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Southern Illinois vs Missouri State Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 01 Feb 2024
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 75-76 (OT)
42-31 21-32 12-13
Position#131
Record14-7
FormLLLWW
Points / game72.4
Allowed / game64.5
vs
Position#198
Record12-9
FormWLLWW
Points / game71.2
Allowed / game70.1
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Meetings · Southern Illinois v Missouri State
11 Jan 2025
SOUT88
MISS78
31 Jan 2024
SOUT75
MISS76
03 Mar 2023
SOUT54
MISS51
05 Feb 2023
SOUT73
MISS53
02 Feb 2022
SOUT54
MISS69
17 Feb 2021
SOUT53
MISS68
08 Feb 2020
SOUT68
MISS66
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Southern Illinois winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Missouri State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Southern IllinoisUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Southern Indiana
#346
W
81-50
81
50
+31
H23/12
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#303
W
62-50
62
50
+12
H31/12
NCAA
Belmont
#128
W
73-63
73
63
+10
H03/01
NCAA
Illinois State
#240
W
71-64
71
64
+7
A07/01
NCAA
Valparaiso
#355
W
77-68
77
68
+9
A11/01
NCAA
Drake
#15
L
58-76
58
76
-18
H14/01
NCAA
Bradley
#71
L
69-70
69
70
-1
H18/01
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#150
L
57-61
57
61
-4
A21/01
NCAA
Valparaiso
#355
W
75-69
75
69
+6
H25/01
NCAA
Murray State
#296
W
60-58
60
58
+2
A27/01
NCAA
1H
2H
39-14
42-36
32-30
30-20
34-31
39-32
31-29
40-35
44-24
33-44
25-36
33-40
45-24
24-46
30-29
27-32
29-34
46-35
30-38
30-20
131.2Avg total
68.3Scored
62.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)72.464.5136.9+8.067%
Season at home (14)75.664.5140.1+11.171%
Season away (7)66.064.4130.4+1.657%
Last 10 (10)68.362.9131.2+5.470%
Last 5 (5)63.866.8130.6-3.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)56.872.0128.8-15.20%
vs Similar (7)67.161.6128.7+5.657%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)75.561.6137.2+13.994%
This opponent (Missouri State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Missouri StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lindenwood
#333
W
79-57
79
57
+22
H20/12
NCAA
St. Marys (CA)
#24
W
69-64
69
64
+5
A24/12
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#150
L
62-64
62
64
-2
H04/01
NCAA
Bradley
#71
L
60-86
60
86
-26
A06/01
NCAA
Murray State
#296
L
53-77
53
77
-24
H11/01
NCAA
Evansville
#225
W
74-64
74
64
+10
A14/01
NCAA
Indiana State
#13
L
66-88
66
88
-22
A17/01
NCAA
Illinois State
#240
L
60-69
60
69
-9
H20/01
NCAA
Drake
#15
W
83-80 OT
83
80
+3
H25/01
NCAA
Valparaiso
#355
W
81-70
81
70
+11
A27/01
NCAA
1H
2H
34-16
45-41
31-32
38-32
29-33
33-31
28-42
32-44
19-42
34-35
36-35
38-29
30-44
36-44
33-42
27-27
29-42
36-23
40-37
41-33
140.6Avg total
68.7Scored
71.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)71.270.1141.4+1.157%
Season at home (11)74.168.1142.2+6.073%
Season away (10)68.172.4140.5-4.340%
Last 10 (10)68.771.9140.6-3.250%
Last 5 (5)72.874.2147.0-1.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)65.074.0139.0-9.043%
vs Similar (16)68.266.2134.5+2.056%
vs Weaker (7)74.966.0140.9+8.971%
This opponent (Southern Illinois) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-7-4+0+4+71st half1st half: +5.0+5.01st half: -5.6-5.62nd half2nd half: +0.4+0.42nd half: +2.1+2.1
-7-4+0+4+71st half1st half: +5.0+5.01st half: -5.6-5.62nd half2nd half: +0.4+0.42nd half: +2.1+2.1
Southern IllinoisMissouri State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Southern IllinoisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Southern Indiana
#346
W
39-14
39
14
+25
H23/12
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#303
W
32-30
32
30
+2
H31/12
NCAA
Belmont
#128
W
34-31
34
31
+3
H03/01
NCAA
Illinois State
#240
W
31-29
31
29
+2
A07/01
NCAA
Valparaiso
#355
W
44-24
44
24
+20
A11/01
NCAA
Drake
#15
L
25-36
25
36
-11
H14/01
NCAA
Bradley
#71
W
45-24
45
24
+21
H18/01
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#150
W
30-29
30
29
+1
A21/01
NCAA
Valparaiso
#355
L
29-34
29
34
-5
H25/01
NCAA
Murray State
#296
L
30-38
30
38
-8
A27/01
NCAA
62.8Avg total
33.9Scored
28.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.429.462.8+3.963%-
