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South Alabama vs Texas State Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 07 Jan 2023
Tip-off: 20:00
Final 58-64
21-36 37-28
Position#166
Record7-8
FormWWLLW
Points / game69.1
Allowed / game66.3
vs
Position#236
Record8-8
FormLWLLW
Points / game65.6
Allowed / game65.2
USANCAA
Other2022-23
Meetings · South Alabama v Texas State
19 Feb 2026
SOUT82
TEXA90
15 Feb 2025
SOUT70
TEXA65
15 Feb 2024
SOUT72
TEXA55
07 Jan 2023
SOUT58
TEXA64
23 Feb 2022
SOUT52
TEXA55
14 Mar 2020
SOUT v TEXA
upcoming
03 Mar 2020
SOUT58
TEXA54
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

South Alabama winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Texas State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

South AlabamaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Towson
#94
L
60-62
60
62
-2
H26/11
NCAA
Robert Morris
#216
W
84-70
84
70
+14
A27/11
NCAA
Florida Atlantic
#6
L
59-84
59
84
-25
A01/12
NCAA
UAB
#44
L
68-76
68
76
-8
A04/12
NCAA
Alabama A&M Bulldogs
#254
W
78-71
78
71
+7
A13/12
NCAA
Spring Hill
#440
W
82-53
82
53
+29
H20/12
NCAA
Jacksonville State
#266
W
71-66
71
66
+5
H21/12
NCAA
Georgia Southern
#198
L
50-64
50
64
-14
A30/12
NCAA
Georgia State
#320
L
58-68
58
68
-10
A31/12
NCAA
Arkansas State
#278
W
63-45
63
45
+18
H06/01
NCAA
1H
2H
24-21
36-41
40-33
44-37
20-29
39-55
31-29
37-47
41-25
37-46
48-19
34-34
32-33
39-33
25-35
25-29
30-29
28-39
29-18
34-27
133.2Avg total
67.3Scored
65.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)69.166.3135.4+2.947%
Season at home (6)71.358.3129.7+13.067%
Season away (9)67.771.6139.2-3.933%
Last 10 (10)67.365.9133.2+1.450%
Last 5 (5)64.859.2124.0+5.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)60.775.0135.7-14.30%
vs Similar (7)68.167.0135.1+1.143%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)69.762.0131.7+7.665%
This opponent (Texas State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Texas StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hawaii
#80
L
65-72
65
72
-7
A27/11
NCAA
Lamar
#339
W
65-55
65
55
+10
A02/12
NCAA
Rice
#164
L
71-83
71
83
-12
H04/12
NCAA
UT Arlington
#300
W
71-65
71
65
+6
A11/12
NCAA
Hardin-Baylor
#3
L
65-71
65
71
-6
H14/12
NCAA
Sam Houston St.
#20
L
62-69
62
69
-7
H17/12
NCAA
University of Sciences
#398
W
87-72
87
72
+15
H21/12
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#301
L
53-57
53
57
-4
H30/12
NCAA
Troy
#115
L
52-55
52
55
-3
H31/12
NCAA
James Madison
#69
W
63-62
63
62
+1
A06/01
NCAA
1H
2H
29-28
36-44
28-23
37-32
30-40
41-43
33-24
38-41
24-36
41-35
34-39
28-30
41-29
46-43
25-32
28-25
22-20
30-35
27-27
36-35
131.5Avg total
65.4Scored
66.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)65.665.2130.8+0.350%
Season at home (8)67.465.6133.0+1.838%
Season away (8)63.864.9128.6-1.162%
Last 10 (10)65.466.1131.5-0.740%
Last 5 (5)63.463.0126.4+0.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)64.064.6128.6-0.640%
vs Similar (9)64.966.3131.2-1.467%
vs Weaker (12)66.261.9128.1+4.367%
This opponent (South Alabama) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: +4.9+4.91st half: -0.5-0.52nd half2nd half: -3.5-3.52nd half: -0.2-0.2
-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: +4.9+4.91st half: -0.5-0.52nd half2nd half: -3.5-3.52nd half: -0.2-0.2
South AlabamaTexas State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
South AlabamaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Towson
#94
W
24-21
24
21
+3
H26/11
NCAA
Robert Morris
#216
W
40-33
40
33
+7
A27/11
NCAA
Florida Atlantic
#6
L
20-29
20
29
-9
A01/12
NCAA
UAB
#44
W
31-29
31
29
+2
A04/12
NCAA
Alabama A&M Bulldogs
#254
W
41-25
41
25
+16
A13/12
NCAA
Spring Hill
#440
W
48-19
48
19
+29
H20/12
NCAA
Jacksonville State
#266
L
32-33
32
33
-1
H21/12
NCAA
Georgia Southern
#198
L
25-35
25
35
-10
A30/12
NCAA
Georgia State
#320
W
30-29
30
29
+1
A31/12
NCAA
Arkansas State
#278
W
29-18
29
18
+11
H06/01
NCAA
59.1Avg total
32.0Scored
27.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)31.529.761.2+1.850%-
Last 30 at home (14)34.427.061.4+7.464%-
Last 30 away (16)29.032.161.1-3.138%-
Last 10 (10)32.027.159.1+4.970%-
Last 5 (5)32.826.859.6+6.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)24.330.054.3-5.733%-
vs Similar (7)29.731.361.0-1.643%-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)33.229.162.3+4.155%-
This opponent (Texas State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Texas StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hawaii
#80
W
29-28
29
28
+1
A27/11
NCAA
Lamar
#339
W
28-23
28
23
+5
A02/12
NCAA
Rice
#164
L
30-40
30
40
-10
H04/12
NCAA
UT Arlington
#300
W
33-24
33
24
+9
A11/12
NCAA
Hardin-Baylor
#3
L
24-36
24
36
-12
H14/12
NCAA
Sam Houston St.
#20
L
34-39
34
39
-5
H17/12
NCAA
University of Sciences
#398
W
41-29
41
29
+12
H21/12
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#301
L
25-32
25
32
-7
H30/12
NCAA
Troy
#115
W
22-20
22
20
+2
H31/12
NCAA
James Madison
#69
D
27-27
27
27
+0
A06/01
NCAA
59.1Avg total
29.3Scored
29.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)31.229.160.4+2.153%-
Last 30 at home (14)32.429.762.1+2.650%-
Last 30 away (16)30.228.658.9+1.656%-
Last 10 (10)29.329.859.1-0.550%-
Last 5 (5)29.829.459.2+0.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)29.228.057.2+1.260%-
vs Similar (9)30.929.860.7+1.144%-
vs Weaker (12)31.429.060.4+2.458%-
This opponent (South Alabama) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
South Alabama wins
1
Texas State wins
DateGameScore
24/02/22South Alabama v Texas State52-55
04/03/20South Alabama v Texas State58-54
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/01/23HArkansas State63-45
31/12/22AGeorgia State58-68
30/12/22AGeorgia Southern50-64
21/12/22HJacksonville State71-66
20/12/22HSpring Hill82-53
13/12/22AAlabama A&M Bulldogs78-71
04/12/22AUAB68-76
01/12/22AFlorida Atlantic59-84
27/11/22ARobert Morris84-70
26/11/22HTowson60-62
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/01/23AJames Madison63-62
31/12/22HTroy52-55
30/12/22HLouisiana Monroe53-57
21/12/22HUniversity of Sciences87-72
17/12/22HSam Houston St.62-69
14/12/22HHardin-Baylor65-71
11/12/22AUT Arlington71-65
04/12/22HRice71-83
02/12/22ALamar65-55
27/11/22AHawaii65-72

