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Shinshu vs Hiroshima D. Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 11 Feb 2024
Tip-off: 05:05
Final 74-96
22-28 18-20 15-24 19-24
Position#23
Record6-32
FormLLLLL
Points / game70.7
Allowed / game83.4
vs
Position#6
Record20-18
FormLWLLW
Points / game78.2
Allowed / game73.7
JapanB League· Kotobuki Arena Chikuma (Chikuma)
Other2023-24
Meetings · Shinshu v Hiroshima D.
13 Feb 2027
SHIN v HIRO
upcoming
11 Feb 2024
SHIN74
HIRO96
10 Feb 2024
SHIN68
HIRO79
13 Feb 2022
SHIN66
HIRO75
12 Feb 2022
SHIN86
HIRO72
02 May 2021
SHIN v HIRO
upcoming
01 May 2021
SHIN v HIRO
upcoming
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Shinshu winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Hiroshima D. winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ShinshuJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormShinshu
Date
Competition
Yokohama
#19
L
71-81
71
81
-10
63avg 63
H17/01
B League
Alvark
#2
L
57-87
57
87
-30
48avg 63
H20/01
B League
Alvark
#2
L
63-81
63
81
-18
56avg 63
H21/01
B League
Hokkaido
#20
W
79-73
79
73
+6
76avg 63
A27/01
B League
Hokkaido
#20
L
56-90
56
90
-34
45avg 63
A28/01
B League
NeoPhoenix
#3
L
62-75
62
75
-13
58avg 63
H31/01
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#8
L
76-85
76
85
-9
70avg 63
A03/02
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#8
L
67-80
67
80
-13
63avg 63
A04/02
B League
Saga
#15
L
58-74
58
74
-16
45avg 63
H07/02
B League
Hiroshima D.
#6
L
68-79
68
79
-11
66avg 63
H10/02
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-14
20-31
19-16
13-20
16-25
16-21
14-23
11-18
12-12
21-19
16-22
14-28
21-22
18-14
20-21
20-16
16-24
18-20
11-21
11-25
20-18
16-22
10-20
16-15
17-21
24-21
13-24
22-19
15-22
21-19
12-21
19-18
11-30
14-16
13-11
20-17
14-15
18-23
20-14
16-27
146.2Avg total
65.7Scored
80.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (38)70.783.4154.1-12.816%
Season at home (20)70.181.8151.8-11.720%
Season away (18)71.385.3156.6-14.111%
Last 10 (10)65.780.5146.2-14.810%
Last 5 (5)66.278.6144.8-12.40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)66.483.0149.5-16.64%
vs Similar (6)75.281.5156.7-6.350%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Hiroshima D.) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Hiroshima D.JapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormD.
Date
Competition
Shimane
#12
L
66-75
66
75
-9
59avg 71
A17/01
B League
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#7
L
65-71
65
71
-6
60avg 71
H20/01
B League
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#7
W
88-77
88
77
+11
82avg 71
H21/01
B League
Ibaraki Robots
#22
W
89-53
89
53
+36
85avg 71
A27/01
B League
Ibaraki Robots
#22
W
95-74
95
74
+21
94avg 71
A28/01
B League
Nagasaki
#17
L
74-85
74
85
-11
62avg 71
H31/01
B League
Sendai
#16
W
69-61
69
61
+8
64avg 71
A03/02
B League
Sendai
#16
L
87-90
87
90
-3
80avg 71
A04/02
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#4
L
64-78
64
78
-14
50avg 71
H07/02
B League
Shinshu
#23
W
79-68
79
68
+11
75avg 71
A10/02
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-13
18-19
20-19
13-24
16-16
12-18
20-15
17-22
21-23
28-17
24-24
15-13
27-16
15-12
22-12
25-13
25-17
17-23
29-17
24-17
23-26
21-23
12-21
18-15
21-16
18-13
12-14
18-18
16-16
23-24
31-17
17-33
20-19
6-21
17-22
21-16
15-14
23-18
14-20
27-16
150.8Avg total
77.6Scored
73.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (38)78.273.7151.9+4.653%
Season at home (17)77.474.3151.6+3.153%
Season away (21)79.073.1152.1+5.852%
Last 10 (10)77.673.2150.8+4.450%
Last 5 (5)74.676.4151.0-1.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)77.884.0161.8-6.225%
vs Similar (6)68.776.8145.5-8.20%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)82.569.0151.6+13.585%
This opponent (Shinshu) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -4.2-4.2Q1: +2.3+2.3Q2Q2: -2.0-2.0Q2: -0.7-0.7Q3Q3: -4.5-4.5Q3: +2.0+2.0Q4Q4: -4.1-4.1Q4: +0.8+0.8
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -4.2-4.2Q1: +2.3+2.3Q2Q2: -2.0-2.0Q2: -0.7-0.7Q3Q3: -4.5-4.5Q3: +2.0+2.0Q4Q4: -4.1-4.1Q4: +0.8+0.8
ShinshuHiroshima D.
