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Sodertalje W vs Hogsbo W Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 30 Mar 2026
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 91-57
18-8 21-10 21-24 31-15
Position#6
Record15-10
FormLWWLW
Points / game80.5
Allowed / game70.2
Sodertalje W 🏆
Sweden
vs
Hogsbo W
Sweden
Position#3
Record17-8
FormLWWLL
Points / game85.2
Allowed / game74.2
SwedenBasketligan WBasketligan Women - Quarter-finals· Taljehallen
Women2025-26
Meetings · Sodertalje W v Hogsbo W
29 Nov 2026
SODE v HOGS
upcoming
30 Mar 2026
SODE91
HOGS57
28 Sep 2025
SODE91
HOGS86
22 Feb 2025
SODE70
HOGS74
28 Feb 2024
SODE79
HOGS59
15 Mar 2023
SODE121
HOGS55
05 Dec 2021
SODE68
HOGS61
10 Jan 2021
SODE104
HOGS74
29 Sep 2019
SODE63
HOGS68
09 Dec 2018
SODE75
HOGS82
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Sodertalje W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Hogsbo W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Sodertalje WSwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Alvik W
#10
W
93-73
93
73
+20
100avg 72
H21/01
Basketligan W
Norrkoping W
#7
W
89-72
89
72
+17
88avg 72
A31/01
Basketligan W
Uppsala W
#2
W
85-67
85
67
+18
85avg 72
H07/02
Basketligan W
Alvik W
#10
W
88-69
88
69
+19
82avg 72
A11/02
Basketligan W
Lulea W
#1
L
77-87
77
87
-10
79avg 72
H18/02
Basketligan W
Ostersund W
#4
L
68-69
68
69
-1
56avg 72
A22/02
Basketligan W
Brahe W
#11
W
103-59
103
59
+44
103avg 72
H28/02
Basketligan W
Visby W
#12
W
96-52
96
52
+44
90avg 72
H08/03
Basketligan W
AIK Basket W
#5
L
66-68
66
68
-2
48avg 72
A21/03
Basketligan W
Hogsbo W
#3
W
101-97 OT
101
97
+4
97avg 72
A28/03
Basketligan W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-23
26-15
20-15
24-20
23-11
26-22
12-19
28-20
18-14
26-24
21-14
20-15
21-20
31-12
16-16
20-21
25-23
15-24
22-18
15-22
20-24
23-23
18-11
7-11
27-17
25-13
31-12
20-17
25-7
17-15
28-16
26-14
20-28
21-13
10-16
15-11
25-27
20-14
21-13
13-25
157.9Avg total
86.6Scored
71.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)80.570.2150.8+10.360%
Season at home (12)83.468.2151.6+15.275%
Season away (13)77.872.2150.0+5.746%
Last 10 (10)86.671.3157.9+15.370%
Last 5 (5)86.869.0155.8+17.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)65.491.0156.4-25.60%
vs Similar ◀ (11)79.574.5154.1+5.055%
vs Weaker (14)82.763.1145.9+19.679%
This opponent (Hogsbo W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Hogsbo WSwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Lulea W
#1
W
87-82
87
82
+5
90avg 76
H30/01
Basketligan W
Norrkoping W
#7
L
73-91
73
91
-18
58avg 76
H07/02
Basketligan W
Lund W
#9
W
83-77
83
77
+6
76avg 76
A11/02
Basketligan W
Alvik W
#10
W
67-62
67
62
+5
52avg 76
A14/02
Basketligan W
Visby W
#12
W
89-63
89
63
+26
84avg 76
H21/02
Basketligan W
Uppsala W
#2
L
75-90
75
90
-15
71avg 76
H28/02
Basketligan W
Alvik W
#10
W
94-61
94
61
+33
89avg 76
H01/03
Basketligan W
Brahe W
#11
W
106-76
106
76
+30
100avg 76
A07/03
Basketligan W
Malbas Malmo W
#8
L
66-71
66
71
-5
55avg 76
A21/03
Basketligan W
Sodertalje W
#6
L
97-101 OT
97
101
-4
78avg 76
H28/03
Basketligan W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-18
21-24
19-24
27-16
27-23
15-20
15-23
16-25
26-21
17-17
21-19
19-20
19-11
13-16
18-6
17-29
31-11
17-15
16-18
25-19
23-16
20-19
15-28
17-27
20-16
24-13
32-13
18-19
23-16
23-21
36-14
24-25
16-26
20-14
20-12
10-19
27-25
14-20
13-21
25-13
161.1Avg total
83.7Scored
77.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)85.274.2159.4+11.068%
Season at home (13)86.974.5161.5+12.469%
Season away (12)83.273.8157.1+9.467%
Last 10 (10)83.777.4161.1+6.360%
