PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Soles vs Astros Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 14 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 04:00
Projected 82-76
Projected total 158.4
Final 73-70
16-24 19-24 20-15 18-7
Position#1
Record29-8
FormWLWWW
Points / game86.6
Allowed / game73.7
Soles 🏆
Mexico
Vs
70%
30%
■ SOLE 70%■ ASTR 30%
Pythia win probability
Astros
Mexico
Position#2
Record27-9
FormWWWWL
Points / game87.9
Allowed / game80.2
MexicoLNBPLNBP - Final· Auditorio PSF
Other2026-27
Meetings · Soles v Astros
13 Nov 2026
SOLE73
ASTR70
12 Nov 2026
SOLE85
ASTR66
12 Aug 2025
SOLE81
ASTR78
10 Jul 2025
SOLE75
ASTR71
30 Oct 2024
SOLE81
ASTR75
05 Oct 2023
SOLE99
ASTR96
04 Oct 2023
SOLE59
ASTR68
02 Oct 2022
SOLE73
ASTR83
30 Sep 2022
SOLE94
ASTR83
29 Sep 2022
SOLE78
ASTR67
25 Aug 2022
SOLE59
ASTR75
24 Aug 2022
SOLE72
ASTR88
11 Nov 2021
SOLE95
ASTR72
10 Nov 2021
SOLE91
ASTR73
15 Sep 2021
SOLE82
ASTR101
14 Sep 2021
SOLE82
ASTR84
03 Nov 2020
SOLE79
ASTR87
27 Sep 2020
SOLE95
ASTR85
26 Sep 2020
SOLE75
ASTR74
03 Nov 2019
SOLE94
ASTR67
02 Nov 2019
SOLE108
ASTR93
Sections
Pythia's preview, written before tip-off

On 13 November 2026 the Soles host the Astros in the LNBP, with the model favouring the Soles and predicting a 70% chance of a home win and a 30% chance for the Astros, projecting an 82-76 score for a total of 158.4 points. The Soles finish the season 29-8, averaging 86.6 points scored and 73.7 allowed, and sit first in the league, while their home record is 16-3 with 83.5 points per game and 71.1 allowed; they have won four of their last five games, including a 85-66 victory over the Astros at home on 12 November 2026. The Astros are 27-9 overall, 87.9 points scored and 80.2 allowed, and sit second, with a road record of 13-5, 88.4 points per game and 81.1 allowed; they also have four wins in their last five, but lost 66-85 to the Soles away on 12 November 2026. In the ten meetings between the two clubs the Soles have won seven, the Astros three, and the most recent encounter was the 85-66 Soles win on 12 November 2026.

Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Soles winWon
70.4%fair 1.42
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Astros winLost
29.6%fair 3.37
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's frozen forecast of 13 Nov 07:07 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

SolesMexicoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSoles
Date
Competition
Fuerza Regia
#5
L
75-92
75
92
-17
65avg 81
H08/10
LNBP
Abejas
#8
W
102-58
102
58
+44
95avg 81
H19/10
LNBP
Abejas
#8
W
100-60
100
60
+40
92avg 81
H20/10
LNBP
Abejas
#8
W
92-70
92
70
+22
no box
A23/10
LNBP
Panteras
#3
W
80-76
80
76
+4
70avg 81
H30/10
LNBP
Panteras
#3
W
83-65
83
65
+18
77avg 81
H31/10
LNBP
Panteras
#3
L
84-87
84
87
-3
no box
A03/11
LNBP
Panteras
#3
W
87-75
87
75
+12
no box
A04/11
LNBP
Panteras
#3
W
110-79
110
79
+31
no box
A06/11
LNBP
Astros
#2
W
85-66
85
66
+19
no box
H13/11
LNBP
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-20
23-19
9-25
24-28
31-6
26-13
25-20
20-19
26-13
22-24
32-4
20-19
23-13
25-18
30-16
14-23
19-27
22-16
22-13
17-20
18-19
28-16
22-10
15-20
24-24
20-23
16-19
24-21
29-23
21-22
21-16
16-14
26-19
30-19
38-19
16-22
32-12
22-18
17-27
14-9
162.6Avg total
89.8Scored
72.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (37)86.673.7160.3+12.978%
Season at home (19)83.571.1154.6+12.584%
Season away (18)89.976.4166.3+13.472%
Last 10 (10)89.872.8162.6+17.080%
Last 5 (5)89.874.4164.2+15.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (30)88.373.8162.0+14.580%
This opponent (Astros) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AstrosMexicoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAstros
Date
Competition
Gambusinos
#11
W
96-89
96
89
+7
96avg 89
H07/10
LNBP
Gambusinos
#11
W
86-71
86
71
+15
74avg 89
H08/10
LNBP
Mineros
#7
W
100-78
100
78
+22
91avg 89
H18/10
LNBP
Mineros
#7
W
86-83
86
83
+3
75avg 89
H20/10
LNBP
Mineros
#7
W
81-72
81
72
+9
75avg 89
A23/10
LNBP
Fuerza Regia
#5
W
96-89
96
89
+7
97avg 89
H30/10
LNBP
Fuerza Regia
#5
W
97-90 OT
97
90
+7
94avg 89
H31/10
LNBP
Fuerza Regia
#5
W
83-69
83
69
+14
no box
A03/11
LNBP
Fuerza Regia
#5
W
82-77
82
77
+5
no box
A04/11
LNBP
Soles
#1
L
66-85
66
85
-19
no box
A13/11
LNBP
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-20
25-23
31-19
21-27
18-18
22-21
23-11
23-21
28-22
22-12
24-24
26-20
28-27
23-24
17-27
18-5
24-12
29-24
11-25
17-11
18-25
28-17
25-22
25-25
20-19
24-18
23-16
19-33
20-21
18-15
22-19
23-14
24-21
23-20
21-8
14-28
12-32
18-22
27-17
9-14
167.6Avg total
87.3Scored
80.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (36)87.980.2168.1+7.675%
Season at home (18)87.479.4166.8+8.078%
Season away (18)88.481.1169.5+7.372%
Last 10 (10)87.380.3167.6+7.090%
Last 5 (5)84.882.0166.8+2.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)74.383.0157.3-8.733%
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker (27)90.880.4171.2+10.481%
This opponent (Soles) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 165.5Actual: Under 165.5
Over 165.5
32.7%
Under 165.5
67.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 170.5Actual: Under 170.5
Over 170.5
22.8%
Under 170.5
77.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 175.5Actual: Under 175.5
Over 175.5
15.0%
Under 175.5
85.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

