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Shymkent vs Aktobe Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 14 Feb 2026
Tip-off: 07:00
Final 70-77
20-15 20-18 20-22 10-22
Position#2
Record17-2
FormWWWWW
Points / game95.9
Allowed / game69.2
vs
Position#4
Record15-4
FormWWLLL
Points / game82.1
Allowed / game67.1
KazakhstanHigher League
Other2025-26
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Shymkent winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Aktobe winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ShymkentKazakhstanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormShymkent
Date
Competition
Turan
#1
L
73-88
73
88
-15
52avg 82
H15/11
Higher League
Karaganda
#7
W
97-90
97
90
+7
78avg 82
A27/11
Higher League
Pavlodar
#14
W
109-52
109
52
+57
107avg 82
H28/11
Higher League
Karaganda
#7
W
94-78
94
78
+16
72avg 82
A29/11
Higher League
Pavlodar
#14
W
111-63
111
63
+48
103avg 82
H30/11
Higher League
Bars Petropavlovsk
#3
W
96-58
96
58
+38
104avg 82
H15/12
Higher League
Tigers-KazATU
#10
W
110-65
110
65
+45
116avg 82
A16/12
Higher League
Bars Petropavlovsk
#3
W
94-76
94
76
+18
90avg 82
H17/12
Higher League
Tigers-KazATU
#10
W
75-60
75
60
+15
71avg 82
A18/12
Higher League
Aktobe
#4
W
66-58
66
58
+8
60avg 82
A12/02
Higher League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-28
17-15
11-23
24-22
24-20
27-27
27-26
19-17
35-8
27-10
36-18
11-16
23-20
24-17
33-26
14-15
31-15
26-11
31-13
23-24
25-11
31-22
18-14
22-11
36-20
20-16
32-15
22-14
30-20
23-14
22-23
19-19
28-14
21-17
20-12
6-17
19-9
10-10
17-28
20-11
161.3Avg total
92.5Scored
68.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)95.969.2165.1+26.789%
Season at home (10)96.469.4165.8+27.080%
Season away (9)95.369.0164.3+26.3100%
Last 10 (10)92.568.8161.3+23.790%
Last 5 (5)88.263.4151.6+24.8100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)66.082.5148.5-16.550%
vs Similar (6)79.376.2155.5+3.233%
vs Weaker ◀ (22)91.760.9152.6+30.9100%
This opponent (Aktobe) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AktobeKazakhstanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAktobe
Date
Competition
BC Almaty 2
#5
W
94-89
94
89
+5
94avg 74
A05/12
Higher League
CHAMP1ON
#9
W
76-71
76
71
+5
67avg 74
H06/12
Higher League
CHAMP1ON
#9
W
81-59
81
59
+22
81avg 74
A07/12
Higher League
Karaganda
#7
W
95-58
95
58
+37
no box
H16/01
Higher League
Karaganda
#7
W
82-79 OT
82
79
+3
no box
A17/01
Higher League
Pavlodar
#14
W
112-52
112
52
+60
no box
H18/01
Higher League
Pavlodar
#14
W
86-52
86
52
+34
no box
A19/01
Higher League
Turan
#1
L
57-81
57
81
-24
46avg 74
H11/02
Higher League
Shymkent
#2
L
58-66
58
66
-8
44avg 74
H12/02
Higher League
Turan
#1
L
54-61
54
61
-7
50avg 74
A13/02
Higher League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-29
23-16
32-15
20-29
14-17
29-20
13-18
20-16
21-15
17-12
24-15
19-17
19-10
32-11
22-21
22-16
18-13
14-22
15-15
29-26
35-15
27-2
26-23
24-12
16-17
28-13
23-8
19-14
14-23
12-16
18-25
13-17
9-19
10-10
28-17
11-20
13-14
18-20
15-17
8-10
146.3Avg total
79.5Scored
66.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)82.167.1149.2+14.979%
Season at home (10)83.867.1150.9+16.780%
Season away (9)80.167.1147.2+13.078%
Last 10 (10)79.566.8146.3+12.770%
Last 5 (5)73.462.4135.8+11.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)59.266.9126.1-7.614%
vs Similar (2)93.086.5179.5+6.5100%
vs Weaker (14)86.866.5153.3+20.386%
This opponent (Shymkent) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-13-7+0+7+13Q1Q1: +10.7+10.7Q1: +0.6+0.6Q2Q2: +6.7+6.7Q2: +6.8+6.8Q3Q3: +4.9+4.9Q3: +4.2+4.2Q4Q4: +1.4+1.4Q4: +0.8+0.8
-13-7+0+7+13Q1Q1: +10.7+10.7Q1: +0.6+0.6Q2Q2: +6.7+6.7Q2: +6.8+6.8Q3Q3: +4.9+4.9Q3: +4.2+4.2Q4Q4: +1.4+1.4Q4: +0.8+0.8
ShymkentAktobe
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ShymkentLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Turan
#1
L
38-43
38
43
-5
H15/11
Higher League
Karaganda
#7
W
51-47
51
47
+4
A27/11
Higher League
Pavlodar
#14
W
62-18
62
18
+44
H28/11
Higher League
Karaganda
#7
W
47-37
47
37
+10
A29/11
Higher League
Pavlodar
#14
W
57-26
57
26
+31
H30/11
Higher League