Last 5 (5)87.679.8167.4+7.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)76.085.2161.2-9.240%
vs Similar ◀ (11)79.478.8158.2+0.545%
vs Weaker (14)86.668.9155.5+17.679%
This opponent (Sodertalje W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +3.3+3.3Q1: +4.9+4.9Q2Q2: +5.5+5.5Q2: +0.5+0.5Q3Q3: +4.9+4.9Q3: +2.7+2.7Q4Q4: +1.2+1.2Q4: -1.4-1.4
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +3.3+3.3Q1: +4.9+4.9Q2Q2: +5.5+5.5Q2: +0.5+0.5Q3Q3: +4.9+4.9Q3: +2.7+2.7Q4Q4: +1.2+1.2Q4: -1.4-1.4
Sodertalje WHogsbo W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Sodertalje WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Alvik W
#10
W
49-38
49
38
+11
H21/01
Basketligan W
Norrkoping W
#7
W
49-33
49
33
+16
A31/01
Basketligan W
Uppsala W
#2
W
44-38
44
38
+6
H07/02
Basketligan W
Alvik W
#10
W
52-32
52
32
+20
A11/02
Basketligan W
Lulea W
#1
L
40-47
40
47
-7
H18/02
Basketligan W
Ostersund W
#4
L
43-47
43
47
-4
A22/02
Basketligan W
Brahe W
#11
W
52-30
52
30
+22
H28/02
Basketligan W
Visby W
#12
W
42-22
42
22
+20
H08/03
Basketligan W
AIK Basket W
#5
D
41-41
41
41
+0
A21/03
Basketligan W
Hogsbo W
#3
W
45-41
45
41
+4
A28/03
Basketligan W
82.6Avg total
45.7Scored
36.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.236.877.0+3.460%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.936.277.1+4.664%-
Last 30 away (16)39.637.477.0+2.256%-
Last 10 (10)45.736.982.6+8.870%-
Last 5 (5)44.636.280.8+8.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)30.648.679.2-18.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)40.337.778.0+2.555%-
vs Weaker (14)43.631.975.5+11.686%-
This opponent (Hogsbo W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Hogsbo WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lulea W
#1
L
41-42
41
42
-1
H30/01
Basketligan W
Norrkoping W
#7
L
42-43
42
43
-1
H07/02
Basketligan W
Lund W
#9
W
43-38
43
38
+5
A11/02
Basketligan W
Alvik W
#10
W
32-27
32
27
+5
A14/02
Basketligan W
Visby W
#12
W
48-26
48
26
+22
H21/02
Basketligan W
Uppsala W
#2
W
43-35
43
35
+8
H28/02
Basketligan W
Alvik W
#10
W
44-29
44
29
+15
H01/03
Basketligan W
Brahe W
#11
W
46-37
46
37
+9
A07/03
Basketligan W
Malbas Malmo W
#8
L
36-40
36
40
-4
A21/03
Basketligan W
Sodertalje W
#6
L
41-45
41
45
-4
H28/03
Basketligan W
77.8Avg total
41.6Scored
36.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.037.277.1+2.857%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.936.977.7+4.060%-
Last 30 away (15)39.137.576.5+1.653%-
Last 10 (10)41.636.277.8+5.460%-
Last 5 (5)42.037.279.2+4.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)37.043.080.0-6.020%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)38.438.176.5+0.345%-
vs Weaker (14)42.334.476.6+7.979%-
This opponent (Sodertalje W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Sodertalje Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sodertalje W: 86.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.8 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.4 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.9 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 74.9 points a game
50%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.623.4
50.2%
46.4%46.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.77.8
35.9%
31.2%23.4
🏀 Free throws21.415.9
74.3%
72.5%15.9
They take 68.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 32% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Hogsbo Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Hogsbo W: 82.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.4 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.0 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 74.9 points a game
