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Sodertalje vs Hogsbo Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 06 Mar 2026
Tip-off: 18:04
Final 110-75
33-27 30-11 27-13 20-24
Position#5
Record17-11
FormWLLWW
Points / game80.9
Allowed / game78.6
vs
Position#9
Record6-20
FormLWLLL
Points / game85.2
Allowed / game93.6
SwedenBasketligan· Taljehallen
Other2025-26
Meetings · Sodertalje v Hogsbo
08 Jan 2027
SOD v HOGS
upcoming
13 Oct 2026
SOD93
HOGS85
06 Mar 2026
SOD110
HOGS75
02 Oct 2025
SOD85
HOGS81
28 Nov 2024
SOD82
HOGS76
25 Oct 2024
SOD81
HOGS72
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Sodertalje winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Hogsbo winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

SodertaljeSwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSodertalje
Date
Competition
Boras
#2
L
81-100
81
100
-19
68avg 68
H02/01
Basketligan
Uppsala
#6
W
73-64
73
64
+9
68avg 68
H09/01
Basketligan
BC Lulea
#4
L
66-80
66
80
-14
no box
A14/01
Basketligan
Norrkoping
#3
L
69-90
69
90
-21
55avg 68
A23/01
Basketligan
Boras
#2
W
99-79
99
79
+20
100avg 68
H27/01
Basketligan
Nassjo
#7
W
83-79
83
79
+4
77avg 68
A30/01
Basketligan
BC Lulea
#4
L
67-72
67
72
-5
58avg 68
A06/02
Basketligan
Jamtland
#1
L
80-108
80
108
-28
65avg 68
A13/02
Basketligan
Koping Stars
#8
W
101-83
101
83
+18
94avg 68
H17/02
Basketligan
Uppsala
#6
W
77-60
77
60
+17
69avg 68
A04/03
Basketligan
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-17
12-31
19-26
34-26
15-15
24-19
19-18
15-12
15-18
21-24
9-19
21-19
18-26
16-21
15-29
20-14
36-19
24-26
15-20
24-14
29-20
23-22
16-19
15-18
14-20
24-24
14-19
15-9
19-29
19-29
27-24
15-26
34-21
16-26
30-17
21-19
21-10
22-13
19-20
15-17
161.1Avg total
79.6Scored
81.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)80.978.6159.5+2.261%
Season at home (13)82.478.5160.8+3.962%
Season away (15)79.678.8158.4+0.860%
Last 10 (10)79.681.5161.1-1.950%
Last 5 (5)81.680.4162.0+1.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)82.884.5167.2-1.838%
vs Similar (9)77.780.0157.7-2.344%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)81.874.5156.3+7.277%
This opponent (Hogsbo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
HogsboSwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHogsbo
Date
Competition
Uppsala
#6
W
83-82
83
82
+1
76avg 77
A30/12
Basketligan
Koping Stars
#8
W
95-83
95
83
+12
92avg 77
H05/01
Basketligan
Nassjo
#7
L
98-111
98
111
-13
85avg 77
A09/01
Basketligan
Norrkoping
#3
L
63-94
63
94
-31
no box
H17/01
Basketligan
Sloga Uppsala
#11
L
102-106 OT
102
106
-4
91avg 77
A23/01
Basketligan
Norrkoping
#3
L
76-87
76
87
-11
69avg 77
H03/02
Basketligan
Nassjo
#7
W
93-75
93
75
+18
92avg 77
H06/02
Basketligan
Koping Stars
#8
L
96-110
96
110
-14
83avg 77
A13/02
Basketligan
BC Lulea
#4
L
78-92
78
92
-14
67avg 77
H16/02
Basketligan
Boras
#2
L
80-115
80
115
-35
58avg 77
A20/02
Basketligan
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-22
23-23
16-18
18-19
19-22
23-19
21-25
32-17
28-30
21-35
27-24
22-22
20-23
17-27
12-20
14-24
21-31
23-16
25-28
25-19
10-26
21-20
23-16
22-25
29-18
25-21
17-12
22-24
24-35
21-27
22-25
29-23
26-20
13-25
20-20
19-27
12-31
24-29
24-26
20-29
181.9Avg total
86.4Scored
95.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)85.293.6178.8-8.423%
Season at home (13)82.488.7171.1-6.331%
Season away (13)88.098.5186.5-10.515%
Last 10 (10)86.495.5181.9-9.130%
