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Toyama vs Shinshu Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 05 Apr 2025
Tip-off: 08:35
Final 67-80
20-18 19-17 16-21 12-24
Position#3
Record35-19
FormWWWLL
Points / game87.9
Allowed / game81.2
vs
Shinshu 🏆
Japan
Position#5
Record34-20
FormLLWLW
Points / game84.1
Allowed / game77.7
JapanB2.League· Toyama City Gymnasium
Other2024-25
Meetings · Toyama v Shinshu
06 Apr 2025
TOYA96
SHIN85
05 Apr 2025
TOYA67
SHIN80
10 Nov 2024
TOYA66
SHIN74
09 Nov 2024
TOYA80
SHIN78
21 Apr 2024
TOYA73
SHIN74
20 Apr 2024
TOYA62
SHIN71
16 Apr 2023
TOYA102
SHIN96
15 Apr 2023
TOYA65
SHIN95
30 Nov 2022
TOYA70
SHIN61
15 Dec 2021
TOYA92
SHIN75
03 Oct 2021
TOYA41
SHIN55
02 Oct 2021
TOYA71
SHIN72
26 Oct 2014
TOYA95
SHIN80
25 Oct 2014
TOYA108
SHIN88
23 Feb 2014
TOYA68
SHIN69
22 Feb 2014
TOYA86
SHIN70
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Toyama winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Shinshu winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ToyamaJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormToyama
Date
Competition
Kobe
#10
L
60-79
60
79
-19
53avg 78
A02/03
B2.League
Yamagata Wyverns
#11
W
68-56
68
56
+12
61avg 78
H11/03
B2.League
Yamagata Wyverns
#11
W
91-62
91
62
+29
92avg 78
H12/03
B2.League
Fukui
#7
W
92-76
92
76
+16
89avg 78
A15/03
B2.League
Fukui
#7
W
79-71
79
71
+8
76avg 78
A16/03
B2.League
Shizuoka
#6
W
89-87 OT
89
87
+2
79avg 78
H22/03
B2.League
Shizuoka
#6
W
88-77
88
77
+11
78avg 78
H23/03
B2.League
Aomori
#12
W
93-79
93
79
+14
100avg 78
A26/03
B2.League
Altiri Chiba
#1
L
72-97
72
97
-25
57avg 78
A29/03
B2.League
Altiri Chiba
#1
L
95-101
95
101
-6
90avg 78
A30/03
B2.League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-21
20-23
11-20
9-15
17-9
13-17
17-15
21-15
31-14
17-16
17-12
26-20
22-14
22-16
22-25
26-21
24-10
21-17
17-18
17-26
15-22
19-21
19-18
23-15
17-25
24-16
26-21
21-15
28-26
24-16
19-20
22-17
22-20
18-23
16-24
16-30
22-33
27-25
20-22
26-21
161.2Avg total
82.7Scored
78.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (54)87.981.2169.1+6.665%
Season at home (26)87.280.6167.8+6.565%
Season away (28)88.681.8170.4+6.864%
Last 10 (10)82.778.5161.2+4.270%
Last 5 (5)87.488.2175.6-0.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)82.598.2180.8-15.825%
vs Similar ◀ (6)90.293.8184.0-3.733%
vs Weaker (20)88.877.4166.2+11.375%
This opponent (Shinshu) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ShinshuJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormShinshu
Date
Competition
Fukui
#7
L
79-89
79
89
-10
79avg 79
H02/03
B2.League
Kumamoto
#8
L
81-87
81
87
-6
80avg 79
H10/03
B2.League
Kumamoto
#8
W
79-66
79
66
+13
77avg 79
H11/03
B2.League
Yamagata Wyverns
#11
L
79-84
79
84
-5
74avg 79
A15/03
B2.League
Yamagata Wyverns
#11
W
65-61
65
61
+4
62avg 79
A16/03
B2.League
Altiri Chiba
#1
L
82-89
82
89
-7
73avg 79
H22/03
B2.League
Altiri Chiba
#1
L
71-100
71
100
-29
53avg 79
H23/03
B2.League
Fukui
#7
W
80-69
80
69
+11
81avg 79
H26/03
B2.League
Fukushima
#13
L
53-78
53
78
-25
40avg 79
A29/03
B2.League
Fukushima
#13
W
90-72
90
72
+18
88avg 79
A30/03
B2.League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-27
25-18
23-28
19-16
28-25
22-28
15-13
16-21
12-15
28-12
19-15
20-24
22-30
21-20
18-19
18-15
16-22
23-7
8-19
18-13
18-23
18-23
28-18
18-25
16-27
10-26
29-26
16-21
21-17
19-19
20-19
20-14
15-19
10-20
18-18
10-21
25-17
19-19
18-20
28-16
155.4Avg total
75.9Scored
79.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (54)84.177.7161.8+6.463%
Season at home (28)85.976.9162.8+8.968%
Season away (26)82.278.6160.8+3.658%
