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Zwolle vs Mechelen Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 15 Feb 2026
Tip-off: 13:00
Final 72-67
25-18 14-17 17-15 16-17
Position#14
Record5-13
FormWLWLL
Points / game78.8
Allowed / game84.3
Zwolle 🏆
vs
Position#8
Record11-7
FormLWLLL
Points / game78.0
Allowed / game80.7
EuropeBNXT LeagueRound 19· Landstede Sportcentrum
Other2025-26
Meetings · Zwolle v Mechelen
18 Apr 2027
ZWO v MECH
upcoming
15 Feb 2026
ZWO72
MECH67
12 Jan 2025
ZWO69
MECH75
14 Apr 2023
ZWO84
MECH81
18 Mar 2022
ZWO56
MECH70
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Zwolle winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Mechelen winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ZwolleLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormZwolle
Date
Competition
Oostende
#2
L
73-86
73
86
-13
64avg 73
A22/11
BNXT League
Spirou Charleroi
#11
L
75-87
75
87
-12
65avg 73
A07/12
BNXT League
Belfius Mons
#16
L
94-96 OT
94
96
-2
97avg 73
H14/12
BNXT League
Kortrijk
#4
L
67-87
67
87
-20
65avg 73
A19/12
BNXT League
Leiden
#10
L
81-90
81
90
-9
77avg 73
H23/12
BNXT League
BAL Weert
#18
W
87-58
87
58
+29
86avg 73
H27/12
BNXT League
Antwerp Giants
#1
L
71-98
71
98
-27
54avg 73
A10/01
BNXT League
Den Bosch
#6
W
91-77
91
77
+14
no box
A18/01
BNXT League
Oostende
#2
L
63-89
63
89
-26
46avg 73
H25/01
BNXT League
Brussels Basketball
#9
L
75-97
75
97
-22
67avg 73
A01/02
BNXT League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-33
15-19
10-21
32-13
19-14
14-20
14-30
28-23
21-24
28-22
18-23
17-15
20-24
15-18
18-15
14-30
18-25
26-24
18-16
19-25
28-15
24-21
20-11
15-11
18-23
24-31
21-25
8-19
24-16
18-21
29-18
20-22
17-31
15-22
17-18
14-18
24-27
25-23
10-24
16-23
164.2Avg total
77.7Scored
86.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)78.884.3163.1-5.528%
Season at home (8)81.984.0165.9-2.125%
Season away (10)76.384.5160.8-8.230%
Last 10 (10)77.786.5164.2-8.820%
Last 5 (5)77.483.8161.2-6.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)76.989.4166.3-12.411%
vs Similar ◀ (7)82.187.1169.3-5.029%
vs Weaker (4)93.873.8167.5+20.075%
This opponent (Mechelen) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MechelenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMechelen
Date
Competition
Den Helder
#12
W
76-68
76
68
+8
78avg 71
A13/12
BNXT League
Donar Groningen
#7
W
93-84
93
84
+9
88avg 71
H20/12
BNXT League
Kortrijk
#4
L
64-104
64
104
-40
50avg 71
A23/12
BNXT League
Brussels Basketball
#9
W
85-80
85
80
+5
81avg 71
H26/12
BNXT League
Spirou Charleroi
#4
L
71-81
71
81
-10
63avg 71
H03/01
Belgian Cup
Den Bosch
#6
L
75-86
75
86
-11
72avg 71
A06/01
BNXT League
LWD Basket
#15
W
89-79
89
79
+10
92avg 71
H10/01
BNXT League
Limburg
#5
L
66-106
66
106
-40
no box
A16/01
BNXT League
Den Bosch
#6
L
74-78
74
78
-4
67avg 71
H24/01
BNXT League
Antwerp Giants
#1
L
40-81
40
81
-41
22avg 71
A30/01
BNXT League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-13
23-16
19-19
11-20
24-18
20-24
27-16
22-26
14-19
10-23
27-29
13-33
26-25
9-11
22-15
28-29
21-26
17-19
17-17
16-19
20-18
23-17
22-24
10-27
24-17
23-19
24-28
18-15
16-21
20-31
15-30
15-24
15-16
21-15
18-22
20-25
7-19
14-22
6-26
13-14
158.0Avg total
73.3Scored
84.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)78.080.7158.7-2.761%
Season at home (9)82.877.0159.8+5.878%
Season away (9)73.284.3157.6-11.144%
Last 10 (10)73.384.7158.0-11.440%
Last 5 (5)68.886.0154.8-17.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)72.485.9158.3-13.632%
vs Similar ◀ (5)82.876.4159.2+6.480%
