PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Spain vs Greece Prediction & Stats

Date: Sun 29 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 17:00
Scheduled
Position#27
Record5-3
FormWWLLL
Points / game90.1
Allowed / game78.8
vs
Position#39
Record4-4
FormWLLLW
Points / game77.1
Allowed / game74.5
EuropeWorld CupRound 4
Other2027
Meetings · Spain v Greece
29 Nov 2026
SPAI v GREE
upcoming
04 Sep 2025
SPAI86
GREE90
04 Sep 2010
SPAI80
GREE72
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Spain win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Greece win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

SpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Italy
#7
L
63-67
63
67
-4
A02/09
EuroBasket
Greece
#3
L
86-90
86
90
-4
H04/09
EuroBasket
Denmark
#79
W
74-64
74
64
+10
A27/11
World Cup
Georgia
#31
W
90-61
90
61
+29
H30/11
World Cup
Ukraine
#22
W
86-66
86
66
+20
A27/02
World Cup
Ukraine
#22
W
78-64
78
64
+14
H02/03
World Cup
Denmark
#79
W
109-81
109
81
+28
H02/07
World Cup
Georgia
#31
L
89-91 OT
89
91
-2
A05/07
World Cup
Portugal
#37
L
89-95
89
95
-6
H28/08
World Cup
Greece
#39
L
106-108 OT
106
108
-2
A31/08
World Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-10
18-20
11-19
16-18
20-31
15-19
28-18
23-22
25-23
20-10
15-14
14-17
19-22
28-11
23-13
20-15
17-21
15-12
33-14
21-19
16-9
12-12
24-22
26-21
24-19
27-22
31-14
27-26
32-14
20-24
19-19
12-26
14-21
27-26
30-24
18-24
20-19
22-24
16-24
28-19
165.7Avg total
87.0Scored
78.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)90.178.8168.9+11.462%
Season at home (4)91.575.2166.8+16.275%
Season away (4)88.882.2171.0+6.550%
Last 10 (10)87.078.7165.7+8.350%
Last 5 (5)94.287.8182.0+6.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)67.672.0139.6-4.420%
vs Similar (6)79.075.3154.3+3.750%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)86.974.3161.3+12.674%
This opponent (Greece) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GreeceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Turkey
#2
L
68-94
68
94
-26
H12/09
EuroBasket
Finland
#10
W
92-89
92
89
+3
H14/09
EuroBasket
Romania
#34
W
91-64
91
64
+27
H27/11
World Cup
Portugal
#37
W
76-68
76
68
+8
A30/11
World Cup
Montenegro
#51
L
65-67
65
67
-2
H27/02
World Cup
Montenegro
#51
W
79-65
79
65
+14
A02/03
World Cup
Romania
#34
L
66-73
66
73
-7
A02/07
World Cup
Portugal
#37
L
56-71
56
71
-15
H05/07
World Cup
Ukraine
#22
L
76-82
76
82
-6
A28/08
World Cup
Spain
#27
W
108-106 OT
108
106
+2
H31/08
World Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-26
15-23
20-23
17-22
24-15
24-19
21-22
23-33
26-12
19-17
23-15
23-20
24-17
13-19
19-13
20-19
17-19
21-21
14-15
13-12
22-18
22-17
13-18
22-12
18-16
20-19
20-16
8-22
15-19
8-9
19-25
14-18
19-24
18-16
22-24
17-18
19-20
24-22
24-16
19-28
155.6Avg total
77.7Scored
77.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)77.174.5151.6+2.650%
Season at home (4)80.077.0157.0+3.050%
Season away (4)74.272.0146.2+2.250%
Last 10 (10)77.777.9155.6-0.250%
Last 5 (5)77.079.4156.4-2.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)79.486.7166.1-7.343%
vs Similar (12)76.971.5148.4+5.467%
vs Weaker (11)80.870.9151.7+9.982%
This opponent (Spain) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.6+1.6Q1: +1.4+1.4Q2Q2: +2.4+2.4Q2: +0.2+0.2Q3Q3: +4.9+4.9Q3: +0.8+0.8Q4Q4: -0.2-0.2Q4: -2.8-2.8
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.6+1.6Q1: +1.4+1.4Q2Q2: +2.4+2.4Q2: +0.2+0.2Q3Q3: +4.9+4.9Q3: +0.8+0.8Q4Q4: -0.2-0.2Q4: -2.8-2.8
SpainGreece
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
SpainLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Italy
#7
W
36-30
36
30
+6
A02/09
EuroBasket
Greece
#3
L
35-50
35
50
-15
H04/09
EuroBasket
Denmark
#79
W
45-33
45
33
+12
A27/11
World Cup
Georgia
#31
W
47-33
47
33
+14
H30/11
World Cup
Ukraine
#22
L
32-33
32
33
-1
A27/02
World Cup
Ukraine
#22
W
28-21
28
21
+7
H02/03
World Cup
Denmark
#79
W
51-41
51