📊 3. Team Totals

Soles total 81.5Actual: Soles under 81.5
Over 81.5
52.8%
Under 81.5
47.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Soles total 85.5Actual: Soles under 85.5
Over 85.5
37.2%
Under 85.5
62.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Soles total 89.5Actual: Soles under 89.5
Over 89.5
23.5%
Under 89.5
76.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Astros total 81Actual: Astros under 81
Over 81
31.0%
Under 81
69.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Astros total 85Actual: Astros under 85
Over 85
18.9%
Under 85
81.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Astros total 89Actual: Astros under 89
Over 89
10.4%
Under 89
89.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread Soles -3Push
SOLE -3
62.5%
ASTR +3
37.5%
Best 5 market prices
SOLE
No market prices yet.
ASTR
No market prices yet.
Spread Soles 0Actual: Soles 0
SOLE 0
70.4%
ASTR 0
29.6%
Best 5 market prices
SOLE
No market prices yet.
ASTR
No market prices yet.
Spread Soles +3Actual: Soles +3
SOLE +3
77.9%
ASTR -3
22.1%
Best 5 market prices
SOLE
No market prices yet.
ASTR
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +7.1+7.1Q1: -0.6-0.6Q2Q2: +5.1+5.1Q2: +3.6+3.6Q3Q3: +6.3+6.3Q3: +3.6+3.6Q4Q4: -1.5-1.5Q4: -0.3-0.3
-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +7.1+7.1Q1: -0.6-0.6Q2Q2: +5.1+5.1Q2: +3.6+3.6Q3Q3: +6.3+6.3Q3: +3.6+3.6Q4Q4: -1.5-1.5Q4: -0.3-0.3
SolesAstros
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
SolesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Fuerza Regia
#5
W
42-39
42
39
+3
H08/10
LNBP
Abejas
#8
W
57-19
57
19
+38
H19/10
LNBP
Abejas
#8
W
48-37
48
37
+11
H20/10
LNBP
Abejas
#8
W
48-31
48
31
+17
A23/10
LNBP
Panteras
#3
L
41-43
41
43
-2
H30/10
LNBP
Panteras
#3
W
46-35
46
35
+11
H31/10
LNBP
Panteras
#3
L
44-47
44
47
-3
A03/11
LNBP
Panteras
#3
W
50-45
50
45
+5
A04/11
LNBP
Panteras
#3
W
56-38
56
38
+18
A06/11
LNBP
Astros
#2
W
54-30
54
30
+24
H13/11
LNBP
85.0Avg total
48.6Scored
36.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.937.684.4+9.380%-
Last 30 at home (16)45.836.281.9+9.675%-
Last 30 away (14)48.139.187.3+9.086%-
Last 10 (10)48.636.485.0+12.280%-
Last 5 (5)50.039.089.0+11.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (30)46.937.684.4+9.380%-
This opponent (Astros) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AstrosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Gambusinos
#11
W
44-43
44
43
+1
H07/10
LNBP
Gambusinos
#11
W
40-39
40
39
+1
H08/10
LNBP
Mineros
#7
W
50-34
50
34
+16
H18/10
LNBP
Mineros
#7
D
51-51
51
51
+0
H20/10
LNBP
Mineros
#7
W
53-36
53
36
+17
A23/10
LNBP
Fuerza Regia
#5
W
46-42
46
42
+4
H30/10
LNBP
Fuerza Regia
#5
W
44-37
44
37
+7
H31/10
LNBP
Fuerza Regia
#5
W
38-36
38
36
+2
A03/11
LNBP
Fuerza Regia
#5
W
47-41
47
41
+6
A04/11
LNBP
Soles
#1
L
30-54
30
54
-24
A13/11
LNBP
85.6Avg total
44.3Scored
41.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.440.385.6+5.177%-
Last 30 at home (14)45.440.585.9+4.971%-
Last 30 away (16)45.340.185.4+5.281%-
Last 10 (10)44.341.385.6+3.080%-
Last 5 (5)41.042.083.0-1.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)36.347.784.0-11.30%-
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker (27)46.439.485.8+6.985%-
This opponent (Soles) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Solestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Soles: 87.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.6 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.4 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.4 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.3 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.021.8
55.9%
54.1%43.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.79.8
38.1%
34.8%29.4
🏀 Free throws21.614.4
66.7%
71.7%14.4
They take 64.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Astrostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Astros: 89.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.0 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.3 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.5 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.3 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.220.5
52.3%
54.1%41.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.311.1
37.9%
34.8%33.3
🏀 Free throws21.115.5
73.5%
71.7%15.5
They take 68.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 14 Nov 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Soles
WWWLWWWWWL
Astros
LWWWWWWWWW
#1
League position
#2
+21.9
Net rating
+14.2
103.4
Offensive rating
102.9
81.5
Defensive rating
88.7
56.4%
Effective FG%
54.2%
47.3%
Opp. effective FG%
49.8%
13.9%
Turnover %
12.7%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.31
38.1%
3-point %
37.9%
75.0%
Assist %
61.4%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
90%

