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Southern Illinois vs Missouri State Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 05 Feb 2023
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 73-53
36-32 37-21
Position#61
Record17-7
FormWWWLL
Points / game66.5
Allowed / game61.2
vs
Position#177
Record12-11
FormWLWLW
Points / game66.2
Allowed / game63.2
USANCAA
Other2022-23
Meetings · Southern Illinois v Missouri State
11 Jan 2025
SOUT88
MISS78
31 Jan 2024
SOUT75
MISS76
03 Mar 2023
SOUT54
MISS51
05 Feb 2023
SOUT73
MISS53
02 Feb 2022
SOUT54
MISS69
17 Feb 2021
SOUT53
MISS68
08 Feb 2020
SOUT68
MISS66
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Southern Illinois winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Missouri State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Southern IllinoisUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Belmont
#79
W
63-45
63
45
+18
H01/01
NCAA
Drake
#24
W
53-49
53
49
+4
H05/01
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#248
L
57-69
57
69
-12
A07/01
NCAA
Indiana State
#84
W
69-61
69
61
+8
A12/01
NCAA
Illinois State
#303
W
69-57
69
57
+12
H15/01
NCAA
Evansville
#365
W
78-70
78
70
+8
H18/01
NCAA
Missouri State
#177
W
61-57
61
57
+4
A21/01
NCAA
Murray State
#182
W
68-64
68
64
+4
H25/01
NCAA
Illinois State
#303
L
66-72
66
72
-6
A29/01
NCAA
Bradley
#45
L
52-62
52
62
-10
A02/02
NCAA
1H
2H
23-28
40-17
27-30
26-19
29-35
28-34
26-36
43-25
32-35
37-22
42-30
36-40
30-25
31-32
34-30
34-34
33-36
33-36
25-26
27-36
124.2Avg total
63.6Scored
60.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)66.561.2127.7+5.271%
Season at home (11)70.757.9128.6+12.891%
Season away (13)62.864.0126.8-1.254%
Last 10 (10)63.660.6124.2+3.070%
Last 5 (5)65.065.0130.0+0.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)59.562.2121.7-2.733%
vs Similar ◀ (11)64.161.2125.3+2.973%
vs Weaker (13)72.762.3135.0+10.485%
This opponent (Missouri State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Missouri StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Drake
#24
W
52-49
52
49
+3
H01/01
NCAA
Evansville
#365
W
85-62
85
62
+23
H05/01
NCAA
Belmont
#79
L
61-74
61
74
-13
A07/01
NCAA
Illinois State
#303
L
66-76 OT
66
76
-10
A12/01
NCAA
Indiana State
#84
W
64-62
64
62
+2
H15/01
NCAA
Drake
#24
W
65-62 OT
65
62
+3
A19/01
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#61
L
57-61
57
61
-4
H21/01
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#289
W
63-59
63
59
+4
H25/01
NCAA
Murray State
#182
L
71-74
71
74
-3
A28/01
NCAA
Valparaiso
#306
W
76-67 OT
76
67
+9
H02/02
NCAA
1H
2H
30-23
22-26
40-25
45-37
35-37
26-37
34-30
27-31
35-31
29-31
21-34
35-22
25-30
32-31
29-30
34-29
35-37
36-37
28-35
37-30
130.6Avg total
66.0Scored
64.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)66.263.2129.4+3.052%
Season at home (11)66.758.1124.8+8.673%
Season away (12)65.867.9133.7-2.233%
Last 10 (10)66.064.6130.6+1.460%
Last 5 (5)66.464.6131.0+1.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)57.362.8120.2-5.550%
vs Similar ◀ (9)65.165.9131.0-0.822%
vs Weaker (13)75.967.1143.0+8.885%
This opponent (Southern Illinois) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-5-2+0+2+51st half1st half: -1.0-1.01st half: +0.0+0.02nd half2nd half: +4.0+4.02nd half: +1.2+1.2
-5-2+0+2+51st half1st half: -1.0-1.01st half: +0.0+0.02nd half2nd half: +4.0+4.02nd half: +1.2+1.2
Southern IllinoisMissouri State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Southern IllinoisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Belmont
#79
L
23-28
23
28
-5
H01/01
NCAA
Drake
#24
L
27-30
27
30
-3
H05/01
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#248
L
29-35
29
35
-6
A07/01
NCAA
Indiana State
#84
L
26-36
26
36
-10
A12/01
NCAA
Illinois State
#303
L
32-35
32
35
-3
H15/01
NCAA
Evansville
#365
W
42-30
42
30
+12
H18/01
NCAA
Missouri State
#177
W
30-25
30
25
+5
A21/01
NCAA
Murray State
#182
W
34-30
34
30
+4
H25/01
NCAA
Illinois State
#303
L
33-36
33
36
-3
A29/01
NCAA
Bradley
#45
L
25-26
25
26
-1
A02/02
NCAA
61.2Avg total
30.1Scored
31.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.629.662.1+3.050%-
Last 30 at home (14)35.928.464.2+7.564%-
Last 30 away (16)29.730.660.3-0.938%-
Last 10 (10)30.131.161.2-1.030%-
