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Siena vs Real Madrid Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 01 Mar 2012
Tip-off: 19:45
Final 90-102
28-26 25-26 22-24 15-26
Position#6
Record12-3
FormWWWLL
Points / game78.8
Allowed / game68.5
vs
Position#3
Record11-4
FormWWWWW
Points / game84.9
Allowed / game78.1
EuropeEuroleague
European cup2011
Meetings · Siena v Real Madrid
01 Mar 2012
SIE90
MAD102
26 Jan 2011
SIE68
MAD78
11 Feb 2010
SIE83
MAD76
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Siena winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Real Madrid winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

SienaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Venezia
#9
L
60-63
60
63
-3
A29/01
Lega A
Unicaja
#27
W
91-68
91
68
+23
A02/02
Euroleague
Caserta
#15
W
80-78
80
78
+2
A05/02
Lega A
Unicaja
#27
W
84-69
84
69
+15
H08/02
Euroleague
Biella
#12
W
104-78
104
78
+26
H12/02
Lega A
Sassari
#6
W
70-60
70
60
+10
H16/02
Italian Cup
Olimpia Milano
#4
W
67-65
67
65
+2
H18/02
Italian Cup
Cantu
#2
W
88-71
88
71
+17
H19/02
Italian Cup
Bilbao
#14
L
59-60
59
60
-1
A22/02
Euroleague
Virtus Roma
#13
L
76-77
76
77
-1
A26/02
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-23
15-21
17-6
11-13
27-19
23-21
21-17
20-11
17-16
24-27
13-10
26-25
23-19
29-27
15-14
17-9
20-21
34-19
26-22
24-16
22-12
19-21
12-12
17-15
21-12
13-20
13-13
20-20
21-16
23-17
29-18
15-20
8-7
14-14
17-18
20-21
25-22
19-21
17-16
15-18
146.8Avg total
77.9Scored
68.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)78.868.5147.3+10.380%
Season at home (7)83.070.9153.9+12.186%
Season away (8)75.166.4141.5+8.875%
Last 10 (10)77.968.9146.8+9.070%
Last 5 (5)72.066.6138.6+5.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)77.074.0151.0+3.0100%
vs Similar ◀ (3)83.073.0156.0+10.067%
vs Weaker (25)78.669.6148.2+9.076%
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Real MadridLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Fuenlabrada
#16
W
79-57
79
57
+22
A29/01
ACB
Bilbao
#14
W
89-73
89
73
+16
H01/02
Euroleague
Bilbao
#6
L
90-93
90
93
-3
H05/02
ACB
Bilbao
#14
L
69-93
69
93
-24
A08/02
Euroleague
Real Betis
#7
W
98-63
98
63
+35
A12/02
ACB
Fuenlabrada
#6
W
75-66
75
66
+9
H17/02
Spanish Cup
Real Betis
#3
W
92-84
92
84
+8
H18/02
Spanish Cup
Barcelona
#2
W
91-74
91
74
+17
A19/02
Spanish Cup
Unicaja
#27
W
86-65
86
65
+21
H23/02
Euroleague
Gran Canaria
#15
W
90-72
90
72
+18
H26/02
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-18
11-10
18-17
24-12
26-16
24-20
19-19
20-18
14-19
22-16
23-25
31-33
14-34
12-18
25-20
18-21
15-11
24-15
32-12
27-25
15-16
20-15
20-22
20-13
27-14
19-30
30-16
16-24
22-17
20-16
23-23
26-18
14-22
27-19
18-12
27-12
18-9
30-25
20-21
22-17
159.9Avg total
85.9Scored
74.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)84.978.1163.0+6.773%
Season at home (8)89.478.0167.4+11.488%
Season away (7)79.778.3158.0+1.457%
Last 10 (10)85.974.0159.9+11.980%
Last 5 (5)86.872.2159.0+14.6100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (2)73.581.0154.5-7.550%
vs Weaker (27)86.374.7161.0+11.681%
This opponent (Siena) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +3.4+3.4Q1: +1.5+1.5Q2Q2: +0.5+0.5Q2: +2.5+2.5Q3Q3: +3.4+3.4Q3: +4.1+4.1Q4Q4: +1.7+1.7Q4: +3.8+3.8
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +3.4+3.4Q1: +1.5+1.5Q2Q2: +0.5+0.5Q2: +2.5+2.5Q3Q3: +3.4+3.4Q3: +4.1+4.1Q4Q4: +1.7+1.7Q4: +3.8+3.8
SienaReal Madrid
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
SienaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Venezia
#9
L
32-44
32
44
-12
A29/01
Lega A
Unicaja
#27
W
50-40
50
40
+10
A02/02
Euroleague
Caserta
#15
L
41-43
41
43
-2
A05/02
Lega A
Unicaja
#27
W
52-46
52
46
+6
H08/02
Euroleague
Biella
#12
W
54-40
54
40
+14
H12/02
Lega A
Sassari
#6
W
41-33
41
33
+8
H16/02
Italian Cup
Olimpia Milano
#4
W
34-32
34
32
+2
H18/02
Italian Cup
Cantu
#2
W
44-33
44
33
+11
H19/02
Italian Cup
Bilbao
#14
W
22-21
22
21
+1
A22/02
Euroleague
Virtus Roma
#13
W
44-43
44
43
+1
A26/02
Lega A
78.9Avg total
41.4Scored
37.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.535.174.6+4.470%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.334.975.2+5.373%-
Last 30 away (15)38.735.374.1+3.467%-
Last 10 (10)41.437.578.9+3.980%-