Last 10 (10)75.979.5155.4-3.640%
Last 5 (5)75.281.6156.8-6.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)76.594.5171.0-18.00%
vs Similar ◀ (10)82.781.4164.1+1.350%
vs Weaker (18)81.575.6157.1+5.978%
This opponent (Toyama) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +2.4+2.4Q1: -3.7-3.7Q2Q2: +1.5+1.5Q2: +0.3+0.3Q3Q3: -1.1-1.1Q3: +0.1+0.1Q4Q4: +1.2+1.2Q4: -0.3-0.3
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +2.4+2.4Q1: -3.7-3.7Q2Q2: +1.5+1.5Q2: +0.3+0.3Q3Q3: -1.1-1.1Q3: +0.1+0.1Q4Q4: +1.2+1.2Q4: -0.3-0.3
ToyamaShinshu
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ToyamaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kobe
#10
L
40-44
40
44
-4
A02/03
B2.League
Yamagata Wyverns
#11
W
30-26
30
26
+4
H11/03
B2.League
Yamagata Wyverns
#11
W
48-30
48
30
+18
H12/03
B2.League
Fukui
#7
W
44-30
44
30
+14
A15/03
B2.League
Fukui
#7
W
45-27
45
27
+18
A16/03
B2.League
Shizuoka
#6
L
34-43
34
43
-9
H22/03
B2.League
Shizuoka
#6
D
41-41
41
41
+0
H23/03
B2.League
Aomori
#12
W
52-42
52
42
+10
A26/03
B2.League
Altiri Chiba
#1
L
40-43
40
43
-3
A29/03
B2.League
Altiri Chiba
#1
L
49-58
49
58
-9
A30/03
B2.League
80.7Avg total
42.3Scored
38.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.939.584.4+5.463%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.639.684.2+5.067%-
Last 30 away (15)45.139.484.5+5.760%-
Last 10 (10)42.338.480.7+3.950%-
Last 5 (5)43.245.488.6-2.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)46.248.294.5-2.025%-
vs Similar ◀ (6)45.245.790.8-0.550%-
vs Weaker (20)44.535.980.4+8.675%-
This opponent (Shinshu) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ShinshuLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Fukui
#7
L
37-45
37
45
-8
H02/03
B2.League
Kumamoto
#8
L
50-53
50
53
-3
H10/03
B2.League
Kumamoto
#8
W
40-27
40
27
+13
H11/03
B2.League
Yamagata Wyverns
#11
L
43-50
43
50
-7
A15/03
B2.League
Yamagata Wyverns
#11
W
39-29
39
29
+10
A16/03
B2.League
Altiri Chiba
#1
L
36-46
36
46
-10
H22/03
B2.League
Altiri Chiba
#1
L
26-53
26
53
-27
H23/03
B2.League
Fukui
#7
W
40-36
40
36
+4
H26/03
B2.League
Fukushima
#13
L
25-39
25
39
-14
A29/03
B2.League
Fukushima
#13
W
44-36
44
36
+8
A30/03
B2.League
79.4Avg total
38.0Scored
41.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.440.681.1-0.243%-
Last 30 at home (17)42.141.984.1+0.247%-
Last 30 away (13)38.238.977.2-0.738%-
Last 10 (10)38.041.479.4-3.440%-
Last 5 (5)34.242.076.2-7.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)31.049.580.5-18.50%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)40.540.681.1-0.140%-
vs Weaker (18)41.439.781.1+1.850%-
This opponent (Toyama) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Toyamatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Toyama: 81.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀22%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.2 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.0 pts a game · 22% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.3 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.3 points a game
52%
30%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.723.1
52.9%
51.0%46.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.36.0
26.9%
32.9%18.0
🏀 Free throws22.717.3
76.2%
70.7%17.3
They take 66.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Shinshutheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Shinshu: 75.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.0 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.4 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.7 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.3 points a game
