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Nagoya Fighting Eagles vs Shinshu Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 02 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 06:35
Final 94-83
21-22 32-22 16-14 25-25
Position#11
Record18-21
FormLLLWW
Points / game73.0
Allowed / game75.3
vs
Position#23
Record6-33
FormLLLLL
Points / game70.7
Allowed / game83.8
JapanB League· Biwajima Sports Center (Nagoya)
Other2023-24
Meetings · Nagoya Fighting Eagles v Shinshu
03 Mar 2024
NAGO74
SHIN50
02 Mar 2024
NAGO94
SHIN83
20 Nov 2022
NAGO78
SHIN60
19 Nov 2022
NAGO75
SHIN89
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Nagoya Fighting Eagles winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Shinshu winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Nagoya Fighting EaglesJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormEagles
Date
Competition
NeoPhoenix
#3
L
66-79
66
79
-13
54avg 64
A20/01
B League
NeoPhoenix
#3
L
62-90
62
90
-28
45avg 64
A21/01
B League
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#7
L
62-67
62
67
-5
54avg 64
H27/01
B League
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#7
W
80-67
80
67
+13
79avg 64
H28/01
B League
Brave Thunders
#10
W
79-73
79
73
+6
73avg 64
A31/01
B League
Utsunomiya Brex
#1
L
80-81
80
81
-1
65avg 64
A03/02
B League
Utsunomiya Brex
#1
L
69-81
69
81
-12
63avg 64
A04/02
B League
NeoPhoenix
#3
L
89-95
89
95
-6
78avg 64
H07/02
B League
Saga
#15
W
94-72
94
72
+22
100avg 64
A10/02
B League
Saga
#15
W
80-73
80
73
+7
73avg 64
A11/02
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-21
17-27
15-15
14-16
13-27
16-31
14-21
19-11
13-14
17-20
13-12
19-21
19-14
19-15
24-16
18-22
22-20
21-19
16-13
20-21
11-20
28-22
23-16
18-23
16-24
23-20
15-20
15-17
18-23
25-25
21-24
25-23
29-24
24-20
19-20
22-8
30-24
18-24
14-13
18-12
153.9Avg total
76.1Scored
77.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (39)73.075.3148.3-2.346%
Season at home (20)71.674.2145.8-2.745%
Season away (19)74.576.3150.8-1.847%
Last 10 (10)76.177.8153.9-1.740%
Last 5 (5)82.480.4162.8+2.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)73.285.2158.4-12.00%
vs Similar (21)73.773.4147.1+0.357%
vs Weaker ◀ (4)67.573.0140.5-5.525%
This opponent (Shinshu) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ShinshuJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormShinshu
Date
Competition
Alvark
#2
L
57-87
57
87
-30
48avg 63
H20/01
B League
Alvark
#2
L
63-81
63
81
-18
56avg 63
H21/01
B League
Hokkaido
#20
W
79-73
79
73
+6
76avg 63
A27/01
B League
Hokkaido
#20
L
56-90
56
90
-34
45avg 63
A28/01
B League
NeoPhoenix
#3
L
62-75
62
75
-13
58avg 63
H31/01
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#8
L
76-85
76
85
-9
70avg 63
A03/02
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#8
L
67-80
67
80
-13
63avg 63
A04/02
B League
Saga
#15
L
58-74
58
74
-16
45avg 63
H07/02
B League
Hiroshima D.
#6
L
68-79
68
79
-11
66avg 63
H10/02
B League
Hiroshima D.