Last 5 (5)32.829.462.2+3.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)25.332.257.5-6.80%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)33.328.661.9+4.664%-
vs Weaker (13)35.329.264.5+6.262%-
This opponent (Missouri State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Missouri StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Drake
#24
W
30-23
30
23
+7
H01/01
NCAA
Evansville
#365
W
40-25
40
25
+15
H05/01
NCAA
Belmont
#79
L
35-37
35
37
-2
A07/01
NCAA
Illinois State
#303
W
34-30
34
30
+4
A12/01
NCAA
Indiana State
#84
W
35-31
35
31
+4
H15/01
NCAA
Drake
#24
L
21-34
21
34
-13
A19/01
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#61
L
25-30
25
30
-5
H21/01
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#289
L
29-30
29
30
-1
H25/01
NCAA
Murray State
#182
L
35-37
35
37
-2
A28/01
NCAA
Valparaiso
#306
L
28-35
28
35
-7
H02/02
NCAA
62.4Avg total
31.2Scored
31.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.732.065.7+1.747%-
Last 30 at home (15)34.429.163.5+5.360%-
Last 30 away (15)33.034.867.8-1.833%-
Last 10 (10)31.231.262.4+0.040%-
Last 5 (5)27.633.260.8-5.60%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)26.230.857.0-4.733%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)34.031.765.7+2.333%-
vs Weaker (13)35.132.167.2+3.062%-
This opponent (Southern Illinois) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Southern Illinois wins
5
Missouri State wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/02/23ABradley52-62
29/01/23AIllinois State66-72
25/01/23HMurray State68-64
21/01/23AMissouri State61-57
18/01/23HEvansville78-70
15/01/23HIllinois State69-57
12/01/23AIndiana State69-61
07/01/23ANorthern Iowa57-69
05/01/23HDrake53-49
01/01/23HBelmont63-45
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/02/23HValparaiso76-67 OT
28/01/23AMurray State71-74
25/01/23HIllinois (Chi.)63-59
21/01/23HSouthern Illinois57-61
19/01/23ADrake65-62 OT
15/01/23HIndiana State64-62
12/01/23AIllinois State66-76 OT
07/01/23ABelmont61-74
05/01/23HEvansville85-62
01/01/23HDrake52-49

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Southern Illinois
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL71%
HomeWWWWW91%
AwayLWWLL54%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241113
Win %71%91%54%
Points / game66.570.762.8
Allowed / game61.257.964.0
Point differential+5.2+12.8-1.2
Avg total127.7128.6126.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%55%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won86% (7)67% (3)100% (4)
Overtime %4%0%8%
Missouri State
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW52%
HomeWWLWW73%
AwayWLLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231112
Win %52%73%33%
Points / game66.266.765.8
Allowed / game63.258.167.9
Point differential+3.0+8.6-2.2
Avg total129.4124.8133.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%36%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (10)60% (5)20% (5)
Overtime %13%9%17%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Missouri Valley conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Drake2519676%75.065.1+10.0
2 Southern Illinois2417771%66.561.2+5.2
3 Bradley2517868%71.762.5+9.2
4 Belmont2517868%75.071.1+4.0
5 Indiana State2516964%78.669.3+9.3
6 Murray State24131154%70.971.4-0.5
7 Northern Iowa24121250%70.968.2+2.7
8 Illinois State25101540%66.669.2-2.5
9 Illinois (Chi.)25101540%67.070.2-3.3
10 Valparaiso25101540%69.473.0-3.5
11 Evansville2542116%62.375.5-13.2
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Conference USA conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Liberty2519676%74.658.8+15.8
2 Sam Houston St.2317674%75.659.3+16.3
3 Kennesaw State2518772%76.169.2+6.8
4 Middle Tenn. St.2415962%71.066.7+4.3
5 Louisiana Tech23131057%74.668.6+6.0
6 Western Kentucky24131154%73.169.8+3.3
7 Missouri State23121152%66.263.2+3.0
8 Florida International24121250%71.873.5-1.8
9 Delaware25121348%69.870.8-0.9
10 UTEP23111248%68.566.8+1.7
11 Jacksonville State25101540%68.869.9-1.2
12 New Mexico State2391439%74.071.4+2.6
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Southern Illinois363773
Missouri State322153
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