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Spain W vs Croatia W Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 10 Nov 2024
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 78-62
18-18 25-16 21-16 14-12
Position#2
Record3-0
FormWWWLW
Points / game70.3
Allowed / game52.7
Spain W 🏆
vs
Croatia W
Position#8
Record2-1
FormWLLWW
Points / game79.0
Allowed / game69.0
EuropeEuropean Championship WomenRound 4· Pabellon Ciutat de Castello
Women2024
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Spain W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Croatia W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Spain WLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Croatia W
#8
W
70-65
70
65
+5
no box
A09/11
European Championship Women
Austria W
#32
W
75-34
75
34
+41
78avg 67
H12/11
European Championship Women
Japan W
#13
L
75-86
75
86
-11
70avg 67
H08/02
Olympic Games Women
Canada W
#8
W
60-55
60
55
+5
47avg 67
A09/02
Olympic Games Women
Hungary W
#11
W
73-72
73
72
+1
65avg 67
H11/02
Olympic Games Women
China W
#6
W
90-89 OT
90
89
+1
78avg 67
H28/07
Olympic Games Women
Puerto Rico W
#14
W
63-62
63
62
+1
62avg 67
A31/07
Olympic Games Women
Serbia W
#9
W
70-62
70
62
+8
80avg 67
A03/08
Olympic Games Women
Belgium W
#7
L
66-79
66
79
-13
53avg 67
H07/08
Olympic Games Women
Netherlands W
#25
W
66-59
66
59
+7
no box
H07/11
European Championship Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-19
16-15
15-11
23-20
20-9
23-8
15-8
17-9
18-26
18-20
21-23
18-17
16-12
20-13
9-23
15-7
19-24
8-22
23-18
23-8
13-22
20-15
20-22
23-17
18-9
21-16
5-19
19-18
16-13
21-15
18-10
15-24
26-26
11-22
12-19
17-12
16-7
15-18
19-16
16-18
137.1Avg total
70.8Scored
66.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)70.352.7123.0+17.7100%
Season at home (2)70.546.5117.0+24.0100%
Season away (1)70.065.0135.0+5.0100%
Last 10 (10)70.866.3137.1+4.580%
Last 5 (5)71.070.2141.2+0.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)68.772.7141.3-4.033%
vs Similar (4)70.866.8137.5+4.075%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)78.257.1135.3+21.190%
This opponent (Croatia W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Croatia WLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Russia W
#5
L
62-73
62
73
-11
no box
H18/06
European Championship Women
Czech Republic W
#11
W
84-56
84
56
+28
no box
A20/06
European Championship Women
Bosnia & Herzegovina W
#6
L
69-80
69
80
-11
no box
A21/06
European Championship Women
Bulgaria W
#37
W
84-73
84
73
+11
no box
A11/11
European Championship Women
Serbia W
#6
L
66-84
66
84
-18
no box
H14/11
European Championship Women
Bulgaria W
#37
W
93-74
93
74
+19
no box
H27/11
European Championship Women
Serbia W
#6
L
57-85
57
85
-28
no box
A09/02
European Championship Women
Spain W
#2
L
65-70
65
70
-5
no box
H09/11
European Championship Women
Netherlands W
#25
W
81-57
81
57
+24
76avg 74
H12/11
European Championship Women
Austria W
#32
W
91-80
91
80
+11
83avg 74
A07/11
European Championship Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-22
14-14
16-25
13-12
27-22
15-11
30-12
12-11
18-19
18-14
14-19
19-28
22-27
26-11
22-21
14-14
21-24
14-31
16-7
15-22
24-29
27-13
16-14
26-18
17-29
15-20
16-18
9-18
19-16
15-16
11-15
20-23
31-14
26-15
6-15
18-13
21-23
27-18
18-21
25-18
148.4Avg total
75.2Scored
73.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)79.069.0148.0+10.067%
Season at home (2)73.063.5136.5+9.550%
Season away (1)91.080.0171.0+11.0100%
Last 10 (10)75.273.2148.4+2.050%
Last 5 (5)77.473.2150.6+4.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)68.478.1146.4-9.729%
vs Similar (2)71.069.5140.5+1.550%
vs Weaker (8)83.967.4151.2+16.5100%
This opponent (Spain W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.1+1.1Q1: -0.6-0.6Q2Q2: +0.9+0.9Q2: +3.4+3.4Q3Q3: -1.2-1.2Q3: -0.2-0.2Q4Q4: +3.6+3.6Q4: -0.6-0.6
