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Split vs Dubai Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 20 Dec 2024
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 74-81
22-24 20-15 22-20 10-22
Position#14
Record5-7
FormLWWLL
Points / game78.2
Allowed / game83.8
vs
Dubai 🏆
Position#4
Record9-3
FormLWLWW
Points / game85.4
Allowed / game78.1
EuropeABA LeagueRound 13· Dvorana KK Split
Domestic2024
Meetings · Split v Dubai
04 Jan 2026
SPL78
DUB92
20 Dec 2024
SPL74
DUB81
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Split winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Dubai winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

SplitLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSplit
Date
Competition
Cibona
#16
L
71-72
71
72
-1
63avg 79
A09/11
ABA League
Zabok
#8
W
89-76
89
76
+13
85avg 79
H11/11
Premijer liga
Studentski Centar
#12
W
88-85 OT
88
85
+3
80avg 79
H15/11
ABA League
Dubrava
#9
W
87-78
87
78
+9
82avg 79
A17/11
Premijer liga
Osijek
#12
W
111-55
111
55
+56
125avg 79
H28/11
Premijer liga
Partizan
#2
L
64-110
64
110
-46
63avg 79
A30/11
ABA League
Cibona
#5
W
91-81
91
81
+10
88avg 79
A06/12
Premijer liga
KK Krka Novo mesto
#15
W
83-78
83
78
+5
81avg 79
H09/12
ABA League
FMP Beograd
#11
L
91-98 OT
91
98
-7
85avg 79
A13/12
ABA League
Kvarner
#4
L
75-78
75
78
-3
66avg 79
A16/12
Premijer liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-18
15-18
13-21
22-15
20-19
18-17
21-24
30-16
16-19
17-15
25-29
19-14
24-27
25-22
17-11
21-18
32-13
25-13
23-15
31-14
9-25
22-28
20-29
13-28
20-17
29-15
18-23
24-26
25-17
18-21
16-16
24-24
19-27
19-25
21-21
24-10
27-15
7-23
22-21
19-19
166.1Avg total
85.0Scored
81.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)78.283.8162.0-5.542%
Season at home (6)81.881.8163.7+0.067%
Season away (6)74.785.7160.3-11.017%
Last 10 (10)85.081.1166.1+3.960%
Last 5 (5)80.889.0169.8-8.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)74.886.2161.0-11.533%
vs Similar (5)79.280.0159.2-0.860%
vs Weaker (13)92.474.5166.9+17.885%
This opponent (Dubai) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
DubaiLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormDubai
Date
Competition
Mega Basket
#9
L
80-83
80
83
-3
72avg 82
H05/10
ABA League
Borac Mozzart
#13
W
87-74
87
74
+13
82avg 82
A13/10
ABA League
Spartak Subotica
#8
W
80-79
80
79
+1
73avg 82
H20/10
ABA League
Cibona
#16
W
102-74
102
74
+28
104avg 82
A26/10
ABA League
Studentski Centar
#12
W
87-86
87
86
+1
86avg 82
A02/11
ABA League
Partizan
#2
L
61-82
61
82
-21
47avg 82
A10/11
ABA League
KK Krka Novo mesto
#15
W
91-76
91
76
+15
82avg 82
H17/11
ABA League
FMP Beograd
#11
L
84-86
84
86
-2
82avg 82
A29/11
ABA League
Zadar
#10
W
71-63
71
63
+8
62avg 82
A06/12
ABA League
Mornar Bar
#17
W
104-66
104
66
+38
116avg 82
H15/12
ABA League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-18
21-18
18-24
17-23
24-23
23-13
24-27
16-11
23-25
28-16
10-18
19-20
35-17
23-19
23-16
21-22
22-16
23-20
19-26
23-24
19-16
8-19
17-19
17-28
24-23
21-15
25-19
21-19
17-23
25-16
19-23
23-24
23-21
11-16
17-16
20-10
30-21
26-11
20-25
28-9
161.6Avg total
84.7Scored
76.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)85.478.1163.5+7.375%
Season at home (5)88.277.6165.8+10.680%
Season away (7)83.478.4161.9+5.071%
Last 10 (10)84.776.9161.6+7.870%
Last 5 (5)82.274.6156.8+7.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)61.082.0143.0-21.00%
vs Similar (2)89.084.0173.0+5.0100%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)87.376.3163.7+11.078%
This opponent (Split) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.6+1.6Q1: +3.8+3.8Q2Q2: -0.2-0.2Q2: +4.6+4.6Q3Q3: -1.4-1.4Q3: -2.1-2.1Q4Q4: +4.3+4.3Q4: +1.5+1.5
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.6+1.6Q1: +3.8+3.8Q2Q2: -0.2-0.2Q2: +4.6+4.6Q3Q3: -1.4-1.4Q3: -2.1-2.1Q4Q4: +4.3+4.3Q4: +1.5+1.5
SplitDubai
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
SplitLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cibona
#16
D
36-36
36
36
+0
A09/11
ABA League
Zabok
#8
W
38-36
38
36
+2
H11/11
Premijer liga
Studentski Centar
#12
L
33-34
33
34
-1
H15/11
ABA League
Dubrava
#9
D
49-49
49
49
+0
A17/11
Premijer liga
Osijek
#12
W
57-26
57
26
+31
H28/11
Premijer liga
Partizan
#2
L
31-53
31
53
-22
A30/11
ABA League
Cibona
#5
W
49-32
49
32
+17
A06/12
Premijer liga
KK Krka Novo mesto
#15
W
43-38
43
38
+5
H09/12
ABA League
FMP Beograd
#11
L
38-52
38
52
-14
A13/12
ABA League
Kvarner
#4
L
34-38
34
38
-4
A16/12
Premijer liga
80.2Avg total
40.8Scored
39.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.540.782.2+0.847%-
Last 30 at home (14)43.137.880.9+5.357%-
Last 30 away (16)40.143.283.3-3.138%-
Last 10 (10)40.839.480.2+1.440%-
Last 5 (5)39.042.681.6-3.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)38.345.083.3-6.733%-
vs Similar (5)36.239.275.4-3.020%-
vs Weaker (13)46.537.283.7+9.269%-
This opponent (Dubai) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
DubaiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mega Basket
#9
W
45-36
45
36
+9
H05/10
ABA League