41
+10
H02/07
World Cup
Georgia
#31
W
52-38
52
38
+14
A05/07
World Cup
Portugal
#37
L
41-47
41
47
-6
H28/08
World Cup
Greece
#39
L
42-43
42
43
-1
A31/08
World Cup
77.8Avg total
40.9Scored
36.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.134.774.8+5.463%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.334.474.7+5.962%-
Last 30 away (14)39.935.175.0+4.764%-
Last 10 (10)40.936.977.8+4.060%-
Last 5 (5)42.838.080.8+4.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)33.432.666.0+0.840%-
vs Similar (6)39.734.774.3+5.083%-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)42.035.377.3+6.763%-
This opponent (Greece) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GreeceLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Turkey
#2
L
31-49
31
49
-18
H12/09
EuroBasket
Finland
#10
W
48-34
48
34
+14
H14/09
EuroBasket
Romania
#34
W
45-29
45
29
+16
H27/11
World Cup
Portugal
#37
W
37-36
37
36
+1
A30/11
World Cup
Montenegro
#51
L
38-40
38
40
-2
H27/02
World Cup
Montenegro
#51
W
44-35
44
35
+9
A02/03
World Cup
Romania
#34
W
38-35
38
35
+3
A02/07
World Cup
Portugal
#37
L
23-28
23
28
-5
H05/07
World Cup
Ukraine
#22
L
37-40
37
40
-3
A28/08
World Cup
Spain
#27
W
43-42
43
42
+1
H31/08
World Cup
75.2Avg total
38.4Scored
36.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.435.874.1+2.660%-
Last 30 at home (15)36.736.272.9+0.553%-
Last 30 away (15)40.135.375.4+4.767%-
Last 10 (10)38.436.875.2+1.660%-
Last 5 (5)37.036.073.0+1.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)35.440.776.1-5.329%-
vs Similar (12)38.433.471.8+5.075%-
vs Weaker (11)40.235.275.4+5.064%-
This opponent (Spain) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Spaintheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Spain: 72.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.4 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.9 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.0 pts a game · 19% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.116.7
49.0%
-33.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.88.3
29.9%
-24.9
🏀 Free throws21.114.0
66.4%
-14.0
They take 61.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Greecetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Greece: 81.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.6 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.0 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.2 pts a game · 17% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.618.8
56.0%
-37.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.910.0
37.2%
-30.0
🏀 Free throws20.814.2
68.3%
-14.2
They take 60.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 29 Nov 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Spain
LLLWWWWWLL
Greece
WLLLWLWWWL
#27
League position
#39
+5.9
Net rating
+11.6
99.0
Offensive rating
111.6
93.1
Defensive rating
100.0
47.1%
Effective FG%
55.9%
45.3%
Opp. effective FG%
46.9%
17.9%
Turnover %
18.7%
28.6%
Off. rebound %
30.5%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.34
29.9%
3-point %
37.2%
74.0%
Assist %
65.6%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Form (last 10/10)50% · 50%
■ Spain   ■ Greece
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Spain wins
2
Greece wins
DateGameScore
31/08/26Greece v Spain108-106 OT
04/09/25Spain v Greece86-90
04/09/10Spain v Greece80-72
Spainlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/08/26AGreece106-108 OT
28/08/26HPortugal89-95
05/07/26AGeorgia89-91 OT
02/07/26HDenmark109-81
02/03/26HUkraine78-64
27/02/26AUkraine86-66
30/11/25HGeorgia90-61
27/11/25ADenmark74-64
04/09/25HGreece86-90
02/09/25AItaly63-67
Greecelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/08/26HSpain108-106 OT
28/08/26AUkraine76-82
05/07/26HPortugal56-71
02/07/26ARomania66-73
02/03/26AMontenegro79-65
27/02/26HMontenegro65-67
30/11/25APortugal76-68
27/11/25HRomania91-64
14/09/25HFinland92-89
