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Shinshu vs Hiroshima D. Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 10 Feb 2024
Tip-off: 05:05
Final 68-79
14-15 18-23 20-14 16-27
Position#23
Record6-31
FormLLLLL
Points / game70.7
Allowed / game83.6
vs
Position#6
Record19-18
FormWLWLL
Points / game78.2
Allowed / game73.8
JapanB League· Kotobuki Arena Chikuma (Chikuma)
Other2023-24
Meetings · Shinshu v Hiroshima D.
13 Feb 2027
SHIN v HIRO
upcoming
11 Feb 2024
SHIN74
HIRO96
10 Feb 2024
SHIN68
HIRO79
13 Feb 2022
SHIN66
HIRO75
12 Feb 2022
SHIN86
HIRO72
02 May 2021
SHIN v HIRO
upcoming
01 May 2021
SHIN v HIRO
upcoming
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Shinshu winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Hiroshima D. winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ShinshuJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormShinshu
Date
Competition
Nagasaki
#17
L
64-92
64
92
-28
no box
A07/01
B League
Yokohama
#19
L
71-81
71
81
-10
63avg 63
H17/01
B League
Alvark
#2
L
57-87
57
87
-30
48avg 63
H20/01
B League
Alvark
#2
L
63-81
63
81
-18
56avg 63
H21/01
B League
Hokkaido
#20
W
79-73
79
73
+6
76avg 63
A27/01
B League
Hokkaido
#20
L
56-90
56
90
-34
45avg 63
A28/01
B League
NeoPhoenix
#3
L
62-75
62
75
-13
58avg 63
H31/01
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#8
L
76-85
76
85
-9
70avg 63
A03/02
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#8
L
67-80
67
80
-13
63avg 63
A04/02
B League
Saga
#15
L
58-74
58
74
-16
45avg 63
H07/02
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-25
21-23
13-22
14-22
19-14
20-31
19-16
13-20
16-25
16-21
14-23
11-18
12-12
21-19
16-22
14-28
21-22
18-14
20-21
20-16
16-24
18-20
11-21
11-25
20-18
16-22
10-20
16-15
17-21
24-21
13-24
22-19
15-22
21-19
12-21
19-18
11-30
14-16
13-11
20-17
147.1Avg total
65.3Scored
81.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (37)70.783.6154.3-12.816%
Season at home (19)70.281.9152.1-11.721%
Season away (18)71.385.3156.6-14.111%
Last 10 (10)65.381.8147.1-16.510%
Last 5 (5)63.880.8144.6-17.00%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)67.183.5150.6-16.54%
vs Similar (6)75.281.5156.7-6.350%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Hiroshima D.) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Hiroshima D.JapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormD.
Date
Competition
Akita
#14
W
82-68
82
68
+14
74avg 71
H06/01
B League
Shimane
#12
L
66-75
66
75
-9
59avg 71
A17/01
B League
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#7
L
65-71
65
71
-6
60avg 71
H20/01
B League
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#7
W
88-77
88
77
+11
82avg 71
H21/01
B League
Ibaraki Robots
#22
W
89-53
89
53
+36
85avg 71
A27/01
B League
Ibaraki Robots
#22
W
95-74
95
74
+21
94avg 71
A28/01
B League
Nagasaki
#17
L
74-85
74
85
-11
62avg 71
H31/01
B League
Sendai
#16
W
69-61
69
61
+8
64avg 71
A03/02
B League
Sendai
#16
L
87-90
87
90
-3
80avg 71
A04/02
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#4
L
64-78
64
78
-14
50avg 71
H07/02
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-15
21-11
18-17
20-25
15-13
18-19
20-19
13-24
16-16
12-18
20-15
17-22
21-23
28-17
24-24
15-13
27-16
15-12
22-12
25-13
25-17
17-23
29-17
24-17
23-26
21-23
12-21
18-15
21-16
18-13
12-14
18-18
16-16
23-24
31-17
17-33
20-19
6-21
17-22
21-16
151.1Avg total
77.9Scored
73.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (37)78.273.8152.0+4.451%
Season at home (17)77.474.3151.6+3.153%
Season away (20)79.073.4152.4+5.550%
Last 10 (10)77.973.2151.1+4.750%
Last 5 (5)77.877.6155.4+0.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)77.884.0161.8-6.225%
vs Similar (6)68.776.8145.5-8.20%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)82.369.7152.0+12.780%
This opponent (Shinshu) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -5.0-5.0Q1: +3.0+3.0Q2Q2: -1.7-1.7Q2: -0.2-0.2Q3Q3: -6.0-6.0Q3: +2.7+2.7Q4Q4: -3.8-3.8Q4: -0.8-0.8
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -5.0-5.0Q1: +3.0+3.0Q2Q2: -1.7-1.7Q2: -0.2-0.2Q3Q3: -6.0-6.0Q3: +2.7+2.7Q4Q4: -3.8-3.8Q4: -0.8-0.8
ShinshuHiroshima D.
