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Southern Illinois vs Missouri State Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 18 Feb 2021
Tip-off: 02:15
Final 53-68
22-36 31-32
Position#211
Record10-9
FormLWLLW
Points / game67.7
Allowed / game69.0
vs
Position#50
Record14-5
FormWWWWW
Points / game74.0
Allowed / game66.4
USANCAA
Other2020-21
Meetings · Southern Illinois v Missouri State
11 Jan 2025
SOUT88
MISS78
31 Jan 2024
SOUT75
MISS76
03 Mar 2023
SOUT54
MISS51
05 Feb 2023
SOUT73
MISS53
02 Feb 2022
SOUT54
MISS69
17 Feb 2021
SOUT53
MISS68
08 Feb 2020
SOUT68
MISS66
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Southern Illinois winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Missouri State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Southern IllinoisUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Drake
#11
L
55-86
55
86
-31
A05/01
NCAA
Indiana State
#122
L
66-69
66
69
-3
A26/01
NCAA
Indiana State
#122
L
59-71
59
71
-12
A26/01
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#254
L
62-74
62
74
-12
H30/01
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#254
W
71-68
71
68
+3
H31/01
NCAA
Bradley
#234
L
66-74
66
74
-8
A06/02
NCAA
Bradley
#234
W
69-68
69
68
+1
A07/02
NCAA
Missouri State
#50
L
53-65
53
65
-12
A11/02
NCAA
Illinois State
#311
L
55-80
55
80
-25
H13/02
NCAA
Illinois State
#311
W
59-49
59
49
+10
H14/02
NCAA
1H
2H
21-41
34-45
33-34
33-35
29-31
30-40
30-27
32-47
37-24
34-44
31-32
35-42
37-43
32-25
21-24
32-41
26-40
29-40
34-24
25-25
131.9Avg total
61.5Scored
70.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)67.769.0136.7-1.353%
Season at home (10)70.165.3135.4+4.870%
Season away (9)65.173.1138.2-8.033%
Last 10 (10)61.570.4131.9-8.930%
Last 5 (5)60.467.2127.6-6.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)61.469.2130.6-7.830%
vs Similar (15)65.570.5136.0-5.147%
vs Weaker (5)76.657.6134.2+19.0100%
This opponent (Missouri State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Missouri StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Missouri S&T
#460
W
94-49
94
49
+45
H17/01
NCAA
Drake
#11
L
61-68
61
68
-7
H27/01
NCAA
Drake
#11
L
73-78
73
78
-5
H28/01
NCAA
Loyola Chicago
#10
L
46-72
46
72
-26
H31/01
NCAA
Loyola Chicago
#10
L
50-70
50
70
-20
H02/02
NCAA
Illinois State
#311
W
74-67
74
67
+7
A06/02
NCAA
Illinois State
#311
W
72-62
72
62
+10
A07/02
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#211
W
65-53
65
53
+12
H11/02
NCAA
Bradley
#234
W
80-58
80
58
+22
H13/02
NCAA
Bradley
#234
W
72-57
72
57
+15
H14/02
NCAA
1H
2H
39-25
55-24
41-26
20-42
35-44
38-34
16-41
30-31
26-42
24-28
36-36
38-31
42-34
30-28
24-21
41-32
44-24
36-34
39-29
33-28
132.1Avg total
68.7Scored
63.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)74.066.4140.4+7.674%
Season at home (13)72.865.6138.5+7.269%
Season away (6)76.568.2144.7+8.383%
Last 10 (10)68.763.4132.1+5.360%
Last 5 (5)72.659.4132.0+13.2100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)57.572.0129.5-14.50%
vs Similar (12)77.167.8144.9+9.258%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)78.167.2145.2+10.992%
This opponent (Southern Illinois) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: -2.1-2.11st half: +2.0+2.02nd half2nd half: -6.8-6.82nd half: +3.3+3.3
-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: -2.1-2.11st half: +2.0+2.02nd half2nd half: -6.8-6.82nd half: +3.3+3.3
Southern IllinoisMissouri State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Southern IllinoisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Drake
#11
L
21-41
21
41
-20
A05/01
NCAA
Indiana State
#122
L
33-34
33
34
-1
A26/01
NCAA
Indiana State
#122
L
29-31
29
31
-2
A26/01
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#254
W
30-27
30
27
+3
H30/01
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#254
W
37-24
37
24
+13
H31/01
NCAA
Bradley
#234
L
31-32
31
32
-1
A06/02
NCAA
Bradley
#234
L
37-43
37
43
-6
A07/02
NCAA
Missouri State
#50
L
21-24
21
24
-3
A11/02
NCAA
Illinois State
#311
L
26-40
26
40
-14
H13/02
NCAA
Illinois State
#311
W
34-24
34
24
+10
H14/02
NCAA
61.9Avg total
29.9Scored
32.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.531.564.0+0.953%-
