
Nara
LLLLWLWLWL
#13
League position
#9
-19.9
Net rating
-6.4
92.0
Offensive rating
96.6
111.9
Defensive rating
103.0
47.7%
Effective FG%
46.6%
53.6%
Opp. effective FG%
47.5%
19.2%
Turnover %
18.7%
22.9%
Off. rebound %
29.5%
0.16
Free-throw rate
0.30
31.3%
3-point %
37.1%
77.5%
Assist %
65.6%
10%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence92.0 · 96.6Defence111.9 · 103.0Shooting47.7% · 46.6%3-point %31.3% · 37.1%Ball care19.2% · 18.7%Off. rebounds22.9% · 29.5%Free throws0.16 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)10% · 30%
■ Fukushima   ■ Nara
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Fukushima wins
2
Nara wins
DateGameScore
10/11/24Nara v Fukushima78-69
09/11/24Nara v Fukushima65-76
17/12/23Fukushima v Nara74-56
16/12/23Fukushima v Nara67-85
Fukushimalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/12/24HToyama79-121
15/12/24AYamagata Wyverns70-82
14/12/24AYamagata Wyverns83-78 OT
08/12/24HShizuoka53-66
07/12/24HShizuoka64-72
01/12/24AAltiri Chiba60-81
30/11/24AAltiri Chiba61-87
24/11/24HFukui66-78
23/11/24HFukui77-89
19/11/24AToyama84-92 OT
Naralast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/12/24AKagoshima Rebnise78-87
15/12/24HShizuoka76-79
14/12/24HShizuoka67-82
08/12/24AFukui69-83
07/12/24AFukui86-77
01/12/24HKumamoto69-73
30/11/24HKumamoto88-74
26/11/24AShinshu63-82
25/11/24AShinshu68-66
17/11/24HKagoshima Rebnise66-75

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Fukushima
B2.League 2024-25
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL21%
HomeLLLLL23%
AwayLLLWL18%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241311
Win %21%23%18%
Points / game73.575.571.3
Allowed / game83.885.781.5
Point differential-10.2-10.2-10.3
Avg total157.3161.2152.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%15%9%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)50% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %8%0%18%
Nara
B2.League 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL38%
HomeLWLLL23%
AwayWLWLL55%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241311
Win %38%23%55%
Points / game76.173.679.1
Allowed / game78.879.677.7
Point differential-2.6-6.0+1.4
Avg total154.9153.2156.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%15%27%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)0% (3)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Altiri Chiba2423196%92.976.4+16.5
2 Fukuoka2418675%84.374.3+10.0
3 Toyama2417771%87.578.5+9.0
4 Fukui2417771%82.877.6+5.1
5 Kagoshima Rebnise2416867%83.078.7+4.3
6 Shinshu2415962%87.276.4+10.8
7 Shizuoka24141058%76.474.7+1.7
8 Aomori24101442%78.586.3-7.8
9 Nara2491538%76.178.8-2.6
10 Kobe2491538%82.085.8-3.8
11 Yamagata Wyverns2491538%80.584.3-3.8
12 Kumamoto2451921%76.586.4-10.0
13 Fukushima2451921%73.583.8-10.2
14 Ehime Orange Vikings241234%75.094.1-19.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Fukushima2818121573
Nara181382362
← all games of the day
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