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Siena vs Varese Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 30 May 2013
Tip-off: 18:10
Final 72-59
22-11 20-12 19-17 11-19
Position#4
Record23-16
FormLWWWL
Points / game77.1
Allowed / game73.1
Siena 🏆
Italy
vs
Position#2
Record28-9
FormWLWLW
Points / game83.2
Allowed / game76.7
ItalyLega ALega A - Semi-finals
Domestic2012-13
Meetings · Siena v Varese
05 Jan 2014
SIE87
VAR79
08 Oct 2013
SIE81
VAR66
05 Jun 2013
SIE80
VAR82
01 Jun 2013
SIE78
VAR77
30 May 2013
SIE72
VAR59
03 Feb 2013
SIE89
VAR75
19 May 2012
SIE88
VAR72
17 May 2012
SIE92
VAR57
20 Nov 2011
SIE79
VAR74
06 Feb 2011
SIE82
VAR59
06 Dec 2009
SIE87
VAR74
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Siena winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Varese winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

SienaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sassari
#3
L
86-92
86
92
-6
H05/05
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#5
L
79-103
79
103
-24
A10/05
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#5
L
79-81 OT
79
81
-2
A12/05
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#5
W
92-73
92
73
+19
H14/05
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#5
W
75-69
75
69
+6
H16/05
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#5
L
67-82
67
82
-15
A18/05
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#5
W
72-66
72
66
+6
H20/05
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#5
W
90-80
90
80
+10
A22/05
Lega A
Varese
#2
W
80-72
80
72
+8
A25/05
Lega A
Varese
#2
L
62-64
62
64
-2
A28/05
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-26
20-20
32-19
13-27
22-25
16-23
17-29
24-26
13-18
26-20
17-20
14-12
24-13
22-22
26-23
20-15
20-19
15-15
19-19
21-16
10-14
13-18
19-29
25-21
23-20
17-7
15-24
17-15
22-17
22-25
24-15
22-23
18-16
17-20
17-16
28-20
19-19
17-19
12-13
14-13
156.4Avg total
78.2Scored
78.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (39)77.173.1150.1+4.059%
Season at home (18)81.270.5151.7+10.783%
Season away (21)73.575.3148.8-1.838%
Last 10 (10)78.278.2156.4+0.050%
Last 5 (5)74.272.8147.0+1.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)65.084.5149.5-19.50%
vs Similar ◀ (18)75.476.9152.3-1.544%
vs Weaker (10)78.574.8153.3+3.750%
This opponent (Varese) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VareseItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cremona
#10
W
92-88
92
88
+4
A21/04
Lega A
Pesaro
#15
W
85-70
85
70
+15
H28/04
Lega A
Venezia
#9
L
71-76
71
76
-5
A05/05
Lega A
Venezia
#9
W
92-74
92
74
+18
H10/05
Lega A
Venezia
#9
W
81-72
81
72
+9
H12/05
Lega A
Venezia
#9
W
93-79
93
79
+14
A14/05
Lega A
Venezia
#9
L
72-84
72
84
-12
A16/05
Lega A
Venezia
#9
W
84-75
84
75
+9
H18/05
Lega A
Siena
#4
L
72-80
72
80
-8
H25/05
Lega A
Siena
#4
W
64-62
64
62
+2
H28/05
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-24
23-23
16-18
27-23
15-19
27-22
18-16
25-13
17-21
22-16
21-20
11-19
24-18
21-22
28-19
19-15
25-11
14-28
19-16
23-17
17-17
26-24
28-19
22-19
18-31
15-21
20-21
19-11
26-17
25-17
17-18
16-23
16-18
20-17
16-17
20-28
19-19
19-17
13-12
13-14
156.6Avg total
80.6Scored
76.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (37)83.276.7159.8+6.576%
Season at home (20)84.274.6158.8+9.690%
Season away (17)81.979.1161.1+2.859%
Last 10 (10)80.676.0156.6+4.670%
Last 5 (5)77.076.0153.0+1.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (10)75.674.1149.7+1.550%
vs Weaker (19)85.277.3162.5+7.979%
This opponent (Siena) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +0.5+0.5Q1: +0.8+0.8Q2Q2: -0.4-0.4Q2: +0.5+0.5Q3Q3: -0.9-0.9Q3: +2.0+2.0Q4Q4: +1.0+1.0Q4: +1.3+1.3
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +0.5+0.5Q1: +0.8+0.8Q2Q2: -0.4-0.4Q2: +0.5+0.5Q3Q3: -0.9-0.9Q3: +2.0+2.0Q4Q4: +1.0+1.0Q4: +1.3+1.3
SienaVarese
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
SienaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sassari
#3
L
41-46
41
46
-5
H05/05
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#5
L
38-48
38
48
-10
A10/05
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#5
W
39-38
39
38
+1
A12/05
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#5
W
46-35
46
35
+11
H14/05
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#5
W
35-34
35
34
+1
H16/05