Profile

Offence103.4 · 102.9Defence81.5 · 88.7Shooting56.4% · 54.2%3-point %38.1% · 37.9%Ball care13.9% · 12.7%Free throws0.33 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)80% · 90%
■ Soles   ■ Astros
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Soles wins
3
Astros wins
DateGameScore
13/11/26Soles v Astros85-66
13/09/26Astros v Soles81-74
12/09/26Astros v Soles76-90
13/08/25Soles v Astros81-78
11/07/25Soles v Astros75-71
31/10/24Soles v Astros81-75
27/10/24Astros v Soles82-86 OT
27/10/24Astros v Soles80-101
28/07/24Astros v Soles76-73
27/07/24Astros v Soles102-54
Soleslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/11/26HAstros85-66
06/11/26APanteras110-79
04/11/26APanteras87-75
03/11/26APanteras84-87
31/10/26HPanteras83-65
30/10/26HPanteras80-76
23/10/26AAbejas92-70
20/10/26HAbejas100-60
19/10/26HAbejas102-58
08/10/26HFuerza Regia75-92
Astroslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/11/26ASoles66-85
04/11/26AFuerza Regia82-77
03/11/26AFuerza Regia83-69
31/10/26HFuerza Regia97-90 OT
30/10/26HFuerza Regia96-89
23/10/26AMineros81-72
20/10/26HMineros86-83
18/10/26HMineros100-78
08/10/26HGambusinos86-71
07/10/26HGambusinos96-89

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Soles
LNBP 2026-27
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW78%
HomeWWWWW84%
AwayWWLWW72%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games371918
Win %78%84%72%
Points / game86.683.589.9
Allowed / game73.771.176.4
Point differential+12.9+12.5+13.4
Avg total160.3154.6166.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+54%47%61%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (8)80% (5)0% (3)
Overtime %5%0%11%
Astros
LNBP 2026-27
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL75%
HomeWWWWW78%
AwayWWWWL72%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games361818
Win %75%78%72%
Points / game87.987.488.4
Allowed / game80.279.481.1
Point differential+7.6+8.0+7.3
Avg total168.1166.8169.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+42%33%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)33% (3)100% (1)
Overtime %8%11%6%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Soles3729878%86.673.7+12.9
2 Astros3627975%87.980.2+7.6
3 Panteras37231462%87.886.1+1.6
4 Lobos Plateados34211362%85.682.0+3.6
5 Fuerza Regia36221461%90.086.7+3.3
6 Dorados34201459%87.686.5+1.1
7 Mineros34171750%86.285.3+0.9
8 Abejas34142041%83.486.8-3.3
9 Diablos Rojos31121939%82.485.7-3.3
10 Santos31121939%84.988.9-4.1
11 Gambusinos30111937%80.183.8-3.7
12 El Calor de Cancun2891932%81.385.1-3.9
13 Freseros3092130%84.392.2-7.9
14 Correcaminos2842414%82.594.1-11.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Soles1619201873
Astros242415770
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.