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Hiroshima D. vs Nagasaki Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 31 Jan 2024
Tip-off: 10:05
Final 74-85
23-26 21-23 12-21 18-15
Position#6
Record18-15
FormLLWWW
Points / game78.8
Allowed / game73.2
vs
Position#17
Record14-19
FormLLLLL
Points / game81.1
Allowed / game83.9
JapanB League· Hiroshima Sun Plaza (Hiroshima)
Other2023-24
Meetings · Hiroshima D. v Nagasaki
06 Nov 2026
HIRO80
NAGA73
10 Dec 2025
HIRO74
NAGA105
11 Jan 2025
HIRO82
NAGA70
10 Jan 2025
HIRO78
NAGA71
11 Dec 2024
HIRO88
NAGA82
31 Jan 2024
HIRO74
NAGA85
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Hiroshima D. winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Nagasaki winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Hiroshima D.JapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormD.
Date
Competition
SeaHorses Mikawa
#8
L
78-83
78
83
-5
69avg 72
H24/12
B League
Nagasaki
#17
W
79-64
79
64
+15
73avg 72
A30/12
B League
Nagasaki
#17
W
86-68
86
68
+18
82avg 72
A31/12
B League
Akita
#14
W
81-74
81
74
+7
68avg 72
H05/01
B League
Akita
#14
W
82-68
82
68
+14
74avg 72
H06/01
B League
Shimane
#12
L
66-75
66
75
-9
59avg 72
A17/01
B League
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#7
L
65-71
65
71
-6
60avg 72
H20/01
B League
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#7
W
88-77
88
77
+11
82avg 72
H21/01
B League
Ibaraki Robots
#22
W
89-53
89
53
+36
85avg 72
A27/01
B League
Ibaraki Robots
#22
W
95-74
95
74
+21
94avg 72
A28/01
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-24
19-21
16-17
26-21
21-13
22-18
13-12
23-21
28-10
16-15
27-22
15-21
23-19
19-14
14-16
25-25
23-15
21-11
18-17
20-25
15-13
18-19
20-19
13-24
16-16
12-18
20-15
17-22
21-23
28-17
24-24
15-13
27-16
15-12
22-12
25-13
25-17
17-23
29-17
24-17
151.6Avg total
80.9Scored
70.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (33)78.873.2152.0+5.555%
Season at home (15)78.573.3151.8+5.160%
Season away (18)79.173.2152.2+5.950%
Last 10 (10)80.970.7151.6+10.270%
Last 5 (5)80.670.0150.6+10.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)75.781.3157.0-5.733%
vs Similar (6)72.879.3152.2-6.50%
vs Weaker ◀ (18)82.768.3150.9+14.483%
This opponent (Nagasaki) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NagasakiJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNagasaki
Date
Competition
Osaka
#18
L
72-90
72
90
-18
60avg 74
A24/12
B League
Hiroshima D.
#6
L
64-79
64
79
-15
49avg 74
H30/12
B League
Hiroshima D.
