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Spain vs Greece Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 04 Sep 2025
Tip-off: 18:30
Final 86-90
20-31 15-19 28-18 23-22
Position#15
Record2-2
FormWLWWL
Points / game77.8
Allowed / game66.0
vs
Greece 🏆
Position#3
Record3-1
FormWWWWL
Points / game85.5
Allowed / game67.0
EuropeEuroBasketRound 5· Spyros Kyprianou Arena
Other2025
Meetings · Spain v Greece
29 Nov 2026
SPAI v GREE
upcoming
04 Sep 2025
SPAI86
GREE90
04 Sep 2010
SPAI80
GREE72
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Spain winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Greece winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

SpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSpain
Date
Competition
Latvia
#2
L
75-79
75
79
-4
no box
H22/02
EuroBasket
Belgium
#18
L
53-58
53
58
-5
no box
A25/02
EuroBasket
Slovakia
#23
W
76-72 OT
76
72
+4
63avg 70
A22/11
EuroBasket
Slovakia
#23
W
84-71
84
71
+13
82avg 70
H25/11
EuroBasket
Latvia
#2
L
66-83
66
83
-17
59avg 70
A20/02
EuroBasket
Belgium
#18
W
59-52
59
52
+7
55avg 70
H23/02
EuroBasket
Georgia
#14
L
69-83
69
83
-14
59avg 70
A28/08
EuroBasket
Bosnia & Herzegovina
#13
W
88-67
88
67
+21
87avg 70
H30/08
EuroBasket
Cyprus
#24
W
91-47
91
47
+44
97avg 70
H31/08
EuroBasket
Italy
#7
L
63-67
63
67
-4
53avg 70
A02/09
EuroBasket
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-23
23-17
20-17
18-22
14-11
12-8
13-21
14-18
14-10
24-15
10-21
11-13
22-18
25-14
24-25
13-14
17-20
17-21
16-22
16-20
11-11
11-14
20-15
17-12
17-20
18-17
14-20
20-26
24-16
20-14
28-17
16-20
19-9
22-8
29-12
21-18
18-10
18-20
11-19
16-18
140.3Avg total
72.4Scored
67.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)77.866.0143.8+11.850%
Season at home (2)89.557.0146.5+32.5100%
Season away (2)66.075.0141.0-9.00%
Last 10 (10)72.467.9140.3+4.550%
Last 5 (5)74.063.2137.2+10.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)67.672.0139.6-4.420%
vs Similar ◀ (6)76.874.2151.0+2.750%
vs Weaker (19)87.672.2159.8+15.489%
This opponent (Greece) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GreeceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGreece
Date
Competition
Czech Republic
#33
W
72-64
72
64
+8
no box
H23/02
EuroBasket
Netherlands
#37
W
74-72
74
72
+2
no box
A26/02
EuroBasket
Great Britain
#12
L
72-73
72
73
-1
65avg 71
A21/11
EuroBasket
Great Britain
#12
W
77-67
77
67
+10
70avg 71
H24/11
EuroBasket
Czech Republic
#33
W
93-89 OT
93
89
+4
85avg 71
A21/02
EuroBasket
Netherlands
#37
W
63-53
63
53
+10
56avg 71
H24/02
EuroBasket
Italy
#7
W
75-66
75
66
+9
65avg 71
H28/08
EuroBasket
Cyprus
#24
W
96-69
96
69
+27
98avg 71
A30/08
EuroBasket
Georgia
#14
W
94-53
94
53
+41
100avg 71
A31/08
EuroBasket
Bosnia & Herzegovina
#13
L
77-80
77
80
-3
74avg 71
H02/09
EuroBasket
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-15
20-16
21-19
19-14
16-12
16-27
30-19
12-14
26-16
15-17
10-18
21-22
17-15
23-17
17-18
20-17
27-13
10-27
23-14
17-23
18-18
16-5
14-16
15-14
22-12
14-20
20-13
19-21
22-13
21-18
26-16
27-22
22-13
24-16
23-12
25-12
25-19
13-25
14-17
25-19
147.9Avg total
79.3Scored
68.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)85.567.0152.5+18.575%
Season at home (2)76.073.0149.0+3.050%
Season away (2)95.061.0156.0+34.0100%
Last 10 (10)79.368.6147.9+10.780%
Last 5 (5)81.064.2145.2+16.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)76.384.2160.5-7.833%
vs Similar ◀ (13)81.575.2156.7+6.277%
