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South Alabama vs Troy Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 18 Jan 2025
Tip-off: 21:00
Final 64-63
42-22 22-41
Position#83
Record13-5
FormWWWLW
Points / game74.5
Allowed / game61.6
South Alabama 🏆
USA
vs
Troy
USA
Position#68
Record11-6
FormWWLLW
Points / game74.1
Allowed / game66.5
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Meetings · South Alabama v Troy
21 Feb 2026
SOUT65
TROY54
18 Jan 2025
SOUT64
TROY63
18 Jan 2024
SOUT74
TROY71
28 Jan 2023
SOUT77
TROY60
27 Jan 2022
SOUT82
TROY63
11 Feb 2021
SOUT73
TROY70
29 Feb 2020
SOUT78
TROY63
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

South Alabama winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Troy winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

South AlabamaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Jacksonville State
#92
W
76-74
76
74
+2
H08/12
NCAA
TX A&M Commerce
#363
W
81-72
81
72
+9
A15/12
NCAA
TCU
#210
L
49-58
49
58
-9
A17/12
NCAA
James Madison
#110
W
77-49
77
49
+28
H21/12
NCAA
Mobile
#679
W
106-41
106
41
+65
H31/12
NCAA
Georgia State
#274
W
77-51
77
51
+26
A03/01
NCAA
Georgia Southern
#201
W
76-47
76
47
+29
A04/01
NCAA
Arkansas State
#54
W
76-62
76
62
+14
H10/01
NCAA
Old Dominion
#261
L
63-71 OT
63
71
-8
H11/01
NCAA
Southern Miss
#324
W
75-62
75
62
+13
H16/01
NCAA
1H
2H
39-30
37-44
38-32
43-40
28-30
21-28
34-26
43-23
51-21
55-20
33-30
44-21
38-18
38-29
41-31
35-31
39-33
24-30
42-33
33-29
134.3Avg total
75.6Scored
58.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)74.561.6136.1+12.972%
Season at home (12)77.862.7140.5+15.275%
Season away (6)67.859.3127.2+8.567%
Last 10 (10)75.658.7134.3+16.980%
Last 5 (5)73.458.6132.0+14.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)69.581.5151.0-12.00%
vs Similar ◀ (12)73.069.4142.4+3.667%
vs Weaker (14)72.463.1135.4+9.364%
This opponent (Troy) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TroyUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Eastern Kentucky
#155
W
84-74
84
74
+10
H01/12
NCAA
Houston
#9
L
42-62
42
62
-20
A11/12
NCAA
Middle Georgia State
#501
W
87-53
87
53
+34
H14/12
NCAA
La Grange
#640
W
105-60
105
60
+45
H18/12
NCAA
Georgia State
#274
W
77-57
77
57
+20
H21/12
NCAA
Appalachian State
#157
W
69-61
69
61
+8
A02/01
NCAA
Marshall
#124
W
58-57
58
57
+1
A04/01
NCAA
Texas State
#207
L
73-74
73
74
-1
H10/01
NCAA
Arkansas State
#54
L
78-84
78
84
-6
H11/01
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#346
W
77-58
77
58
+19
A16/01
NCAA
1H
2H
41-36
43-38
11-33
31-29
48-20
39-33
55-34
50-26
39-25
38-32
33-30
36-31
19-31
39-26
41-32
32-42
43-34
35-50
35-30
42-28
139.0Avg total
75.0Scored
64.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)74.166.5140.6+7.665%
Season at home (9)82.468.9151.3+13.667%
Season away (8)64.863.9128.6+0.962%
Last 10 (10)75.064.0139.0+11.070%
Last 5 (5)71.066.8137.8+4.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)42.062.0104.0-20.00%
vs Similar ◀ (5)63.069.8132.8-6.840%
vs Weaker (23)80.269.9150.0+10.374%
This opponent (South Alabama) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-12-6+0+6+121st half1st half: +9.9+9.91st half: +6.0+6.02nd half2nd half: +7.8+7.82nd half: +5.0+5.0
-12-6+0+6+121st half1st half: +9.9+9.91st half: +6.0+6.02nd half2nd half: +7.8+7.82nd half: +5.0+5.0
South AlabamaTroy
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
South AlabamaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Jacksonville State
#92
W
39-30
39
30
+9
H08/12
NCAA
TX A&M Commerce
#363
W
38-32
38
32
+6
A15/12
NCAA
TCU
#210
L
28-30
28
30
-2
A17/12
NCAA
James Madison
#110
W
34-26
34
26
+8
H21/12
NCAA
Mobile
#679
W
51-21
51
21
+30
H31/12
NCAA
Georgia State
#274
W
33-30
33
30
+3
A03/01
NCAA
Georgia Southern
#201
W
38-18
38
18
+20
A04/01
NCAA
Arkansas State
#54
W
41-31
41
31
+10
H10/01
NCAA
Old Dominion
#261
W
39-33
39
33
+6
H11/01
NCAA
Southern Miss
#324
W
42-33
42
33
+9
H16/01
NCAA
66.7Avg total
38.3Scored
28.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.131.866.9+3.357%-
Last 30 at home (19)37.031.568.5+5.563%-
Last 30 away (11)31.932.364.2-0.445%-
Last 10 (10)38.328.466.7+9.990%-
Last 5 (5)38.629.067.6+9.6100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)31.040.071.0-9.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)33.731.965.6+1.750%-
vs Weaker (14)34.631.866.4+2.964%-
This opponent (Troy) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TroyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Eastern Kentucky
#155
W
41-36
41
36
+5
H01/12
NCAA
Houston
#9
L
11-33
11
33
-22
A11/12
NCAA
Middle Georgia State
#501
W
48-20
48
20
+28
H14/12
NCAA
La Grange
#640
W
55-34
55
34
+21
H18/12
NCAA
Georgia State
#274
W
39-25
39
25
+14
H21/12
NCAA
Appalachian State
#157
W
33-30
33
30
+3
A02/01
NCAA
Marshall
#124
L
19-31
19
31
-12
A04/01
NCAA
Texas State
#207
W
41-32
41
32
+9
H10/01
NCAA
Arkansas State
#54
W
43-34
43
34
+9
H11/01
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#346
W
35-30
35
30
+5
A16/01
NCAA
67.0Avg total
36.5Scored
30.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.631.168.6+6.580%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.930.971.8+9.987%-
Last 30 away (15)34.331.265.5+3.173%-
Last 10 (10)36.530.567.0+6.080%-
Last 5 (5)34.231.465.6+2.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)11.033.044.0-22.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (5)29.031.860.8-2.860%-
vs Weaker (23)40.131.371.4+8.887%-
This opponent (South Alabama) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
South Alabama wins
3
Troy wins
DateGameScore
27/01/24Troy v South Alabama83-79
19/01/24South Alabama v Troy74-71
10/02/23Troy v South Alabama61-57
28/01/23South Alabama v Troy77-60
30/01/22Troy v South Alabama77-68
28/01/22South Alabama v Troy82-63
13/02/21Troy v South Alabama51-58
12/02/21South Alabama v Troy73-70
01/03/20South Alabama v Troy78-63
08/02/20Troy v South Alabama66-70
South Alabamalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/01/25HSouthern Miss75-62
11/01/25HOld Dominion63-71 OT
10/01/25HArkansas State76-62
04/01/25AGeorgia Southern76-47
03/01/25AGeorgia State77-51
31/12/24HMobile106-41
21/12/24HJames Madison77-49
17/12/24ATCU49-58
15/12/24ATX A&M Commerce81-72
08/12/24HJacksonville State76-74
Troylast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/01/25ALouisiana Monroe77-58
11/01/25HArkansas State78-84
10/01/25HTexas State73-74
04/01/25AMarshall58-57
02/01/25AAppalachian State69-61
21/12/24HGeorgia State77-57
18/12/24HLa Grange105-60
14/12/24HMiddle Georgia State87-53
11/12/24AHouston42-62
01/12/24HEastern Kentucky84-74