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.1+1.1Q1: -0.6-0.6Q2Q2: +0.9+0.9Q2: +3.4+3.4Q3Q3: -1.2-1.2Q3: -0.2-0.2Q4Q4: +3.6+3.6Q4: -0.6-0.6
Spain WCroatia W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Spain WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Croatia W
#8
L
32-34
32
34
-2
A09/11
European Championship Women
Austria W
#32
W
43-17
43
17
+26
H12/11
European Championship Women
Japan W
#13
L
36-46
36
46
-10
H08/02
Olympic Games Women
Canada W
#8
W
36-25
36
25
+11
A09/02
Olympic Games Women
Hungary W
#11
L
27-46
27
46
-19
H11/02
Olympic Games Women
China W
#6
L
33-37
33
37
-4
H28/07
Olympic Games Women
Puerto Rico W
#14
W
39-25
39
25
+14
A31/07
Olympic Games Women
Serbia W
#9
W
37-28
37
28
+9
A03/08
Olympic Games Women
Belgium W
#7
L
37-48
37
48
-11
H07/08
Olympic Games Women
Netherlands W
#25
W
31-25
31
25
+6
H07/11
European Championship Women
68.2Avg total
35.1Scored
33.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.129.866.8+7.370%-
Last 30 at home (19)38.130.868.8+7.368%-
Last 30 away (11)35.428.063.4+7.473%-
Last 10 (10)35.133.168.2+2.050%-
Last 5 (5)35.432.668.0+2.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)33.031.364.3+1.767%-
vs Similar (4)33.536.069.5-2.550%-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)39.028.167.0+10.975%-
This opponent (Croatia W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Croatia WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Russia W
#5
L
33-36
33
36
-3
H18/06
European Championship Women
Czech Republic W
#11
W
42-33
42
33
+9
A20/06
European Championship Women
Bosnia & Herzegovina W
#6
W
36-33
36
33
+3
A21/06
European Championship Women
Bulgaria W
#37
W
48-38
48
38
+10
A11/11
European Championship Women
Serbia W
#6
L
35-55
35
55
-20
H14/11
European Championship Women
Bulgaria W
#37
W
51-42
51
42
+9
H27/11
European Championship Women
Serbia W
#6
L
32-49
32
49
-17
A09/02
European Championship Women
Spain W
#2
W
34-32
34
32
+2
H09/11
European Championship Women
Netherlands W
#25
W
57-29
57
29
+28
H12/11
European Championship Women
Austria W
#32
W
48-41
48
41
+7
A07/11
European Championship Women
80.4Avg total
41.6Scored
38.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (24)39.237.376.5+2.058%-
Last 30 at home (13)38.738.176.8+0.646%-
Last 30 away (11)39.936.476.3+3.573%-
Last 10 (10)41.638.880.4+2.870%-
Last 5 (5)44.438.683.0+5.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)35.539.274.7-3.736%-
vs Similar (2)36.536.072.5+0.550%-
vs Weaker (8)46.534.280.8+12.2100%-
This opponent (Spain W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Spain Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Spain W: 70.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀61%
🏀🏀🏀21%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.8 pts a game · 61% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers14.4 pts a game · 21% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.8 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 69.1 points a game
51%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.721.4
46.8%
45.4%42.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.94.8
25.4%
30.0%14.4
🏀 Free throws16.912.8
75.7%
72.4%12.8
They take 64.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 18.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 29% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Croatia Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Croatia W: 78.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀36%
🏀🏀🏀43%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers28.0 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.0 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.3 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 69.1 points a game