Last 5 (5)84.695.8180.4-11.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)81.797.2178.9-15.511%
vs Similar (8)94.493.8188.1+0.650%
vs Weaker (3)88.087.3175.3+0.733%
This opponent (Sodertalje) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +2.2+2.2Q1: -4.3-4.3Q2Q2: -3.4-3.4Q2: -3.1-3.1Q3Q3: -2.8-2.8Q3: -0.7-0.7Q4Q4: +2.1+2.1Q4: -0.6-0.6
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +2.2+2.2Q1: -4.3-4.3Q2Q2: -3.4-3.4Q2: -3.1-3.1Q3Q3: -2.8-2.8Q3: -0.7-0.7Q4Q4: +2.1+2.1Q4: -0.6-0.6
SodertaljeHogsbo
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
SodertaljeLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Boras
#2
L
28-48
28
48
-20
H02/01
Basketligan
Uppsala
#6
W
39-34
39
34
+5
H09/01
Basketligan
BC Lulea
#4
L
36-42
36
42
-6
A14/01
Basketligan
Norrkoping
#3
L
34-47
34
47
-13
A23/01
Basketligan
Boras
#2
W
60-45
60
45
+15
H27/01
Basketligan
Nassjo
#7
W
52-42
52
42
+10
A30/01
Basketligan
BC Lulea
#4
L
38-44
38
44
-6
A06/02
Basketligan
Jamtland
#1
L
38-58
38
58
-20
A13/02
Basketligan
Koping Stars
#8
W
50-47
50
47
+3
H17/02
Basketligan
Uppsala
#6
W
43-23
43
23
+20
A04/03
Basketligan
84.8Avg total
41.8Scored
43.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.639.379.8+1.357%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.740.181.8+1.664%-
Last 30 away (16)39.638.678.1+1.050%-
Last 10 (10)41.843.084.8-1.250%-
Last 5 (5)44.242.887.0+1.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)38.638.577.1+0.150%-
vs Similar (9)41.041.982.9-0.944%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)41.537.979.4+3.569%-
This opponent (Hogsbo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
HogsboLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Uppsala
#6
W
49-45
49
45
+4
A30/12
Basketligan
Koping Stars
#8
W
42-41
42
41
+1
H05/01
Basketligan
Nassjo
#7
L
49-65
49
65
-16
A09/01
Basketligan
Norrkoping
#3
L
37-50
37
50
-13
H17/01
Basketligan
Sloga Uppsala
#11
L
44-47
44
47
-3
A23/01
Basketligan
Norrkoping
#3
L
31-46
31
46
-15
H03/02
Basketligan
Nassjo
#7
W
54-39
54
39
+15
H06/02
Basketligan
Koping Stars
#8
L
45-62
45
62
-17
A13/02
Basketligan
BC Lulea
#4
L
39-45
39
45
-6
H16/02
Basketligan
Boras
#2
L
36-60
36
60
-24
A20/02
Basketligan
92.6Avg total
42.6Scored
50.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.548.891.3-6.223%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.145.486.5-4.333%-
Last 30 away (15)44.052.196.1-8.113%-
Last 10 (10)42.650.092.6-7.430%-
Last 5 (5)41.050.491.4-9.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)40.749.890.5-9.116%-
vs Similar (8)48.147.195.2+1.050%-
vs Weaker (3)39.046.785.7-7.70%-
This opponent (Sodertalje) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Sodertaljetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sodertalje: 79.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.0 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.0 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 87.3 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.520.0
51.9%
54.1%40.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.68.2
34.7%
35.8%24.6
🏀 Free throws20.815.0
72.1%
74.6%15.0
They take 62.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Hogsbotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Hogsbo: 87.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.0 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.4 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.4 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 87.3 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.819.5