#6
L
74-96
74
96
-22
69avg 63
H11/02
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-25
16-21
14-23
11-18
12-12
21-19
16-22
14-28
21-22
18-14
20-21
20-16
16-24
18-20
11-21
11-25
20-18
16-22
10-20
16-15
17-21
24-21
13-24
22-19
15-22
21-19
12-21
19-18
11-30
14-16
13-11
20-17
14-15
18-23
20-14
16-27
22-28
18-20
15-24
19-24
148.0Avg total
66.0Scored
82.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (39)70.783.8154.5-13.015%
Season at home (21)70.382.4152.7-12.119%
Season away (18)71.385.3156.6-14.111%
Last 10 (10)66.082.0148.0-16.010%
Last 5 (5)68.682.8151.4-14.20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)66.883.7150.5-16.94%
vs Similar (6)75.281.5156.7-6.350%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Nagoya Fighting Eagles) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -2.0-2.0Q1: -5.3-5.3Q2Q2: -1.5-1.5Q2: -1.1-1.1Q3Q3: +0.4+0.4Q3: -5.7-5.7Q4Q4: +1.4+1.4Q4: -3.9-3.9
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -2.0-2.0Q1: -5.3-5.3Q2Q2: -1.5-1.5Q2: -1.1-1.1Q3Q3: +0.4+0.4Q3: -5.7-5.7Q4Q4: +1.4+1.4Q4: -3.9-3.9
Nagoya Fighting EaglesShinshu
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Nagoya Fighting EaglesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
NeoPhoenix
#3
L
37-48
37
48
-11
A20/01
B League
NeoPhoenix
#3
L
29-58
29
58
-29
A21/01
B League
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#7
L
30-34
30
34
-4
H27/01
B League
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#7
W
38-29
38
29
+9
H28/01
B League
Brave Thunders
#10
W
43-39
43
39
+4
A31/01
B League
Utsunomiya Brex
#1
L
39-42
39
42
-3
A03/02
B League
Utsunomiya Brex
#1
L
39-44
39
44
-5
A04/02
B League
NeoPhoenix
#3
L
43-48
43
48
-5
H07/02
B League
Saga
#15
W
53-44
53
44
+9
A10/02
B League
Saga
#15
D
48-48
48
48
+0
A11/02
B League
83.3Avg total
39.9Scored
43.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.838.476.2-0.647%-
Last 30 at home (16)36.837.073.8-0.244%-
Last 30 away (14)38.940.179.0-1.150%-
Last 10 (10)39.943.483.3-3.530%-
Last 5 (5)44.445.289.6-0.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)37.448.085.4-10.60%-
vs Similar (21)38.036.374.3+1.757%-
vs Weaker ◀ (4)37.237.875.0-0.550%-
This opponent (Shinshu) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ShinshuLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Alvark
#2
L
32-46
32
46
-14
H20/01
B League
Alvark
#2
W
33-31
33
31
+2
H21/01
B League
Hokkaido
#20
W
39-36
39
36
+3
A27/01
B League
Hokkaido
#20
L
34-44
34
44
-10
A28/01
B League
NeoPhoenix
#3
L
36-40
36
40
-4
H31/01
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#8
L
41-42
41
42
-1
A03/02
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#8
L
36-41
36
41
-5
A04/02
B League
Saga
#15
L
25-46
25
46
-21
H07/02
B League
Hiroshima D.
#6
L
32-38
32
38
-6
H10/02
B League
Hiroshima D.