Bars Petropavlovsk
#3
W
56-33
56
33
+23
H15/12
Higher League
Tigers-KazATU
#10
W
56-36
56
36
+20
A16/12
Higher League
Bars Petropavlovsk
#3
W
53-34
53
34
+19
H17/12
Higher League
Tigers-KazATU
#10
W
49-31
49
31
+18
A18/12
Higher League
Aktobe
#4
W
29-19
29
19
+10
A12/02
Higher League
82.2Avg total
49.8Scored
32.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)49.033.282.2+15.883%-
Last 30 at home (15)49.833.783.5+16.180%-
Last 30 away (14)48.232.680.9+15.686%-
Last 10 (10)49.832.482.2+17.490%-
Last 5 (5)48.630.679.2+18.0100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)36.039.075.0-3.050%-
vs Similar (6)44.040.284.2+3.833%-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)51.730.782.4+21.0100%-
This opponent (Aktobe) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AktobeLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
BC Almaty 2
#5
L
42-45
42
45
-3
A05/12
Higher League
CHAMP1ON
#9
W
43-37
43
37
+6
H06/12
Higher League
CHAMP1ON
#9
W
38-27
38
27
+11
A07/12
Higher League
Karaganda
#7
W
51-21
51
21
+30
H16/01
Higher League
Karaganda
#7
L
32-35
32
35
-3
A17/01
Higher League
Pavlodar
#14
W
62-17
62
17
+45
H18/01
Higher League
Pavlodar
#14
W
44-30
44
30
+14
A19/01
Higher League
Turan
#1
L
26-39
26
39
-13
H11/02
Higher League
Shymkent
#2
L
19-29
19
29
-10
H12/02
Higher League
Turan
#1
L
31-34
31
34
-3
A13/02
Higher League
70.2Avg total
38.8Scored
31.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (28)39.233.472.6+5.961%-
Last 30 at home (16)39.732.271.9+7.469%-
Last 30 away (12)38.734.973.6+3.850%-
Last 10 (10)38.831.470.2+7.450%-
Last 5 (5)36.429.866.2+6.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)33.036.769.7-3.733%-
vs Similar (2)42.541.083.5+1.550%-
vs Weaker (14)44.129.573.6+14.686%-
This opponent (Shymkent) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Shymkent wins
0
Aktobe wins
DateGameScore
12/02/26Aktobe v Shymkent58-66
Shymkentlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/02/26AAktobe66-58
18/12/25ATigers-KazATU75-60
17/12/25HBars Petropavlovsk94-76
16/12/25ATigers-KazATU110-65
15/12/25HBars Petropavlovsk96-58
30/11/25HPavlodar111-63
29/11/25AKaraganda94-78
28/11/25HPavlodar109-52
27/11/25AKaraganda97-90
15/11/25HTuran73-88
Aktobelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/02/26ATuran54-61
12/02/26HShymkent58-66
11/02/26HTuran57-81
19/01/26APavlodar86-52
18/01/26HPavlodar112-52
17/01/26AKaraganda82-79 OT
16/01/26HKaraganda95-58
07/12/25ACHAMP1ON81-59
06/12/25HCHAMP1ON76-71
05/12/25ABC Almaty 294-89

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Shymkent
Higher League 2025-26
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW89%
HomeLWWWW80%
AwayWWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19109
Win %89%80%100%
Points / game95.996.495.3
Allowed / game69.269.469.0
Point differential+26.7+27.0+26.3
Avg total165.1165.8164.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+79%80%78%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Aktobe
Higher League 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL79%
HomeWWWLL80%
AwayWWWWL78%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19109
Win %79%80%78%
Points / game82.183.880.1
Allowed / game67.167.167.1
Point differential+14.9+16.7+13.0
Avg total149.2150.9147.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+47%50%44%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (4)100% (1)100% (3)
Overtime %5%0%11%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Turan20200100%87.759.9+27.8
2 Shymkent1917289%95.969.2+26.7
3 Aktobe1915479%82.167.1+14.9
4 Bars Petropavlovsk2015575%82.861.0+21.8
5 Atyrau 22115671%77.768.9+8.9
6 ChelSU Kostanay1812667%75.775.9-0.2
7 BC Almaty 2168850%78.273.9+4.4
8 Karaganda2091145%80.278.0+2.2
9 CHAMP1ON167944%70.472.4-2.1
10 Arlans1971237%76.578.5-2.0
11 Tigers-KazATU1971237%66.977.2-10.3
12 Tobol Kostanay 21841422%71.681.0-9.4
13 AiRom1941521%65.277.9-12.7
14 Pavlodar2021810%53.389.8-36.5
15 Kaspiy Aktau 2221215%53.083.6-30.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Shymkent2020201070
Aktobe1518222277
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