Avellino vs Siena Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 01 Apr 2013

Tip-off: 18:00

Final 75-70

20-26 22-15 21-17 12-12

Position#11

Record9-15

FormWWWWL

Points / game75.4

Allowed / game81.8

Avellino 🏆

Siena

Position#4

Record15-9

FormLLLWL

Points / game76.2

Allowed / game70.2

Lega ARound 25

Domestic2012-13

Meetings · Avellino v Siena

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Avellino winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Siena winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Avellino

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Pesaro

#15

71-78

-7

H13/01

Lega A

Sutor Montegranaro

#14

71-95

-24

A20/01

Lega A

Varese

82-83 OT

-1

H27/01

Lega A

Olimpia Milano

57-108

108

-51

A03/02

Lega A

Cremona

#10

93-81

+12

H17/02

Lega A

Cantu

20-0

+20

H03/03

Lega A

Sassari

86-78

H10/03

Lega A

Biella

#17

77-72

A17/03

Lega A

Brindisi

#13

76-72

A24/03

Lega A

Virtus Bologna

#16

78-94

-16

A27/03

Lega A

21-21

22-17

18-19

10-21

14-24

20-23

20-29

17-19

13-20

26-18

17-25

18-11

18-27

21-24

7-31

11-26

23-26

27-16

16-23

27-16

–

24-20

23-16

22-24

17-18

19-17

27-10

13-26

18-19

25-28

21-6

13-17

17-21

19-25

7-28

34-17

18-24

147.2Avg total

71.1Scored

76.1Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (24)	75.4	81.8	157.2	-6.3	38%
Season at home (12)	75.9	72.5	148.4	+3.4	50%
Season away (12)	74.9	91.0	165.9	-16.1	25%
Last 10 (10)	71.1	76.1	147.2	-5.0	50%
Last 5 (5)	67.4	63.2	130.6	+4.2	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)	73.1	83.9	157.0	-10.9	27%
vs Similar (13)	78.0	82.6	160.6	-4.6	46%
vs Weaker (2)	75.5	77.0	152.5	-1.5	50%

This opponent (Siena) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Siena

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Biella

#17

98-75

+23

H24/02

Lega A

Fenerbahce

#21

87-69

+18

H28/02

Euroleague

Olimpia Milano

68-72

-4

A03/03

Lega A

Khimki M.

#11

71-78

-7

A08/03

Euroleague

Virtus Roma

70-94

-24

H11/03

Lega A

Olympiacos

67-68

-1

H14/03

Euroleague

Caserta

#12

64-72

-8

A17/03

Lega A

Besiktas

#22

70-72

-2

A22/03

Euroleague

Cantu

73-66

H25/03

Lega A

Barcelona

69-77

-8

H29/03

Euroleague

31-17

19-19

19-17

29-22

21-18

28-17

16-18

22-16

15-23

18-3

8-17

27-29

20-25

17-19

17-20

17-14

23-27

16-20

16-19

15-28

18-17

19-19

17-13

13-19

19-18

14-17

15-9

16-28

16-18

19-17

18-13

17-24

18-11

28-10

18-20

9-25

25-23

15-22

15-20

14-12

148.0Avg total

73.7Scored

74.3Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (24)	76.2	70.2	146.5	+6.0	62%
Season at home (12)	81.5	69.4	150.9	+12.1	83%
Season away (12)	71.0	71.1	142.1	-0.1	42%
Last 10 (10)	73.7	74.3	148.0	-0.6	30%
Last 5 (5)	68.6	71.0	139.6	-2.4	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	68.8	80.8	149.5	-12.0	25%
vs Similar (12)	73.8	74.5	148.3	-0.7	58%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)	80.2	76.3	156.5	+3.9	54%

This opponent (Avellino) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

AvellinoSiena

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (28)	19.1	22.1	41.2	-3.0	29%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	19.1	20.3	39.4	-1.2	31%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.1	23.6	42.7	-4.5	27%	-
Last 10 (9)	19.6	23.1	42.7	-3.6	22%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.0	23.2	45.2	-1.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)	18.9	23.2	42.1	-4.3	14%	-
vs Similar (12)	19.2	21.7	40.9	-2.4	33%	-
vs Weaker (2)	19.5	16.5	36.0	+3.0	100%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.0	19.3	40.3	+1.7	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	22.9	18.6	41.5	+4.3	73%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.1	20.1	39.2	-0.9	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.6	19.7	40.3	+0.9	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.2	17.4	36.6	+1.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	20.0	20.0	40.0	+0.0	50%	-
vs Similar (12)	20.2	19.9	40.1	+0.2	42%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)	21.9	18.3	40.2	+3.6	69%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (28)	20.5	19.9	40.4	+0.6	46%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	21.8	19.3	41.2	+2.5	69%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.4	20.4	39.8	-1.0	27%	-
Last 10 (9)	21.6	17.6	39.1	+4.0	67%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.0	15.2	36.2	+5.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)	20.9	20.7	41.6	+0.1	43%	-
vs Similar (12)	20.1	19.3	39.4	+0.8	50%	-
vs Weaker (2)	21.0	17.5	38.5	+3.5	50%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.5	17.5	36.1	+1.0	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.4	16.9	37.3	+3.5	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	16.7	18.2	34.9	-1.5	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.3	16.3	35.6	+3.0	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.0	17.0	36.0	+2.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	16.8	23.5	40.2	-6.8	25%	-
vs Similar (12)	18.8	15.6	34.4	+3.2	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)	19.2	17.6	36.8	+1.5	54%	-

AvellinoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Pesaro

#15

43-38

H13/01

Lega A

Sutor Montegranaro

#14

34-47

-13

A20/01

Lega A

Varese

39-38

H27/01

Lega A

Olimpia Milano

39-51

-12

A03/02

Lega A

Cremona

#10

50-42

H17/02

Lega A

Sassari

47-36

+11

H10/03

Lega A

Biella

#17

46-27

+19

A17/03

Lega A

Brindisi

#13

46-34

+12

A24/03

Lega A

Virtus Bologna

#16

26-53

-27

A27/03

Lega A

81.8Avg total

41.1Scored

40.7Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (28)	39.6	42.0	81.6	-2.3	43%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	40.9	39.6	80.5	+1.3	54%	-
Last 30 away (15)	38.5	44.0	82.5	-5.5	33%	-
Last 10 (9)	41.1	40.7	81.8	+0.4	67%	-
Last 5 (5)	43.0	38.4	81.4	+4.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)	39.8	43.9	83.7	-4.1	36%	-
vs Similar (12)	39.3	41.0	80.3	-1.7	50%	-
vs Weaker (2)	40.5	34.0	74.5	+6.5	50%	-

This opponent (Siena) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

SienaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Biella

#17

50-36

+14

H24/02

Lega A

Fenerbahce

#21

49-35

+14

H28/02

Euroleague

Olimpia Milano

33-26

A03/03

Lega A

Khimki M.

#11

37-44

-7

A08/03

Euroleague

Virtus Roma

39-47

-8

H11/03

Lega A

Olympiacos

37-36

H14/03

Euroleague

Caserta

#12

33-35

-2

A17/03

Lega A

Besiktas

#22

35-35

A22/03

Euroleague

Cantu

46-21

+25

H25/03

Lega A

Barcelona

40-45

-5

H29/03

Euroleague

75.9Avg total

39.9Scored

36.0Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.5	36.9	76.4	+2.7	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	43.3	35.5	78.7	+7.8	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	35.8	38.3	74.1	-2.5	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.9	36.0	75.9	+3.9	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.2	34.4	72.6	+3.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	36.8	43.5	80.2	-6.8	25%	-
vs Similar (12)	39.0	35.5	74.5	+3.5	58%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)	41.1	35.9	77.0	+5.2	54%	-

This opponent (Avellino) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (28)	17.7	21.4	39.1	-3.6	29%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	18.2	18.4	36.6	-0.2	46%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.3	23.9	41.2	-6.7	13%	-
Last 10 (9)	17.8	23.4	41.2	-5.7	11%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.6	21.4	41.0	-1.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)	17.3	23.4	40.7	-6.1	21%	-
vs Similar (12)	18.5	18.7	37.2	-0.2	42%	-
vs Weaker (2)	16.0	23.0	39.0	-7.0	0%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.5	17.9	35.4	-0.4	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	17.5	17.6	35.1	-0.1	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.5	18.3	35.8	-0.7	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	15.9	16.6	32.5	-0.7	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.6	15.0	31.6	+1.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	17.8	20.2	38.0	-2.5	25%	-
vs Similar (12)	17.1	17.9	35.0	-0.8	42%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)	17.2	17.2	34.5	+0.0	62%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (28)	19.8	22.1	41.9	-2.4	29%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	20.2	20.4	40.5	-0.2	46%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.4	23.7	43.1	-4.3	13%	-
Last 10 (9)	17.0	19.4	36.4	-2.4	22%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.4	19.6	39.0	-0.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)	19.2	21.9	41.1	-2.7	29%	-
vs Similar (12)	20.5	22.8	43.2	-2.2	33%	-
vs Weaker (2)	19.0	20.0	39.0	-1.0	0%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.8	20.6	39.4	-1.9	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	17.7	18.7	36.5	-1.0	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.8	22.5	42.3	-2.7	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.9	21.7	39.6	-3.8	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	13.8	21.6	35.4	-7.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	14.2	17.0	31.2	-2.8	50%	-
vs Similar (12)	17.8	21.1	38.8	-3.3	33%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)	21.0	21.7	42.7	-0.7	54%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (28)	37.5	43.5	81.0	-6.0	25%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	38.4	38.8	77.2	-0.4	31%	-
Last 30 away (15)	36.7	47.6	84.3	-10.9	20%	-
Last 10 (9)	34.8	42.9	77.7	-8.1	22%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.0	41.0	80.0	-2.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)	36.5	45.4	81.9	-8.9	14%	-
vs Similar (12)	39.0	41.4	80.4	-2.4	42%	-
vs Weaker (2)	35.0	43.0	78.0	-8.0	0%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	36.3	38.6	74.8	-2.3	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	35.2	36.3	71.5	-1.1	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	37.3	40.8	78.1	-3.5	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	33.8	38.3	72.1	-4.5	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	30.4	36.6	67.0	-6.2	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	32.0	37.2	69.2	-5.2	25%	-
vs Similar (12)	34.8	39.0	73.8	-4.2	25%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)	38.2	38.9	77.2	-0.7	54%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Avellino wins