vs Weaker (5)84.476.2160.6+8.280%
This opponent (Zwolle) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -2.7-2.7Q1: -0.2-0.2Q2Q2: -1.7-1.7Q2: -1.7-1.7Q3Q3: -2.6-2.6Q3: -2.9-2.9Q4Q4: -1.6-1.6Q4: -6.6-6.6
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -2.7-2.7Q1: -0.2-0.2Q2Q2: -1.7-1.7Q2: -1.7-1.7Q3Q3: -2.6-2.6Q3: -2.9-2.9Q4Q4: -1.6-1.6Q4: -6.6-6.6
ZwolleMechelen
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ZwolleLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oostende
#2
L
31-52
31
52
-21
A22/11
BNXT League
Spirou Charleroi
#11
L
33-34
33
34
-1
A07/12
BNXT League
Belfius Mons
#16
W
49-46
49
46
+3
H14/12
BNXT League
Kortrijk
#4
L
35-42
35
42
-7
A19/12
BNXT League
Leiden
#10
L
44-49
44
49
-5
H23/12
BNXT League
BAL Weert
#18
W
52-36
52
36
+16
H27/12
BNXT League
Antwerp Giants
#1
L
42-54
42
54
-12
A10/01
BNXT League
Den Bosch
#6
W
42-37
42
37
+5
A18/01
BNXT League
Oostende
#2
L
32-53
32
53
-21
H25/01
BNXT League
Brussels Basketball
#9
L
49-50
49
50
-1
A01/02
BNXT League
86.2Avg total
40.9Scored
45.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.043.485.4-1.440%-
Last 30 at home (13)43.142.986.0+0.238%-
Last 30 away (17)41.243.885.0-2.641%-
Last 10 (10)40.945.386.2-4.430%-
Last 5 (5)43.446.089.4-2.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)39.946.185.9-6.221%-
vs Similar ◀ (7)43.339.382.6+4.057%-
vs Weaker (4)49.838.288.0+11.5100%-
This opponent (Mechelen) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MechelenLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Den Helder
#12
W
46-29
46
29
+17
A13/12
BNXT League
Donar Groningen
#7
W
44-42
44
42
+2
H20/12
BNXT League
Kortrijk
#4
L
24-42
24
42
-18
A23/12
BNXT League
Brussels Basketball
#9
L
35-36
35
36
-1
H26/12
BNXT League
Spirou Charleroi
#4
L
38-45
38
45
-7
H03/01
Belgian Cup
Den Bosch
#6
W
43-35
43
35
+8
A06/01
BNXT League
LWD Basket
#15
W
47-36
47
36
+11
H10/01
BNXT League
Limburg
#5
L
36-52
36
52
-16
A16/01
BNXT League
Den Bosch
#6
W
36-31
36
31
+5
H24/01
BNXT League
Antwerp Giants
#1
L
21-41
21
41
-20
A30/01
BNXT League
75.9Avg total
37.0Scored
38.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.041.980.9-3.040%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.741.582.3-0.847%-
Last 30 away (15)37.242.379.5-5.133%-
Last 10 (10)37.038.975.9-1.950%-
Last 5 (5)36.639.075.6-2.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)36.643.680.3-7.026%-
vs Similar ◀ (5)42.438.080.4+4.460%-
vs Weaker (5)41.441.082.4+0.460%-
This opponent (Zwolle) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Zwolletheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Zwolle: 77.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.2 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.7 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.6 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.5 points a game
49%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.419.6
52.4%
54.3%39.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.27.9
31.3%
34.6%23.7
🏀 Free throws18.314.6
79.8%
72.4%14.6
They take 62.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Mechelentheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mechelen: 71.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.2 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.7 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.4 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.5 points a game
49%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.718.1
53.7%
54.3%36.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.46.9
