PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Southern Illinois vs Missouri State Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 04 Mar 2023
Tip-off: 02:30
Final 54-51
25-30 29-21
Position#61
Record22-9
FormLWLWW
Points / game66.5
Allowed / game61.6
vs
Position#177
Record17-14
FormLLWWW
Points / game66.0
Allowed / game63.5
USANCAA
Other2022-23
Meetings · Southern Illinois v Missouri State
11 Jan 2025
SOUT88
MISS78
31 Jan 2024
SOUT75
MISS76
03 Mar 2023
SOUT54
MISS51
05 Feb 2023
SOUT73
MISS53
02 Feb 2022
SOUT54
MISS69
17 Feb 2021
SOUT53
MISS68
08 Feb 2020
SOUT68
MISS66
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Southern Illinois winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Missouri State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Southern IllinoisUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Murray State
#182
W
68-64
68
64
+4
H25/01
NCAA
Illinois State
#303
L
66-72
66
72
-6
A29/01
NCAA
Bradley
#45
L
52-62
52
62
-10
A02/02
NCAA
Missouri State
#177
W
73-53
73
53
+20
H05/02
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#289
W
68-66
68
66
+2
H09/02
NCAA
Drake
#24
L
59-82
59
82
-23
A11/02
NCAA
Valparaiso
#306
W
66-62
66
62
+4
A15/02
NCAA
Bradley
#45
L
48-50
48
50
-2
H19/02
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#248
W
86-63
86
63
+23
H23/02
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#289
W
68-65
68
65
+3
A26/02
NCAA
1H
2H
34-30
34-34
33-36
33-36
25-26
27-36
36-32
37-21
35-27
33-39
22-45
37-37
27-19
39-43
24-26
24-24
34-23
52-40
32-31
36-34
129.3Avg total
65.4Scored
63.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (31)66.561.6128.2+4.971%
Season at home (15)70.257.9128.1+12.387%
Season away (16)63.165.1128.2-1.956%
Last 10 (10)65.463.9129.3+1.560%
Last 5 (5)65.464.4129.8+1.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)58.763.0121.7-4.333%
vs Similar ◀ (10)62.360.0122.3+2.370%
vs Weaker (14)71.062.1133.1+8.986%
This opponent (Missouri State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Missouri StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Murray State
#182
L
71-74
71
74
-3
A28/01
NCAA
Valparaiso
#306
W
76-67 OT
76
67
+9
H02/02
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#61
L
53-73
53
73
-20
A05/02
NCAA
Belmont
#79
W
61-59
61
59
+2
H09/02
NCAA
Evansville
#365
W
66-60
66
60
+6
A12/02
NCAA
Bradley
#45
L
54-64
54
64
-10
A16/02
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#248
L
66-69
66
69
-3
H18/02
NCAA
Murray State
#182
W
84-69
84
69
+15
H22/02
NCAA
Indiana State
#84
W
66-62
66
62
+4
A26/02
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#289
W
74-57
74
57
+17
H03/03
NCAA
1H
2H
35-37
36-37
28-35
37-30
32-36
21-37
35-33
26-26
30-27
36-33
26-37
28-27
38-33
28-36
46-34
38-35
34-25
32-37
34-30
40-27
132.5Avg total
67.1Scored
65.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (31)66.063.5129.5+2.655%
Season at home (15)67.959.5127.5+8.473%
Season away (16)64.267.1131.4-2.938%
Last 10 (10)67.165.4132.5+1.760%
Last 5 (5)68.864.2133.0+4.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)58.062.9120.9-4.950%
vs Similar ◀ (13)65.466.4131.8-1.031%
vs Weaker (9)72.361.6133.9+10.889%
This opponent (Southern Illinois) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-3-2+0+2+31st half1st half: +0.7+0.71st half: +1.1+1.12nd half2nd half: +0.8+0.82nd half: -0.3-0.3
-3-2+0+2+31st half1st half: +0.7+0.71st half: +1.1+1.12nd half2nd half: +0.8+0.82nd half: -0.3-0.3
Southern IllinoisMissouri State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Southern IllinoisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Murray State
#182
W
34-30
34
30
+4
H25/01
NCAA
Illinois State
#303
L
33-36
33
36
-3
A29/01
NCAA
Bradley
#45
L
25-26
25
26
-1
A02/02
NCAA
Missouri State
#177
W
36-32
36
32
+4
H05/02
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#289
W
35-27
35
27
+8
H09/02
NCAA
Drake
#24
L
22-45
22
45
-23
A11/02
NCAA
Valparaiso
#306
W
27-19
27
19
+8
A15/02
NCAA
Bradley
#45
L
24-26
24
26
-2
H19/02
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#248
W
34-23
34
23
+11
H23/02
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#289
W
32-31
32
31
+1
A26/02
NCAA
59.7Avg total
30.2Scored
29.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)31.029.760.7+1.253%-
