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Sodertalje vs Hogsbo Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 02 Oct 2025
Tip-off: 17:04
Final 85-81
30-21 20-26 16-15 19-19
Position#5
Record1-1
FormLLLWL
Points / game71.0
Allowed / game76.5
vs
Position#9
Record0-3
FormWLLLL
Points / game89.7
Allowed / game95.3
SwedenBasketligan· Taljehallen
Other2025-26
Meetings · Sodertalje v Hogsbo
08 Jan 2027
SOD v HOGS
upcoming
13 Oct 2026
SOD93
HOGS85
06 Mar 2026
SOD110
HOGS75
02 Oct 2025
SOD85
HOGS81
28 Nov 2024
SOD82
HOGS76
25 Oct 2024
SOD81
HOGS72
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Sodertalje winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Hogsbo winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

SodertaljeSwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSodertalje
Date
Competition
Norrkoping
#1
L
67-85
67
85
-18
56avg 61
A07/03
Basketligan
Boras
#2
L
82-87 OT
82
87
-5
60avg 61
H14/03
Basketligan
Boras
#2
L
59-96
59
96
-37
43avg 61
A21/03
Basketligan
Koping Stars
#4
L
68-74
68
74
-6
63avg 61
A25/03
Basketligan
Norrkoping
#1
L
72-88
72
88
-16
62avg 61
H28/03
Basketligan
Norrkoping
#1
L
57-64
57
64
-7
32avg 61
A05/04
Basketligan
Norrkoping
#1
L
77-79
77
79
-2
63avg 61
A07/04
Basketligan
Norrkoping
#1
L
82-84
82
84
-2
69avg 61
H10/04
Basketligan
Uppsala
#6
W
79-74 OT
79
74
+5
70avg 61
A23/09
Basketligan
Nassjo
#7
L
63-79
63
79
-16
33avg 61
H28/09
Basketligan
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-25
12-26
20-25
15-9
15-12
19-20
21-22
14-15
19-24
14-24
17-25
9-23
19-15
18-13
21-22
10-24
20-23
24-20
16-23
12-22
14-9
11-21
16-11
16-23
17-14
12-9
24-25
24-31
25-23
13-18
30-22
14-21
12-18
16-17
25-19
16-15
16-18
19-21
13-17
15-23
151.6Avg total
70.6Scored
81.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)71.076.5147.5-5.550%
Season at home (1)63.079.0142.0-16.00%
Season away (1)79.074.0153.0+5.0100%
Last 10 (10)70.681.0151.6-10.410%
Last 5 (5)71.676.0147.6-4.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)70.981.1151.9-10.212%
vs Similar (8)74.074.5148.5-0.562%
vs Weaker ◀ (5)80.072.6152.6+7.480%
This opponent (Hogsbo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
HogsboSwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHogsbo
Date
Competition
Boras
#2
L
59-63
59
63
-4
43avg 75
H28/02
Basketligan
Uppsala
#6
L
85-110
85
110
-25
76avg 75
A04/03
Basketligan
BC Lulea
#3
L
80-107
80
107
-27
77avg 75
H07/03
Basketligan
Nassjo
#5
L
80-121
80
121
-41
67avg 75
A13/03
Basketligan
Norrkoping
#1
L
93-122
93
122
-29
80avg 75
A21/03
Basketligan
Nassjo
#5
W
104-98
104
98
+6
94avg 75
H24/03
Basketligan
Uppsala
#6
L
80-84
80
84
-4
78avg 75
H28/03
Basketligan
Norrkoping
#3
L
77-89
77
89
-12
63avg 75
A19/09
Basketligan
Jamtland
#1
L
109-111
109
111
-2
108avg 75
H23/09
Basketligan
Sloga Uppsala
#11
L
83-86
83
86
-3
72avg 75
H27/09
Basketligan
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-16
16-16
14-17
15-14
23-36
21-23
22-28
19-23
25-35
17-14
16-33
22-25
19-27
26-27
16-36
19-31
20-34
20-28
25-23
28-37
26-21
21-29
31-19
26-29
26-22
13-19
22-24
19-19
19-27
24-22
18-25
16-15
31-27
24-32
34-21
20-31
26-28
12-20
23-21
22-17
184.1Avg total
85.0Scored
99.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)89.795.3185.0-5.70%
Season at home (2)96.098.5194.5-2.50%
Season away (1)77.089.0166.0-12.00%
Last 10 (10)85.099.1184.1-14.110%
Last 5 (5)90.693.6184.2-3.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)83.396.0179.3-12.78%
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker (4)88.883.8172.5+5.050%
This opponent (Sodertalje) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -0.4-0.4Q1: -4.4-4.4Q2Q2: -3.1-3.1Q2: -3.6-3.6Q3Q3: -0.8-0.8Q3: -2.6-2.6Q4Q4: -6.1-6.1Q4: -3.5-3.5
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -0.4-0.4Q1: -4.4-4.4Q2Q2: -3.1-3.1Q2: -3.6-3.6Q3Q3: -0.8-0.8Q3: -2.6-2.6Q4Q4: -6.1-6.1Q4: -3.5-3.5
SodertaljeHogsbo
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
SodertaljeLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Norrkoping
#1
L
32-51
32
51
-19
A07/03
Basketligan
Boras
#2
W
34-32
34
32
+2
H14/03
Basketligan
Boras
#2
L
33-48
33
48
-15
A21/03
Basketligan
Koping Stars
#4
W
37-28
37
28
+9
A25/03
Basketligan
Norrkoping
#1
W
44-43
44
43
+1
H28/03
Basketligan
Norrkoping
#1
L
25-30
25
30
-5
A05/04
Basketligan
Norrkoping
#1
W
29-23
29
23
+6
A07/04
Basketligan
Norrkoping
#1
L
38-41
38
41
-3
H10/04
Basketligan
Uppsala
#6
L
28-35
28
35
-7
A23/09
Basketligan
Nassjo
#7
L
35-39
35
39
-4
H28/09
Basketligan
70.5Avg total
33.5Scored
37.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.837.573.4-1.737%-
Last 30 at home (14)39.238.677.9+0.650%-
Last 30 away (16)32.936.669.4-3.725%-
Last 10 (10)33.537.070.5-3.540%-
Last 5 (5)31.033.664.6-2.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)34.538.172.6-3.535%-
vs Similar (8)35.638.073.6-2.425%-
vs Weaker ◀ (5)40.635.075.6+5.660%-
This opponent (Hogsbo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
HogsboLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Boras
#2
L
30-32
30
32
-2
H28/02
Basketligan
Uppsala
#6
L
44-59
44
59
-15
A04/03
Basketligan
BC Lulea
#3
L
42-49
42
49
-7
H07/03
Basketligan
Nassjo
#5
L
45-54
45
54
-9
A13/03
Basketligan
Norrkoping
#1
L
40-62
40
62
-22
A21/03
Basketligan
Nassjo
#5
L
47-50
47
50
-3
H24/03
Basketligan
Uppsala
#6
L
39-41
39
41
-2
H28/03
Basketligan
Norrkoping
#3
L
43-49
43
49
-6
A19/09
Basketligan
Jamtland
#1
L
55-59
55
59
-4
H23/09
Basketligan
Sloga Uppsala
#11
L
38-48
38
48
-10
H27/09
Basketligan
92.6Avg total
42.3Scored
50.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.845.486.2-4.627%-
Last 30 at home (16)39.443.082.4-3.638%-
Last 30 away (14)42.448.190.6-5.714%-
Last 10 (10)42.350.392.6-8.00%-
Last 5 (5)44.449.493.8-5.00%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)41.146.587.5-5.423%-
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker (4)39.038.577.5+0.550%-
This opponent (Sodertalje) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Sodertaljetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sodertalje: 69.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀24%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.8 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers17.1 pts a game · 24% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.9 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 87.3 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.118.9
44.9%
54.1%37.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.65.7
29.1%
35.8%17.1
🏀 Free throws20.514.9
72.7%
74.6%14.9
They take 61.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 19.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 32% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Hogsbotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Hogsbo: 84.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.2 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.7 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.5 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 87.3 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.223.1
54.7%
54.1%46.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.77.9
28.5%
35.8%23.7
🏀 Free throws19.714.5
73.6%
74.6%14.5
They take 69.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 02 Oct 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Sodertalje
LWLLLLLLLL
Hogsbo
LLLLWLLLLL
#5
League position
#9
-15.5
Net rating
-16.9
98.4
Offensive rating
104.3
113.9
Defensive rating
121.2
44.5%
Effective FG%
50.0%
53.2%
Opp. effective FG%
58.2%
17.5%
Turnover %
15.4%
31.8%
Off. rebound %
24.3%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.28
29.1%
3-point %
28.5%
41.5%
Assist %
60.3%
10%
Form (last 10/10)
10%

