Virtus Roma vs Siena Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 26 Feb 2012

Tip-off: 17:15

Final 77-76

22-25 21-19 16-17 18-15

Position#13

Record9-11

FormLLLWW

Points / game78.7

Allowed / game80.4

Virtus Roma 🏆

Siena

Position#2

Record15-5

FormWWWWL

Points / game79.8

Allowed / game71.0

Lega ARound 22

Domestic2011-12

Meetings · Virtus Roma v Siena

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Virtus Roma winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Siena winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Virtus Roma Italy

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Avellino

#10

96-99 OT

-3

H18/12

Lega A

Teramo

#17

67-64

A27/12

Lega A

Venezia

89-80

H30/12

Lega A

Olimpia Milano

75-83

-8

A03/01

Lega A

Casale Monferrato

#18

93-92

A08/01

Lega A

Pesaro

73-77 OT

-4

H11/01

Lega A

Virtus Bologna

78-82

-4

H21/01

Lega A

Biella

#12

73-81

-8

A25/01

Lega A

Sutor Montegranaro

#16

76-69

H08/02

Lega A

Varese

78-76

A12/02

Lega A

22-24

23-19

22-27

17-14

11-16

16-17

18-9

22-22

28-15

12-24

28-20

21-21

19-21

15-23

24-25

17-14

23-27

19-17

26-17

25-31

18-20

17-15

10-10

17-17

27-25

14-15

20-21

17-21

16-27

16-21

20-17

21-16

18-18

14-18

27-13

17-20

23-20

17-24

18-14

20-18

160.1Avg total

79.8Scored

80.3Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (20)	78.7	80.4	159.1	-1.7	45%
Season at home (10)	82.2	79.4	161.6	+2.8	50%
Season away (10)	75.2	81.4	156.6	-6.2	40%
Last 10 (10)	79.8	80.3	160.1	-0.5	50%
Last 5 (5)	75.6	77.0	152.6	-1.4	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)	72.8	81.2	154.0	-8.5	25%
vs Similar (20)	79.0	79.0	157.9	+0.0	50%
vs Weaker (6)	78.3	75.3	153.7	+3.0	50%

This opponent (Siena) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Siena

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Real Madrid

88-69

+19

A25/01

Euroleague

Venezia

60-63

-3

A29/01

Lega A

Unicaja

#27

91-68

+23

A02/02

Euroleague

Caserta

#15

80-78

A05/02

Lega A

Unicaja

#27

84-69

+15

H08/02

Euroleague

Biella

#12

104-78

104

+26

H12/02

Lega A

Sassari

70-60

+10

H16/02

Italian Cup

Olimpia Milano

67-65

H18/02

Italian Cup

Cantu

88-71

+17

H19/02

Italian Cup

Bilbao

#14

59-60

-1

A22/02

Euroleague

31-15

16-19

18-14

23-21

17-23

15-21

17-6

11-13

27-19

23-21

21-17

20-11

17-16

24-27

13-10

26-25

23-19

29-27

15-14

17-9

20-21

34-19

26-22

24-16

22-12

19-21

12-12

17-15

21-12

13-20

13-13

20-20

21-16

23-17

29-18

15-20

8-7

14-14

17-18

20-21

147.2Avg total

79.1Scored

68.1Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (20)	79.8	71.0	150.8	+8.8	75%
Season at home (10)	83.0	71.9	154.9	+11.1	80%
Season away (10)	76.6	70.0	146.6	+6.6	70%
Last 10 (10)	79.1	68.1	147.2	+11.0	80%
Last 5 (5)	77.6	66.8	144.4	+10.8	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	76.0	82.0	158.0	-6.0	50%
vs Similar (3)	83.0	73.0	156.0	+10.0	67%
vs Weaker ◀ (24)	78.8	69.3	148.0	+9.5	79%

This opponent (Virtus Roma) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Virtus RomaSiena

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.9	20.3	39.2	-1.4	37%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.5	18.3	37.7	+1.2	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.3	22.3	40.6	-3.9	20%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.5	21.3	41.8	-0.8	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.4	22.0	42.4	-1.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)	17.8	22.2	40.0	-4.5	25%	-
vs Similar (20)	19.6	20.1	39.7	-0.6	45%	-
vs Weaker (6)	17.5	19.3	36.8	-1.8	17%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.4	17.3	36.7	+2.1	67%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.3	16.9	36.3	+2.4	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.5	17.7	37.2	+1.7	67%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.7	16.0	36.7	+4.7	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.4	13.6	32.0	+4.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	17.5	22.0	39.5	-4.5	50%	-
vs Similar (3)	22.7	17.3	40.0	+5.3	67%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (24)	19.0	17.2	36.2	+1.9	67%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.2	18.3	35.5	-1.1	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.4	17.4	35.8	+1.0	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	16.0	19.3	35.3	-3.3	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.3	19.3	35.6	-3.0	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	15.6	18.6	34.2	-3.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)	18.5	19.0	37.5	-0.5	50%	-
vs Similar (20)	16.3	18.9	35.2	-2.6	30%	-
vs Weaker (6)	19.3	16.0	35.3	+3.3	67%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.6	17.7	37.3	+1.9	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.9	18.0	38.9	+2.9	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.2	17.4	35.6	+0.8	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.0	20.6	41.6	+0.4	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.6	18.2	38.8	+2.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	14.5	15.5	30.0	-1.0	0%	-
vs Similar (3)	21.3	18.7	40.0	+2.7	67%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (24)	19.8	17.6	37.4	+2.2	62%	-