#6
L
68-86
68
86
-18
57avg 74
H31/12
B League
Shinshu
#23
L
73-79
73
79
-6
73avg 74
H06/01
B League
Shinshu
#23
W
92-64
92
64
+28
no box
H07/01
B League
Kyoto
#21
L
75-81
75
81
-6
71avg 74
H17/01
B League
Akita
#14
L
71-78
71
78
-7
64avg 74
A20/01
B League
Akita
#14
L
79-88
79
88
-9
77avg 74
A21/01
B League
NeoPhoenix
#3
L
75-98
75
98
-23
59avg 74
H27/01
B League
NeoPhoenix
#3
L
68-103
68
103
-35
57avg 74
H28/01
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-22
18-24
12-23
19-21
13-21
18-22
12-13
21-23
10-28
15-16
22-27
21-15
21-15
28-21
19-14
5-29
25-16
23-21
22-13
22-14
17-15
24-21
10-19
24-26
25-18
17-20
10-19
19-21
29-16
12-28
20-22
18-22
18-27
25-24
18-29
14-18
17-22
16-29
16-28
19-24
158.3Avg total
73.7Scored
84.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (33)81.183.9164.9-2.842%
Season at home (18)77.482.5159.9-5.139%
Season away (15)85.585.5171.0-0.147%
Last 10 (10)73.784.6158.3-10.910%
Last 5 (5)73.689.6163.2-16.00%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)77.285.9163.1-8.831%
vs Similar (11)79.683.5163.2-3.936%
vs Weaker (6)86.780.0166.7+6.750%
This opponent (Hiroshima D.) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +5.0+5.0Q1: -0.2-0.2Q2Q2: +1.9+1.9Q2: -3.0-3.0Q3Q3: +3.2+3.2Q3: -4.6-4.6Q4Q4: +0.1+0.1Q4: -3.1-3.1
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +5.0+5.0Q1: -0.2-0.2Q2Q2: +1.9+1.9Q2: -3.0-3.0Q3Q3: +3.2+3.2Q3: -4.6-4.6Q4Q4: +0.1+0.1Q4: -3.1-3.1
Hiroshima D.Nagasaki
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Hiroshima D.Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
SeaHorses Mikawa
#8
L
36-45
36
45
-9
H24/12
B League
Nagasaki
#17
W
43-31
43
31
+12
A30/12
B League
Nagasaki
#17
W
44-25
44
25
+19
A31/12
B League
Akita
#14
W
42-33
42
33
+9
H05/01
B League
Akita
#14
W
44-26
44
26
+18
H06/01
B League
Shimane
#12
W
33-32
33
32
+1
A17/01
B League
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#7
L
28-34
28
34
-6
H20/01
B League
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#7
W
49-40
49
40
+9
H21/01
B League
Ibaraki Robots
#22
W
42-28
42
28
+14
A27/01
B League
Ibaraki Robots
#22
W
42-40
42
40
+2
A28/01
B League
73.7Avg total
40.3Scored
33.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.535.475.8+5.167%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.336.077.3+5.367%-
Last 30 away (15)39.634.774.3+4.967%-
Last 10 (10)40.333.473.7+6.980%-
Last 5 (5)38.834.873.6+4.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)38.042.280.2-4.233%-
vs Similar (6)38.237.775.8+0.550%-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)42.132.374.4+9.783%-
This opponent (Nagasaki) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NagasakiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Osaka
#18
L
41-46
41
46
-5
A24/12
B League
Hiroshima D.
#6
L
31-43
31
43
-12
H30/12
B League
Hiroshima D.
#6
L
25-44
25
44
-19
H31/12
B League
Shinshu
#23
W
49-36
49
36
+13
H06/01
B League
Shinshu
#23
W
48-37
48
37
+11
H07/01
B League
Kyoto
#21
W
41-36
41
36
+5
H17/01
B League
Akita
#14
W
42-38
42
38
+4
A20/01
B League
Akita
#14
L
41-44
41
44
-3
A21/01
B League
NeoPhoenix
#3
L
43-51
43
51
-8
H27/01
B League
NeoPhoenix
#3
L
33-51
33
51
-18
H28/01
B League
82.0Avg total
39.4Scored
42.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.641.783.3-0.153%-
Last 30 at home (16)38.641.780.2-3.138%-
Last 30 away (14)45.141.786.9+3.471%-
Last 10 (10)39.442.682.0-3.240%-
Last 5 (5)40.044.084.0-4.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)37.442.980.3-5.531%-
vs Similar (11)43.741.685.4+2.164%-
vs Weaker (6)47.039.286.2+7.883%-
This opponent (Hiroshima D.) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Hiroshima D.their own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Hiroshima D.: 79.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.6 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.7 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.8 points a game
49%
35%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.921.8
53.3%
50.9%43.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.08.2
30.4%
33.5%24.6
🏀 Free throws16.411.7
71.3%
72.0%11.7
They take 67.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Nagasakitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Nagasaki: 73.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.2 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.6 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.5 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.8 points a game
49%
35%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.720.1
53.3%
50.9%40.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.77.2
26.0%
33.5%21.6
🏀 Free throws16.911.5
68.0%
72.0%11.5
They take 65.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 31 Jan 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Hiroshima D.