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ShinshuLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nagasaki
#17
L
37-48
37
48
-11
A07/01
B League
Yokohama
#19
L
39-45
39
45
-6
H17/01
B League
Alvark
#2
L
32-46
32
46
-14
H20/01
B League
Alvark
#2
W
33-31
33
31
+2
H21/01
B League
Hokkaido
#20
W
39-36
39
36
+3
A27/01
B League
Hokkaido
#20
L
34-44
34
44
-10
A28/01
B League
NeoPhoenix
#3
L
36-40
36
40
-4
H31/01
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#8
L
41-42
41
42
-1
A03/02
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#8
L
36-41
36
41
-5
A04/02
B League
Saga
#15
L
25-46
25
46
-21
H07/02
B League
77.1Avg total
35.2Scored
41.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.543.378.8-7.823%-
Last 30 at home (15)35.642.377.9-6.720%-
Last 30 away (15)35.344.379.7-9.027%-
Last 10 (10)35.241.977.1-6.720%-
Last 5 (5)34.442.677.0-8.20%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)34.844.379.0-9.512%-
vs Similar (6)38.339.377.7-1.067%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Hiroshima D.) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Hiroshima D.Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Akita
#14
W
44-26
44
26
+18
H06/01
B League
Shimane
#12
W
33-32
33
32
+1
A17/01
B League
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#7
L
28-34
28
34
-6
H20/01
B League
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#7
W
49-40
49
40
+9
H21/01
B League
Ibaraki Robots
#22
W
42-28
42
28
+14
A27/01
B League
Ibaraki Robots
#22
W
42-40
42
40
+2
A28/01
B League
Nagasaki
#17
L
44-49
44
49
-5
H31/01
B League
Sendai
#16
W
39-29
39
29
+10
A03/02
B League
Sendai
#16
L
39-40
39
40
-1
A04/02
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#4
L
26-40
26
40
-14
H07/02
B League
74.4Avg total
38.6Scored
35.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.735.776.4+5.063%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.737.178.9+4.660%-
Last 30 away (15)39.634.373.9+5.367%-
Last 10 (10)38.635.874.4+2.860%-
Last 5 (5)38.039.677.6-1.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)41.045.286.2-4.225%-
vs Similar (6)35.337.272.5-1.850%-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)42.233.475.6+8.975%-
This opponent (Shinshu) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Shinshutheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Shinshu: 64.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.4 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.4 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws8.6 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.8 points a game
49%
35%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.016.2
49.1%
50.9%32.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.67.8
28.3%
33.5%23.4
🏀 Free throws12.48.6
69.4%
72.0%8.6
They take 60.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Hiroshima D.their own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Hiroshima D.: 77.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.8 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.3 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.9 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.8 points a game
49%
35%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.420.4
51.8%
50.9%40.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.18.1
32.3%
33.5%24.3
🏀 Free throws16.411.9
72.6%
72.0%11.9
They take 64.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 10 Feb 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Shinshu
LLLLLWLLLL
Hiroshima D.