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#5
L
23-32
23
32
-9
A18/05
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#5
W
40-27
40
27
+13
H20/05
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#5
W
44-42
44
42
+2
A22/05
Lega A
Varese
#2
L
35-36
35
36
-1
A25/05
Lega A
Varese
#2
L
36-38
36
38
-2
A28/05
Lega A
75.3Avg total
37.7Scored
37.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.436.975.3+1.547%-
Last 30 at home (13)41.136.277.3+4.862%-
Last 30 away (17)36.437.573.8-1.135%-
Last 10 (10)37.737.675.3+0.150%-
Last 5 (5)35.635.070.6+0.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)37.045.582.5-8.50%-
vs Similar ◀ (18)37.436.473.8+1.150%-
vs Weaker (10)40.436.276.6+4.250%-
This opponent (Varese) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VareseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cremona
#10
W
49-47
49
47
+2
A21/04
Lega A
Pesaro
#15
W
42-41
42
41
+1
H28/04
Lega A
Venezia
#9
W
39-37
39
37
+2
A05/05
Lega A
Venezia
#9
W
45-40
45
40
+5
H10/05
Lega A
Venezia
#9
D
39-39
39
39
+0
H12/05
Lega A
Venezia
#9
W
43-41
43
41
+2
A14/05
Lega A
Venezia
#9
L
33-52
33
52
-19
A16/05
Lega A
Venezia
#9
W
51-34
51
34
+17
H18/05
Lega A
Siena
#4
W
36-35
36
35
+1
H25/05
Lega A
Siena
#4
W
38-36
38
36
+2
H28/05
Lega A
81.7Avg total
41.5Scored
40.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.538.680.1+2.867%-
Last 30 at home (17)43.436.880.2+6.576%-
Last 30 away (13)39.041.080.0-2.054%-
Last 10 (10)41.540.281.7+1.380%-
Last 5 (5)40.239.679.8+0.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (10)37.537.374.8+0.260%-
vs Weaker (19)43.339.883.2+3.568%-
This opponent (Siena) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Siena wins
3
Varese wins
DateGameScore
28/05/13Varese v Siena64-62
25/05/13Varese v Siena72-80
10/02/13Varese v Siena74-77
03/02/13Siena v Varese89-75
15/10/12Varese v Siena74-67
23/05/12Varese v Siena75-91
21/05/12Varese v Siena73-70
19/05/12Siena v Varese88-72
17/05/12Siena v Varese92-57
07/03/12Varese v Siena65-77
Sienalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/05/13AVarese62-64
25/05/13AVarese80-72
22/05/13AOlimpia Milano90-80
20/05/13HOlimpia Milano72-66
18/05/13AOlimpia Milano67-82
16/05/13HOlimpia Milano75-69
14/05/13HOlimpia Milano92-73
12/05/13AOlimpia Milano79-81 OT
10/05/13AOlimpia Milano79-103
05/05/13HSassari86-92
Vareselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/05/13HSiena64-62
25/05/13HSiena72-80
18/05/13HVenezia84-75
16/05/13AVenezia72-84
14/05/13AVenezia93-79
12/05/13HVenezia81-72
10/05/13HVenezia92-74
05/05/13AVenezia71-76
28/04/13HPesaro85-70
21/04/13ACremona92-88

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Siena
Lega A 2012-13
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL59%
HomeWLWWW83%
AwayLLWWL38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games391821
Win %59%83%38%
Points / game77.181.273.5
Allowed / game73.170.575.3
Point differential+4.0+10.7-1.8
Avg total150.1151.7148.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%56%24%
Close games (≤5 pts) won36% (11)67% (3)25% (8)
Overtime %3%0%5%
Varese
Lega A 2012-13
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW76%
HomeWWWLW90%
AwayLWLWL59%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games372017
Win %76%90%59%
Points / game83.284.281.9
Allowed / game76.774.679.1
Point differential+6.5+9.6+2.8
Avg total159.8158.8161.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+43%55%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won55% (11)75% (4)43% (7)
Overtime %5%0%12%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Nazionale Italiana110100%107.092.0+15.0
2 Varese3728976%83.276.7+6.5
3 Sassari37251268%88.182.6+5.5
4 Virtus Roma40261465%77.575.0+2.4
5 Olimpia Milano37221559%80.977.2+3.7
6 Siena39231659%77.173.1+4.0
7 Reggiana37211657%76.573.2+3.3
8 Cantu40221855%74.871.6+3.2
9 Venezia35171849%78.779.3-0.6
10 Cremona30131743%79.980.4-0.5
11 Avellino30131743%76.581.0-4.6
12 Caserta30131743%72.177.0-4.9
13 Brindisi30111937%81.482.8-1.4
14 Sutor Montegranaro30111937%83.085.7-2.7
15 Pesaro30102033%74.879.4-4.6
16 Virtus Bologna30102033%75.080.2-5.2
17 Biella3062420%72.383.7-11.5
18 International All Stars1010%92.0107.0-15.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Siena2220191172
Varese1112171959
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