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Aktobe vs Shymkent Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 12 Feb 2026
Tip-off: 13:30
Final 58-66
9-19 10-10 28-17 11-20
Position#4
Record15-2
FormWWWWL
Points / game85.1
Allowed / game67.5
vs
Position#2
Record16-2
FormWWWWW
Points / game97.6
Allowed / game69.8
KazakhstanHigher League
Other2025-26
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Aktobe winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Shymkent winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AktobeKazakhstanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAktobe
Date
Competition
Tigers-KazATU
#10
W
85-54
85
54
+31
81avg 78
H30/11
Higher League
BC Almaty 2
#5
W
92-84
92
84
+8
91avg 78
H04/12
Higher League
BC Almaty 2
#5
W
94-89
94
89
+5
94avg 78
A05/12
Higher League
CHAMP1ON
#9
W
76-71
76
71
+5
67avg 78
H06/12
Higher League
CHAMP1ON
#9
W
81-59
81
59
+22
81avg 78
A07/12
Higher League
Karaganda
#7
W
95-58
95
58
+37
no box
H16/01
Higher League
Karaganda
#7
W
82-79 OT
82
79
+3
no box
A17/01
Higher League
Pavlodar
#14
W
112-52
112
52
+60
no box
H18/01
Higher League
Pavlodar
#14
W
86-52
86
52
+34
no box
A19/01
Higher League
Turan
#1
L
57-81
57
81
-24
46avg 78
H11/02
Higher League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-13
20-11
23-14
21-16
22-21
21-16
24-23
25-24
19-29
23-16
32-15
20-29
14-17
29-20
13-18
20-16
21-15
17-12
24-15
19-17
19-10
32-11
22-21
22-16
18-13
14-22
15-15
29-26
35-15
27-2
26-23
24-12
16-17
28-13
23-8
19-14
14-23
12-16
18-25
13-17
153.9Avg total
86.0Scored
67.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)85.167.5152.6+17.688%
Season at home (9)86.767.2153.9+19.489%
Season away (8)83.467.9151.2+15.588%
Last 10 (10)86.067.9153.9+18.190%
Last 5 (5)86.464.4150.8+22.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)64.272.3136.5-8.121%
vs Similar (2)93.086.5179.5+6.5100%
vs Weaker (14)86.866.5153.3+20.386%
This opponent (Shymkent) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ShymkentKazakhstanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormShymkent
Date
Competition
ChelSU Kostanay
#8
W
102-72
102
72
+30
97avg 83
A14/11
Higher League
Turan
#1
L
73-88
73
88
-15
52avg 83
H15/11
Higher League
Karaganda
#7
W
97-90
97
90
+7
78avg 83
A27/11
Higher League
Pavlodar
#14
W
109-52
109
52
+57
107avg 83
H28/11
Higher League
Karaganda
#7
W
94-78
94
78
+16
72avg 83
A29/11
Higher League
Pavlodar
#14
W
111-63
111
63
+48
103avg 83
H30/11
Higher League
Bars Petropavlovsk
#3
W
96-58
96
58
+38
104avg 83
H15/12
Higher League
Tigers-KazATU
#10
W
110-65
110
65
+45
116avg 83
A16/12
Higher League
Bars Petropavlovsk
#3
W
94-76
94
76
+18
90avg 83
H17/12
Higher League
Tigers-KazATU
#10
W
75-60
75
60
+15
71avg 83
A18/12
Higher League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-17
29-16
29-23
15-16
21-28
17-15
11-23
24-22
24-20
27-27
27-26
19-17
35-8
27-10
36-18
11-16
23-20
24-17
33-26
14-15
31-15
26-11
31-13
23-24
25-11
31-22
18-14
22-11
36-20
20-16
32-15
22-14
30-20
23-14
22-23
19-19
28-14
21-17
20-12
6-17
166.3Avg total
96.1Scored
70.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)97.669.8167.4+27.789%
Season at home (10)96.469.4165.8+27.080%
Season away (8)99.070.4169.4+28.6100%
Last 10 (10)96.170.2166.3+25.990%
Last 5 (5)97.264.4161.6+32.8100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)66.082.5148.5-16.550%
vs Similar (6)79.376.2155.5+3.233%
vs Weaker ◀ (22)92.861.6154.4+31.2100%
This opponent (Aktobe) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-14-7+0+7+14Q1Q1: +2.6+2.6Q1: +10.9+10.9Q2Q2: +8.4+8.4Q2: +8.0+8.0Q3Q3: +4.3+4.3Q3: +6.6+6.6Q4Q4: +2.5+2.5Q4: +0.4+0.4
-14-7+0+7+14Q1Q1: +2.6+2.6Q1: +10.9+10.9Q2Q2: +8.4+8.4Q2: +8.0+8.0Q3Q3: +4.3+4.3Q3: +6.6+6.6Q4Q4: +2.5+2.5Q4: +0.4+0.4
AktobeShymkent
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AktobeLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tigers-KazATU
#10
W
41-24
41
24
+17
H30/11
Higher League
BC Almaty 2
#5
W
43-37
43
37
+6
H04/12
Higher League
BC Almaty 2
#5
L
42-45
42
45
-3
A05/12
Higher League
CHAMP1ON
#9
W
43-37
43
37
+6
H06/12
Higher League
CHAMP1ON
#9
W
38-27
38
27
+11
A07/12