Virtus RomaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Avellino

#10

45-43

H18/12

Lega A

Teramo

#17

27-33

-6

A27/12

Lega A

Venezia

40-39

H30/12

Lega A

Olimpia Milano

34-44

-10

A03/01

Lega A

Casale Monferrato

#18

42-44

-2

A08/01

Lega A

Pesaro

35-35

H11/01

Lega A

Virtus Bologna

41-40

H21/01

Lega A

Biella

#12

32-48

-16

A25/01

Lega A

Sutor Montegranaro

#16

32-36

-4

H08/02

Lega A

Varese

40-44

-4

A12/02

Lega A

77.4Avg total

36.8Scored

40.6Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	36.1	38.6	74.7	-2.5	37%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	37.9	35.7	73.5	+2.2	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	34.3	41.5	75.9	-7.2	13%	-
Last 10 (10)	36.8	40.6	77.4	-3.8	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	36.0	40.6	76.6	-4.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)	36.2	41.2	77.5	-5.0	25%	-
vs Similar (20)	35.9	39.0	74.9	-3.2	30%	-
vs Weaker (6)	36.8	35.3	72.2	+1.5	67%	-

This opponent (Siena) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

SienaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Real Madrid

47-34

+13

A25/01

Euroleague

Venezia

32-44

-12

A29/01

Lega A

Unicaja

#27

50-40

+10

A02/02

Euroleague

Caserta

#15

41-43

-2

A05/02

Lega A

Unicaja

#27

52-46

H08/02

Euroleague

Biella

#12

54-40

+14

H12/02

Lega A

Sassari

41-33

H16/02

Italian Cup

Olimpia Milano

34-32

H18/02

Italian Cup

Cantu

44-33

+11

H19/02

Italian Cup

Bilbao

#14

22-21

A22/02

Euroleague

78.3Avg total

41.7Scored

36.6Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.0	35.0	74.0	+3.9	67%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	40.3	34.9	75.2	+5.3	73%	-
Last 30 away (15)	37.7	35.1	72.8	+2.5	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.7	36.6	78.3	+5.1	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.0	31.8	70.8	+7.2	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	32.0	37.5	69.5	-5.5	50%	-
vs Similar (3)	44.0	36.0	80.0	+8.0	67%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (24)	38.8	34.8	73.6	+4.0	67%	-

This opponent (Virtus Roma) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.6	17.7	37.3	+1.9	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.7	17.0	37.7	+3.7	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.5	18.4	36.9	+0.1	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.3	17.3	38.6	+4.0	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.0	15.0	34.0	+4.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)	18.5	19.0	37.5	-0.5	25%	-
vs Similar (20)	19.6	17.1	36.7	+2.6	55%	-
vs Weaker (6)	20.2	19.0	39.2	+1.2	33%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.8	17.3	36.1	+1.5	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.0	18.3	38.3	+1.7	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.5	16.3	33.9	+1.2	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.1	14.4	32.5	+3.7	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.4	16.6	36.0	+2.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	16.5	23.5	40.0	-7.0	0%	-
vs Similar (3)	22.3	16.0	38.3	+6.3	100%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (24)	18.8	17.2	36.0	+1.6	58%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.6	20.1	40.7	+0.5	60%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.5	20.0	40.5	+0.5	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.7	20.3	41.0	+0.5	67%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.4	19.4	38.8	+0.0	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.4	18.4	36.8	+0.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)	18.0	21.0	39.0	-3.0	25%	-
vs Similar (20)	20.9	19.7	40.6	+1.2	60%	-
vs Weaker (6)	21.3	21.0	42.3	+0.3	83%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.2	17.4	37.6	+2.8	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.1	18.1	38.3	+2.0	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.3	16.6	36.9	+3.7	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.3	17.1	36.4	+2.2	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.2	18.4	37.6	+0.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	27.5	21.0	48.5	+6.5	50%	-
vs Similar (3)	16.7	21.0	37.7	-4.3	33%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (24)	20.2	16.7	36.9	+3.5	58%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.2	37.8	78.0	+2.4	63%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	41.1	37.0	78.1	+4.1	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	39.3	38.7	77.9	+0.6	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.7	36.7	77.4	+4.0	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	37.4	33.4	70.8	+4.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)	36.5	40.0	76.5	-3.5	50%	-
vs Similar (20)	40.5	36.8	77.3	+3.8	70%	-
vs Weaker (6)	41.5	40.0	81.5	+1.5	50%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.0	34.7	73.6	+4.3	70%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	40.1	36.4	76.5	+3.7	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	37.8	32.9	70.7	+4.9	73%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.4	31.5	68.9	+5.9	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.6	35.0	73.6	+3.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	44.0	44.5	88.5	-0.5	50%	-
vs Similar (3)	39.0	37.0	76.0	+2.0	67%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (24)	39.0	33.9	72.8	+5.1	71%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Virtus Roma wins

