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Shinshu vs Saga Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 07 Feb 2024
Tip-off: 04:30
Final 58-74
11-30 14-16 13-11 20-17
Position#23
Record6-30
FormWLLLL
Points / game71.1
Allowed / game83.8
vs
Saga 🏆
Japan
Position#15
Record18-18
FormLLLLL
Points / game74.9
Allowed / game75.2
JapanB League· Kotobuki Arena Chikuma (Chikuma)
Other2023-24
Meetings · Shinshu v Saga
07 Apr 2027
SHIN v SAGA
upcoming
07 Feb 2024
SHIN58
SAGA74
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Shinshu winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Saga winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ShinshuJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormShinshu
Date
Competition
Nagasaki
#17
W
79-73
79
73
+6
72avg 64
A06/01
B League
Nagasaki
#17
L
64-92
64
92
-28
no box
A07/01
B League
Yokohama
#19
L
71-81
71
81
-10
63avg 64
H17/01
B League
Alvark
#2
L
57-87
57
87
-30
48avg 64
H20/01
B League
Alvark
#2
L
63-81
63
81
-18
56avg 64
H21/01
B League
Hokkaido
#20
W
79-73
79
73
+6
76avg 64
A27/01
B League
Hokkaido
#20
L
56-90
56
90
-34
45avg 64
A28/01
B League
NeoPhoenix
#3
L
62-75
62
75
-13
58avg 64
H31/01
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#8
L
76-85
76
85
-9
70avg 64
A03/02
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#8
L
67-80
67
80
-13
63avg 64
A04/02
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-21
21-28
14-19
29-5
16-25
21-23
13-22
14-22
19-14
20-31
19-16
13-20
16-25
16-21
14-23
11-18
12-12
21-19
16-22
14-28
21-22
18-14
20-21
20-16
16-24
18-20
11-21
11-25
20-18
16-22
10-20
16-15
17-21
24-21
13-24
22-19
15-22
21-19
12-21
19-18
149.1Avg total
67.4Scored
81.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (36)71.183.8154.9-12.817%
Season at home (18)70.982.3153.2-11.422%
Season away (18)71.385.3156.6-14.111%
Last 10 (10)67.481.7149.1-14.320%
Last 5 (5)68.080.6148.6-12.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)67.883.8151.5-16.04%
vs Similar (6)75.281.5156.7-6.350%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Saga) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SagaJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSaga
Date
Competition
Sendai
#16
W
77-67
77
67
+10
70avg 66
A06/01
B League
Sendai
#16
W
66-56
66
56
+10
58avg 66
A07/01
B League
Osaka
#18
W
91-69
91
69
+22
92avg 66
A17/01
B League
Toyama
#24
W
81-72
81
72
+9
81avg 66
H20/01
B League
Toyama
#24
W
74-63
74
63
+11
65avg 66
H21/01
B League
Utsunomiya Brex
#1
L
70-83
70
83
-13
59avg 66
A27/01
B League
Utsunomiya Brex
#1
L
62-76
62
76
-14
53avg 66
A28/01
B League
Ryukyu
#5
L
58-96
58
96
-38
40avg 66
H31/01
B League
Gunma
#13
L
68-79
68
79
-11
46avg 66
H03/02
B League
Gunma
#13
L
69-79
69
79
-10
60avg 66
H04/02
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-30
25-10
24-14
13-13
25-16
13-9
18-13
10-18
25-11
22-19
31-19
13-20
29-21
15-19
23-16
14-16
21-14
23-21
16-13
14-15
18-21
11-24
21-21
20-17
20-15
18-22
12-21
12-18
12-23
18-24
19-13
9-36
15-13
17-19
20-30
16-17
21-28
17-6
13-25
18-20
145.6Avg total
71.6Scored
74.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (36)74.975.2150.1-0.350%
Season at home (20)74.175.5149.6-1.450%
Season away (16)75.974.8150.8+1.150%
Last 10 (10)71.674.0145.6-2.450%
Last 5 (5)65.482.6148.0-17.20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)70.688.6159.1-18.00%
vs Similar (13)73.573.5147.0-0.154%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)83.365.9149.2+17.4100%
This opponent (Shinshu) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -3.7-3.7Q1: +0.9+0.9Q2Q2: -2.2-2.2Q2: +0.6+0.6Q3Q3: -6.7-6.7Q3: +1.2+1.2Q4Q4: -1.7-1.7Q4: -5.1-5.1
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -3.7-3.7Q1: +0.9+0.9Q2Q2: -2.2-2.2Q2: +0.6+0.6Q3Q3: -6.7-6.7Q3: +1.2+1.2Q4Q4: -1.7-1.7Q4: -5.1-5.1
ShinshuSaga
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ShinshuLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nagasaki
#17
L
36-49
36
49
-13
A06/01
B League
Nagasaki
#17
L
37-48
37
48
-11
A07/01
B League
Yokohama
#19
L
39-45
39
45
-6
H17/01
B League
Alvark
#2
L
32-46
32
46
-14
H20/01
B League
Alvark
#2
W
33-31
33
31
+2
H21/01
B League
Hokkaido
#20
W
39-36
39
36
+3
A27/01
B League
Hokkaido
#20
L
34-44
34
44
-10
A28/01
B League
NeoPhoenix
#3
L
36-40
36
40
-4
H31/01
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#8
L
41-42
41
42
-1
A03/02
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#8
L
36-41
36
41
-5
A04/02
B League
78.5Avg total
36.3Scored
42.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.843.179.0-7.323%-
Last 30 at home (14)36.442.078.4-5.621%-
Last 30 away (16)35.444.179.5-8.825%-
Last 10 (10)36.342.278.5-5.920%-
Last 5 (5)37.240.677.8-3.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)35.244.179.3-8.912%-
vs Similar (6)38.339.377.7-1.067%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Saga) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SagaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sendai
#16
D
40-40
40
40
+0
A06/01
B League
Sendai
#16
W
38-25
38
25
+13
A07/01
B League
Osaka
#18
W
47-30
47
30
+17
A17/01
B League
Toyama
#24
W
44-40
44
40
+4
H20/01
B League