Higher League
Karaganda
#7
W
51-21
51
21
+30
H16/01
Higher League
Karaganda
#7
L
32-35
32
35
-3
A17/01
Higher League
Pavlodar
#14
W
62-17
62
17
+45
H18/01
Higher League
Pavlodar
#14
W
44-30
44
30
+14
A19/01
Higher League
Turan
#1
L
26-39
26
39
-13
H11/02
Higher League
73.4Avg total
42.2Scored
31.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (28)40.834.875.6+6.061%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.633.675.2+7.969%-
Last 30 away (12)39.836.376.2+3.550%-
Last 10 (10)42.231.273.4+11.070%-
Last 5 (5)43.028.471.4+14.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)36.739.976.6-3.233%-
vs Similar (2)42.541.083.5+1.550%-
vs Weaker (14)44.129.573.6+14.686%-
This opponent (Shymkent) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ShymkentLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
ChelSU Kostanay
#8
W
58-33
58
33
+25
A14/11
Higher League
Turan
#1
L
38-43
38
43
-5
H15/11
Higher League
Karaganda
#7
W
51-47
51
47
+4
A27/11
Higher League
Pavlodar
#14
W
62-18
62
18
+44
H28/11
Higher League
Karaganda
#7
W
47-37
47
37
+10
A29/11
Higher League
Pavlodar
#14
W
57-26
57
26
+31
H30/11
Higher League
Bars Petropavlovsk
#3
W
56-33
56
33
+23
H15/12
Higher League
Tigers-KazATU
#10
W
56-36
56
36
+20
A16/12
Higher League
Bars Petropavlovsk
#3
W
53-34
53
34
+19
H17/12
Higher League
Tigers-KazATU
#10
W
49-31
49
31
+18
A18/12
Higher League
86.5Avg total
52.7Scored
33.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)49.933.883.6+16.183%-
Last 30 at home (16)50.033.883.8+16.281%-
Last 30 away (13)49.733.783.4+16.085%-
Last 10 (10)52.733.886.5+18.990%-
Last 5 (5)54.232.086.2+22.2100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)36.039.075.0-3.050%-
vs Similar (6)44.040.284.2+3.833%-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)52.931.484.3+21.4100%-
This opponent (Aktobe) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Aktobe wins
0
Shymkent wins
No previous meetings.
Aktobelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/02/26HTuran57-81
19/01/26APavlodar86-52
18/01/26HPavlodar112-52
17/01/26AKaraganda82-79 OT
16/01/26HKaraganda95-58
07/12/25ACHAMP1ON81-59
06/12/25HCHAMP1ON76-71
05/12/25ABC Almaty 294-89
04/12/25HBC Almaty 292-84
30/11/25HTigers-KazATU85-54
Shymkentlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/12/25ATigers-KazATU75-60
17/12/25HBars Petropavlovsk94-76
16/12/25ATigers-KazATU110-65
15/12/25HBars Petropavlovsk96-58
30/11/25HPavlodar111-63
29/11/25AKaraganda94-78
28/11/25HPavlodar109-52
27/11/25AKaraganda97-90
15/11/25HTuran73-88
14/11/25AChelSU Kostanay102-72

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Aktobe
Higher League 2025-26
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL88%
HomeWWWWL89%
AwayWWWWW88%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1798
Win %88%89%88%
Points / game85.186.783.4
Allowed / game67.567.267.9
Point differential+17.6+19.4+15.5
Avg total152.6153.9151.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+53%56%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (4)100% (1)100% (3)
Overtime %6%0%12%
Shymkent
Higher League 2025-26
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW89%
HomeLWWWW80%
AwayWWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games18108
Win %89%80%100%
Points / game97.696.499.0
Allowed / game69.869.470.4
Point differential+27.7+27.0+28.6
Avg total167.4165.8169.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+83%80%88%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Turan19190100%89.160.2+28.9
2 Shymkent1816289%97.669.8+27.7
3 Aktobe1715288%85.167.5+17.6
4 Bars Petropavlovsk1914574%83.262.3+20.9
5 Atyrau 22115671%77.768.9+8.9
6 ChelSU Kostanay1812667%75.775.9-0.2
7 BC Almaty 2168850%78.273.9+4.4
8 CHAMP1ON167944%70.472.4-2.1
9 Karaganda1871139%79.179.9-0.8
10 Arlans1871139%75.977.4-1.5
11 Tigers-KazATU1971237%66.977.2-10.3
12 Tobol Kostanay 21841422%71.681.0-9.4
13 AiRom1831517%63.478.8-15.4
14 Pavlodar1821611%53.889.6-35.8
15 Kaspiy Aktau 2211205%53.784.0-30.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Aktobe910281158
Shymkent1910172066
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