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Sodertalje vs Hogsbo Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 28 Nov 2024
Tip-off: 18:04
Final 82-76
24-19 24-14 22-28 12-15
Position#8
Record3-5
FormWLLLL
Points / game73.6
Allowed / game77.8
vs
Position#9
Record3-6
FormLLWLL
Points / game83.0
Allowed / game89.6
SwedenBasketligan· Taljehallen
Other2024-25
Meetings · Sodertalje v Hogsbo
08 Jan 2027
SOD v HOGS
upcoming
13 Oct 2026
SOD93
HOGS85
06 Mar 2026
SOD110
HOGS75
02 Oct 2025
SOD85
HOGS81
28 Nov 2024
SOD82
HOGS76
25 Oct 2024
SOD81
HOGS72
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Sodertalje winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Hogsbo winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

SodertaljeSwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSodertalje
Date
Competition
Boras
#4
W
94-78
94
78
+16
85avg 72
H08/04
Basketligan
Boras
#4
L
63-77
63
77
-14
56avg 72
H10/04
Basketligan
Jamtland
#7
L
61-82
61
82
-21
48avg 72
A03/10
Basketligan
Nassjo
#5
W
92-75
92
75
+17
89avg 72
H12/10
Basketligan
Umea
#10
W
74-67
74
67
+7
70avg 72
A15/10
Basketligan
Hogsbo
#9
W
81-72
81
72
+9
66avg 72
H25/10
Basketligan
Boras
#2
L
73-82
73
82
-9
60avg 72
H29/10
Basketligan
Uppsala
#6
L
64-78
64
78
-14
51avg 72
H08/11
Basketligan
BC Lulea
#3
L
74-90
74
90
-16
62avg 72
A12/11
Basketligan
Koping Stars
#4
L
70-76
70
76
-6
60avg 72
A16/11
Basketligan
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-18
23-22
23-25
24-13
24-24
15-18
19-19
5-16
13-20
15-20
18-21
15-21
19-17
30-15
20-20
23-23
16-22
20-18
14-13
24-14
18-23
26-18
17-16
20-15
11-13
25-25
23-28
14-16
22-21
17-18
10-22
15-17
20-29
17-15
17-23
20-23
16-25
17-13
15-16
22-22
152.3Avg total
74.6Scored
77.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)73.677.8151.4-4.138%
Season at home (4)77.576.8154.2+0.850%
Season away (4)69.878.8148.5-9.025%
Last 10 (10)74.677.7152.3-3.140%
Last 5 (5)72.479.6152.0-7.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)76.389.9166.2-13.513%
vs Similar (7)78.682.7161.3-4.129%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)86.279.6165.9+6.675%
This opponent (Hogsbo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
HogsboSwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHogsbo
Date
Competition
Sloga Uppsala
#4
W
86-66
86
66
+20
81avg 87
H28/04
Superettan
Norrkoping
#1
W
91-89
91
89
+2
86avg 87
A04/10
Basketligan
BC Lulea
#3
W
90-81
90
81
+9
86avg 87
H08/10
Basketligan
Boras
#2
L
63-90
63
90
-27
46avg 87
A11/10
Basketligan
Koping Stars
#4
L
87-101
87
101
-14
81avg 87
H19/10
Basketligan
Sodertalje
#8
L
72-81
72
81
-9
71avg 87
A25/10
Basketligan
Jamtland
#7
L
81-94 OT
81
94
-13
75avg 87
H01/11
Basketligan
Umea
#10
W
85-79
85
79
+6
82avg 87
H08/11
Basketligan
Nassjo
#5
L
103-111
103
111
-8
91avg 87
A12/11
Basketligan
Uppsala
#6
L
75-80
75
80
-5
69avg 87
H16/11
Basketligan
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
32-15
15-21
24-13
15-17
19-19
19-26
27-18
26-26
21-16
16-21
26-15
27-29
18-17
18-30
9-17
18-26
20-21
19-14
21-37
27-29
23-18
18-26
16-17
15-20
17-18
25-18
18-29
15-10
26-19
11-17
19-21
29-22
17-24
18-22
29-25
39-40
16-23
21-18
24-20
14-19
170.5Avg total
83.3Scored
87.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)83.089.6172.6-6.633%
Season at home (5)83.687.0170.6-3.440%
Season away (4)82.292.8175.0-10.525%
Last 10 (10)83.387.2170.5-3.940%
Last 5 (5)83.289.0172.2-5.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)82.890.9173.6-8.125%
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker (22)94.079.3173.3+14.682%
This opponent (Sodertalje) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -2.9-2.9Q1: +1.9+1.9Q2Q2: +2.3+2.3Q2: -3.3-3.3Q3Q3: -2.7-2.7Q3: +0.1+0.1Q4Q4: +0.2+0.2Q4: -1.3-1.3
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -2.9-2.9Q1: +1.9+1.9Q2Q2: +2.3+2.3Q2: -3.3-3.3Q3Q3: -2.7-2.7Q3: +0.1+0.1Q4Q4: +0.2+0.2Q4: -1.3-1.3
SodertaljeHogsbo
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
SodertaljeLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Boras
#4
W
47-40
47
40
+7
H08/04
Basketligan
Boras
#4
L
39-42
39
42
-3
H10/04
Basketligan
Jamtland
#7
L
28-40
28
40
-12
A03/10
Basketligan
Nassjo
#5
W
49-32
49
32
+17
H12/10
Basketligan
Umea
#10
L
36-40
36
40
-4
A15/10
Basketligan
Hogsbo
#9
W
44-41
44
41
+3
H25/10
Basketligan
Boras
#2
L
36-38
36
38
-2
H29/10
Basketligan
Uppsala
#6
D
39-39
39
39
+0
H08/11
Basketligan
BC Lulea
#3
L
37-44
37
44
-7
A12/11
Basketligan
Koping Stars
#4
L
33-38
33
38
-5
A16/11
Basketligan
78.2Avg total
38.8Scored
39.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.543.483.0-3.923%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.141.684.7+1.547%-
Last 30 away (15)35.945.381.2-9.30%-
Last 10 (10)38.839.478.2-0.630%-
Last 5 (5)37.840.077.8-2.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)38.144.582.7-6.413%-
