PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Troy vs South Alabama Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 25 Jan 2025
Tip-off: 23:00
Final 65-55
32-26 33-29
Position#68
Record11-7
FormWLLWL
Points / game73.5
Allowed / game66.4
Troy 🏆
USA
vs
Position#83
Record14-5
FormWWLWW
Points / game73.9
Allowed / game61.6
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Meetings · Troy v South Alabama
27 Jan 2027
TROY v SOUT
upcoming
03 Jan 2026
TROY59
SOUT49
25 Jan 2025
TROY65
SOUT55
27 Jan 2024
TROY83
SOUT79
09 Feb 2023
TROY61
SOUT57
29 Jan 2022
TROY77
SOUT68
13 Feb 2021
TROY51
SOUT58
07 Feb 2020
TROY66
SOUT70
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Troy winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
South Alabama winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

TroyUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Houston
#9
L
42-62
42
62
-20
A11/12
NCAA
Middle Georgia State
#501
W
87-53
87
53
+34
H14/12
NCAA
La Grange
#640
W
105-60
105
60
+45
H18/12
NCAA
Georgia State
#274
W
77-57
77
57
+20
H21/12
NCAA
Appalachian State
#157
W
69-61
69
61
+8
A02/01
NCAA
Marshall
#124
W
58-57
58
57
+1
A04/01
NCAA
Texas State
#207
L
73-74
73
74
-1
H10/01
NCAA
Arkansas State
#54
L
78-84
78
84
-6
H11/01
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#346
W
77-58
77
58
+19
A16/01
NCAA
South Alabama
#83
L
63-64
63
64
-1
A18/01
NCAA
1H
2H
11-33
31-29
48-20
39-33
55-34
50-26
39-25
38-32
33-30
36-31
19-31
39-26
41-32
32-42
43-34
35-50
35-30
42-28
22-42
41-22
135.9Avg total
72.9Scored
63.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)73.566.4139.9+7.161%
Season at home (9)82.468.9151.3+13.667%
Season away (9)64.663.9128.4+0.756%
Last 10 (10)72.963.0135.9+9.960%
Last 5 (5)69.867.4137.2+2.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)42.062.0104.0-20.00%
vs Similar ◀ (6)63.068.8131.8-5.833%
vs Weaker (22)80.370.1150.4+10.273%
This opponent (South Alabama) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
South AlabamaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
TX A&M Commerce
#363
W
81-72
81
72
+9
A15/12
NCAA
TCU
#210
L
49-58
49
58
-9
A17/12
NCAA
James Madison
#110
W
77-49
77
49
+28
H21/12
NCAA
Mobile
#679
W
106-41
106
41
+65
H31/12
NCAA
Georgia State
#274
W
77-51
77
51
+26
A03/01
NCAA
Georgia Southern
#201
W
76-47
76
47
+29
A04/01
NCAA
Arkansas State
#54
W
76-62
76
62
+14
H10/01
NCAA
Old Dominion
#261
L
63-71 OT
63
71
-8
H11/01
NCAA
Southern Miss
#324
W
75-62
75
62
+13
H16/01
NCAA
Troy
#68
W
64-63
64
63
+1
H18/01
NCAA
1H
2H
38-32
43-40
28-30
21-28
34-26
43-23
51-21
55-20
33-30
44-21
38-18
38-29
41-31
35-31
39-33
24-30
42-33
33-29
42-22
22-41
132.0Avg total
74.4Scored
57.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)73.961.6135.6+12.374%
Season at home (13)76.862.7139.5+14.177%
Season away (6)67.859.3127.2+8.567%
Last 10 (10)74.457.6132.0+16.880%
Last 5 (5)70.861.0131.8+9.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)60.080.0140.0-20.00%
vs Similar ◀ (13)72.368.9141.2+3.469%
vs Weaker (14)72.463.1135.4+9.364%
This opponent (Troy) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-14-7+0+7+141st half1st half: +3.5+3.51st half: +11.0+11.02nd half2nd half: +6.4+6.42nd half: +6.6+6.6
-14-7+0+7+141st half1st half: +3.5+3.51st half: +11.0+11.02nd half2nd half: +6.4+6.42nd half: +6.6+6.6
TroySouth Alabama
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
TroyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Houston
#9
L
11-33
11
33
-22
A11/12
NCAA
Middle Georgia State
#501
W
48-20
48
20
+28
H14/12
NCAA
La Grange
#640
W
55-34
55
34
+21
H18/12
NCAA
Georgia State
#274
W
39-25
39
25
+14
H21/12
NCAA
Appalachian State
#157
W
33-30
33
30
+3
A02/01
NCAA
Marshall
#124
L
19-31
19
31
-12
A04/01
NCAA
Texas State
#207
W
41-32
41
32
+9
H10/01
NCAA
Arkansas State
#54
W
43-34
43
34
+9
H11/01
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#346
W
35-30
35
30
+5
A16/01
NCAA
South Alabama
#83
L
22-42
22
42
-20
A18/01
NCAA
65.7Avg total
34.6Scored
31.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.031.368.3+5.777%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.030.771.7+10.386%-