Last 30 at home (14)32.229.061.2+3.257%-
Last 30 away (16)29.930.460.2-0.550%-
Last 10 (10)30.229.559.7+0.760%-
Last 5 (5)27.828.856.6-1.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)25.333.759.0-8.30%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)31.230.161.3+1.160%-
vs Weaker (14)33.227.861.0+5.471%-
This opponent (Missouri State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Missouri StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Murray State
#182
L
35-37
35
37
-2
A28/01
NCAA
Valparaiso
#306
L
28-35
28
35
-7
H02/02
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#61
L
32-36
32
36
-4
A05/02
NCAA
Belmont
#79
W
35-33
35
33
+2
H09/02
NCAA
Evansville
#365
W
30-27
30
27
+3
A12/02
NCAA
Bradley
#45
L
26-37
26
37
-11
A16/02
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#248
W
38-33
38
33
+5
H18/02
NCAA
Murray State
#182
W
46-34
46
34
+12
H22/02
NCAA
Indiana State
#84
W
34-25
34
25
+9
A26/02
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#289
W
34-30
34
30
+4
H03/03
NCAA
66.5Avg total
33.8Scored
32.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.531.163.6+1.350%-
Last 30 at home (14)33.429.462.9+4.064%-
Last 30 away (16)31.632.664.2-1.038%-
Last 10 (10)33.832.766.5+1.160%-
Last 5 (5)35.631.867.4+3.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)27.130.958.0-3.838%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)35.232.467.5+2.846%-
vs Weaker (9)33.329.662.9+3.867%-
This opponent (Southern Illinois) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
26/02/23AIllinois (Chi.)68-65
23/02/23HNorthern Iowa86-63
19/02/23HBradley48-50
15/02/23AValparaiso66-62
11/02/23ADrake59-82
09/02/23HIllinois (Chi.)68-66
05/02/23HMissouri State73-53
02/02/23ABradley52-62
29/01/23AIllinois State66-72
25/01/23HMurray State68-64
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/03/23HIllinois (Chi.)74-57
26/02/23AIndiana State66-62
22/02/23HMurray State84-69
18/02/23HNorthern Iowa66-69
16/02/23ABradley54-64
12/02/23AEvansville66-60
09/02/23HBelmont61-59
05/02/23ASouthern Illinois53-73
02/02/23HValparaiso76-67 OT
28/01/23AMurray State71-74

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Southern Illinois
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW71%
HomeWWWLW87%
AwayLLLWW56%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games311516
Win %71%87%56%
Points / game66.570.263.1
Allowed / game61.657.965.1
Point differential+4.9+12.3-1.9
Avg total128.2128.1128.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%53%6%
Close games (≤5 pts) won82% (11)60% (5)100% (6)
Overtime %3%0%6%
Missouri State
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW55%
HomeWWLWW73%
AwayLLWLW38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games311516
Win %55%73%38%
Points / game66.067.964.2
Allowed / game63.559.567.1
Point differential+2.6+8.4-2.9
Avg total129.5127.5131.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%40%19%
Close games (≤5 pts) won46% (13)57% (7)33% (6)
Overtime %10%7%12%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Missouri Valley conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Drake3225778%75.664.7+10.9
2 Bradley3224875%71.561.5+10.1
3 Southern Illinois3122971%66.561.6+4.9
4 Indiana State33221167%79.769.2+10.5
5 Belmont32211166%76.571.8+4.6
6 Murray State32171553%70.472.0-1.6
7 Northern Iowa32141844%70.169.9+0.2
8 Illinois (Chi.)32122038%67.271.6-4.5
9 Illinois State32112134%66.570.5-4.0
10 Valparaiso32112134%68.973.6-4.7
11 Evansville3252716%62.476.0-13.6
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Conference USA conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Sam Houston St.3024680%73.458.5+14.9
2 Liberty3326779%75.560.5+15.0
3 Kennesaw State3325876%75.569.0+6.5
4 Middle Tenn. St.30181260%70.667.5+3.0
5 Missouri State31171455%66.063.5+2.6
6 Western Kentucky30161453%73.370.7+2.6
7 Delaware31161552%69.770.1-0.4
8 Louisiana Tech30141647%72.869.8+3.0
9 UTEP30131743%68.368.5-0.2
10 Florida International30131743%72.474.7-2.2
11 Jacksonville State31131842%69.970.3-0.4
12 New Mexico State3092130%59.061.3-2.4
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Southern Illinois252954
Missouri State302151
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.