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ShinshuLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Yokohama
#19
L
39-45
39
45
-6
H17/01
B League
Alvark
#2
L
32-46
32
46
-14
H20/01
B League
Alvark
#2
W
33-31
33
31
+2
H21/01
B League
Hokkaido
#20
W
39-36
39
36
+3
A27/01
B League
Hokkaido
#20
L
34-44
34
44
-10
A28/01
B League
NeoPhoenix
#3
L
36-40
36
40
-4
H31/01
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#8
L
41-42
41
42
-1
A03/02
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#8
L
36-41
36
41
-5
A04/02
B League
Saga
#15
L
25-46
25
46
-21
H07/02
B League
Hiroshima D.
#6
L
32-38
32
38
-6
H10/02
B League
75.6Avg total
34.7Scored
40.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.143.078.1-8.023%-
Last 30 at home (15)34.841.776.5-6.920%-
Last 30 away (15)35.344.379.7-9.027%-
Last 10 (10)34.740.975.6-6.220%-
Last 5 (5)34.041.475.4-7.40%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)34.244.078.2-9.712%-
vs Similar (6)38.339.377.7-1.067%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Hiroshima D.) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Hiroshima D.Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Shimane
#12
W
33-32
33
32
+1
A17/01
B League
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#7
L
28-34
28
34
-6
H20/01
B League
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#7
W
49-40
49
40
+9
H21/01
B League
Ibaraki Robots
#22
W
42-28
42
28
+14
A27/01
B League
Ibaraki Robots
#22
W
42-40
42
40
+2
A28/01
B League
Nagasaki
#17
L
44-49
44
49
-5
H31/01
B League
Sendai
#16
W
39-29
39
29
+10
A03/02
B League
Sendai
#16
L
39-40
39
40
-1
A04/02
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#4
L
26-40
26
40
-14
H07/02
B League
Shinshu
#23
W
38-32
38
32
+6
A10/02
B League
74.4Avg total
38.0Scored
36.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.735.376.0+5.567%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.737.178.9+4.660%-
Last 30 away (15)39.733.473.1+6.373%-
Last 10 (10)38.036.474.4+1.660%-
Last 5 (5)37.238.075.2-0.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)41.045.286.2-4.225%-
vs Similar (6)35.337.272.5-1.850%-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)42.332.775.0+9.680%-
This opponent (Shinshu) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Shinshutheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Shinshu: 65.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀12%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.8 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.1 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws8.1 pts a game · 12% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.8 points a game
49%
35%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.216.9
50.9%
50.9%33.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.37.7
28.2%
33.5%23.1
🏀 Free throws11.88.1
68.6%
72.0%8.1
They take 60.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Hiroshima D.their own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Hiroshima D.: 76.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.6 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.4 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.8 points a game
49%
35%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.619.3
51.3%
50.9%38.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.08.5
32.7%
33.5%25.5
🏀 Free throws17.612.4
70.5%
72.0%12.4
They take 63.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 11 Feb 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Shinshu
LLLLLLWLLL
Hiroshima D.