52%
30%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.819.0
50.3%
51.0%38.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.27.8
29.8%
32.9%23.4
🏀 Free throws19.313.7
71.0%
70.7%13.7
They take 64.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 05 Apr 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Toyama
LLWWWWWWWL
Shinshu
WLWLLWLWLL
#3
League position
#5
+4.1
Net rating
-4.6
105.6
Offensive rating
101.0
101.4
Defensive rating
105.6
48.6%
Effective FG%
48.0%
48.5%
Opp. effective FG%
48.8%
18.1%
Turnover %
16.8%
33.9%
Off. rebound %
27.6%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.30
26.9%
3-point %
29.8%
73.9%
Assist %
69.0%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence105.6 · 101.0Defence101.4 · 105.6Shooting48.6% · 48.0%3-point %26.9% · 29.8%Ball care18.1% · 16.8%Off. rebounds33.9% · 27.6%Free throws0.34 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)70% · 40%
■ Toyama   ■ Shinshu
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Toyama wins
7
Shinshu wins
DateGameScore
22/12/24Shinshu v Toyama96-89 OT
21/12/24Shinshu v Toyama92-96
10/11/24Toyama v Shinshu66-74
09/11/24Toyama v Shinshu80-78
21/04/24Toyama v Shinshu73-74
20/04/24Toyama v Shinshu62-71
05/11/23Shinshu v Toyama83-79
04/11/23Shinshu v Toyama86-79
16/04/23Toyama v Shinshu102-96
15/04/23Toyama v Shinshu65-95
Toyamalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/03/25AAltiri Chiba95-101
29/03/25AAltiri Chiba72-97
26/03/25AAomori93-79
23/03/25HShizuoka88-77
22/03/25HShizuoka89-87 OT
16/03/25AFukui79-71
15/03/25AFukui92-76
12/03/25HYamagata Wyverns91-62
11/03/25HYamagata Wyverns68-56
02/03/25AKobe60-79
Shinshulast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/03/25AFukushima90-72
29/03/25AFukushima53-78
26/03/25HFukui80-69
23/03/25HAltiri Chiba71-100
22/03/25HAltiri Chiba82-89
16/03/25AYamagata Wyverns65-61
15/03/25AYamagata Wyverns79-84
11/03/25HKumamoto79-66
10/03/25HKumamoto81-87
02/03/25HFukui79-89

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Toyama
B2.League 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL65%
HomeLWWWW65%
AwayWWWLL64%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games542628
Win %65%65%64%
Points / game87.987.288.6
Allowed / game81.280.681.8
Point differential+6.6+6.5+6.8
Avg total169.1167.8170.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+46%42%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (10)67% (6)50% (4)
Overtime %7%8%7%
Shinshu
B2.League 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW63%
HomeLWLLW68%
AwayLLWLW58%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games542826
Win %63%68%58%
Points / game84.185.982.2
Allowed / game77.776.978.6
Point differential+6.4+8.9+3.6
Avg total161.8162.8160.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+43%50%35%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (10)50% (4)50% (6)
Overtime %9%4%15%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Altiri Chiba5552395%91.974.6+17.2
2 Fukuoka55381769%83.174.4+8.7
3 Toyama54351965%87.981.2+6.6
4 Shinshu54342063%84.177.7+6.4
5 Kagoshima Rebnise55332260%81.978.5+3.4
6 Shizuoka55322358%78.275.9+2.3
7 Fukui55302555%82.079.9+2.1
8 Kumamoto55253045%78.779.0-0.3
9 Nara55243144%76.780.1-3.3
10 Kobe54223241%79.483.0-3.6
11 Yamagata Wyverns54203437%77.981.6-3.7
12 Aomori55203536%78.185.8-7.8
13 Fukushima55134224%72.882.0-9.2
14 Ehime Orange Vikings555509%71.990.6-18.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Toyama2019161267
Shinshu1817212480
← all games of the day
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