12/09/25HTurkey68-94

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Spain
World Cup 2027
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL62%
HomeWWWL75%
AwayWWLL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %62%75%50%
Points / game90.191.588.8
Allowed / game78.875.282.2
Point differential+11.4+16.2+6.5
Avg total168.9166.8171.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+62%75%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)-0% (2)
Overtime %25%0%50%
Greece
World Cup 2027
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW50%
HomeWLLW50%
AwayWWLL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %50%50%50%
Points / game77.180.074.2
Allowed / game74.577.072.0
Point differential+2.6+3.0+2.2
Avg total151.6157.0146.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%25%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)50% (2)-
Overtime %12%25%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Australia880100%101.870.0+31.8
2 Costa Rica550100%81.455.4+26.0
3 Canada880100%100.981.1+19.8
4 Turkey880100%91.972.6+19.2
5 Croatia1211192%99.273.5+25.8
6 France87188%85.171.6+13.5
7 Poland87188%95.882.2+13.5
8 Germany87188%93.682.1+11.5
9 Dominican Republic65183%93.377.8+15.5
10 Mexico65183%93.781.8+11.8
11 Senegal97278%86.370.6+15.8
12 South Sudan97278%82.068.6+13.4
13 Ivory Coast97278%88.276.1+12.1
14 Cameroon97278%76.471.6+4.9
15 New Zealand86275%97.279.8+17.5
16 Japan86275%91.074.8+16.2
17 Argentina86275%87.271.5+15.8
18 Lebanon86275%89.674.6+15.0
19 Brazil86275%90.878.1+12.6
20 Uruguay86275%84.473.4+11.0
21 Serbia86275%87.178.1+9.0
22 Ukraine129375%83.275.9+7.3
23 Angola96367%86.873.0+13.8
24 Guinea96367%75.266.1+9.1
25 Mali96367%81.478.0+3.4
26 Jordan85362%85.571.0+14.5
27 Spain85362%90.178.8+11.4
28 Iran85362%74.967.8+7.1
29 Italy85362%83.076.9+6.1
30 China85362%84.581.6+2.9
31 Georgia85362%85.582.6+2.9
32 Finland85362%80.679.2+1.4
33 El Salvador53260%64.871.8-7.0
34 Romania148657%76.976.6+0.3
35 Nigeria95456%79.976.9+3.0
36 Tunisia95456%71.769.9+1.8
37 Portugal84450%83.879.5+4.2
38 Hungary126650%80.977.9+3.0
39 Greece84450%77.174.5+2.6
40 Latvia84450%83.481.2+2.1
41 Lithuania84450%85.984.6+1.2
42 Bahamas84450%93.292.1+1.1
43 Switzerland168850%73.172.8+0.3
44 Slovenia84450%84.083.8+0.2
45 Philippines84450%76.976.8+0.1
46 South Korea84450%78.479.1-0.8
47 Sweden84450%81.183.5-2.4
48 Ireland63350%75.778.3-2.7
49 Czech Republic63350%81.386.2-4.8
50 Qatar84450%75.981.5-5.6
51 Montenegro84450%71.879.1-7.4
52 Armenia42250%86.596.0-9.5
53 Egypt94544%75.973.1+2.8
54 Austria146843%83.084.9-1.9
55 Colombia73443%83.691.4-7.9
56 Netherlands125742%82.181.1+1.0
57 Bosnia & Herzegovina83538%78.177.1+1.0
58 Estonia83538%80.483.0-2.6
59 Saudi Arabia83538%76.479.6-3.2
60 Iceland83538%81.293.8-12.5
61 Cape Verde93633%75.681.3-5.8
62 Chinese Taipei62433%77.284.5-7.3
63 Kosovo62433%73.781.5-7.8
64 Jamaica62433%86.3102.8-16.5
65 D.R. Congo93633%68.885.7-16.9
66 Chile72529%71.380.6-9.3
67 Israel82625%79.283.5-4.2
68 Puerto Rico82625%85.990.2-4.4
69 Slovakia41325%75.580.8-5.2
70 Luxembourg41325%67.874.0-6.2
71 Bulgaria41325%75.886.0-10.2
72 Albania41325%72.585.2-12.8
73 North Macedonia41325%69.582.5-13.0
74 Panama82625%75.488.9-13.5
75 Norway82625%66.981.0-14.1
76 Syria82625%66.889.9-23.1
77 Honduras51420%61.870.6-8.8
78 Guatemala51420%62.873.0-10.2
79 Denmark102820%73.186.8-13.7
80 Venezuela61517%79.087.5-8.5
81 Great Britain61517%80.290.5-10.3
82 Azerbaijan61517%67.580.8-13.3
83 Belgium6060%71.880.0-8.2
84 Rwanda6060%66.285.7-19.5
85 Libya6060%66.586.7-20.2
86 Uganda6060%64.086.5-22.5
87 Cuba6060%66.789.8-23.2
88 Nicaragua4040%72.095.5-23.5
89 Madagascar6060%73.797.7-24.0
90 Iraq6060%69.393.8-24.5
91 India6060%60.886.2-25.3
92 Cyprus6060%60.299.0-38.8
93 Guam6060%65.2104.5-39.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 93 teams: scroll the table.
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.