Last 5 (5)37.032.469.4+4.6100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)36.035.071.0+1.0100%-
vs Similar ◀ (3)44.036.080.0+8.067%-
vs Weaker (25)39.035.174.2+3.968%-
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Real MadridLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Fuenlabrada
#16
W
37-28
37
28
+9
A29/01
ACB
Bilbao
#14
W
50-36
50
36
+14
H01/02
Euroleague
Bilbao
#6
W
36-35
36
35
+1
H05/02
ACB
Bilbao
#14
L
26-52
26
52
-26
A08/02
Euroleague
Real Betis
#7
W
39-26
39
26
+13
A12/02
ACB
Fuenlabrada
#6
W
35-31
35
31
+4
H17/02
Spanish Cup
Real Betis
#3
W
46-44
46
44
+2
H18/02
Spanish Cup
Barcelona
#2
W
42-33
42
33
+9
A19/02
Spanish Cup
Unicaja
#27
D
41-41
41
41
+0
H23/02
Euroleague
Gran Canaria
#15
W
48-34
48
34
+14
H26/02
ACB
76.0Avg total
40.0Scored
36.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.537.680.1+4.973%-
Last 30 at home (16)44.437.682.1+6.888%-
Last 30 away (14)40.337.677.9+2.657%-
Last 10 (10)40.036.076.0+4.080%-
Last 5 (5)42.436.679.0+5.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (2)41.041.582.5-0.550%-
vs Weaker (27)42.937.680.5+5.374%-
This opponent (Siena) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Siena wins
2
Real Madrid wins
DateGameScore
25/01/12Real Madrid v Siena69-88
08/05/11Real Madrid v Siena62-80
03/03/11Real Madrid v Siena77-95
26/01/11Siena v Real Madrid68-78
25/02/10Real Madrid v Siena77-69
11/02/10Siena v Real Madrid83-76
Sienalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/02/12AVirtus Roma76-77
22/02/12ABilbao59-60
19/02/12HCantu88-71
18/02/12HOlimpia Milano67-65
16/02/12HSassari70-60
12/02/12HBiella104-78
08/02/12HUnicaja84-69
05/02/12ACaserta80-78
02/02/12AUnicaja91-68
29/01/12AVenezia60-63
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/02/12HGran Canaria90-72
23/02/12HUnicaja86-65
19/02/12ABarcelona91-74
18/02/12HReal Betis92-84
17/02/12HFuenlabrada75-66
12/02/12AReal Betis98-63
08/02/12ABilbao69-93
05/02/12HBilbao90-93
01/02/12HBilbao89-73
29/01/12AFuenlabrada79-57

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Siena
Euroleague 2011
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL80%
HomeWLWWW86%
AwayWWWWL75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1578
Win %80%86%75%
Points / game78.883.075.1
Allowed / game68.570.966.4
Point differential+10.3+12.1+8.8
Avg total147.3153.9141.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+53%71%38%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Real Madrid
Euroleague 2011
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW73%
HomeWWLWW88%
AwayLWWWL57%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1587
Win %73%88%57%
Points / game84.989.479.7
Allowed / game78.178.078.3
Point differential+6.7+11.4+1.4
Avg total163.0167.4158.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%62%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Barcelona1615194%76.361.4+14.9
2 CSKA Moscow1615194%86.271.4+14.8
3 Siena1512380%78.868.5+10.3
4 Real Madrid1511473%84.978.1+6.7
5 Panathinaikos1611569%79.470.8+8.6
6 Rytas32167%78.068.7+9.3
7 Nymburk32167%69.371.7-2.3
8 Maccabi Tel Aviv1610662%76.172.3+3.8
9 Unics Kazan1610662%70.967.4+3.4
10 Galatasaray1810856%70.972.0-1.1
11 Bilbao158753%76.974.9+2.1
12 Olympiacos158753%76.776.5+0.3
13 Alba Berlin21150%72.567.0+5.5
14 Baskonia105550%80.276.5+3.7
15 Khimki M.21150%76.576.5+0.0
16 Fenerbahce168850%75.376.1-0.8
17 Lyon-Villeurbanne21150%81.582.5-1.0
18 Cantu168850%71.573.1-1.6
19 Cibona21150%74.079.0-5.0
20 Olimpia Milano167944%69.870.2-0.4
21 Partizan104640%73.977.4-3.5
22 Spirou Charleroi135838%72.577.5-4.9
23 Anadolu Efes1661038%69.275.3-6.1
24 Bamberg103730%77.379.4-2.1
25 Nancy103730%74.383.3-9.0
26 Unicaja1541127%76.282.3-6.1
27 Zalgiris Kaunas1641225%74.580.2-5.7
28 Zagreb102820%71.886.7-14.9
29 Gdynia101910%61.874.3-12.5
30 Petrol Olimpija101910%58.974.5-15.6
31 Donetsk1010%59.061.0-2.0
32 Cholet1010%70.077.0-7.0
33 Turow Zgorzelec1010%67.074.0-7.0
34 Gravelines-Dunkerque1010%72.080.0-8.0
35 Banvit1010%57.069.0-12.0
36 PAOK1010%64.077.0-13.0
37 Buducnost1010%64.083.0-19.0
38 VEF Riga1010%60.082.0-22.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 38 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Siena2825221590
Real Madrid26262426102
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