Borac Mozzart
#13
W
47-36
47
36
+11
A13/10
ABA League
Spartak Subotica
#8
W
51-41
51
41
+10
H20/10
ABA League
Cibona
#16
W
58-36
58
36
+22
A26/10
ABA League
Studentski Centar
#12
W
45-36
45
36
+9
A02/11
ABA League
Partizan
#2
L
27-35
27
35
-8
A10/11
ABA League
KK Krka Novo mesto
#15
W
45-38
45
38
+7
H17/11
ABA League
FMP Beograd
#11
W
42-39
42
39
+3
A29/11
ABA League
Zadar
#10
L
34-37
34
37
-3
A06/12
ABA League
Mornar Bar
#17
W
56-32
56
32
+24
H15/12
ABA League
81.6Avg total
45.0Scored
36.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (12)46.937.484.3+9.583%-
Last 30 at home (5)49.437.687.0+11.8100%-
Last 30 away (7)45.137.382.4+7.971%-
Last 10 (10)45.036.681.6+8.480%-
Last 5 (5)40.836.277.0+4.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)27.035.062.0-8.00%-
vs Similar (2)56.541.598.0+15.0100%-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)47.036.883.8+10.289%-
This opponent (Split) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Splittheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Split: 83.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.6 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.3 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.9 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.1 points a game
49%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.123.3
59.6%
54.0%46.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.77.1
31.3%
35.7%21.3
🏀 Free throws22.315.9
71.3%
75.6%15.9
They take 61.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Dubaitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Dubai: 83.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.8 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.5 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.1 points a game
49%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.420.4
54.5%
54.0%40.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.78.4
34.0%
35.7%25.2
🏀 Free throws22.517.5
77.8%
75.6%17.5
They take 62.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 20 Dec 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Split
LLWWLWWWWL
Dubai
WWLWLWWWWL
#14
League position
#4
+4.2
Net rating
+9.5
113.2
Offensive rating
110.4
109.0
Defensive rating
100.9
54.9%
Effective FG%
53.1%
52.9%
Opp. effective FG%
49.5%
14.4%
Turnover %
16.3%
24.7%
Off. rebound %
27.5%
0.36
Free-throw rate
0.36
31.3%
3-point %
34.0%
66.8%
Assist %
65.3%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence113.2 · 110.4Defence109.0 · 100.9Shooting54.9% · 53.1%3-point %31.3% · 34.0%Ball care14.4% · 16.3%Off. rebounds24.7% · 27.5%Free throws0.36 · 0.36Form (last 10/10)60% · 70%
■ Split   ■ Dubai
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Split wins
0
Dubai wins
No previous meetings.
Splitlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/12/24AKvarner75-78
13/12/24AFMP Beograd91-98 OT
09/12/24HKK Krka Novo mesto83-78
06/12/24ACibona91-81
30/11/24APartizan64-110
28/11/24HOsijek111-55
17/11/24ADubrava87-78
15/11/24HStudentski Centar88-85 OT
11/11/24HZabok89-76
09/11/24ACibona71-72
Dubailast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/12/24HMornar Bar104-66
06/12/24AZadar71-63
29/11/24AFMP Beograd84-86
17/11/24HKK Krka Novo mesto91-76
10/11/24APartizan61-82
02/11/24AStudentski Centar87-86
26/10/24ACibona102-74
20/10/24HSpartak Subotica80-79
13/10/24ABorac Mozzart87-74
05/10/24HMega Basket80-83

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Split
ABA League 2024
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL42%
HomeWWLWW67%
AwayLWLLL17%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1266
Win %42%67%17%
Points / game78.281.874.7
Allowed / game83.881.885.7
Point differential-5.5+0.0-11.0
Avg total162.0163.7160.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%17%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)67% (3)0% (2)
Overtime %17%17%17%
Dubai
ABA League 2024
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW75%
HomeWLWWW80%
AwayWWLLW71%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1257
Win %75%80%71%
Points / game85.488.283.4
Allowed / game78.177.678.4
Point differential+7.3+10.6+5.0
Avg total163.5165.8161.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%40%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)67% (3)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Partizan1211192%94.571.8+22.7
2 Buducnost1210283%88.273.2+15.0
3 Crvena zvezda1210283%87.779.5+8.2
4 Dubai129375%85.478.1+7.3
5 Spartak Subotica127558%86.381.8+4.5
6 FMP Beograd127558%82.183.5-1.4
7 Igokea127558%81.182.7-1.6
8 Mega Basket126650%79.479.3+0.1
9 Cedevita Olimpija126650%81.281.8-0.6
10 Zadar125742%74.275.2-1.1
11 Split125742%78.283.8-5.5
12 Studentski Centar124833%83.786.1-2.4
13 KK Krka Novo mesto123925%82.187.4-5.3
14 Borac Mozzart123925%75.686.4-10.8
15 Cibona1221017%76.387.5-11.2
16 Mornar Bar121118%75.993.8-17.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Split2220221074
Dubai2415202281
← all games of the day
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