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Southern Illinois vs Missouri State Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 03 Feb 2022
Tip-off: 02:00
Final 54-69
24-29 30-40
Position#187
Record11-11
FormWLLLW
Points / game63.6
Allowed / game60.2
vs
Position#49
Record16-7
FormWWWLW
Points / game78.5
Allowed / game67.5
USANCAA
Other2021-22
Meetings · Southern Illinois v Missouri State
11 Jan 2025
SOUT88
MISS78
31 Jan 2024
SOUT75
MISS76
03 Mar 2023
SOUT54
MISS51
05 Feb 2023
SOUT73
MISS53
02 Feb 2022
SOUT54
MISS69
17 Feb 2021
SOUT53
MISS68
08 Feb 2020
SOUT68
MISS66
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Southern Illinois winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Missouri State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Southern IllinoisUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Grambling St.
#282
W
75-64
75
64
+11
H29/12
NCAA
Valparaiso
#242
W
63-60
63
60
+3
A09/01
NCAA
Missouri State
#49
L
76-81
76
81
-5
A13/01
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#110
L
68-69
68
69
-1
H16/01
NCAA
Drake
#64
L
59-60
59
60
-1
H18/01
NCAA
Indiana State
#291
W
63-55
63
55
+8
H20/01
NCAA
Bradley
#164
L
62-70
62
70
-8
A23/01
NCAA
Loyola Chicago
#37
L
47-59
47
59
-12
A26/01
NCAA
Loyola Chicago
#37
L
39-44
39
44
-5
H28/01
NCAA
Valparaiso
#242
W
77-55
77
55
+22
H30/01
NCAA
1H
2H
41-25
34-39
32-22
31-38
34-36
42-45
26-36
42-33
27-35
32-25
32-31
31-24
34-38
28-32
17-30
30-29
21-19
18-25
43-28
34-27
124.6Avg total
62.9Scored
61.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)63.660.2123.8+3.550%
Season at home (13)65.256.7121.9+8.562%
Season away (9)61.365.2126.6-3.933%
Last 10 (10)62.961.7124.6+1.240%
Last 5 (5)57.656.6114.2+1.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)55.863.7119.5-7.910%
vs Similar (9)65.862.4128.2+3.356%
vs Weaker (11)66.057.5123.5+8.573%
This opponent (Missouri State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Missouri StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Evangel
#594
W
103-56
103
56
+47
H30/12
NCAA
Drake
#64
W
61-56
61
56
+5
H03/01
NCAA
Bradley
#164
W
71-69
71
69
+2
A06/01
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#110
L
84-85
84
85
-1
H08/01
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#187
W
81-76
81
76
+5
H13/01
NCAA
Valparaiso
#242
W
74-57
74
57
+17
A15/01
NCAA
Illinois State
#269
W
88-63
88
63
+25
H20/01
NCAA
Loyola Chicago
#37
W
79-69
79
69
+10
A22/01
NCAA
Indiana State
#291
L
72-76
72
76
-4
A26/01
NCAA
Evansville
#349
W
72-58
72
58
+14
H30/01
NCAA
1H
2H
52-30
51-26
23-29
38-27
41-33
30-36
34-33
50-52
36-34
45-42
34-26
40-31
44-34
44-29
35-33
44-36
29-41
43-35
28-21
44-37
145.0Avg total
78.5Scored
66.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)78.567.5146.0+11.070%
Season at home (14)80.567.9148.4+12.671%
Season away (9)75.366.8142.1+8.667%
Last 10 (10)78.566.5145.0+12.080%
Last 5 (5)77.064.6141.6+12.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)69.071.0140.0-2.00%
vs Similar (9)71.063.0134.0+8.078%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)79.168.7147.7+10.468%
This opponent (Southern Illinois) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: +0.7+0.71st half: +4.2+4.22nd half2nd half: +0.5+0.52nd half: +7.8+7.8
-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: +0.7+0.71st half: +4.2+4.22nd half2nd half: +0.5+0.52nd half: +7.8+7.8
Southern IllinoisMissouri State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Southern IllinoisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Grambling St.
