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Shizuoka vs Koshigaya Alphas Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 05 Nov 2023
Tip-off: 06:00
Final 83-89 (OT)
19-20 21-18 13-21 22-16 8-14
Position#9
Record6-4
FormWWWWL
Points / game80.8
Allowed / game75.1
vs
Position#3
Record7-3
FormWWLWW
Points / game85.7
Allowed / game73.2
JapanB2.League· Numazu City Gymnasium
Other2023-24
Meetings · Shizuoka v Koshigaya Alphas
05 Nov 2023
SHIZ83
KOSH89
04 Nov 2023
SHIZ74
KOSH88
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Shizuoka winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Koshigaya Alphas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ShizuokaJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormShizuoka
Date
Competition
Kobe
#7
L
89-92
89
92
-3
82avg 74
H05/10
B2.League
Kobe
#7
L
82-87
82
87
-5
75avg 74
H06/10
B2.League
Niigata
#14
W
91-75
91
75
+16
82avg 74
H14/10
B2.League
Niigata
#14
W
72-70
72
70
+2
63avg 74
H15/10
B2.League
Iwate
#13
L
64-74
64
74
-10
57avg 74
A21/10
B2.League
Iwate
#13
W
71-67
71
67
+4
67avg 74
A22/10
B2.League
Ehime Orange Vikings
#12
W
99-72
99
72
+27
91avg 74
H25/10
B2.League
Fukushima
#10
W
81-59
81
59
+22
78avg 74
H28/10
B2.League
Fukushima
#10
W
85-67
85
67
+18
78avg 74
H29/10
B2.League
Koshigaya Alphas
#3
L
74-88
74
88
-14
68avg 74
H04/11
B2.League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-17
20-25
28-22
24-28
15-18
17-19
27-20
23-30
26-29
27-12
17-20
21-14
16-16
18-11
19-16
19-27
15-18
15-22
19-19
15-15
25-19
17-14
17-19
12-15
30-21
31-13
18-17
20-21
17-13
18-14
18-16
28-16
22-24
26-21
13-11
24-11
18-23
24-20
13-22
19-23
155.9Avg total
80.8Scored
75.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)80.875.1155.9+5.760%
Season at home (8)84.176.2160.4+7.962%
Season away (2)67.570.5138.0-3.050%
Last 10 (10)80.875.1155.9+5.760%
Last 5 (5)82.070.6152.6+11.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)74.088.0162.0-14.00%
vs Similar (7)81.674.0155.6+7.657%
vs Weaker (2)81.572.5154.0+9.0100%
This opponent (Koshigaya Alphas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Koshigaya AlphasJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAlphas
Date
Competition
Niigata
#14
W
75-65
75
65
+10
70avg 82
A07/10
B2.League
Niigata
#14
W
80-46
80
46
+34
79avg 82
A08/10
B2.League
Aomori
#8
W
100-95
100
95
+5
96avg 82
H14/10
B2.League
Aomori
#8
L
77-81
77
81
-4
80avg 82
H15/10
B2.League
Altiri Chiba
#1
L
80-87
80
87
-7
64avg 82
A21/10
B2.League
Altiri Chiba
#1
W
89-71
89
71
+18
82avg 82
A22/10
B2.League
Niigata
#14
W
99-70
99
70
+29
100avg 82
H25/10
B2.League
Kobe
#7
L
88-94 OT
88
94
-6
no box
A28/10
B2.League
Kobe
#7
W
81-49
81
49
+32
84avg 82
A29/10
B2.League
Shizuoka
#9
W
88-74
88
74
+14
83avg 82
A04/11
B2.League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-25
20-10
15-9
17-21
18-8
17-12
24-12
21-14
33-19
28-28
16-18
23-30
25-15
13-22
22-22
17-22
16-20
16-18
26-18
22-31
22-21
24-17
18-19
25-14
31-18
18-20
18-13
32-19
22-20
21-16
28-21
12-26
20-12
21-18
22-10
18-9
23-18
20-24
22-13
23-19
158.9Avg total
85.7Scored
73.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)85.773.2158.9+12.570%
Season at home (3)92.082.0174.0+10.067%
Season away (7)83.069.4152.4+13.671%
Last 10 (10)85.773.2158.9+12.570%
Last 5 (5)89.071.6160.6+17.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)84.579.0163.5+5.550%
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (8)86.071.8157.8+14.275%
This opponent (Shizuoka) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +0.3+0.3Q1: +5.7+5.7Q2Q2: +4.2+4.2Q2: +1.3+1.3Q3Q3: +0.7+0.7Q3: +5.6+5.6Q4Q4: +0.5+0.5Q4: +0.5+0.5
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +0.3+0.3Q1: +5.7+5.7Q2Q2: +4.2+4.2Q2: +1.3+1.3Q3Q3: +0.7+0.7Q3: +5.6+5.6Q4Q4: +0.5+0.5Q4: +0.5+0.5
ShizuokaKoshigaya Alphas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ShizuokaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kobe
#7
L
37-42
37
42
-5
H05/10
B2.League
Kobe
#7
L
32-37
32
37
-5
H06/10
B2.League
Niigata
#14
W
53-41
53
41
+12
H14/10
B2.League
Niigata
#14
W
34-27
34
27
+7
H15/10
B2.League
Iwate
#13
L
30-40
30
40
-10
A21/10
B2.League
Iwate
#13
W
42-33
42
33
+9
A22/10
B2.League
Ehime Orange Vikings
#12
W
61-34
61
34
+27
H25/10
B2.League
Fukushima
#10
W
35-27
35
27
+8
H28/10
B2.League
Fukushima
#10
W
48-45
48
45
+3
H29/10
B2.League
Koshigaya Alphas
#3
L
42-43
42
43
-1
H04/11
B2.League
78.3Avg total
41.4Scored
36.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (10)41.436.978.3+4.560%-
Last 30 at home (8)42.837.079.8+5.862%-
Last 30 away (2)36.036.572.5-0.550%-
Last 10 (10)41.436.978.3+4.560%-
Last 5 (5)45.636.482.0+9.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)42.043.085.0-1.00%-
vs Similar (7)40.736.977.6+3.957%-
vs Weaker (2)43.534.077.5+9.5100%-
This opponent (Koshigaya Alphas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Koshigaya AlphasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Niigata
#14
W
43-35
43
35
+8
A07/10
B2.League
Niigata