vs Weaker (11)85.471.4156.7+14.091%
This opponent (Spain) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +2.2+2.2Q1: +6.1+6.1Q2Q2: +4.2+4.2Q2: -1.6-1.6Q3Q3: -0.4-0.4Q3: +3.6+3.6Q4Q4: -1.9-1.9Q4: +2.2+2.2
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +2.2+2.2Q1: +6.1+6.1Q2Q2: +4.2+4.2Q2: -1.6-1.6Q3Q3: -0.4-0.4Q3: +3.6+3.6Q4Q4: -1.9-1.9Q4: +2.2+2.2
SpainGreece
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
SpainLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Latvia
#2
L
37-40
37
40
-3
H22/02
EuroBasket
Belgium
#18
W
26-19
26
19
+7
A25/02
EuroBasket
Slovakia
#23
W
38-25
38
25
+13
A22/11
EuroBasket
Slovakia
#23
W
47-32
47
32
+15
H25/11
EuroBasket
Latvia
#2
L
34-41
34
41
-7
A20/02
EuroBasket
Belgium
#18
L
22-25
22
25
-3
H23/02
EuroBasket
Georgia
#14
L
35-37
35
37
-2
A28/08
EuroBasket
Bosnia & Herzegovina
#13
W
44-30
44
30
+14
H30/08
EuroBasket
Cyprus
#24
W
41-17
41
17
+24
H31/08
EuroBasket
Italy
#7
W
36-30
36
30
+6
A02/09
EuroBasket
65.6Avg total
36.0Scored
29.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.834.174.9+6.770%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.734.476.1+7.362%-
Last 30 away (14)39.933.873.6+6.179%-
Last 10 (10)36.029.665.6+6.460%-
Last 5 (5)35.627.863.4+7.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)33.432.666.0+0.840%-
vs Similar ◀ (6)39.331.771.0+7.7100%-
vs Weaker (19)43.335.378.5+8.068%-
This opponent (Greece) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GreeceLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Czech Republic
#33
W
32-31
32
31
+1
H23/02
EuroBasket
Netherlands
#37
L
32-39
32
39
-7
A26/02
EuroBasket
Great Britain
#12
W
41-33
41
33
+8
A21/11
EuroBasket
Great Britain
#12
W
40-32
40
32
+8
H24/11
EuroBasket
Czech Republic
#33
L
37-40
37
40
-3
A21/02
EuroBasket
Netherlands
#37
W
34-23
34
23
+11
H24/02
EuroBasket
Italy
#7
W
36-32
36
32
+4
H28/08
EuroBasket
Cyprus
#24
W
43-31
43
31
+12
A30/08
EuroBasket
Georgia
#14
W
46-29
46
29
+17
A31/08
EuroBasket
Bosnia & Herzegovina
#13
L
38-44
38
44
-6
H02/09
EuroBasket
71.3Avg total
37.9Scored
33.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.737.076.7+2.660%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.036.773.7+0.353%-
Last 30 away (15)42.337.479.7+4.967%-
Last 10 (10)37.933.471.3+4.570%-
Last 5 (5)39.431.871.2+7.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)34.840.275.0-5.317%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)41.736.277.9+5.577%-
vs Weaker (11)39.936.376.2+3.664%-
This opponent (Spain) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Spaintheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Spain: 71.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.8 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.3 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.1 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.7 points a game
46%
36%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.416.4
47.7%
52.4%32.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.48.1
29.6%
33.4%24.3
🏀 Free throws20.814.1
67.8%
73.1%14.1
They take 61.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 45%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Greecetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Greece: 78.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.6 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.5 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.2 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.7 points a game