32.2%
34.6%20.7
🏀 Free throws19.314.4
74.6%
72.4%14.4
They take 55.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 15 Feb 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Zwolle
LLWLWLLLLL
Mechelen
LLLWLLWLWW
#14
League position
#8
-10.5
Net rating
-10.8
97.1
Offensive rating
98.5
107.6
Defensive rating
109.3
50.2%
Effective FG%
51.6%
57.0%
Opp. effective FG%
52.7%
18.0%
Turnover %
18.9%
25.2%
Off. rebound %
25.4%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.35
31.3%
3-point %
32.2%
65.8%
Assist %
58.0%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence97.1 · 98.5Defence107.6 · 109.3Shooting50.2% · 51.6%3-point %31.3% · 32.2%Ball care18.0% · 18.9%Off. rebounds25.2% · 25.4%Free throws0.29 · 0.35Form (last 10/10)20% · 40%
■ Zwolle   ■ Mechelen
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Zwolle wins
6
Mechelen wins
DateGameScore
11/10/25Mechelen v Zwolle70-66
12/01/25Zwolle v Mechelen69-75
05/10/24Mechelen v Zwolle92-69
14/04/23Zwolle v Mechelen84-81
25/03/23Mechelen v Zwolle101-62
23/04/22Mechelen v Zwolle92-84
18/03/22Zwolle v Mechelen56-70
Zwollelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/02/26ABrussels Basketball75-97
25/01/26HOostende63-89
18/01/26ADen Bosch91-77
10/01/26AAntwerp Giants71-98
27/12/25HBAL Weert87-58
23/12/25HLeiden81-90
19/12/25AKortrijk67-87
14/12/25HBelfius Mons94-96 OT
07/12/25ASpirou Charleroi75-87
22/11/25AOostende73-86
Mechelenlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/01/26AAntwerp Giants40-81
24/01/26HDen Bosch74-78
16/01/26ALimburg66-106
10/01/26HLWD Basket89-79
06/01/26ADen Bosch75-86
03/01/26HSpirou Charleroi71-81
26/12/25HBrussels Basketball85-80
23/12/25AKortrijk64-104
20/12/25HDonar Groningen93-84
13/12/25ADen Helder76-68

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Zwolle
BNXT League 2025-26
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL28%
HomeWLLWL25%
AwayLLLWL30%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games18810
Win %28%25%30%
Points / game78.881.976.3
Allowed / game84.384.084.5
Point differential-5.5-2.1-8.2
Avg total163.1165.9160.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+28%25%30%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (3)0% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %11%25%0%
Mechelen
BNXT League 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL61%
HomeWWWWL78%
AwayWLLLL44%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1899
Win %61%78%44%
Points / game78.082.873.2
Allowed / game80.777.084.3
Point differential-2.7+5.8-11.1
Avg total158.7159.8157.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+28%33%22%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)75% (4)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Antwerp Giants1916384%96.577.1+19.4
2 Oostende1916384%90.080.4+9.6
3 Okapi Aalst2014670%94.386.6+7.8
4 Kortrijk1913668%88.480.5+7.9
5 Leiden1912763%86.979.8+7.1
6 Den Bosch1912763%86.882.8+3.9
7 Mechelen1811761%78.080.7-2.7
8 Donar Groningen1710759%82.383.4-1.1
9 Brussels Basketball1911858%85.781.0+4.7
10 Limburg1910953%89.781.2+8.5
11 Leuven Bears1991047%81.079.3+1.7
12 Spirou Charleroi178947%82.987.8-4.9
13 Belfius Mons1971237%86.593.4-6.8
14 Zwolle1851328%78.884.3-5.5
15 LWD Basket1851328%84.895.8-10.9
16 Den Helder1841422%79.086.8-7.8
17 Rotterdam1821611%77.292.1-14.9
18 BAL Weert1921711%68.587.6-19.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Zwolle2514171672
Mechelen1817151767
← all games of the day
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