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Shizuoka vs Koshigaya Alphas Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 04 Nov 2023
Tip-off: 08:00
Final 74-88
18-23 24-20 13-22 19-23
Position#9
Record6-3
FormLWWWW
Points / game81.6
Allowed / game73.7
vs
Position#3
Record6-3
FormLWWLW
Points / game85.4
Allowed / game73.1
JapanB2.League· Numazu City Gymnasium
Other2023-24
Meetings · Shizuoka v Koshigaya Alphas
05 Nov 2023
SHIZ83
KOSH89
04 Nov 2023
SHIZ74
KOSH88
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Shizuoka winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Koshigaya Alphas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ShizuokaJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormShizuoka
Date
Competition
Kobe
#7
L
89-92
89
92
-3
82avg 75
H05/10
B2.League
Kobe
#7
L
82-87
82
87
-5
75avg 75
H06/10
B2.League
Niigata
#14
W
91-75
91
75
+16
82avg 75
H14/10
B2.League
Niigata
#14
W
72-70
72
70
+2
63avg 75
H15/10
B2.League
Iwate
#13
L
64-74
64
74
-10
57avg 75
A21/10
B2.League
Iwate
#13
W
71-67
71
67
+4
67avg 75
A22/10
B2.League
Ehime Orange Vikings
#12
W
99-72
99
72
+27
91avg 75
H25/10
B2.League
Fukushima
#10
W
81-59
81
59
+22
78avg 75
H28/10
B2.League
Fukushima
#10
W
85-67
85
67
+18
78avg 75
H29/10
B2.League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-17
20-25
28-22
24-28
15-18
17-19
27-20
23-30
26-29
27-12
17-20
21-14
16-16
18-11
19-16
19-27
15-18
15-22
19-19
15-15
25-19
17-14
17-19
12-15
30-21
31-13
18-17
20-21
17-13
18-14
18-16
28-16
22-24
26-21
13-11
24-11
155.2Avg total
81.6Scored
73.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)81.673.7155.2+7.967%
Season at home (7)85.674.6160.1+11.071%
Season away (2)67.570.5138.0-3.050%
Last 10 (9)81.673.7155.2+7.967%
Last 5 (5)80.067.8147.8+12.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀no games
vs Similar (7)81.674.0155.6+7.657%
vs Weaker (2)81.572.5154.0+9.0100%
This opponent (Koshigaya Alphas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Koshigaya AlphasJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAlphas
Date
Competition
Niigata
#14
W
75-65
75
65
+10
70avg 82
A07/10
B2.League
Niigata
#14
W
80-46
80
46
+34
79avg 82
A08/10
B2.League
Aomori
#8
W
100-95
100
95
+5
96avg 82
H14/10
B2.League
Aomori
#8
L
77-81
77
81
-4
80avg 82
H15/10
B2.League
Altiri Chiba
#1
L
80-87
80
87
-7
64avg 82
A21/10
B2.League
Altiri Chiba
#1
W
89-71
89
71
+18
82avg 82
A22/10
B2.League
Niigata
#14
W
99-70
99
70
+29
100avg 82
H25/10
B2.League
Kobe
#7
L
88-94 OT
88
94
-6
no box
A28/10
B2.League
Kobe
#7
W
81-49
81
49
+32
84avg 82
A29/10
B2.League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-25
20-10
15-9
17-21
18-8
17-12
24-12
21-14
33-19
28-28
16-18
23-30
25-15
13-22
22-22
17-22
16-20
16-18
26-18
22-31
22-21
24-17
18-19
25-14
31-18
18-20
18-13
32-19
22-20
21-16
28-21
12-26
20-12
21-18
22-10
18-9
158.6Avg total
85.4Scored
73.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)85.473.1158.6+12.367%
Season at home (3)92.082.0174.0+10.067%
Season away (6)82.268.7150.8+13.567%
Last 10 (9)85.473.1158.6+12.367%
Last 5 (5)87.474.2161.6+13.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)84.579.0163.5+5.550%
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (7)85.771.4157.1+14.371%
This opponent (Shizuoka) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +0.9+0.9Q1: +5.8+5.8Q2Q2: +4.2+4.2Q2: +1.9+1.9Q3Q3: +1.8+1.8Q3: +5.2+5.2Q4Q4: +1.0+1.0Q4: +0.1+0.1
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +0.9+0.9Q1: +5.8+5.8Q2Q2: +4.2+4.2Q2: +1.9+1.9Q3Q3: +1.8+1.8Q3: +5.2+5.2Q4Q4: +1.0+1.0Q4: +0.1+0.1
ShizuokaKoshigaya Alphas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ShizuokaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kobe
#7
L
37-42
37
42
-5
H05/10
B2.League
Kobe
#7
L
32-37
32
37
-5
H06/10
B2.League
Niigata
#14
W
53-41
53
41
+12
H14/10
B2.League
Niigata
#14
W
34-27
34
27
+7
H15/10
B2.League
Iwate
#13
L
30-40
30
40
-10
A21/10
B2.League
Iwate
#13
W
42-33
42
33
+9
A22/10
B2.League
Ehime Orange Vikings
#12
W
61-34
61
34
+27
H25/10
B2.League
Fukushima
#10
W
35-27
35
27
+8
H28/10
B2.League
Fukushima
#10
W
48-45
48
45
+3
H29/10
B2.League
77.6Avg total
41.3Scored
36.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (9)41.336.277.6+5.167%-
Last 30 at home (7)42.936.179.0+6.771%-
Last 30 away (2)36.036.572.5-0.550%-
Last 10 (9)41.336.277.6+5.167%-
Last 5 (5)43.235.879.0+7.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀no games
vs Similar (7)40.736.977.6+3.957%-
vs Weaker (2)43.534.077.5+9.5100%-
This opponent (Koshigaya Alphas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Koshigaya AlphasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Niigata
#14
W
43-35
43
35
+8
A07/10
B2.League
Niigata
#14
W
35-20
35
20
+15
A08/10
B2.League
Aomori
#8
W
61-47
61
47
+14
H14/10
B2.League
Aomori
#8
W
38-37
38
37
+1
H15/10
B2.League
Altiri Chiba
#1
L
32-38
32
38
-6
A21/10
B2.League
Altiri Chiba
#1
W
46-38
46
38
+8
A22/10
B2.League
Niigata
#14
W
49-38
49
38
+11
H25/10
B2.League
Kobe
#7
W
43-36
43
36
+7
A28/10
B2.League
Kobe
#7
W
41-30
41
30
+11
A29/10
B2.League
78.6Avg total
43.1Scored
35.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (9)43.135.478.6+7.789%-
Last 30 at home (3)49.340.790.0+8.7100%-
Last 30 away (6)40.032.872.8+7.283%-
Last 10 (9)43.135.478.6+7.789%-
Last 5 (5)42.236.078.2+6.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)39.038.077.0+1.050%-
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (7)44.334.779.0+9.6100%-
This opponent (Shizuoka) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Shizuokatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Shizuoka: 81.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.7 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.7 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.8 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.8 points a game
52%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.721.3
52.5%
52.4%42.7
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.89.2
34.4%
33.6%27.7
🏀 Free throws13.710.8
78.9%
71.0%10.8
They take 67.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Koshigaya Alphastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Koshigaya Alphas: 83.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.8 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.5 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.6 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.8 points a game
52%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.620.4
52.8%
52.4%40.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.49.5
37.4%
33.6%28.5
🏀 Free throws23.814.6
61.6%
71.0%14.6
They take 64.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 9/8 games with a box score before 04 Nov 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Shizuoka
WWWWLWWLL
Koshigaya Alphas
WLWWLLWWW
#9
League position
#3
+11.7
Net rating
+18.9
110.6
Offensive rating
114.0
99.0
Defensive rating
95.2
52.1%
Effective FG%
54.1%
48.2%
Opp. effective FG%
44.8%
16.3%
Turnover %
18.3%
31.7%
Off. rebound %
37.8%
0.20
Free-throw rate
0.37
34.4%
3-point %
37.4%
57.5%
Assist %
65.3%
67%
Form (last 9/9)
67%