WWWLLWWWWL
Nagasaki
LLLLLWLLLL
#6
League position
#17
+13.8
Net rating
-12.9
110.5
Offensive rating
95.7
96.6
Defensive rating
108.6
50.2%
Effective FG%
47.2%
47.0%
Opp. effective FG%
51.3%
14.6%
Turnover %
18.8%
35.8%
Off. rebound %
27.2%
0.24
Free-throw rate
0.26
30.4%
3-point %
26.0%
59.0%
Assist %
66.3%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
10%

Profile

Offence110.5 · 95.7Defence96.6 · 108.6Shooting50.2% · 47.2%3-point %30.4% · 26.0%Ball care14.6% · 18.8%Off. rebounds35.8% · 27.2%Free throws0.24 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)70% · 10%
■ Hiroshima D.   ■ Nagasaki
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Hiroshima D. wins
0
Nagasaki wins
DateGameScore
31/12/23Nagasaki v Hiroshima D.68-86
30/12/23Nagasaki v Hiroshima D.64-79
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/01/24AIbaraki Robots95-74
27/01/24AIbaraki Robots89-53
21/01/24HSun Rockers Shibuya88-77
20/01/24HSun Rockers Shibuya65-71
17/01/24AShimane66-75
06/01/24HAkita82-68
05/01/24HAkita81-74
31/12/23ANagasaki86-68
30/12/23ANagasaki79-64
24/12/23HSeaHorses Mikawa78-83
Nagasakilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/01/24HNeoPhoenix68-103
27/01/24HNeoPhoenix75-98
21/01/24AAkita79-88
20/01/24AAkita71-78
17/01/24HKyoto75-81
07/01/24HShinshu92-64
06/01/24HShinshu73-79
31/12/23HHiroshima D.68-86
30/12/23HHiroshima D.64-79
24/12/23AOsaka72-90

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Hiroshima D.
B League 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW55%
HomeLWWLW60%
AwayWWLWW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games331518
Win %55%60%50%
Points / game78.878.579.1
Allowed / game73.273.373.2
Point differential+5.5+5.1+5.9
Avg total152.0151.8152.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+45%47%44%
Close games (≤5 pts) won17% (6)50% (2)0% (4)
Overtime %3%0%6%
Nagasaki
B League 2023-24
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL42%
HomeLWLLL39%
AwayWLLLL47%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games331815
Win %42%39%47%
Points / game81.177.485.5
Allowed / game83.982.585.5
Point differential-2.8-5.1-0.1
Avg total164.9159.9171.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%6%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (10)80% (5)40% (5)
Overtime %3%6%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Alvark3329488%82.066.8+15.2
2 NeoPhoenix3329488%90.877.0+13.8
3 Utsunomiya Brex3326779%78.268.3+9.9
4 SeaHorses Mikawa33221167%83.077.0+6.0
5 Ryukyu33221167%79.676.5+3.1
6 Shimane33211264%85.077.8+7.2
7 Chiba33201361%85.882.9+2.8
8 Diamond Dolphins33201361%81.479.0+2.3
9 Brave Thunders33191458%79.977.2+2.7
10 Hiroshima D.33181555%78.873.2+5.5
11 Saga33181555%75.874.3+1.5
12 Sun Rockers Shibuya33181555%77.375.8+1.4
13 Akita33161748%73.174.7-1.6
14 Nagoya Fighting Eagles33151845%71.474.5-3.2
15 Gunma33151845%77.881.8-4.0
16 Sendai33141942%79.380.5-1.2
17 Nagasaki33141942%81.183.9-2.8
18 Yokohama33141942%76.882.7-6.0
19 Osaka33132039%77.882.3-4.5
20 Hokkaido33102330%74.779.9-5.2
21 Kyoto33102330%78.184.4-6.3
22 Shinshu3362718%71.384.2-12.8
23 Toyama3342912%74.285.3-11.2
24 Ibaraki Robots333309%73.986.5-12.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 24 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Hiroshima D.2321121874
Nagasaki2623211585
← all games of the day
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