50%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.620.2
51.0%
46.4%40.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.38.0
28.3%
31.2%24.0
🏀 Free throws23.218.0
77.6%
72.5%18.0
They take 67.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 30 Mar 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Sodertalje W
WLWWLLWWWW
Hogsbo W
LLWWLWWWLW
#6
League position
#3
+17.0
Net rating
+6.2
95.8
Offensive rating
87.9
78.8
Defensive rating
81.7
51.4%
Effective FG%
47.4%
45.5%
Opp. effective FG%
46.1%
14.8%
Turnover %
16.7%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.34
35.9%
3-point %
28.3%
71.8%
Assist %
64.5%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence95.8 · 87.9Defence78.8 · 81.7Shooting51.4% · 47.4%3-point %35.9% · 28.3%Ball care14.8% · 16.7%Free throws0.31 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)70% · 60%
■ Sodertalje W   ■ Hogsbo W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Sodertalje W wins
4
Hogsbo W wins
DateGameScore
28/03/26Hogsbo W v Sodertalje W97-101 OT
22/11/25Hogsbo W v Sodertalje W61-53
28/09/25Sodertalje W v Hogsbo W91-86 OT
22/02/25Sodertalje W v Hogsbo W70-74
23/11/24Hogsbo W v Sodertalje W86-62
28/02/24Sodertalje W v Hogsbo W79-59
02/12/23Hogsbo W v Sodertalje W51-82
15/03/23Sodertalje W v Hogsbo W121-55
08/10/22Hogsbo W v Sodertalje W65-103
27/12/21Hogsbo W v Sodertalje W69-64
Sodertalje Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/03/26AHogsbo W101-97 OT
21/03/26AAIK Basket W66-68
08/03/26HVisby W96-52
28/02/26HBrahe W103-59
22/02/26AOstersund W68-69
18/02/26HLulea W77-87
11/02/26AAlvik W88-69
07/02/26HUppsala W85-67
31/01/26ANorrkoping W89-72
21/01/26HAlvik W93-73
Hogsbo Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/03/26HSodertalje W97-101 OT
21/03/26AMalbas Malmo W66-71
07/03/26ABrahe W106-76
01/03/26HAlvik W94-61
28/02/26HUppsala W75-90
21/02/26HVisby W89-63
14/02/26AAlvik W67-62
11/02/26ALund W83-77
07/02/26HNorrkoping W73-91
30/01/26HLulea W87-82

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Sodertalje W
Basketligan W 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW60%
HomeWWLWW75%
AwayWWLLW46%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251213
Win %60%75%46%
Points / game80.583.477.8
Allowed / game70.268.272.2
Point differential+10.3+15.2+5.7
Avg total150.8151.6150.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+44%50%38%
Close games (≤5 pts) won43% (7)50% (4)33% (3)
Overtime %8%8%8%
Hogsbo W
Basketligan W 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL68%
HomeLWLWL69%
AwayWWWWL67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251312
Win %68%69%67%
Points / game85.286.983.2
Allowed / game74.274.573.8
Point differential+11.0+12.4+9.4
Avg total159.4161.5157.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%54%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won38% (8)50% (2)33% (6)
Overtime %8%8%8%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Lulea W2624292%90.863.9+26.9
2 Uppsala W2519676%80.369.8+10.4
3 Ostersund W2618869%82.273.7+8.5
4 Hogsbo W2517868%85.274.2+11.0
5 AIK Basket W26161062%77.473.6+3.8
6 Sodertalje W25151060%80.570.2+10.3
7 Norrkoping W25141156%81.974.0+7.9
8 Malbas Malmo W26131350%73.677.5-3.9
9 Lund W2491538%77.978.8-0.9
10 Alvik W2481633%72.075.7-3.7
11 Brahe W2471729%67.278.1-10.8
12 Visby W241234%57.889.1-31.3
13 RIG Lulea W241234%53.286.0-32.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Sodertalje W1821213191
Hogsbo W810241557
← all games of the day
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