Last 30 away (16)33.531.965.4+1.669%-
Last 10 (10)34.631.165.7+3.570%-
Last 5 (5)32.033.865.8-1.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)11.033.044.0-22.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (6)27.833.561.3-5.750%-
vs Weaker (22)40.231.271.4+9.086%-
This opponent (South Alabama) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
South AlabamaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
TX A&M Commerce
#363
W
38-32
38
32
+6
A15/12
NCAA
TCU
#210
L
28-30
28
30
-2
A17/12
NCAA
James Madison
#110
W
34-26
34
26
+8
H21/12
NCAA
Mobile
#679
W
51-21
51
21
+30
H31/12
NCAA
Georgia State
#274
W
33-30
33
30
+3
A03/01
NCAA
Georgia Southern
#201
W
38-18
38
18
+20
A04/01
NCAA
Arkansas State
#54
W
41-31
41
31
+10
H10/01
NCAA
Old Dominion
#261
W
39-33
39
33
+6
H11/01
NCAA
Southern Miss
#324
W
42-33
42
33
+9
H16/01
NCAA
Troy
#68
W
42-22
42
22
+20
H18/01
NCAA
66.2Avg total
38.6Scored
27.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.431.266.6+4.260%-
Last 30 at home (20)37.231.168.3+6.265%-
Last 30 away (10)31.731.563.2+0.250%-
Last 10 (10)38.627.666.2+11.090%-
Last 5 (5)40.427.467.8+13.0100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)28.040.068.0-12.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)34.331.265.5+3.254%-
vs Weaker (14)34.631.866.4+2.964%-
This opponent (Troy) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Troy wins
7
South Alabama wins
DateGameScore
18/01/25South Alabama v Troy64-63
27/01/24Troy v South Alabama83-79
19/01/24South Alabama v Troy74-71
10/02/23Troy v South Alabama61-57
28/01/23South Alabama v Troy77-60
30/01/22Troy v South Alabama77-68
28/01/22South Alabama v Troy82-63
13/02/21Troy v South Alabama51-58
12/02/21South Alabama v Troy73-70
01/03/20South Alabama v Troy78-63
Troylast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/01/25ASouth Alabama63-64
16/01/25ALouisiana Monroe77-58
11/01/25HArkansas State78-84
10/01/25HTexas State73-74
04/01/25AMarshall58-57
02/01/25AAppalachian State69-61
21/12/24HGeorgia State77-57
18/12/24HLa Grange105-60
14/12/24HMiddle Georgia State87-53
11/12/24AHouston42-62
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/01/25HTroy64-63
16/01/25HSouthern Miss75-62
11/01/25HOld Dominion63-71 OT
10/01/25HArkansas State76-62
04/01/25AGeorgia Southern76-47
03/01/25AGeorgia State77-51
31/12/24HMobile106-41
21/12/24HJames Madison77-49
17/12/24ATCU49-58
15/12/24ATX A&M Commerce81-72

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Troy
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL61%
HomeWWWLL67%
AwayLWWWL56%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1899
Win %61%67%56%
Points / game73.582.464.6
Allowed / game66.468.963.9
Point differential+7.1+13.6+0.7
Avg total139.9151.3128.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%67%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)0% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
South Alabama
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW74%
HomeWWLWW77%
AwayLWLWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19136
Win %74%77%67%
Points / game73.976.867.8
Allowed / game61.662.759.3
Point differential+12.3+14.1+8.5
Avg total135.6139.5127.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+42%46%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)50% (4)-
Overtime %11%15%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Sun Belt conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Arkansas State2116576%78.569.1+9.3
2 South Alabama1914574%73.961.6+12.3
3 Troy1811761%73.566.4+7.1
4 Appalachian State2012860%68.762.1+6.5
5 Marshall2213959%75.671.1+4.5
6 Texas State2112957%77.572.1+5.4
7 James Madison2112957%73.469.7+3.7
8 Georgia Southern21111052%74.277.4-3.2
9 Southern Miss1981142%73.776.9-3.2
10 Coastal Carolina2081240%68.670.5-1.9
11 Old Dominion2081240%67.572.5-5.0
12 Georgia State2171433%72.980.2-7.3
13 Louisiana Lafayette2061430%66.375.9-9.6
14 Louisiana Monroe2141719%69.773.1-3.5
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Troy323365
South Alabama262955
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.