54.5%
54.1%39.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.910.8
33.9%
35.8%32.4
🏀 Free throws21.716.4
75.6%
74.6%16.4
They take 67.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 06 Mar 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Sodertalje
WWLLWWLLWL
Hogsbo
LLLWLLLLWW
#5
League position
#9
-3.0
Net rating
-8.8
99.9
Offensive rating
103.4
102.9
Defensive rating
112.2
52.0%
Effective FG%
52.7%
54.9%
Opp. effective FG%
58.6%
14.7%
Turnover %
12.3%
31.9%
Off. rebound %
21.1%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.32
34.7%
3-point %
33.9%
60.6%
Assist %
60.1%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence99.9 · 103.4Defence102.9 · 112.2Shooting52.0% · 52.7%3-point %34.7% · 33.9%Ball care14.7% · 12.3%Off. rebounds31.9% · 21.1%Free throws0.33 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)50% · 30%
■ Sodertalje   ■ Hogsbo
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Sodertalje wins
0
Hogsbo wins
DateGameScore
22/11/25Hogsbo v Sodertalje75-86
02/10/25Sodertalje v Hogsbo85-81
11/02/25Hogsbo v Sodertalje71-75
28/11/24Sodertalje v Hogsbo82-76
25/10/24Sodertalje v Hogsbo81-72
Sodertaljelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/03/26AUppsala77-60
17/02/26HKoping Stars101-83
13/02/26AJamtland80-108
06/02/26ABC Lulea67-72
30/01/26ANassjo83-79
27/01/26HBoras99-79
23/01/26ANorrkoping69-90
14/01/26ABC Lulea66-80
09/01/26HUppsala73-64
02/01/26HBoras81-100
Hogsbolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/02/26ABoras80-115
16/02/26HBC Lulea78-92
13/02/26AKoping Stars96-110
06/02/26HNassjo93-75
03/02/26HNorrkoping76-87
23/01/26ASloga Uppsala102-106 OT
17/01/26HNorrkoping63-94
09/01/26ANassjo98-111
05/01/26HKoping Stars95-83
30/12/25AUppsala83-82

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Sodertalje
Basketligan 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW61%
HomeWLWWW62%
AwayLWLLW60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281315
Win %61%62%60%
Points / game80.982.479.6
Allowed / game78.678.578.8
Point differential+2.2+3.9+0.8
Avg total159.5160.8158.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+32%23%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won56% (9)40% (5)75% (4)
Overtime %7%0%13%
Hogsbo
Basketligan 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL23%
HomeWLLWL31%
AwayWLLLL15%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261313
Win %23%31%15%
Points / game85.282.488.0
Allowed / game93.688.798.5
Point differential-8.4-6.3-10.5
Avg total178.8171.1186.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%23%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won20% (5)0% (2)33% (3)
Overtime %4%0%8%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Norrkoping2720774%94.382.3+12.0
2 Jamtland2720774%98.390.8+7.5
3 BC Lulea2619773%90.381.4+8.9
4 Boras2618869%93.383.6+9.7
5 Sodertalje28171161%80.978.6+2.2
6 Uppsala27141352%85.483.2+2.2
7 Nassjo27121544%88.392.2-3.9
8 Koping Stars2791833%87.194.3-7.2
9 Hogsbo2662023%85.293.6-8.4
10 Sloga Uppsala2662023%78.491.4-13.0
11 Umea2762122%81.091.3-10.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Sodertalje33302720110
Hogsbo2711132475
← all games of the day
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