Toyama
#24
W
44-35
44
35
+9
H21/01
B League
Utsunomiya Brex
#1
L
29-45
29
45
-16
A27/01
B League
Utsunomiya Brex
#1
W
38-37
38
37
+1
A28/01
B League
Ryukyu
#5
L
30-47
30
47
-17
H31/01
B League
Gunma
#13
D
32-32
32
32
+0
H03/02
B League
Gunma
#13
W
38-34
38
34
+4
H04/02
B League
74.5Avg total
38.0Scored
36.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.537.577.0+2.060%-
Last 30 at home (16)38.637.275.8+1.462%-
Last 30 away (14)40.537.978.4+2.657%-
Last 10 (10)38.036.574.5+1.560%-
Last 5 (5)33.439.072.4-5.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)36.046.682.6-10.614%-
vs Similar (13)38.035.173.1+2.962%-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)43.834.378.1+9.590%-
This opponent (Shinshu) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Shinshutheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Shinshu: 66.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.6 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.1 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.8 points a game
49%
35%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.815.8
48.2%
50.9%31.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.38.5
30.0%
33.5%25.5
🏀 Free throws13.29.1
68.9%
72.0%9.1
They take 61.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Sagatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Saga: 70.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.2 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.6 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.0 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.8 points a game
49%
35%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.017.1
50.3%
50.9%34.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.29.2
36.5%
33.5%27.6
🏀 Free throws14.59.0
62.1%
72.0%9.0
They take 59.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 07 Feb 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Shinshu
LLLLWLLLLW
Saga
LLLLLWWWWW
#23
League position
#15
-21.2
Net rating
-3.4
91.6
Offensive rating
99.5
112.7
Defensive rating
102.8
46.7%
Effective FG%
52.2%
51.9%
Opp. effective FG%
48.0%
20.3%
Turnover %
18.2%
25.3%
Off. rebound %
19.4%
0.22
Free-throw rate
0.24
30.0%
3-point %
36.5%
67.9%
Assist %
58.6%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence91.6 · 99.5Defence112.7 · 102.8Shooting46.7% · 52.2%3-point %30.0% · 36.5%Ball care20.3% · 18.2%Off. rebounds25.3% · 19.4%Free throws0.22 · 0.24Form (last 10/10)20% · 50%
■ Shinshu   ■ Saga
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Shinshu wins
1
Saga wins
DateGameScore
25/10/23Saga v Shinshu80-74
Shinshulast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/02/24ASeaHorses Mikawa67-80
03/02/24ASeaHorses Mikawa76-85
31/01/24HNeoPhoenix62-75
28/01/24AHokkaido56-90
27/01/24AHokkaido79-73
21/01/24HAlvark63-81
20/01/24HAlvark57-87
17/01/24HYokohama71-81
07/01/24ANagasaki64-92
06/01/24ANagasaki79-73
Sagalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/02/24HGunma69-79
03/02/24HGunma68-79
31/01/24HRyukyu58-96
28/01/24AUtsunomiya Brex62-76
27/01/24AUtsunomiya Brex70-83
21/01/24HToyama74-63
20/01/24HToyama81-72
17/01/24AOsaka91-69
07/01/24ASendai66-56
06/01/24ASendai77-67

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Shinshu
B League 2023-24
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL17%
HomeLLLLL22%
AwayLWLLL11%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games361818
Win %17%22%11%
Points / game71.170.971.3
Allowed / game83.882.385.3
Point differential-12.8-11.4-14.1
Avg total154.9153.2156.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)100% (2)0% (3)
Overtime %3%6%0%
Saga
B League 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL50%
HomeWWLLL50%
AwayWWWLL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games362016
Win %50%50%50%
Points / game74.974.175.9
Allowed / game75.275.574.8
Point differential-0.3-1.4+1.1
Avg total150.1149.6150.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+28%20%38%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (7)60% (5)50% (2)
Overtime %6%10%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 NeoPhoenix3632489%90.676.6+14.0
2 Alvark3630683%81.867.6+14.2
3 Utsunomiya Brex3629781%78.468.2+10.2
4 SeaHorses Mikawa36241267%82.776.6+6.1
5 Ryukyu36241267%80.076.4+3.6
6 Chiba36231364%85.982.4+3.5
7 Diamond Dolphins36231364%82.279.2+3.0
8 Shimane36211558%84.178.6+5.6
9 Brave Thunders36201656%80.277.0+3.2
10 Sun Rockers Shibuya36201656%77.075.3+1.7
11 Hiroshima D.36191753%78.673.7+4.9
12 Akita36191753%73.973.9-0.1
13 Saga36181850%74.975.2-0.3
14 Gunma36181850%78.481.1-2.7
15 Nagoya Fighting Eagles36162044%71.874.9-3.1
16 Sendai36152142%78.380.4-2.1
17 Nagasaki36152142%81.384.1-2.9
18 Yokohama36152142%76.882.6-5.8
19 Osaka36132336%77.783.0-5.3
20 Hokkaido36122433%75.480.2-4.8
21 Kyoto36122433%77.784.3-6.6
22 Shinshu3663017%71.183.8-12.8
23 Toyama3643211%73.785.3-11.6
24 Ibaraki Robots3643211%73.285.2-12.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 24 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Shinshu1114132058
Saga3016111774
← all games of the day
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