Profile

Offence98.4 · 104.3Defence113.9 · 121.2Shooting44.5% · 50.0%3-point %29.1% · 28.5%Ball care17.5% · 15.4%Off. rebounds31.8% · 24.3%Free throws0.33 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)10% · 10%
■ Sodertalje   ■ Hogsbo
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Sodertalje wins
0
Hogsbo wins
DateGameScore
11/02/25Hogsbo v Sodertalje71-75
28/11/24Sodertalje v Hogsbo82-76
25/10/24Sodertalje v Hogsbo81-72
Sodertaljelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/09/25HNassjo63-79
23/09/25AUppsala79-74 OT
10/04/25HNorrkoping82-84
07/04/25ANorrkoping77-79
05/04/25ANorrkoping57-64
28/03/25HNorrkoping72-88
25/03/25AKoping Stars68-74
21/03/25ABoras59-96
14/03/25HBoras82-87 OT
07/03/25ANorrkoping67-85
Hogsbolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/09/25HSloga Uppsala83-86
23/09/25HJamtland109-111
19/09/25ANorrkoping77-89
28/03/25HUppsala80-84
24/03/25HNassjo104-98
21/03/25ANorrkoping93-122
13/03/25ANassjo80-121
07/03/25HBC Lulea80-107
04/03/25AUppsala85-110
28/02/25HBoras59-63

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Sodertalje
Basketligan 2025-26
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWL50%
HomeL0%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %50%0%100%
Points / game71.063.079.0
Allowed / game76.579.074.0
Point differential-5.5-16.0+5.0
Avg total147.5142.0153.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %50%0%100%
Hogsbo
Basketligan 2025-26
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLL0%
HomeLL0%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game89.796.077.0
Allowed / game95.398.589.0
Point differential-5.7-2.5-12.0
Avg total185.0194.5166.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Boras330100%94.071.0+23.0
2 Norrkoping330100%89.773.7+16.0
3 Jamtland220100%102.592.5+10.0
4 Uppsala32167%87.783.0+4.7
5 Nassjo32167%77.373.7+3.7
6 Sodertalje21150%71.076.5-5.5
7 BC Lulea31233%84.388.7-4.3
8 Sloga Uppsala31233%75.386.7-11.3
9 Hogsbo3030%89.795.3-5.7
10 Koping Stars2020%77.092.5-15.5
11 Umea3030%79.097.7-18.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Sodertalje3020161985
Hogsbo2126151981
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