Profile

Offence110.6 · 114.0Defence99.0 · 95.2Shooting52.1% · 54.1%3-point %34.4% · 37.4%Ball care16.3% · 18.3%Off. rebounds31.7% · 37.8%Free throws0.20 · 0.37Form (last 9/9)67% · 67%
■ Shizuoka   ■ Koshigaya Alphas
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Shizuoka wins
0
Koshigaya Alphas wins
No previous meetings.
Shizuokalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/10/23HFukushima85-67
28/10/23HFukushima81-59
25/10/23HEhime Orange Vikings99-72
22/10/23AIwate71-67
21/10/23AIwate64-74
15/10/23HNiigata72-70
14/10/23HNiigata91-75
06/10/23HKobe82-87
05/10/23HKobe89-92
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/10/23AKobe81-49
28/10/23AKobe88-94 OT
25/10/23HNiigata99-70
22/10/23AAltiri Chiba89-71
21/10/23AAltiri Chiba80-87
15/10/23HAomori77-81
14/10/23HAomori100-95
08/10/23ANiigata80-46
07/10/23ANiigata75-65

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Shizuoka
B2.League 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 3 Losses (last 9)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW67%
HomeWWWWW71%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games972
Win %67%71%50%
Points / game81.685.667.5
Allowed / game73.774.670.5
Point differential+7.9+11.0-3.0
Avg total155.2160.1138.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+44%57%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)33% (3)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Koshigaya Alphas
B2.League 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 3 Losses (last 9)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW67%
HomeWLW67%
AwayWLWLW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games936
Win %67%67%67%
Points / game85.492.082.2
Allowed / game73.182.068.7
Point differential+12.3+10.0+13.5
Avg total158.6174.0150.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+56%33%67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)50% (2)-
Overtime %11%0%17%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Fukuoka98189%78.871.2+7.6
2 Altiri Chiba108280%85.878.9+6.9
3 Kumamoto107370%83.577.8+5.7
4 Kobe107370%81.577.4+4.1
5 Aomori107370%86.083.9+2.1
6 Koshigaya Alphas96367%85.473.1+12.3
7 Shizuoka96367%81.673.7+7.9
8 Yamagata Wyverns95456%83.482.8+0.7
9 Shiga105550%84.478.2+6.2
10 Fukushima103730%80.686.5-5.9
11 Ehime Orange Vikings103730%73.480.8-7.4
12 Iwate91811%68.478.6-10.1
13 Niigata101910%69.685.7-16.1
14 Nara9090%69.683.0-13.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Shizuoka1824131974
Koshigaya Alphas2320222388
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