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Shymkent vs AiRom Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 11 Mar 2026
Tip-off: 07:00
Final 96-46
29-14 21-16 24-11 22-5
Position#2
Record19-3
FormWWLWW
Points / game94.9
Allowed / game69.1
vs
Position#13
Record4-17
FormWLWLL
Points / game64.4
Allowed / game81.2
KazakhstanHigher League
Other2025-26
Meetings · Shymkent v AiRom
11 Mar 2026
SHYM96
AIRO46
09 Mar 2026
SHYM93
AIRO55
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Shymkent winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
AiRom winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ShymkentKazakhstanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormShymkent
Date
Competition
Karaganda
#7
W
94-78
94
78
+16
72avg 85
A29/11
Higher League
Pavlodar
#14
W
111-63
111
63
+48
103avg 85
H30/11
Higher League
Bars Petropavlovsk
#3
W
96-58
96
58
+38
104avg 85
H15/12
Higher League
Tigers-KazATU
#10
W
110-65
110
65
+45
116avg 85
A16/12
Higher League
Bars Petropavlovsk
#3
W
94-76
94
76
+18
90avg 85
H17/12
Higher League
Tigers-KazATU
#10
W
75-60
75
60
+15
71avg 85
A18/12
Higher League
Aktobe
#4
W
66-58
66
58
+8
60avg 85
A12/02
Higher League
Aktobe
#4
L
70-77
70
77
-7
59avg 85
H14/02
Higher League
AiRom
#13
W
93-55
93
55
+38
97avg 85
H09/03
Higher League
Arlans
#11
W
102-74
102
74
+28
no box
A10/03
Higher League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-20
24-17
33-26
14-15
31-15
26-11
31-13
23-24
25-11
31-22
18-14
22-11
36-20
20-16
32-15
22-14
30-20
23-14
22-23
19-19
28-14
21-17
20-12
6-17
19-9
10-10
17-28
20-11
20-15
20-18
20-22
10-22
22-9
29-20
24-7
18-19
30-17
35-22
20-16
17-19
157.5Avg total
91.1Scored
66.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)94.969.1164.0+25.786%
Season at home (12)93.968.8162.8+25.175%
Season away (10)96.069.5165.5+26.5100%
Last 10 (10)91.166.4157.5+24.790%
Last 5 (5)81.264.8146.0+16.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)53.090.0143.0-37.00%
vs Similar (5)82.077.2159.2+4.840%
vs Weaker ◀ (24)91.961.5153.4+30.596%
This opponent (AiRom) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AiRomKazakhstanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAiRom
Date
Competition
Tobol Kostanay 2
#12
L
49-86
49
86
-37
no box
H18/01
Higher League
ChelSU Kostanay
#8
L
55-62
55
62
-7
no box
A19/01
Higher League
Tobol Kostanay 2
#12
W
72-68 OT
72
68
+4
58avg 53
H20/01
Higher League
ChelSU Kostanay
#8
L
68-83
68
83
-15
54avg 53
A21/01
Higher League
Karaganda
#7
L
58-84
58
84
-26
52avg 53
A10/02
Higher League
Pavlodar
#14
W
101-55
101
55
+46
90avg 53
H11/02
Higher League
Karaganda
#7
L
63-101
63
101
-38
47avg 53
A12/02
Higher League
Pavlodar
#14
W
98-61
98
61
+37
86avg 53
H13/02
Higher League
Shymkent
#2
L
55-93
55
93
-38
38avg 53
A09/03
Higher League
Turan
#1
L
59-132
59
132
-73
no box
H10/03
Higher League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
6-23
4-24
21-22
18-17
12-18
20-15
16-16
7-13
19-18
13-22
13-17
20-8
21-16
13-26
19-32
15-9
14-24
17-22
12-19
15-19
31-8
27-12
23-12
20-23
7-29
23-15
17-29
16-28
29-23
23-12
23-16
23-10
9-22
20-29
7-24
19-18
14-43
16-30
17-26
12-33
150.3Avg total
67.8Scored
82.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)64.481.2145.6-16.819%
Season at home (11)68.078.5146.5-10.536%
Season away (10)60.584.1144.6-23.60%
Last 10 (10)67.882.5150.3-14.730%
Last 5 (5)75.288.4163.6-13.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)60.086.1146.1-26.16%
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker (4)83.260.5143.8+22.875%
This opponent (Shymkent) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-14-7+0+7+14Q1Q1: +11.4+11.4Q1: -6.2-6.2Q2Q2: +7.2+7.2Q2: -3.1-3.1Q3Q3: +6.1+6.1Q3: -4.5-4.5Q4Q4: +0.0+0.0Q4: -1.3-1.3
-14-7+0+7+14Q1Q1: +11.4+11.4Q1: -6.2-6.2Q2Q2: +7.2+7.2Q2: -3.1-3.1Q3Q3: +6.1+6.1Q3: -4.5-4.5Q4Q4: +0.0+0.0Q4: -1.3-1.3
ShymkentAiRom
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ShymkentLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Karaganda
#7
W
47-37
47
37
+10
A29/11
Higher League
Pavlodar
#14
W
57-26
57
26
+31
H30/11
Higher League
Bars Petropavlovsk
#3
W
56-33
56
33
+23
H15/12
Higher League
Tigers-KazATU
#10
W
56-36
56
36
+20
A16/12
Higher League
Bars Petropavlovsk
#3
W
53-34
53
34
+19
H17/12
Higher League
Tigers-KazATU
#10
W
49-31
49
31
+18
A18/12
Higher League
Aktobe
#4
W
29-19
29
19
+10
A12/02
Higher League
Aktobe
#4
W
40-33
40
33
+7
H14/02
Higher League
AiRom
#13
W
51-29
51
29
+22
H09/03
Higher League
Arlans
#11
W
65-39
65
39
+26
A10/03
Higher League
82.0Avg total
50.3Scored
31.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)49.833.182.9+16.786%-
Last 30 at home (16)49.433.082.4+16.481%-
Last 30 away (13)50.233.283.5+17.092%-
Last 10 (10)50.331.782.0+18.6100%-
Last 5 (5)46.830.277.0+16.6100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)24.038.062.0-14.00%-
vs Similar (5)45.640.285.8+5.440%-
vs Weaker ◀ (23)51.831.383.1+20.4100%-
This opponent (AiRom) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AiRomLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tobol Kostanay 2
#12
L
10-47
10
47
-37
H18/01