#282
W
41-25
41
25
+16
H29/12
NCAA
Valparaiso
#242
W
32-22
32
22
+10
A09/01
NCAA
Missouri State
#49
L
34-36
34
36
-2
A13/01
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#110
L
26-36
26
36
-10
H16/01
NCAA
Drake
#64
L
27-35
27
35
-8
H18/01
NCAA
Indiana State
#291
W
32-31
32
31
+1
H20/01
NCAA
Bradley
#164
L
34-38
34
38
-4
A23/01
NCAA
Loyola Chicago
#37
L
17-30
17
30
-13
A26/01
NCAA
Loyola Chicago
#37
W
21-19
21
19
+2
H28/01
NCAA
Valparaiso
#242
W
43-28
43
28
+15
H30/01
NCAA
60.7Avg total
30.7Scored
30.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)29.529.659.1-0.150%-
Last 30 at home (16)29.928.458.2+1.556%-
Last 30 away (14)29.130.960.0-1.943%-
Last 10 (10)30.730.060.7+0.750%-
Last 5 (5)29.429.258.6+0.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)25.232.657.8-7.420%-
vs Similar (9)32.628.861.3+3.867%-
vs Weaker (11)30.927.558.4+3.564%-
This opponent (Missouri State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Missouri StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Evangel
#594
W
52-30
52
30
+22
H30/12
NCAA
Drake
#64
L
23-29
23
29
-6
H03/01
NCAA
Bradley
#164
W
41-33
41
33
+8
A06/01
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#110
W
34-33
34
33
+1
H08/01
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#187
W
36-34
36
34
+2
H13/01
NCAA
Valparaiso
#242
W
34-26
34
26
+8
A15/01
NCAA
Illinois State
#269
W
44-34
44
34
+10
H20/01
NCAA
Loyola Chicago
#37
W
35-33
35
33
+2
A22/01
NCAA
Indiana State
#291
L
29-41
29
41
-12
A26/01
NCAA
Evansville
#349
W
28-21
28
21
+7
H30/01
NCAA
67.0Avg total
35.6Scored
31.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.130.667.7+6.577%-
Last 30 at home (17)36.929.966.8+7.176%-
Last 30 away (13)37.231.568.8+5.777%-
Last 10 (10)35.631.467.0+4.280%-
Last 5 (5)34.031.065.0+3.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)37.040.077.0-3.00%-
vs Similar (9)33.829.263.0+4.678%-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)37.830.868.6+7.179%-
This opponent (Southern Illinois) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Southern Illinois wins
4
Missouri State wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/01/22HValparaiso77-55
28/01/22HLoyola Chicago39-44
26/01/22ALoyola Chicago47-59
23/01/22ABradley62-70
20/01/22HIndiana State63-55
18/01/22HDrake59-60
16/01/22HNorthern Iowa68-69
13/01/22AMissouri State76-81
09/01/22AValparaiso63-60
29/12/21HGrambling St.75-64
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/01/22HEvansville72-58
26/01/22AIndiana State72-76
22/01/22ALoyola Chicago79-69
20/01/22HIllinois State88-63
15/01/22AValparaiso74-57
13/01/22HSouthern Illinois81-76
08/01/22HNorthern Iowa84-85
06/01/22ABradley71-69
03/01/22HDrake61-56
30/12/21HEvangel103-56

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Southern Illinois
NCAA 2021-22
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW50%
HomeLLWLW62%
AwayLWLLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games22139
Win %50%62%33%
Points / game63.665.261.3
Allowed / game60.256.765.2
Point differential+3.5+8.5-3.9
Avg total123.8121.9126.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%46%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won36% (11)20% (5)50% (6)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Missouri State
NCAA 2021-22
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW70%
HomeWLWWW71%
AwayLWWWL67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games23149
Win %70%71%67%
Points / game78.580.575.3
Allowed / game67.567.966.8
Point differential+11.0+12.6+8.6
Avg total146.0148.4142.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+52%50%56%
Close games (≤5 pts) won38% (8)40% (5)33% (3)
Overtime %4%0%11%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Missouri Valley conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Murray State2220291%82.163.5+18.5
2 Belmont2217577%81.369.9+11.4
3 Drake2317674%75.866.9+8.9
4 Northern Iowa2112957%74.769.7+5.0
5 Bradley23121152%71.666.4+5.2
6 Southern Illinois22111150%63.660.2+3.5
7 Valparaiso22101245%71.470.5+0.9
8 Illinois State23101343%77.476.8+0.7
9 Indiana State2191243%72.171.0+1.1
10 Illinois (Chi.)1971237%70.473.0-2.6
11 Evansville2051525%59.268.5-9.3
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Conference USA conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 New Mexico State2017385%74.866.6+8.2
2 Louisiana Tech2116576%78.067.5+10.5
3 Jacksonville State2115671%75.967.4+8.5
4 Middle Tenn. St.2014670%74.766.2+8.4
5 Missouri State2316770%78.567.5+11.0
6 Liberty2215768%72.860.0+12.8
7 Delaware2215768%75.771.1+4.6
8 UTEP2113862%69.065.0+4.0
9 Sam Houston St.23131057%70.464.7+5.7
10 Western Kentucky21101148%76.370.7+5.6
11 Kennesaw State2191243%74.268.8+5.4
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Southern Illinois243054
Missouri State294069
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