WLLWLWWWLL
#23
League position
#6
-21.1
Net rating
+5.4
91.9
Offensive rating
106.6
113.0
Defensive rating
101.2
47.0%
Effective FG%
50.4%
51.8%
Opp. effective FG%
49.1%
19.8%
Turnover %
16.1%
25.0%
Off. rebound %
30.6%
0.20
Free-throw rate
0.28
28.2%
3-point %
32.7%
66.7%
Assist %
60.8%
10%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence91.9 · 106.6Defence113.0 · 101.2Shooting47.0% · 50.4%3-point %28.2% · 32.7%Ball care19.8% · 16.1%Off. rebounds25.0% · 30.6%Free throws0.20 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)10% · 50%
■ Shinshu   ■ Hiroshima D.
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Shinshu wins
4
Hiroshima D. wins
DateGameScore
10/02/24Shinshu v Hiroshima D.68-79
22/04/23Hiroshima D. v Shinshu80-83
04/05/22Hiroshima D. v Shinshu56-87
03/04/22Hiroshima D. v Shinshu77-84
13/02/22Shinshu v Hiroshima D.66-75
12/02/22Shinshu v Hiroshima D.86-72
09/05/21Hiroshima D. v Shinshu84-69
08/05/21Hiroshima D. v Shinshu100-81
Shinshulast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/02/24HHiroshima D.68-79
07/02/24HSaga58-74
04/02/24ASeaHorses Mikawa67-80
03/02/24ASeaHorses Mikawa76-85
31/01/24HNeoPhoenix62-75
28/01/24AHokkaido56-90
27/01/24AHokkaido79-73
21/01/24HAlvark63-81
20/01/24HAlvark57-87
17/01/24HYokohama71-81
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/02/24AShinshu79-68
07/02/24HDiamond Dolphins64-78
04/02/24ASendai87-90
03/02/24ASendai69-61
31/01/24HNagasaki74-85
28/01/24AIbaraki Robots95-74
27/01/24AIbaraki Robots89-53
21/01/24HSun Rockers Shibuya88-77
20/01/24HSun Rockers Shibuya65-71
17/01/24AShimane66-75

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Shinshu
B League 2023-24
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL16%
HomeLLLLL20%
AwayLWLLL11%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games382018
Win %16%20%11%
Points / game70.770.171.3
Allowed / game83.481.885.3
Point differential-12.8-11.7-14.1
Avg total154.1151.8156.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)100% (2)0% (3)
Overtime %3%5%0%
Hiroshima D.
B League 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW53%
HomeWLWLL53%
AwayWWWLW52%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games381721
Win %53%53%52%
Points / game78.277.479.0
Allowed / game73.774.373.1
Point differential+4.6+3.1+5.8
Avg total151.9151.6152.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+42%41%43%
Close games (≤5 pts) won14% (7)50% (2)0% (5)
Overtime %3%0%5%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 NeoPhoenix3834489%90.776.8+13.9
2 Alvark3831782%81.568.3+13.2
3 Utsunomiya Brex3831782%78.967.9+11.0
4 Ryukyu38261268%80.576.5+4.0
5 SeaHorses Mikawa38251366%82.776.8+5.8
6 Chiba38251366%85.781.6+4.1
7 Diamond Dolphins38251366%82.278.5+3.7
8 Shimane39221756%83.378.4+5.0
9 Sun Rockers Shibuya39211854%75.974.5+1.3
10 Hiroshima D.38201853%78.273.7+4.6
11 Brave Thunders38201853%80.177.5+2.6
12 Akita38201853%74.374.4-0.1
13 Gunma38201853%78.380.7-2.3
14 Saga38191950%74.875.2-0.4
15 Nagoya Fighting Eagles38172145%72.875.3-2.5
16 Sendai38162242%78.780.3-1.6
17 Nagasaki38162242%81.784.8-3.1
18 Yokohama38162242%76.682.2-5.6
19 Osaka38142437%77.782.8-5.1
20 Hokkaido38122632%75.280.5-5.3
21 Kyoto38122632%77.684.5-6.8
22 Shinshu3863216%70.783.4-12.8
23 Ibaraki Robots3853313%72.784.8-12.1
24 Toyama3843411%73.685.2-11.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 24 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Shinshu2218151974
Hiroshima D.2820242496
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