Siena wins

Date	Game	Score
03/12/12	Siena v Avellino	101-65
19/04/12	Siena v Avellino	109-79
11/12/11	Avellino v Siena	77-83 OT
30/04/11	Siena v Avellino	77-82
06/01/11	Avellino v Siena	75-79
27/03/10	Siena v Avellino	91-74
29/11/09	Avellino v Siena	57-86
22/04/09	Siena v Avellino	84-68
07/12/08	Avellino v Siena	77-85

Avellinolast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
27/03/13	A	Virtus Bologna	78-94
24/03/13	A	Brindisi	76-72
17/03/13	A	Biella	77-72
10/03/13	H	Sassari	86-78
03/03/13	H	Cantu	20-0
17/02/13	H	Cremona	93-81
03/02/13	A	Olimpia Milano	57-108
27/01/13	H	Varese	82-83 OT
20/01/13	A	Sutor Montegranaro	71-95
13/01/13	H	Pesaro	71-78

Sienalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
29/03/13	H	Barcelona	69-77
25/03/13	H	Cantu	73-66
22/03/13	A	Besiktas	70-72
17/03/13	A	Caserta	64-72
14/03/13	H	Olympiacos	67-68
11/03/13	H	Virtus Roma	70-94
08/03/13	A	Khimki M.	71-78
03/03/13	A	Olimpia Milano	68-72
28/02/13	H	Fenerbahce	87-69
24/02/13	H	Biella	98-75

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Avellino

Lega A 2012-13

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWWL	38%
Home	LLWWW	50%
Away	LLWWL	25%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	24	12	12
Win %	38%	50%	25%
Points / game	75.4	75.9	74.9
Allowed / game	81.8	72.5	91.0
Point differential	-6.3	+3.4	-16.1
Avg total	157.2	148.4	165.9
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	21%	42%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	60% (5)	0% (2)	100% (3)
Overtime %	8%	17%	0%

Siena

Lega A 2012-13

Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLLLW	62%
Home	WWWLW	83%
Away	LLLLL	42%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	24	12	12
Win %	62%	83%	42%
Points / game	76.2	81.5	71.0
Allowed / game	70.2	69.4	71.1
Point differential	+6.0	+12.1	-0.1
Avg total	146.5	150.9	142.1
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	50%	67%	33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	33% (6)	50% (2)	25% (4)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Nazionale Italiana	1	1	0	100%	107.0	92.0	+15.0
2	Varese	25	20	5	80%	83.4	76.1	+7.3
3	Sassari	25	18	7	72%	87.9	82.2	+5.7
4	Virtus Roma	25	17	8	68%	77.8	74.5	+3.2
5	Siena	24	15	9	62%	76.2	70.2	+6.0
6	Cantu	25	15	10	60%	73.9	67.6	+6.3
7	Olimpia Milano	25	15	10	60%	80.4	76.8	+3.6
8	Reggiana	25	14	11	56%	76.8	73.1	+3.7
9	Venezia	25	13	12	52%	78.1	78.7	-0.6
10	Caserta	25	11	14	44%	70.9	76.4	-5.5
11	Brindisi	25	10	15	40%	80.8	81.4	-0.7
12	Sutor Montegranaro	25	10	15	40%	83.5	84.4	-0.9
13	Cremona	25	10	15	40%	78.9	80.6	-1.7
14	Avellino	24	9	15	38%	75.4	81.8	-6.3
15	Virtus Bologna	25	9	16	36%	74.2	78.4	-4.1
16	Pesaro	25	8	17	32%	73.4	77.4	-4.0
17	Biella	25	5	20	20%	71.2	83.1	-11.9
18	International All Stars	1	0	1	0%	92.0	107.0	-15.0

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Avellino	20	22	21	12	75
Siena	26	15	17	12	70

← all games of the day

Avellino vs Siena Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Get it on Telegram

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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