📊 11. Overall Statistics

South Alabama
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW47%
HomeLLWWW67%
AwayLLWLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1569
Win %47%67%33%
Points / game69.171.367.7
Allowed / game66.358.371.6
Point differential+2.9+13.0-3.9
Avg total135.4129.7139.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%50%22%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)50% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Texas State
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW50%
HomeLLWLL38%
AwayWLWWW62%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1688
Win %50%38%62%
Points / game65.667.463.8
Allowed / game65.265.664.9
Point differential+0.3+1.8-1.1
Avg total130.8133.0128.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%38%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)0% (2)75% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Sun Belt conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Southern Miss1613381%76.862.1+14.7
2 Marshall1612475%81.869.3+12.4
3 Louisiana Lafayette1511473%81.271.7+9.5
4 James Madison1611569%88.065.1+22.9
5 Troy1610662%76.665.8+10.9
6 Georgia Southern1610662%68.963.6+5.3
7 Old Dominion159660%68.065.7+2.3
8 Arkansas State169756%67.165.0+2.1
9 Georgia State158753%66.963.2+3.7
10 Appalachian State168850%74.565.1+9.4
11 Coastal Carolina147750%76.367.8+8.5
12 Texas State168850%65.665.2+0.3
13 South Alabama157847%69.166.3+2.9
14 Louisiana Monroe167944%71.268.9+2.3
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
South Alabama213758
Texas State362864
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