Last 30 at home (19)35.528.363.8+7.268%-
Last 30 away (11)29.731.461.1-1.655%-
Last 10 (10)33.928.962.8+5.070%-
Last 5 (5)31.832.264.0-0.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)25.537.362.8-11.80%-
vs Similar (7)36.029.765.7+6.386%-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)35.126.561.6+8.576%-
This opponent (Missouri State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Missouri StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lindenwood
#333
W
34-16
34
16
+18
H20/12
NCAA
St. Marys (CA)
#24
L
31-32
31
32
-1
A24/12
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#150
L
29-33
29
33
-4
H04/01
NCAA
Bradley
#71
L
28-42
28
42
-14
A06/01
NCAA
Murray State
#296
L
19-42
19
42
-23
H11/01
NCAA
Evansville
#225
W
36-35
36
35
+1
A14/01
NCAA
Indiana State
#13
L
30-44
30
44
-14
A17/01
NCAA
Illinois State
#240
L
33-42
33
42
-9
H20/01
NCAA
Drake
#15
L
29-42
29
42
-13
H25/01
NCAA
Valparaiso
#355
W
40-37
40
37
+3
A27/01
NCAA
67.4Avg total
30.9Scored
36.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.732.666.3+1.163%-
Last 30 at home (15)35.532.167.6+3.573%-
Last 30 away (15)31.933.165.0-1.353%-
Last 10 (10)30.936.567.4-5.630%-
Last 5 (5)33.640.073.6-6.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)29.036.965.9-7.914%-
vs Similar (16)35.632.668.2+2.975%-
vs Weaker (7)34.128.362.4+5.986%-
This opponent (Southern Illinois) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
27/01/24AMurray State60-58
25/01/24HValparaiso75-69
21/01/24ANorthern Iowa57-61
18/01/24HBradley69-70
14/01/24HDrake58-76
11/01/24AValparaiso77-68
07/01/24AIllinois State71-64
03/01/24HBelmont73-63
31/12/23HIllinois (Chi.)62-50
23/12/23HSouthern Indiana81-50
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/01/24AValparaiso81-70
25/01/24HDrake83-80 OT
20/01/24HIllinois State60-69
17/01/24AIndiana State66-88
14/01/24AEvansville74-64
11/01/24HMurray State53-77
06/01/24ABradley60-86
04/01/24HNorthern Iowa62-64
24/12/23ASt. Marys (CA)69-64
20/12/23HLindenwood79-57

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Southern Illinois
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW67%
HomeWWLLW71%
AwayLWWLW57%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games21147
Win %67%71%57%
Points / game72.475.666.0
Allowed / game64.564.564.4
Point differential+8.0+11.1+1.6
Avg total136.9140.1130.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+43%57%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (6)33% (3)33% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Missouri State
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW57%
HomeWLLLW73%
AwayWLWLW40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211110
Win %57%73%40%
Points / game71.274.168.1
Allowed / game70.168.172.4
Point differential+1.1+6.0-4.3
Avg total141.4142.2140.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%45%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)67% (3)33% (3)
Overtime %10%9%10%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Missouri Valley conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Indiana State2219386%86.072.7+13.3
2 Drake2117481%79.667.3+12.3
3 Bradley2115671%75.867.7+8.0
4 Southern Illinois2114767%72.464.5+8.0
5 Northern Iowa2112957%74.070.8+3.3
6 Evansville2112957%73.473.6-0.2
7 Belmont22121055%76.978.1-1.2
8 Illinois State22111150%66.167.6-1.5
9 Illinois (Chi.)2181338%69.968.1+1.8
10 Murray State2281436%70.468.9+1.5
11 Valparaiso2161529%68.072.3-4.2
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Conference USA conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Louisiana Tech2115671%75.463.2+12.2
2 Western Kentucky2014670%80.575.1+5.5
3 Liberty2113862%75.863.8+12.0
4 Kennesaw State2113862%84.479.0+5.4
5 Delaware2112957%75.371.0+4.3
6 Missouri State2112957%71.270.1+1.1
7 Sam Houston St.2112957%71.571.0+0.5
8 Jacksonville State21111052%70.863.9+6.9
9 UTEP21111052%73.669.3+4.3
10 New Mexico State2191243%69.471.7-2.3
11 Middle Tenn. St.2181338%63.866.3-2.5
12 Florida International2171433%76.277.2-1.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HOTFinal
Southern Illinois42211275
Missouri State31321376
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