51%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.714.0
40.4%
45.4%28.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.711.3
41.0%
30.0%34.0
🏀 Free throws22.716.3
72.1%
72.4%16.3
They take 62.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/3 games with a box score before 10 Nov 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Spain W
WLWWWWWLWW
Croatia W
WWLLWLWLWL
#2
League position
#8
+5.5
Net rating
+14.1
94.0
Offensive rating
103.5
88.5
Defensive rating
89.4
44.3%
Effective FG%
49.7%
46.1%
Opp. effective FG%
45.4%
18.0%
Turnover %
14.3%
28.2%
Off. rebound %
21.2%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.36
25.4%
3-point %
41.0%
78.2%
Assist %
81.6%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence94.0 · 103.5Defence88.5 · 89.4Shooting44.3% · 49.7%3-point %25.4% · 41.0%Ball care18.0% · 14.3%Off. rebounds28.2% · 21.2%Free throws0.26 · 0.36Form (last 10/10)80% · 50%
■ Spain W   ■ Croatia W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Spain W wins
0
Croatia W wins
DateGameScore
09/11/23Croatia W v Spain W65-70
Spain Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/11/24HNetherlands W66-59
07/08/24HBelgium W66-79
03/08/24ASerbia W70-62
31/07/24APuerto Rico W63-62
28/07/24HChina W90-89 OT
11/02/24HHungary W73-72
09/02/24ACanada W60-55
08/02/24HJapan W75-86
12/11/23HAustria W75-34
09/11/23ACroatia W70-65
Croatia Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/11/24AAustria W91-80
12/11/23HNetherlands W81-57
09/11/23HSpain W65-70
09/02/23ASerbia W57-85
27/11/22HBulgaria W93-74
14/11/21HSerbia W66-84
11/11/21ABulgaria W84-73
21/06/21ABosnia & Herzegovina W69-80
20/06/21ACzech Republic W84-56
18/06/21HRussia W62-73

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Spain W
European Championship Women 2024
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWW100%
HomeWW100%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game70.370.570.0
Allowed / game52.746.565.0
Point differential+17.7+24.0+5.0
Avg total123.0117.0135.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Croatia W
European Championship Women 2024
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWW67%
HomeLW50%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %67%50%100%
Points / game79.073.091.0
Allowed / game69.063.580.0
Point differential+10.0+9.5+11.0
Avg total148.0136.5171.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%50%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Serbia W330100%85.345.7+39.7
2 France W440100%86.850.0+36.8
3 Turkey W440100%78.252.2+26.0
4 Spain W330100%70.352.7+17.7
5 Sweden W440100%71.260.8+10.5
6 Lithuania W43175%88.065.8+22.2
7 Montenegro W43175%77.563.5+14.0
8 Germany W43175%72.863.5+9.2
9 Italy W43175%64.855.8+9.0
10 Luxembourg W43175%62.055.0+7.0
11 Portugal W43175%64.057.2+6.8
12 Slovenia W43175%71.865.5+6.2
13 Belgium W32167%93.055.0+38.0
14 Poland W32167%81.762.7+19.0
15 Croatia W32167%79.069.0+10.0
16 Great Britain W42250%70.058.5+11.5
17 Israel W42250%78.074.5+3.5
18 Greece W42250%68.566.5+2.0
19 Hungary W42250%68.066.0+2.0
20 Netherlands W42250%63.262.2+1.0
21 Switzerland W42250%62.261.8+0.5
22 Finland W42250%69.572.0-2.5
23 Latvia W42250%67.872.2-4.5
24 Slovakia W42250%65.271.8-6.5
25 Ukraine W31233%67.069.7-2.7
26 Denmark W41325%67.567.5+0.0
27 Bulgaria W41325%70.876.5-5.8
28 Iceland W41325%70.576.2-5.8
29 Romania W41325%71.585.2-13.8
30 Estonia W41325%54.076.0-22.0
31 Czech Republic W4040%55.275.5-20.2
32 Bosnia & Herzegovina W4040%62.083.5-21.5
33 Austria W4040%54.075.8-21.8
34 North Macedonia W4040%51.085.5-34.5
35 Ireland W4040%54.890.5-35.8
36 Azerbaijan W4040%47.0112.0-65.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 36 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Spain W1825211478
Croatia W1816161262
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