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Shymkent vs Bars Petropavlovsk Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 15 Dec 2025
Tip-off: 05:00
Final 96-58
25-11 31-22 18-14 22-11
Position#2
Record12-2
FormLWWWW
Points / game98.6
Allowed / game71.3
vs
Position#3
Record11-1
FormWWWWL
Points / game87.8
Allowed / game55.3
KazakhstanHigher League
Other2025-26
Meetings · Shymkent v Bars Petropavlovsk
17 Dec 2025
SHYM94
BARS76
15 Dec 2025
SHYM96
BARS58
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Shymkent winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Bars Petropavlovsk winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ShymkentKazakhstanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormShymkent
Date
Competition
Turan
#1
L
68-80
68
80
-12
58avg 79
H26/10
Higher League
Tobol Kostanay 2
#12
W
112-68
112
68
+44
106avg 79
H11/11
Higher League
ChelSU Kostanay
#8
W
108-73
108
73
+35
97avg 79
A12/11
Higher League
Tobol Kostanay 2
#12
W
112-79
112
79
+33
106avg 79
H13/11
Higher League
ChelSU Kostanay
#8
W
102-72
102
72
+30
97avg 79
A14/11
Higher League
Turan
#1
L
73-88
73
88
-15
52avg 79
H15/11
Higher League
Karaganda
#7
W
97-90
97
90
+7
78avg 79
A27/11
Higher League
Pavlodar
#14
W
109-52
109
52
+57
107avg 79
H28/11
Higher League
Karaganda
#7
W
94-78
94
78
+16
72avg 79
A29/11
Higher League
Pavlodar
#14
W
111-63
111
63
+48
103avg 79
H30/11
Higher League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-19
15-27
15-13
17-21
26-17
31-18
32-22
23-11
32-15
28-12
20-23
28-23
36-24
28-22
26-14
22-19
29-17
29-16
29-23
15-16
21-28
17-15
11-23
24-22
24-20
27-27
27-26
19-17
35-8
27-10
36-18
11-16
23-20
24-17
33-26
14-15
31-15
26-11
31-13
23-24
172.9Avg total
98.6Scored
74.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)98.671.3169.9+27.486%
Season at home (8)96.870.0166.8+26.875%
Season away (6)101.273.0174.2+28.2100%
Last 10 (10)98.674.3172.9+24.380%
Last 5 (5)96.874.2171.0+22.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)71.076.3147.3-5.367%
vs Similar ◀ (5)72.079.6151.6-7.60%
vs Weaker (22)92.562.7155.2+29.8100%
This opponent (Bars Petropavlovsk) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Bars PetropavlovskKazakhstanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPetropavlovsk
Date
Competition
Tobol Kostanay 2
#12
W
108-65
108
65
+43
105avg 77
A23/10
Higher League
ChelSU Kostanay
#8
W
98-66
98
66
+32
102avg 77
H24/10
Higher League
Tigers-KazATU
#10
W
105-65
105
65
+40
111avg 77
H25/10
Higher League
Karaganda
#7
W
81-56
81
56
+25
71avg 77
H14/11
Higher League
Pavlodar
#14
W
87-38
87
38
+49
84avg 77
A15/11
Higher League
Karaganda
#7
W
84-59
84
59
+25
78avg 77
H16/11
Higher League
Pavlodar
#14
W
86-43
86
43
+43
87avg 77
A17/11
Higher League
Tigers-KazATU
#10
W
111-33
111
33
+78
119avg 77
H18/11
Higher League
Aktobe
#4
W
65-58
65
58
+7
no box
H27/11
Higher League
Aktobe
#4
L
58-66
58
66
-8
48avg 77
A28/11
Higher League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-20
35-14
22-16
27-15
33-13
22-15
22-24
21-14
24-9
27-21
31-15
23-20
10-18
22-10
28-13
21-15
28-11
22-10
14-8
23-9
29-15
18-12
30-13
7-19
27-14
26-11
16-12
17-6
35-10
30-8
23-11
23-4
14-9
25-21
16-14
10-14
5-17
21-15
12-13
20-21
143.2Avg total
88.3Scored
54.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)87.855.3143.1+32.492%
Season at home (7)89.455.4144.9+34.0100%
Season away (5)85.455.2140.6+30.280%
Last 10 (10)88.354.9143.2+33.490%
Last 5 (5)80.851.8132.6+29.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)59.785.3145.0-25.70%
vs Similar ◀ (3)76.773.0149.7+3.7100%
vs Weaker (24)84.454.6139.0+29.896%
This opponent (Shymkent) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-14-7+0+7+14Q1Q1: +9.5+9.5Q1: +9.3+9.3Q2Q2: +7.7+7.7Q2: +11.1+11.1Q3Q3: +5.9+5.9Q3: +7.5+7.5Q4Q4: +1.2+1.2Q4: +5.5+5.5
-14-7+0+7+14Q1Q1: +9.5+9.5Q1: +9.3+9.3Q2Q2: +7.7+7.7Q2: +11.1+11.1Q3Q3: +5.9+5.9Q3: +7.5+7.5Q4Q4: +1.2+1.2Q4: +5.5+5.5
ShymkentBars Petropavlovsk
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ShymkentLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Turan
#1
L
36-46
36
46
-10
H26/10
Higher League
Tobol Kostanay 2
#12
W
57-35
57
35
+22
H11/11
Higher League
ChelSU Kostanay
#8
W
60-27