Siena wins

Date	Game	Score
05/11/11	Siena v Virtus Roma	85-52
15/05/11	Siena v Virtus Roma	83-73
16/01/11	Virtus Roma v Siena	67-73
21/03/10	Virtus Roma v Siena	93-85
22/11/09	Siena v Virtus Roma	83-58
08/03/09	Siena v Virtus Roma	93-88
16/11/08	Virtus Roma v Siena	68-88

Virtus Romalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
12/02/12	A	Varese	78-76
08/02/12	H	Sutor Montegranaro	76-69
25/01/12	A	Biella	73-81
21/01/12	H	Virtus Bologna	78-82
11/01/12	H	Pesaro	73-77 OT
08/01/12	A	Casale Monferrato	93-92
03/01/12	A	Olimpia Milano	75-83
30/12/11	H	Venezia	89-80
27/12/11	A	Teramo	67-64
18/12/11	H	Avellino	96-99 OT

Sienalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
22/02/12	A	Bilbao	59-60
19/02/12	H	Cantu	88-71
18/02/12	H	Olimpia Milano	67-65
16/02/12	H	Sassari	70-60
12/02/12	H	Biella	104-78
08/02/12	H	Unicaja	84-69
05/02/12	A	Caserta	80-78
02/02/12	A	Unicaja	91-68
29/01/12	A	Venezia	60-63
25/01/12	A	Real Madrid	88-69

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Virtus Roma

Lega A 2011-12

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLLWW	45%
Home	LWLLW	50%
Away	WLWLW	40%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	20	10	10
Win %	45%	50%	40%
Points / game	78.7	82.2	75.2
Allowed / game	80.4	79.4	81.4
Point differential	-1.7	+2.8	-6.2
Avg total	159.1	161.6	156.6
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	5%	10%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	38% (8)	0% (4)	75% (4)
Overtime %	20%	30%	10%

Siena

Lega A 2011-12

Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWLWW	75%
Home	WLWWW	80%
Away	WWLLW	70%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	20	10	10
Win %	75%	80%	70%
Points / game	79.8	83.0	76.6
Allowed / game	71.0	71.9	70.0
Point differential	+8.8	+11.1	+6.6
Avg total	150.8	154.9	146.6
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	35%	50%	20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	50% (8)	50% (4)	50% (4)
Overtime %	10%	10%	10%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Siena	20	15	5	75%	79.8	71.0	+8.8
2	Sassari	21	13	8	62%	78.5	77.5	+1.0
3	Venezia	18	11	7	61%	76.5	74.9	+1.6
4	Pesaro	18	11	7	61%	74.1	74.6	-0.5
5	Olimpia Milano	20	12	8	60%	76.0	72.9	+3.0
6	Virtus Bologna	20	12	8	60%	78.2	76.6	+1.6
7	Cantu	19	11	8	58%	74.4	70.7	+3.6
8	Avellino	20	11	9	55%	79.6	80.2	-0.6
9	Varese	20	10	10	50%	75.6	75.3	+0.3
10	Caserta	19	9	10	47%	77.3	77.7	-0.4
11	Biella	20	9	11	45%	75.5	76.8	-1.2
12	Virtus Roma	20	9	11	45%	78.7	80.4	-1.7
13	Treviso	19	8	11	42%	74.8	76.3	-1.4
14	Sutor Montegranaro	19	7	12	37%	75.6	77.7	-2.2
15	Teramo	19	7	12	37%	71.8	75.1	-3.3
16	Cremona	20	6	14	30%	72.1	78.3	-6.2
17	Casale Monferrato	20	5	15	25%	72.2	75.0	-2.8

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Virtus Roma	22	21	16	18	77
Siena	25	19	17	15	76

← all games of the day

Virtus Roma vs Siena Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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