LLWLWWWLLW
#23
League position
#6
-23.9
Net rating
+6.5
90.5
Offensive rating
108.0
114.4
Defensive rating
101.5
46.0%
Effective FG%
50.5%
52.7%
Opp. effective FG%
47.6%
20.0%
Turnover %
15.1%
25.0%
Off. rebound %
30.7%
0.20
Free-throw rate
0.25
28.3%
3-point %
32.3%
65.4%
Assist %
58.2%
10%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence90.5 · 108.0Defence114.4 · 101.5Shooting46.0% · 50.5%3-point %28.3% · 32.3%Ball care20.0% · 15.1%Off. rebounds25.0% · 30.7%Free throws0.20 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)10% · 50%
■ Shinshu   ■ Hiroshima D.
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Shinshu wins
3
Hiroshima D. wins
DateGameScore
22/04/23Hiroshima D. v Shinshu80-83
04/05/22Hiroshima D. v Shinshu56-87
03/04/22Hiroshima D. v Shinshu77-84
13/02/22Shinshu v Hiroshima D.66-75
12/02/22Shinshu v Hiroshima D.86-72
09/05/21Hiroshima D. v Shinshu84-69
08/05/21Hiroshima D. v Shinshu100-81
Shinshulast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/02/24HSaga58-74
04/02/24ASeaHorses Mikawa67-80
03/02/24ASeaHorses Mikawa76-85
31/01/24HNeoPhoenix62-75
28/01/24AHokkaido56-90
27/01/24AHokkaido79-73
21/01/24HAlvark63-81
20/01/24HAlvark57-87
17/01/24HYokohama71-81
07/01/24ANagasaki64-92
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/02/24HDiamond Dolphins64-78
04/02/24ASendai87-90
03/02/24ASendai69-61
31/01/24HNagasaki74-85
28/01/24AIbaraki Robots95-74
27/01/24AIbaraki Robots89-53
21/01/24HSun Rockers Shibuya88-77
20/01/24HSun Rockers Shibuya65-71
17/01/24AShimane66-75
06/01/24HAkita82-68

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Shinshu
B League 2023-24
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL16%
HomeLLLLL21%
AwayLWLLL11%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games371918
Win %16%21%11%
Points / game70.770.271.3
Allowed / game83.681.985.3
Point differential-12.8-11.7-14.1
Avg total154.3152.1156.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)100% (2)0% (3)
Overtime %3%5%0%
Hiroshima D.
B League 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL51%
HomeWLWLL53%
AwayLWWWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games371720
Win %51%53%50%
Points / game78.277.479.0
Allowed / game73.874.373.4
Point differential+4.4+3.1+5.5
Avg total152.0151.6152.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+41%41%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won14% (7)50% (2)0% (5)
Overtime %3%0%5%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 NeoPhoenix3733489%90.776.9+13.8
2 Alvark3731684%81.767.6+14.1
3 Utsunomiya Brex3730781%78.367.5+10.8
4 SeaHorses Mikawa37251268%82.576.3+6.2
5 Ryukyu37251268%80.276.3+3.8
6 Chiba37241365%85.681.7+3.9
7 Diamond Dolphins37241365%82.178.8+3.3
8 Shimane38211755%83.878.8+4.9
9 Sun Rockers Shibuya38211755%76.374.8+1.5
10 Brave Thunders37201754%80.177.3+2.8
11 Hiroshima D.37191851%78.273.8+4.4
12 Saga37191851%74.974.7+0.2
13 Akita37191851%73.774.0-0.3
14 Gunma37191851%78.481.0-2.6
15 Nagasaki37162143%81.884.4-2.6
16 Nagoya Fighting Eagles37162143%72.275.4-3.2
17 Yokohama37162143%76.582.0-5.4
18 Sendai37152241%78.380.4-2.1
19 Osaka37142338%77.983.0-5.1
20 Hokkaido37122532%74.980.1-5.2
21 Kyoto37122532%77.984.4-6.5
22 Shinshu3763116%70.783.6-12.8
23 Toyama3743311%73.585.0-11.5
24 Ibaraki Robots3743311%72.484.9-12.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 24 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Shinshu1418201668
Hiroshima D.1523142779
← all games of the day
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