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Split vs Dubai Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 04 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 78-92
15-26 25-20 14-24 24-22
Position#18
Record3-8
FormWWWLL
Points / game81.5
Allowed / game91.9
vs
Dubai 🏆
Position#1
Record10-0
FormWWWWL
Points / game84.9
Allowed / game69.9
EuropeABA LeagueRound 13· Dvorana KK Split
Domestic2025
Meetings · Split v Dubai
04 Jan 2026
SPL78
DUB92
20 Dec 2024
SPL74
DUB81
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Split winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Dubai winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

SplitLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSplit
Date
Competition
Zadar
#1
W
88-82 OT
88
82
+6
75avg 77
H16/11
Premijer liga
KK Krka Novo mesto
#12
L
80-91
80
91
-11
73avg 77
H21/11
ABA League
Dubrava
#6
W
104-84
104
84
+20
103avg 77
A23/11
Premijer liga
GKK Sibenka
#12
W
110-72
110
72
+38
109avg 77
H04/12
Premijer liga
FMP Beograd
#10
L
80-96
80
96
-16
71avg 77
A07/12
ABA League
Igokea
#14
W
98-93 OT
98
93
+5
78avg 77
H12/12
ABA League
Dinamo Zagreb
#10
W
116-103
116
103
+13
118avg 77
A13/12
Premijer liga
Samobor
#4
W
122-86
122
86
+36
124avg 77
A19/12
Premijer liga
Cluj-Napoca
#7
L
87-105
87
105
-18
73avg 77
A22/12
ABA League
Partizan
#2
L
74-110
74
110
-36
67avg 77
A28/12
ABA League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-22
15-14
19-14
13-20
21-23
25-26
11-27
23-15
32-26
26-20
24-17
22-21
31-17
31-22
22-17
26-16
25-22
19-25
23-22
13-27
18-27
15-11
20-17
28-26
26-20
29-25
31-30
30-28
29-27
26-25
26-18
41-16
26-32
12-22
19-24
30-27
16-24
22-32
20-27
16-27
188.1Avg total
95.9Scored
92.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)81.591.9173.4-10.527%
Season at home (5)87.086.0173.0+1.060%
Season away (6)76.896.8173.7-20.00%
Last 10 (10)95.992.2188.1+3.760%
Last 5 (5)99.499.4198.8+0.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)80.190.7170.8-10.630%
vs Similar (7)74.479.3153.7-4.943%
vs Weaker (13)93.378.5171.8+14.885%
This opponent (Dubai) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
DubaiLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormDubai
Date
Competition
Paris
#16
W
90-89
90
89
+1
88avg 83
H25/11
Euroleague
Virtus Bologna
#17
L
78-79
78
79
-1
72avg 83
A05/12
Euroleague
Igokea
#14
W
88-74
88
74
+14
94avg 83
A08/12
ABA League
Bayern
#14
W
89-88
89
88
+1
83avg 83
H12/12
Euroleague
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#12
L
95-97
95
97
-2
92avg 83
H16/12
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#19
W
80-76
80
76
+4
77avg 83
A19/12
Euroleague
Studentski Centar
#16
W
80-67
80
67
+13
76avg 83
A21/12
ABA League
Olimpia Milano
#13
W
99-92
99
92
+7
92avg 83
H23/12
Euroleague
KK Krka Novo mesto
#12
W
82-61
82
61
+21
89avg 83
H26/12
ABA League
Real Madrid
#2
L
93-107
93
107
-14
83avg 83
A02/01
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-32
29-13
13-21
31-23
17-26
27-13
12-15
22-25
26-15
21-21
19-19
22-19
24-23
18-23
16-20
31-22
30-23
22-28
14-28
29-18
17-20
13-17
22-20
28-19
21-22
21-15
19-12
19-18
31-20
25-29
16-22
27-21
27-16
19-15
24-14
12-16
24-27
34-17
16-29
19-34
170.4Avg total
87.4Scored
83.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)84.969.9154.8+15.0100%
Season at home (5)82.867.0149.8+15.8100%
Season away (5)87.072.8159.8+14.2100%
Last 10 (10)87.483.0170.4+4.470%
Last 5 (5)86.880.6167.4+6.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)80.096.5176.5-16.50%
vs Similar (13)89.788.7178.4+1.062%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)83.974.6158.5+9.373%
This opponent (Split) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +0.7+0.7Q1: +1.0+1.0Q2Q2: -0.2-0.2Q2: +3.8+3.8Q3Q3: +0.2+0.2Q3: -2.9-2.9Q4Q4: +1.9+1.9Q4: +2.5+2.5
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +0.7+0.7Q1: +1.0+1.0Q2Q2: -0.2-0.2Q2: +3.8+3.8Q3Q3: +0.2+0.2Q3: -2.9-2.9Q4Q4: +1.9+1.9Q4: +2.5+2.5
SplitDubai
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
SplitLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Zadar
#1
W
38-36
38
36
+2
H16/11
Premijer liga
KK Krka Novo mesto
#12
L
46-49
46
49
-3
H21/11
ABA League
Dubrava
#6
W
58-46
58
46
+12
A23/11
Premijer liga
GKK Sibenka
#12
W
62-39
62
39
+23
H04/12
Premijer liga
FMP Beograd
#10
L
44-47
44
47
-3
A07/12
ABA League
Igokea
#14
L
33-38
33
38
-5
H12/12
ABA League
Dinamo Zagreb
#10
W
55-45
55
45
+10
A13/12
Premijer liga
Samobor
#4
W
55-52
55
52
+3
A19/12
Premijer liga
Cluj-Napoca
#7
L
38-54
38
54
-16
A22/12
ABA League
Partizan
#2
L
38-56
38
56
-18
A28/12
ABA League
92.9Avg total
46.7Scored
46.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.741.984.5+0.850%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.537.681.1+5.967%-
Last 30 away (15)41.946.188.0-4.333%-
Last 10 (10)46.746.292.9+0.550%-
Last 5 (5)43.849.092.8-5.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)40.445.285.6-4.820%-
vs Similar (7)35.938.774.6-2.943%-
vs Weaker (13)48.141.089.1+7.177%-
This opponent (Dubai) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
DubaiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Paris
#16
W
46-45
46
45
+1
H25/11
Euroleague
Virtus Bologna
#17
W
44-39
44
39