📊 11. Overall Statistics

South Alabama
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW72%
HomeWWWLW75%
AwayLWLWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games18126
Win %72%75%67%
Points / game74.577.867.8
Allowed / game61.662.759.3
Point differential+12.9+15.2+8.5
Avg total136.1140.5127.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+44%50%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)33% (3)-
Overtime %11%17%0%
Troy
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW65%
HomeWWWLL67%
AwayWLWWW62%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1798
Win %65%67%62%
Points / game74.182.464.8
Allowed / game66.568.963.9
Point differential+7.6+13.6+0.9
Avg total140.6151.3128.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+53%67%38%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)0% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Sun Belt conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Arkansas State1914574%79.170.1+9.0
2 South Alabama1813572%74.561.6+12.9
3 Troy1711665%74.166.5+7.6
4 Appalachian State1710759%70.362.9+7.4
5 Texas State1810856%77.271.1+6.1
6 James Madison1810856%73.970.4+3.6
7 Marshall2011955%75.071.0+4.0
8 Georgia Southern1910953%74.078.8-4.8
9 Southern Miss1881044%73.376.5-3.2
10 Coastal Carolina1981142%69.269.7-0.6
11 Old Dominion1981142%67.972.4-4.5
12 Georgia State1971237%72.279.3-7.1
13 Louisiana Lafayette1961332%65.975.2-9.3
14 Louisiana Monroe2041620%70.273.5-3.2
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
South Alabama422264
Troy224163
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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