#14
W
35-20
35
20
+15
A08/10
B2.League
Aomori
#8
W
61-47
61
47
+14
H14/10
B2.League
Aomori
#8
W
38-37
38
37
+1
H15/10
B2.League
Altiri Chiba
#1
L
32-38
32
38
-6
A21/10
B2.League
Altiri Chiba
#1
W
46-38
46
38
+8
A22/10
B2.League
Niigata
#14
W
49-38
49
38
+11
H25/10
B2.League
Kobe
#7
W
43-36
43
36
+7
A28/10
B2.League
Kobe
#7
W
41-30
41
30
+11
A29/10
B2.League
Shizuoka
#9
W
43-42
43
42
+1
A04/11
B2.League
79.2Avg total
43.1Scored
36.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (10)43.136.179.2+7.090%-
Last 30 at home (3)49.340.790.0+8.7100%-
Last 30 away (7)40.434.174.6+6.386%-
Last 10 (10)43.136.179.2+7.090%-
Last 5 (5)44.436.881.2+7.6100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)39.038.077.0+1.050%-
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (8)44.135.679.8+8.5100%-
This opponent (Shizuoka) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Shizuokatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Shizuoka: 80.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.2 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.5 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.7 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.8 points a game
52%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.620.6
52.0%
52.4%41.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.79.5
35.6%
33.6%28.5
🏀 Free throws13.610.7
78.7%
71.0%10.7
They take 66.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Koshigaya Alphastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Koshigaya Alphas: 84.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.8 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.0 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.3 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.8 points a game
52%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.220.9
53.3%
52.4%41.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.19.3
37.2%
33.6%28.0
🏀 Free throws23.314.3
61.4%
71.0%14.3
They take 64.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/9 games with a box score before 05 Nov 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Shizuoka
LWWWWLWWLL
Koshigaya Alphas
WWLWWLLWWW
#9
League position
#3
+8.9
Net rating
+18.7
110.5
Offensive rating
115.4
101.6
Defensive rating
96.6
52.6%
Effective FG%
54.2%
48.9%
Opp. effective FG%
46.0%
16.3%
Turnover %
17.4%
31.0%
Off. rebound %
37.8%
0.21
Free-throw rate
0.36
35.6%
3-point %
37.2%
58.8%
Assist %
65.1%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence110.5 · 115.4Defence101.6 · 96.6Shooting52.6% · 54.2%3-point %35.6% · 37.2%Ball care16.3% · 17.4%Off. rebounds31.0% · 37.8%Free throws0.21 · 0.36Form (last 10/10)60% · 70%
■ Shizuoka   ■ Koshigaya Alphas
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Shizuoka wins
1
Koshigaya Alphas wins
DateGameScore
04/11/23Shizuoka v Koshigaya Alphas74-88
Shizuokalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/11/23HKoshigaya Alphas74-88
29/10/23HFukushima85-67
28/10/23HFukushima81-59
25/10/23HEhime Orange Vikings99-72
22/10/23AIwate71-67
21/10/23AIwate64-74
15/10/23HNiigata72-70
14/10/23HNiigata91-75
06/10/23HKobe82-87
05/10/23HKobe89-92
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/11/23AShizuoka88-74
29/10/23AKobe81-49
28/10/23AKobe88-94 OT
25/10/23HNiigata99-70
22/10/23AAltiri Chiba89-71
21/10/23AAltiri Chiba80-87
15/10/23HAomori77-81
14/10/23HAomori100-95
08/10/23ANiigata80-46
07/10/23ANiigata75-65

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Shizuoka
B2.League 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL60%
HomeWWWWL62%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1082
Win %60%62%50%
Points / game80.884.167.5
Allowed / game75.176.270.5
Point differential+5.7+7.9-3.0
Avg total155.9160.4138.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)33% (3)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Koshigaya Alphas
B2.League 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW70%
HomeWLW67%
AwayLWLWW71%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1037
Win %70%67%71%
Points / game85.792.083.0
Allowed / game73.282.069.4
Point differential+12.5+10.0+13.6
Avg total158.9174.0152.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+60%33%71%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)50% (2)-
Overtime %10%0%14%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Fukuoka1110191%79.069.7+9.3
2 Altiri Chiba119282%85.977.3+8.6
3 Kumamoto118373%84.778.8+5.9
4 Koshigaya Alphas107370%85.773.2+12.5
5 Kobe117464%80.276.8+3.4
6 Aomori117464%83.784.2-0.5
7 Shizuoka106460%80.875.1+5.7
8 Shiga116555%83.277.2+6.0
9 Yamagata Wyverns105550%82.182.1+0.0
10 Fukushima114736%81.084.7-3.7
11 Ehime Orange Vikings113827%74.882.3-7.5
12 Nara101910%70.281.7-11.5
13 Iwate111109%67.578.8-11.4
14 Niigata111109%69.485.6-16.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Shizuoka19211322883
Koshigaya Alphas201821161489
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