#6
L
40-48
40
48
-8
H11/02
B League
76.0Avg total
34.8Scored
41.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.543.278.7-7.623%-
Last 30 at home (15)35.742.077.7-6.320%-
Last 30 away (15)35.344.379.7-9.027%-
Last 10 (10)34.841.276.0-6.420%-
Last 5 (5)34.843.077.8-8.20%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)34.844.179.0-9.312%-
vs Similar (6)38.339.377.7-1.067%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Nagoya Fighting Eagles) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Nagoya Fighting Eaglestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Nagoya Fighting Eagles: 74.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.8 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.1 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.8 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.8 points a game
49%
35%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.020.4
48.6%
50.9%40.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.47.7
32.9%
33.5%23.1
🏀 Free throws15.610.8
69.2%
72.0%10.8
They take 65.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Shinshutheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Shinshu: 65.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀11%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.4 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.7 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws7.2 pts a game · 11% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.8 points a game
49%
35%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.917.2
52.3%
50.9%34.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.07.9
29.3%
33.5%23.7
🏀 Free throws10.77.2
67.3%
72.0%7.2
They take 59.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 02 Mar 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
WWLLLWWLLL
Shinshu
LLLLLLLWLL
#11
League position
#23
-3.7
Net rating
-23.0
102.7
Offensive rating
93.3
106.4
Defensive rating
116.3
48.9%
Effective FG%
48.5%
53.5%
Opp. effective FG%
52.7%
17.7%
Turnover %
20.1%
31.8%
Off. rebound %
25.2%
0.24
Free-throw rate
0.18
32.9%
3-point %
29.3%
59.1%
Assist %
66.9%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
10%

Profile

Offence102.7 · 93.3Defence106.4 · 116.3Shooting48.9% · 48.5%3-point %32.9% · 29.3%Ball care17.7% · 20.1%Off. rebounds31.8% · 25.2%Free throws0.24 · 0.18Form (last 10/10)40% · 10%
■ Nagoya Fighting Eagles   ■ Shinshu
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Nagoya Fighting Eagles wins
1
Shinshu wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/02/24ASaga80-73
10/02/24ASaga94-72
07/02/24HNeoPhoenix89-95
04/02/24AUtsunomiya Brex69-81
03/02/24AUtsunomiya Brex80-81
31/01/24ABrave Thunders79-73
28/01/24HSun Rockers Shibuya80-67
27/01/24HSun Rockers Shibuya62-67
21/01/24ANeoPhoenix62-90
20/01/24ANeoPhoenix66-79
Shinshulast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/02/24HHiroshima D.74-96
10/02/24HHiroshima D.68-79
07/02/24HSaga58-74
04/02/24ASeaHorses Mikawa67-80
03/02/24ASeaHorses Mikawa76-85
31/01/24HNeoPhoenix62-75
28/01/24AHokkaido56-90
27/01/24AHokkaido79-73
21/01/24HAlvark63-81
20/01/24HAlvark57-87

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Nagoya Fighting Eagles
B League 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW46%
HomeLLLWL45%
AwayWLLWW47%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games392019
Win %46%45%47%
Points / game73.071.674.5
Allowed / game75.374.276.3
Point differential-2.3-2.6-1.8
Avg total148.3145.8150.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+23%25%21%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)67% (3)33% (3)
Overtime %3%0%5%
Shinshu
B League 2023-24
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL15%
HomeLLLLL19%
AwayLWLLL11%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games392118
Win %15%19%11%
Points / game70.770.371.3
Allowed / game83.882.485.3
Point differential-13.0-12.1-14.1
Avg total154.5152.7156.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)100% (2)0% (3)
Overtime %3%5%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 NeoPhoenix4034685%90.278.0+12.2
2 Utsunomiya Brex4033782%79.268.1+11.1
3 Alvark4032880%81.768.8+12.9
4 Ryukyu40281270%81.276.7+4.5
5 Diamond Dolphins40271368%82.178.2+3.9
6 Chiba40261465%85.781.8+3.9
7 SeaHorses Mikawa41261563%81.876.6+5.2
8 Shimane40231757%83.478.4+5.0
9 Brave Thunders39211854%80.477.4+3.1
10 Gunma39211854%78.680.6-2.1
11 Hiroshima D.40211952%78.774.0+4.8
12 Sun Rockers Shibuya40211952%75.774.5+1.1
13 Akita40211952%74.074.1-0.1
14 Saga39192049%74.875.4-0.6
15 Nagoya Fighting Eagles39182146%73.075.3-2.3
16 Sendai39172244%78.980.0-1.1
17 Yokohama39172244%76.982.2-5.3
18 Nagasaki39162341%81.685.1-3.5
19 Osaka41152637%77.682.5-5.0
20 Hokkaido39122731%75.180.5-5.3
21 Kyoto39122731%77.784.6-6.8
22 Shinshu3963315%70.783.8-13.0
23 Ibaraki Robots3953413%72.785.0-12.3
24 Toyama3943510%73.485.2-11.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 24 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Nagoya Fighting Eagles2132162594
Shinshu2222142583
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