Higher League
ChelSU Kostanay
#8
L
32-33
32
33
-1
A19/01
Higher League
Tobol Kostanay 2
#12
L
32-40
32
40
-8
H20/01
Higher League
ChelSU Kostanay
#8
L
34-42
34
42
-8
A21/01
Higher League
Karaganda
#7
L
31-46
31
46
-15
A10/02
Higher League
Pavlodar
#14
W
58-20
58
20
+38
H11/02
Higher League
Karaganda
#7
L
30-44
30
44
-14
A12/02
Higher League
Pavlodar
#14
W
52-35
52
35
+17
H13/02
Higher League
Shymkent
#2
L
29-51
29
51
-22
A09/03
Higher League
Turan
#1
L
30-73
30
73
-43
H10/03
Higher League
76.9Avg total
33.8Scored
43.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (21)31.942.073.8-10.119%-
Last 30 at home (11)34.140.975.0-6.836%-
Last 30 away (10)29.443.172.5-13.70%-
Last 10 (10)33.843.176.9-9.320%-
Last 5 (5)39.844.684.4-4.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)28.545.674.1-17.10%-
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker (4)46.026.572.5+19.5100%-
This opponent (Shymkent) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Shymkenttheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Shymkent: 93.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.0 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.0 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.0 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.8 points a game
56%
30%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.024.0
63.2%
49.5%48.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.010.0
33.3%
28.5%30.0
🏀 Free throws29.015.0
51.7%
63.9%15.0
They take 68.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
AiRomtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

AiRom: 57.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.6 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers15.4 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.9 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.8 points a game
56%
30%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.115.3
33.9%
49.5%30.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.15.1
21.3%
28.5%15.4
🏀 Free throws17.611.9
67.5%
63.9%11.9
They take 69.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 1/7 games with a box score before 11 Mar 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Shymkent
WWLWWWWWWW
AiRom
LLWLWLLWLL
#2
League position
#13
+50.7
Net rating
-24.8
124.0
Offensive rating
76.0
73.4
Defensive rating
100.8
57.4%
Effective FG%
33.2%
38.8%
Opp. effective FG%
47.2%
0.0%
Turnover %
0.0%
0.43
Free-throw rate
0.25
33.3%
3-point %
21.3%
79.4%
Assist %
60.1%
90%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence124.0 · 76.0Defence73.4 · 100.8Shooting57.4% · 33.2%3-point %33.3% · 21.3%Ball care0.0% · 0.0%Free throws0.43 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)90% · 30%
■ Shymkent   ■ AiRom
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Shymkent wins
0
AiRom wins
DateGameScore
09/03/26Shymkent v AiRom93-55
Shymkentlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/03/26AArlans102-74
09/03/26HAiRom93-55
14/02/26HAktobe70-77
12/02/26AAktobe66-58
18/12/25ATigers-KazATU75-60
17/12/25HBars Petropavlovsk94-76
16/12/25ATigers-KazATU110-65
15/12/25HBars Petropavlovsk96-58
30/11/25HPavlodar111-63
29/11/25AKaraganda94-78
AiRomlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/03/26HTuran59-132
09/03/26AShymkent55-93
13/02/26HPavlodar98-61
12/02/26AKaraganda63-101
11/02/26HPavlodar101-55
10/02/26AKaraganda58-84
21/01/26AChelSU Kostanay68-83
20/01/26HTobol Kostanay 272-68 OT
19/01/26AChelSU Kostanay55-62
18/01/26HTobol Kostanay 249-86

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Shymkent
Higher League 2025-26
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW86%
HomeWWWLW75%
AwayWWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221210
Win %86%75%100%
Points / game94.993.996.0
Allowed / game69.168.869.5
Point differential+25.7+25.1+26.5
Avg total164.0162.8165.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+77%75%80%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
AiRom
Higher League 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL19%
HomeLWWWL36%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211110
Win %19%36%0%
Points / game64.468.060.5
Allowed / game81.278.584.1
Point differential-16.8-10.5-23.6
Avg total145.6146.5144.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%27%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %5%9%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Turan22220100%90.059.6+30.4
2 Shymkent2219386%94.969.1+25.7
3 Aktobe2218482%83.766.0+17.7
4 Bars Petropavlovsk2015575%82.861.0+21.8
5 Atyrau 22115671%77.768.9+8.9
6 BC Almaty 22012860%80.873.3+7.4
7 ChelSU Kostanay2213959%77.379.5-2.1
8 CHAMP1ON20101050%73.872.8+0.9
9 Karaganda2091145%80.278.0+2.2
10 Tigers-KazATU1971237%66.977.2-10.3
11 Arlans2171433%75.380.3-5.0
12 AiRom2141719%64.481.2-16.8
13 Tobol Kostanay 22442017%68.483.1-14.8
14 Pavlodar2021810%53.389.8-36.5
15 Kaspiy Aktau 2221215%53.083.6-30.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Shymkent2921242296
AiRom141611546
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