vs Similar (7)40.739.480.1+1.329%-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)41.144.986.0-3.838%-
This opponent (Hogsbo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
HogsboLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sloga Uppsala
#4
W
47-36
47
36
+11
H28/04
Superettan
Norrkoping
#1
L
38-45
38
45
-7
A04/10
Basketligan
BC Lulea
#3
D
37-37
37
37
+0
H08/10
Basketligan
Boras
#2
L
36-47
36
47
-11
A11/10
Basketligan
Koping Stars
#4
W
39-35
39
35
+4
H19/10
Basketligan
Sodertalje
#8
L
41-44
41
44
-3
A25/10
Basketligan
Jamtland
#7
W
42-36
42
36
+6
H01/11
Basketligan
Umea
#10
W
37-36
37
36
+1
H08/11
Basketligan
Nassjo
#5
L
35-46
35
46
-11
A12/11
Basketligan
Uppsala
#6
L
37-41
37
41
-4
H16/11
Basketligan
79.2Avg total
38.9Scored
40.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.339.484.7+6.063%-
Last 30 at home (15)45.935.781.5+10.287%-
Last 30 away (15)44.843.187.9+1.740%-
Last 10 (10)38.940.379.2-1.440%-
Last 5 (5)38.440.679.0-2.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)38.141.479.5-3.225%-
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker (22)48.038.686.6+9.377%-
This opponent (Sodertalje) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Sodertaljetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sodertalje: 73.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.0 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.1 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.4 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.318.5
47.1%
52.1%37.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.08.2
29.3%
34.6%24.6
🏀 Free throws17.312.1
69.9%
76.2%12.1
They take 67.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Hogsbotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Hogsbo: 82.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.4 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.0 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.3 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.4 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.217.7
48.9%
52.1%35.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.510.0
37.7%
34.6%30.0
🏀 Free throws22.317.3
77.6%
76.2%17.3
They take 62.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 28 Nov 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Sodertalje
LLLLWWWLLW
Hogsbo
LLWLLLLWWW
#8
League position
#9
-4.0
Net rating
-4.3
104.2
Offensive rating
107.4
108.2
Defensive rating
111.7
45.8%
Effective FG%
52.2%
50.6%
Opp. effective FG%
49.2%
16.4%
Turnover %
15.5%
36.7%
Off. rebound %
20.9%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.36
29.3%
3-point %
37.7%
58.4%
Assist %
69.0%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence104.2 · 107.4Defence108.2 · 111.7Shooting45.8% · 52.2%3-point %29.3% · 37.7%Ball care16.4% · 15.5%Off. rebounds36.7% · 20.9%Free throws0.26 · 0.36Form (last 10/10)40% · 40%
■ Sodertalje   ■ Hogsbo
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Sodertalje wins
0
Hogsbo wins
DateGameScore
25/10/24Sodertalje v Hogsbo81-72
Sodertaljelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/11/24AKoping Stars70-76
12/11/24ABC Lulea74-90
08/11/24HUppsala64-78
29/10/24HBoras73-82
25/10/24HHogsbo81-72
15/10/24AUmea74-67
12/10/24HNassjo92-75
03/10/24AJamtland61-82
10/04/24HBoras63-77
08/04/24HBoras94-78
Hogsbolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/11/24HUppsala75-80
12/11/24ANassjo103-111
08/11/24HUmea85-79
01/11/24HJamtland81-94 OT
25/10/24ASodertalje72-81
19/10/24HKoping Stars87-101
11/10/24ABoras63-90
08/10/24HBC Lulea90-81
04/10/24ANorrkoping91-89
28/04/24HSloga Uppsala86-66

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Sodertalje
Basketligan 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL38%
HomeWWLL50%
AwayLWLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %38%50%25%
Points / game73.677.569.8
Allowed / game77.876.878.8
Point differential-4.1+0.8-9.0
Avg total151.4154.2148.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Hogsbo
Basketligan 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL33%
HomeWLLWL40%
AwayWLLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games954
Win %33%40%25%
Points / game83.083.682.2
Allowed / game89.687.092.8
Point differential-6.6-3.4-10.5
Avg total172.6170.6175.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)0% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %11%20%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Boras98189%84.874.6+10.2
2 Uppsala86275%76.876.5+0.2
3 Norrkoping64267%91.281.0+10.2
4 Koping Stars96367%88.486.4+2.0
5 BC Lulea95456%90.685.8+4.8
6 Jamtland94544%86.184.6+1.6
7 Sodertalje83538%73.677.8-4.1
8 Hogsbo93633%83.089.6-6.6
9 Nassjo93633%89.698.4-8.9
10 Umea8080%82.089.2-7.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Sodertalje2424221282
Hogsbo1914281576
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