46%
36%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.317.3
50.4%
52.4%34.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.29.5
34.9%
33.4%28.5
🏀 Free throws20.815.2
73.1%
73.1%15.2
They take 61.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 45%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 04 Sep 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Spain
LWWLWLWWLL
Greece
LWWWWWWLWW
#15
League position
#3
+5.9
Net rating
+14.7
97.9
Offensive rating
107.8
92.0
Defensive rating
93.0
46.2%
Effective FG%
51.3%
45.4%
Opp. effective FG%
45.2%
18.6%
Turnover %
18.1%
29.8%
Off. rebound %
31.8%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.34
29.6%
3-point %
34.9%
75.5%
Assist %
70.9%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence97.9 · 107.8Defence92.0 · 93.0Shooting46.2% · 51.3%3-point %29.6% · 34.9%Ball care18.6% · 18.1%Off. rebounds29.8% · 31.8%Free throws0.34 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)50% · 80%
■ Spain   ■ Greece
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Spain wins
0
Greece wins
DateGameScore
04/09/10Spain v Greece80-72
Spainlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/09/25AItaly63-67
31/08/25HCyprus91-47
30/08/25HBosnia & Herzegovina88-67
28/08/25AGeorgia69-83
23/02/25HBelgium59-52
20/02/25ALatvia66-83
25/11/24HSlovakia84-71
22/11/24ASlovakia76-72 OT
25/02/24ABelgium53-58
22/02/24HLatvia75-79
Greecelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/09/25HBosnia & Herzegovina77-80
31/08/25AGeorgia94-53
30/08/25ACyprus96-69
28/08/25HItaly75-66
24/02/25HNetherlands63-53
21/02/25ACzech Republic93-89 OT
24/11/24HGreat Britain77-67
21/11/24AGreat Britain72-73
26/02/24ANetherlands74-72
23/02/24HCzech Republic72-64

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Spain
EuroBasket 2025
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWL50%
HomeWW100%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %50%100%0%
Points / game77.889.566.0
Allowed / game66.057.075.0
Point differential+11.8+32.5-9.0
Avg total143.8146.5141.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Greece
EuroBasket 2025
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWL75%
HomeWL50%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %75%50%100%
Points / game85.576.095.0
Allowed / game67.073.061.0
Point differential+18.5+3.0+34.0
Avg total152.5149.0156.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%0%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Germany550100%105.873.0+32.8
2 Turkey550100%91.871.8+20.0
3 France54180%92.278.2+14.0
4 Serbia54180%86.873.6+13.2
5 Italy54180%79.266.6+12.6
6 Lithuania54180%86.278.6+7.6
7 Greece43175%85.567.0+18.5
8 Poland43175%82.879.2+3.5
9 Latvia53260%82.476.8+5.6
10 Finland53260%85.281.2+4.0
11 Slovenia53260%93.890.4+3.4
12 Israel53260%83.480.2+3.2
13 Bosnia & Herzegovina53260%80.280.2+0.0
14 Spain42250%77.866.0+11.8
15 Georgia52340%73.477.2-3.8
16 Portugal52340%63.073.6-10.6
17 Belgium41325%73.283.5-10.2
18 Sweden51420%80.683.6-3.0
19 Estonia51420%70.479.4-9.0
20 Montenegro51420%75.691.0-15.4
21 Great Britain51420%70.896.8-26.0
22 Iceland5050%72.687.8-15.2
23 Czech Republic5050%67.686.8-19.2
24 Cyprus5050%59.092.0-33.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 24 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Spain2015282386
Greece3119182290
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