60
27
+33
A12/11
Higher League
Tobol Kostanay 2
#12
W
64-46
64
46
+18
H13/11
Higher League
ChelSU Kostanay
#8
W
58-33
58
33
+25
A14/11
Higher League
Turan
#1
L
38-43
38
43
-5
H15/11
Higher League
Karaganda
#7
W
51-47
51
47
+4
A27/11
Higher League
Pavlodar
#14
W
62-18
62
18
+44
H28/11
Higher League
Karaganda
#7
W
47-37
47
37
+10
A29/11
Higher League
Pavlodar
#14
W
57-26
57
26
+31
H30/11
Higher League
88.8Avg total
53.0Scored
35.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)49.133.482.5+15.679%-
Last 30 at home (16)49.533.382.8+16.281%-
Last 30 away (13)48.533.682.2+14.977%-
Last 10 (10)53.035.888.8+17.280%-
Last 5 (5)51.034.285.2+16.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)39.336.075.3+3.367%-
vs Similar ◀ (5)37.842.280.0-4.40%-
vs Weaker (21)53.131.084.1+22.1100%-
This opponent (Bars Petropavlovsk) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Bars PetropavlovskLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tobol Kostanay 2
#12
W
59-34
59
34
+25
A23/10
Higher League
ChelSU Kostanay
#8
W
55-28
55
28
+27
H24/10
Higher League
Tigers-KazATU
#10
W
51-30
51
30
+21
H25/10
Higher League
Karaganda
#7
W
32-28
32
28
+4
H14/11
Higher League
Pavlodar
#14
W
50-21
50
21
+29
A15/11
Higher League
Karaganda
#7
W
47-27
47
27
+20
H16/11
Higher League
Pavlodar
#14
W
53-25
53
25
+28
A17/11
Higher League
Tigers-KazATU
#10
W
65-18
65
18
+47
H18/11
Higher League
Aktobe
#4
W
39-30
39
30
+9
H27/11
Higher League
Aktobe
#4
L
26-32
26
32
-6
A28/11
Higher League
75.0Avg total
47.7Scored
27.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.929.673.5+14.383%-
Last 30 at home (16)44.828.172.9+16.794%-
Last 30 away (14)42.931.374.1+11.671%-
Last 10 (10)47.727.375.0+20.490%-
Last 5 (5)46.026.472.4+19.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)33.042.775.7-9.70%-
vs Similar ◀ (3)40.738.379.0+2.367%-
vs Weaker (24)45.726.972.5+18.896%-
This opponent (Shymkent) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Shymkent wins
6
Bars Petropavlovsk wins
Shymkentlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/11/25HPavlodar111-63
29/11/25AKaraganda94-78
28/11/25HPavlodar109-52
27/11/25AKaraganda97-90
15/11/25HTuran73-88
14/11/25AChelSU Kostanay102-72
13/11/25HTobol Kostanay 2112-79
12/11/25AChelSU Kostanay108-73
11/11/25HTobol Kostanay 2112-68
26/10/25HTuran68-80
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/11/25AAktobe58-66
27/11/25HAktobe65-58
18/11/25HTigers-KazATU111-33
17/11/25APavlodar86-43
16/11/25HKaraganda84-59
15/11/25APavlodar87-38
14/11/25HKaraganda81-56
25/10/25HTigers-KazATU105-65
24/10/25HChelSU Kostanay98-66
23/10/25ATobol Kostanay 2108-65

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Shymkent
Higher League 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW86%
HomeWWLWW75%
AwayWWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1486
Win %86%75%100%
Points / game98.696.8101.2
Allowed / game71.370.073.0
Point differential+27.4+26.8+28.2
Avg total169.9166.8174.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+79%75%83%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Bars Petropavlovsk
Higher League 2025-26
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL92%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWWWL80%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1275
Win %92%100%80%
Points / game87.889.485.4
Allowed / game55.355.455.2
Point differential+32.4+34.0+30.2
Avg total143.1144.9140.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+83%86%80%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Turan14140100%90.159.3+30.9
2 Bars Petropavlovsk1211192%87.855.3+32.4
3 Aktobe1211192%84.668.8+15.8
4 Shymkent1412286%98.671.3+27.4
5 Atyrau 21410471%75.171.3+3.9
6 Arlans74357%75.071.6+3.4
7 ChelSU Kostanay148657%76.478.7-2.3
8 Tigers-KazATU125742%69.978.1-8.2
9 BC Almaty 2124833%73.876.9-3.1
10 CHAMP1ON123925%67.676.3-8.8
11 Karaganda92722%71.883.1-11.3
12 Tobol Kostanay 21421214%70.184.9-14.8
13 AiRom71614%66.483.9-17.4
14 Kaspiy Aktau 2141137%55.282.9-27.6
15 Pavlodar9090%50.692.9-42.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Shymkent2531182296
Bars Petropavlovsk1122141158
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