+5
A05/12
Euroleague
Igokea
#14
W
47-36
47
36
+11
A08/12
ABA League
Bayern
#14
L
42-46
42
46
-4
H12/12
Euroleague
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#12
W
52-51
52
51
+1
H16/12
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#19
L
30-37
30
37
-7
A19/12
Euroleague
Studentski Centar
#16
W
42-37
42
37
+5
A21/12
ABA League
Olimpia Milano
#13
W
56-49
56
49
+7
H23/12
Euroleague
KK Krka Novo mesto
#12
W
46-31
46
31
+15
H26/12
ABA League
Real Madrid
#2
W
58-44
58
44
+14
A02/01
Euroleague
87.8Avg total
46.3Scored
41.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.940.584.4+3.370%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.741.786.3+3.067%-
Last 30 away (15)43.139.482.5+3.773%-
Last 10 (10)46.341.587.8+4.880%-
Last 5 (5)46.439.686.0+6.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)44.543.588.0+1.050%-
vs Similar (13)45.844.289.9+1.662%-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)42.137.079.1+5.180%-
This opponent (Split) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Splittheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Split: 94.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.2 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.5 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws20.0 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.4 points a game
48%
32%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.620.1
54.9%
54.6%40.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.811.5
39.9%
35.1%34.5
🏀 Free throws23.520.0
85.1%
75.3%20.0
They take 65.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Dubaitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Dubai: 86.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.8 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.6 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.0 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.4 points a game
48%
32%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.019.9
56.9%
54.6%39.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.49.2
36.2%
35.1%27.6
🏀 Free throws23.719.0
80.2%
75.3%19.0
They take 60.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 04 Jan 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Split
LLWWWLWWLW
Dubai
LWWWWLWWLW
#18
League position
#1
+4.3
Net rating
+5.8
122.7
Offensive rating
118.4
118.4
Defensive rating
112.6
57.1%
Effective FG%
55.8%
56.8%
Opp. effective FG%
53.1%
14.8%
Turnover %
14.3%
31.6%
Off. rebound %
28.1%
0.36
Free-throw rate
0.39
39.9%
3-point %
36.2%
60.1%
Assist %
68.4%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence122.7 · 118.4Defence118.4 · 112.6Shooting57.1% · 55.8%3-point %39.9% · 36.2%Ball care14.8% · 14.3%Off. rebounds31.6% · 28.1%Free throws0.36 · 0.39Form (last 10/10)60% · 70%
■ Split   ■ Dubai
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Split wins
3
Dubai wins
DateGameScore
06/10/25Dubai v Split92-58
20/04/25Dubai v Split87-82
20/12/24Split v Dubai74-81
Splitlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/12/25APartizan74-110
22/12/25ACluj-Napoca87-105
19/12/25ASamobor122-86
13/12/25ADinamo Zagreb116-103
12/12/25HIgokea98-93 OT
07/12/25AFMP Beograd80-96
04/12/25HGKK Sibenka110-72
23/11/25ADubrava104-84
21/11/25HKK Krka Novo mesto80-91
16/11/25HZadar88-82 OT
Dubailast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/01/26AReal Madrid93-107
26/12/25HKK Krka Novo mesto82-61
23/12/25HOlimpia Milano99-92
21/12/25AStudentski Centar80-67
19/12/25AAnadolu Efes80-76
16/12/25HMaccabi Tel Aviv95-97
12/12/25HBayern89-88
08/12/25AIgokea88-74
05/12/25AVirtus Bologna78-79
25/11/25HParis90-89

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Split
ABA League 2025
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL27%
HomeLWWLW60%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1156
Win %27%60%0%
Points / game81.587.076.8
Allowed / game91.986.096.8
Point differential-10.5+1.0-20.0
Avg total173.4173.0173.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)50% (2)-
Overtime %9%20%0%
Dubai
ABA League 2025
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW100%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1055
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game84.982.887.0
Allowed / game69.967.072.8
Point differential+15.0+15.8+14.2
Avg total154.8149.8159.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+70%60%80%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Dubai10100100%84.969.9+15.0
2 Partizan1110191%93.382.8+10.5
3 Cedevita Olimpija1210283%88.878.2+10.7
4 Buducnost119282%91.181.1+10.0
5 Cluj-Napoca129375%92.983.5+9.4
6 Crvena zvezda118373%90.980.3+10.6
7 Igokea106460%85.485.9-0.5
8 KK Bosna116555%82.083.6-1.6
9 Spartak Subotica126650%79.280.5-1.2
10 FMP Beograd114736%85.588.7-3.2
11 Zadar124833%81.983.4-1.5
12 Borac Mozzart113827%78.584.7-6.3
13 Mega Basket113827%82.392.7-10.5
14 Split113827%81.591.9-10.5
15 KK Krka Novo mesto123925%77.683.4-5.8
16 Perspektiva Ilirija123925%78.886.2-7.3
17 Vienna Basket102820%77.587.6-10.1
18 Studentski Centar1221017%77.784.7-7.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Split1525142478
Dubai2620242292
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