Last 30 at home (15)35.531.967.4+3.573%-
Last 30 away (15)29.531.160.6-1.733%-
Last 10 (10)29.932.061.9-2.130%-
Last 5 (5)29.832.662.4-2.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)29.733.763.4-4.030%-
vs Similar (15)32.731.464.1+1.353%-
vs Weaker (5)37.227.664.8+9.6100%-
This opponent (Missouri State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Missouri StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Missouri S&T
#460
W
39-25
39
25
+14
H17/01
NCAA
Drake
#11
W
41-26
41
26
+15
H27/01
NCAA
Drake
#11
L
35-44
35
44
-9
H28/01
NCAA
Loyola Chicago
#10
L
16-41
16
41
-25
H31/01
NCAA
Loyola Chicago
#10
L
26-42
26
42
-16
H02/02
NCAA
Illinois State
#311
D
36-36
36
36
+0
A06/02
NCAA
Illinois State
#311
W
42-34
42
34
+8
A07/02
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#211
W
24-21
24
21
+3
H11/02
NCAA
Bradley
#234
W
44-24
44
24
+20
H13/02
NCAA
Bradley
#234
W
39-29
39
29
+10
H14/02
NCAA
66.4Avg total
34.2Scored
32.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.532.570.0+5.067%-
Last 30 at home (19)37.530.868.4+6.774%-
Last 30 away (11)37.435.472.7+2.055%-
Last 10 (10)34.232.266.4+2.060%-
Last 5 (5)37.028.865.8+8.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)29.538.267.8-8.825%-
vs Similar (12)39.633.673.2+6.058%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)38.231.269.4+7.183%-
This opponent (Southern Illinois) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Southern Illinois wins
2
Missouri State wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/02/21HIllinois State59-49
13/02/21HIllinois State55-80
11/02/21AMissouri State53-65
07/02/21ABradley69-68
06/02/21ABradley66-74
31/01/21HNorthern Iowa71-68
30/01/21HNorthern Iowa62-74
26/01/21AIndiana State59-71
26/01/21AIndiana State66-69
05/01/21ADrake55-86
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/02/21HBradley72-57
13/02/21HBradley80-58
11/02/21HSouthern Illinois65-53
07/02/21AIllinois State72-62
06/02/21AIllinois State74-67
02/02/21HLoyola Chicago50-70
31/01/21HLoyola Chicago46-72
28/01/21HDrake73-78
27/01/21HDrake61-68
17/01/21HMissouri S&T94-49

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Southern Illinois
NCAA 2020-21
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW53%
HomeLLWLW70%
AwayLLLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19109
Win %53%70%33%
Points / game67.770.165.1
Allowed / game69.065.373.1
Point differential-1.3+4.8-8.0
Avg total136.7135.4138.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%40%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won80% (5)100% (2)67% (3)
Overtime %5%0%11%
Missouri State
NCAA 2020-21
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW74%
HomeLLWWW69%
AwayLWWWW83%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19136
Win %74%69%83%
Points / game74.072.876.5
Allowed / game66.465.668.2
Point differential+7.6+7.2+8.3
Avg total140.4138.5144.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+53%46%67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)50% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Missouri Valley conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Belmont2423196%83.068.1+14.8
2 Drake2321291%78.763.4+15.2
3 Indiana State2113862%68.867.8+1.0
4 Murray State2112957%78.065.9+12.1
5 Southern Illinois1910953%67.769.0-1.3
6 Illinois (Chi.)1991047%69.472.8-3.4
7 Bradley24111346%69.865.1+4.8
8 Evansville2081240%64.568.8-4.3
9 Valparaiso2381535%66.269.0-2.8
10 Northern Iowa2271532%68.671.6-3.0
11 Illinois State2161529%71.874.8-3.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Conference USA conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Western Kentucky1915479%75.069.4+5.6
2 Liberty2217577%74.158.5+15.6
3 Louisiana Tech2317674%72.065.5+6.6
4 Missouri State1914574%74.066.4+7.6
5 Sam Houston St.2216673%81.170.3+10.8
6 Jacksonville State2114767%74.868.3+6.5
7 UTEP20101050%71.069.6+1.4
8 Delaware147750%67.066.4+0.6
9 New Mexico State94544%71.168.3+2.8
10 Middle Tenn. St.1851328%63.670.4-6.8
11 Kennesaw State2041620%65.369.3-4.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Southern Illinois223153
Missouri State363268
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